114
   

Where is the US economy headed?

 
 
JPB
 
  1  
Reply Thu 22 Jul, 2010 07:45 am
@parados,
parados wrote:

They used money from an account they OWNED.
They were given a loan from TARP. They were given money for operating expenses in exchange for stock.


For what it's worth (not a whole hell of a lot)... GM closed at 0.41 per share yesterday vs $5.00 on Dec 2, 2008 and $13.08 on Sept 19, 2008. They "sold" us stock, which is basically worthless, in exchange for funds that they used to pay of our loan to them.
parados
 
  1  
Reply Thu 22 Jul, 2010 07:49 am
@parados,
JPB wrote:

And speaking of GM... I love how they paid back their TARP money with TARP money and called it a good thing.

smoke and mirrors


Quote:
Where did I say it was a bad thing to give half of the money back?

So, if it wasn't a good thing then what was it? Is it not a bad thing to be deceptive?

You may have meant something else but your words as written seem to show you thought it was a bad thing to use some funds from one loan to pay off the other. They didn't take out a new loan to pay off the old one. They already had access to the money prior to deciding to use it to pay off the loan.
JPB
 
  1  
Reply Thu 22 Jul, 2010 07:51 am
@JPB,
JPB wrote:

And speaking of GM... I love how they paid back their TARP money with TARP money and called it a good thing.

smoke and mirrors


Ok, let's break this down and then move on...

I love (sarcasm) how they paid back their TARP money (loan) with TARP money (Americans all become owners of nearly worthless stock) and called it (by means of an ad campaign) a good thing.

Smoke and mirrors (deception).
parados
 
  1  
Reply Thu 22 Jul, 2010 07:55 am
@JPB,
Quote:


For what it's worth (not a whole hell of a lot)... GM closed at 0.41 per share yesterday vs $5.00 on Dec 2, 2008 and $13.08 on Sept 19, 2008. They "sold" us stock, which is basically worthless, in exchange for funds that they used to pay of our loan to them.

No, you are incorrect.

GM stock in the existing company doesn't trade. It is a private company. The government won't recoup it's money until the company goes public again. The GM stock that is trading is basically worthless since it isn't tied to the GM that is currently building cars.


http://www.humanevents.com/article.php?id=32085
Quote:
The US Government will put another $30.1 billion into the company, for a total of nearly $50 billion, which was supposed to be a loan but which the government will now convert into a 60% ownership stake in the company. The governments of Canada and Ontario will “lend” an additional $9.5 billion to GM which will then be converted into about 12.5% ownership of the company. The United Auto Workers union will own 17.5% of the company. In a stunning transfer of wealth from private investors to government and unions, the UAW will own 75% more of the new GM than the investors holding $27 billion of debt to the existing company, even though GM’s own bankruptcy filing shows that the “employee obligations” to the UAW are billions of dollars less than the debt owed to bondholders. And bondholders will get 1/6th the ownership stake of the government despite having lent more than half as much money to GM.

Existing shareholders will be wiped out.
JPB
 
  1  
Reply Thu 22 Jul, 2010 07:58 am
@parados,
parados wrote:


So, if it wasn't a good thing then what was it? Is it not a bad thing to be deceptive?

You may have meant something else but your words as written seem to show you thought it was a bad thing to use some funds from one loan to pay off the other. They didn't take out a new loan to pay off the old one. They already had access to the money prior to deciding to use it to pay off the loan.


You don't know me very well, do you? Of COURSE it's not a bad thing to be deceptive. That's why I was in favor of the auto bailout to begin with. We HAD to keep the auto companies in business to prevent a hyper-escalation of the unemployment numbers. The numbers being thrown around at the time included auto workers, supply industries, and retailers at upwards of 10% (from memory) of US workers directly tied to the auto industry. That's why I called it a jobs bill. We have to have the illusion of not having a 20% unemployment rate even if we're paying their salaries rather than their unemployment insurance.

Just because it isn't "bad" to be deceptive doesn't mean it shouldn't be point out when observed.
parados
 
  1  
Reply Thu 22 Jul, 2010 08:00 am
@JPB,
Except you already agreed that paying back a loan with parts of a loan is paying back a loan.

