114
   

Where is the US economy headed?

 
 
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Thu 12 Feb, 2009 01:08 pm
@roger,
roger, This is from January 22, 2009:

Quote:

Weekly Averages:

* Average consumer credit card rate, overall market: 14.03%
* Average credit card rate, non-reward consumer cards: 12.65%
* Average reward credit card rate: 14.62%
* Average student credit card rate: 14.61%
* Average business credit card rate (non-reward): 10.83%
* Average business reward credit card rate: 11.69%
okie
 
  1  
Reply Thu 12 Feb, 2009 01:33 pm
@parados,
parados wrote:

Many businesses are losing money in this economy which is why they are laying people off and doing other measures to try to return to profitability.

A tax cut doesn't help a business that is losing money. It won't affect them until they are making a profit.

....

I don't know where to start, there is so much lack of common sense here. Whether a business is making money or not, a tax cut for businesses affects all businesses, because the entire business world is connected. Just one example, if a business buys supplies or materials, or services from another business, which of course permeates the entire business world, the price of those materials, services, and materials are affected by taxes on those businesses, on on down the line. There is a multiplier effect throughout the system.
okie
 
  1  
Reply Thu 12 Feb, 2009 01:35 pm
@maporsche,
maporsche wrote:

Thankfully we just passed a bill that will create 3.5 million jobs.

$789 billion to create or save 3.5 million jobs = $225,428 / job.

Very efficient.

Key word, "save," a new term invented by Obama, which should be rejected. It is not something easily determined, and is only created to make him sound better. If we saved a billion jobs and didn't create any new ones, the economy would not improve.
0 Replies
 
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Thu 12 Feb, 2009 01:35 pm
@okie,
okie, It's not tax cuts that'll save any business; that's why it's called a business; they must have demand (people with money). Without demand, they go broke with or without tax cuts.
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Thu 12 Feb, 2009 01:37 pm
@okie,
okie wrote:

parados wrote:

Many businesses are losing money in this economy which is why they are laying people off and doing other measures to try to return to profitability.

A tax cut doesn't help a business that is losing money. It won't affect them until they are making a profit.

....

I don't know where to start, there is so much lack of common sense here. Whether a business is making money or not, a tax cut for businesses affects all businesses, because the entire business world is connected. Just one example, if a business buys supplies or materials, or services from another business, which of course permeates the entire business world, the price of those materials, services, and materials are affected by taxes on those businesses, on on down the line. There is a multiplier effect throughout the system.


maybe the price is affected down the line. You assume that businesses automatically lower prices when their prices are lowered. They do not.

Cycloptichorn
BigTexN
 
  1  
Reply Thu 12 Feb, 2009 01:43 pm
@cicerone imposter,
Quote:
It's not tax cuts that'll save any business


This is so true...with the kinds of losses these companies are facing right now, they should have losses to carry forward for years!
0 Replies
 
okie
 
  1  
Reply Thu 12 Feb, 2009 01:49 pm
@old europe,
old europe wrote:

Hold on. You're in a downward cycle. People are getting laid off. Companies are not selling their products, and making a deficit. Mostly because people are not keen on spending money while they are afraid that things might get worse, while they have to fear for their jobs. People hold on to their money, which in turn results in businesses being even less able to sell goods, which, in turn, results in more people losing their jobs.

Now, unless I'm completely mistaken, part of what you'd want to do is encourage people to spend money rather than hoard it, right?
okie wrote:
I would eliminate income tax completely, go to a national sales tax, and this would make the market a level playing field in this country.


Make it even more attractive to save money rather than to spend it? Seriously?

First of all, some of my solutions are long term, not immediate stimulus. We need some immediate stimulus, but the larger problem is a longer term one, that of fixing the underlying problems that got us here. I just think it is healthier for an economy to tax spending or consumption than productivity. Secondly, while it taxes purchasing, the purchasing power of consumers would be enhanced considerably because there would be no income tax deductions from their labor. And eliminating all income tax on business should marginally lower the price of goods that are produced here. This would not only affect the business selling the goods, but all the suppliers and providers up the chain, so there is a multiplier effect upon the entire business world. There would be no need for protectionism from foreign goods, everything competes for the consumer dollar on a level playing field, all taxed at the same rate. Plus the goods produced in foreign countries where businesses are taxed, could drive them to this country, thus producing more jobs. Goods produced here where there are no business taxes would have a leg up on the competition. This is a subject in and of itself, but the benefits are potentially very great.

And to encourage saving, yes, in the long run, we have not saved enough, there has been too much credit, so again I think my suggestions are sound. If we had a national sales tax instituted, and given a recession in that situation, then an immediate stimulus might include a temporary cut, small ones, in the sales tax rates, which would encourage buying.

0 Replies
 
okie
 
  1  
Reply