GM that is currently held by the government isn't worthless. It is backed up by the assets of the company. All the debt except bond holders was wiped out when the government took over. Bond holders got a share of the existing company so they aren't owed anything at present either.
0 Replies
 
parados
 
  1  
Reply Thu 22 Jul, 2010 08:04 am
@JPB,
If it isn't a good thing what is it?

If someone calls it a "good thing" and is deceptive in doing so doesn't that mean it was a "bad thing"? I am still confused by your use of language. To be deceptive means they were purposely misleading when they called it a "good thing". That implies it was really a "bad thing". This is about being clear in what you actually said JPB. Your statement clearly says it was a bad thing for any normal reader. If you want to argue it wasn't a bad thing then explain your statement because you aren't making any sense with the English language.
JPB
 
  1  
Reply Thu 22 Jul, 2010 08:04 am
@parados,
parados wrote:

No, you are incorrect.

GM stock in the existing company doesn't trade. It is a private company. The government won't recoup it's money until the company goes public again. The GM stock that is trading is basically worthless since it isn't tied to the GM that is currently building cars.



Ok, thanks for that. So it's less than "nearly" worthless and I go back to my previous opinion that GM will be allowed to tank once the unemployment figures can handle it. That seems to be a long ways out so we'll finance their livelihoods one way or another. I see another cash-for-clunkers type program in the future...
JPB
 
  1  
Reply Thu 22 Jul, 2010 08:10 am
@parados,
I just said that being deceptive isn't necessarily a bad thing. It is what it is - it's being deceptive. Sometimes deceptions aren't good or bad, they just "are" (think Santa Claus or the tooth fairy). Touting them as good when they aren't is perpetuating the deception. It is my honest opinion that our government and business leaders sometimes use spin in what they tell us. Is that always "bad"? No, but that doesn't make it "good" either.
0 Replies
 
JPB
 
  1  
Reply Thu 22 Jul, 2010 08:24 am
@JPB,
Quote:
Investors largely wrote off a jump in weekly jobless claims that might have been skewed by seasonal factors. Instead they focused on earnings from a broad range of companies that demonstrate businesses are not seeing a slowdown in the recovery that economic data would otherwise indicate.


Markets are all up around 2% so far.
0 Replies
 
JPB
 
  1  
Reply Thu 22 Jul, 2010 08:43 am
Quote:
Home sales tumble 5.1 percent in June

The report counts home sales once a deal closes. Last month's report captured some buyers receiving federal tax credits of up to $8,000 that boosted sales this year. Buyers initially had to close their purchases by June 30, but Congress extended the deadline to the end of September.

Since the tax credits expired, the number of people buying homes has fallen sharply, despite lower prices and the lowest mortgage rates in decades. The situation has been worsened by high unemployment, tight lending standards and rising foreclosures.

"Economic uncertainty is clouding that buying opportunity," said Lawrence Yun, the Realtors' chief economist. "It's still a fragile situation in the housing market."

As sales have slowed, the inventory of unsold homes on the market has risen 2.5 percent to nearly 4 million. That's a nearly nine-month supply at the current sales pace, the highest level since August. It compares with a healthy level of about six months.

Sales are likely to keep falling for three to four months, Yun said. That would likely boost the supply of unsold homes to more than 10 months for the first time since the spring of 2009. And it could push down home prices. source
emphasis added.

Home prices are still down about 30% here from their 2008 highs. We're seeing a lot more foreclosures in the area too and a few instances in my neighborhood where the banks aren't proceeding on foreclosure because they don't want the properties on their books.
0 Replies
 
parados
 
  1  
Reply Thu 22 Jul, 2010 09:14 am
@JPB,
GM, the company, isn't tied to the worthless stock.

GM is currently making a profit.
ican711nm
 
  0  
Reply Thu 22 Jul, 2010 11:39 am
@plainoldme,
plainoldme wrote:
What you are promoting in this naive quote is the raygun economic policy known as "trickle down." After raygun, 80% of the working public failed to progress economically while the fat cats in the top 20% made certain their incomes soared.

Your post repeats the typical OD (i.e., Obama Democrats) fairy tale.

Over the last 100 years the population of the top 5% has changed repeatedly, while the wealth of the top 5% has increased--at least increased prior to Obama. Yes, the wealth of the bottom 5% has remained much less, but it too has increased along with the increase of their wages. While the percentage increase in the wages of the bottom 5% is less than the percentage increase in the income of the top 5%, the populations of each group have changed significantly. Most of the bottom 5 percenters are younger folks, and most of the top 5 percenters are older folks.

The bottom 5 percenters as well as the top 5 percenters are living a whole lot better than their predecessors did. If the OD invidiousists succeed in reducing the magnitude of that wealth difference, we all will end up worse off, not better off.

Stick your damnable invidious claims and proposals in the garbage where they have for a long time belonged.

"Thou shall not covet ... anything that is thy neighbour’s."

0 Replies
 
ican711nm
 
  0  
Reply Thu 22 Jul, 2010 02:32 pm
Quote:
The Washington Post babbled again today about Obama inheriting a huge deficit from Bush. Amazingly enough,...... a lot of people swallow this nonsense. So once more, a short civics lesson.


Budgets do not come from the White House. They come from Congress, and the party that controlled Congress since January 2007 is the Democrat Party. They controlled the budget process for FY 2008 and FY 2009, as well as FY 2010 and FY 2011. In that first year, they had to contend with George Bush, which caused them to compromise on spending, when Bush somewhat belatedly got tough on spending increases.
For FY 2009 though, Nancy Pelosi and Harry Reid bypassed George Bush entirely, passing continuing resolutions to keep government running until Barack Obama could take office. At that time, they passed a massive omnibus spending bill to complete the FY 2009 budgets.

And where was Barack Obama during this time? He was a member of that very Congress that passed all of these massive spending bills, and he signed the omnibus bill as President to complete FY 2009. Let's remember what the deficits looked like during that period: (below)


If the Democrats inherited any deficit, it was the FY 2007 deficit, the last of the Republican budgets. That deficit was the lowest in five years, and the fourth straight decline in deficit spending. After that, Democrats in Congress took control of spending, and that includes Barack Obama, who voted for the budgets. If Obama inherited anything, he inherited it from himself.
In a nutshell, what Obama is saying is: I inherited a deficit that I voted for and then I voted to expand that deficit four-fold since January 20th.

There is no way this will be widely publicized,
Unless each of us sends it on!
This is your chance to make a difference.
okie
 
  0  
Reply Thu 22 Jul, 2010 04:02 pm
@ican711nm,
ican711nm wrote:

Quote:
The Washington Post babbled again today about Obama inheriting a huge deficit from Bush. Amazingly enough,...... a lot of people swallow this nonsense. So once more, a short civics lesson.

Thanks for the civics lesson, ican.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  0  
Reply Thu 22 Jul, 2010 04:05 pm
@ican711nm,
Quote:

If the Democrats inherited any deficit, it was the FY 2007 deficit, the last of the Republican budgets. That deficit was the lowest in five years, and the fourth straight decline in deficit spending.


This is a lie. It doesn't count War supplementals. Obama and the Dems have been putting these expenses on-budget, which naturally makes them look bigger...

Cycloptichorn
spendius
 
  1  
Reply Thu 22 Jul, 2010 04:59 pm
They are saying on the news here that Mr Blair is being called before the Senate to answer some questions about BP's alleged involvement in the release of the convicted Lockerbie bomber.

If you want to save some money to cut the deficit might I suggest the Senate forget about it because Mr Blair can deal with any questions in such a way that the mind becomes blurred.
0 Replies
 
talk72000
 
  1  
Reply Thu 22 Jul, 2010 05:09 pm
@ican711nm,
You heard of 40-year mortgage? It means a loan so large it takes 40 years to pay it off. The deficit and debt created by GWB is so large it will take many years to pay it off as well.
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Thu 22 Jul, 2010 05:11 pm
By the way,

Quote:
Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said the Obama administration will allow tax cuts for the wealthiest Americans to expire on schedule despite calls from a small but increasingly vocal group of Democrats to delay any tax increases.


Say bye-bye to your low tax brackets, richies! And hello to marginally higher ones that don't affect your standard of living one bit.

Cycloptichorn
JPB
 
  1  
Reply Thu 22 Jul, 2010 06:48 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Yeah, but wait until all the seniors discover that the dividend payments from their mutual funds will be taxed at 36% instead of 15.
 

Related Topics

The States Need Help - Discussion by Robert Gentel
Fiscal Cliff - Question by JPB
Let GM go Bankrupt - Discussion by Woiyo9
Sovereign debt - Question by JohnJD
 
Copyright © 2024 MadLab, LLC :: Terms of Service :: Privacy Policy :: Page generated in 0.5 seconds on 11/25/2024 at 04:20:59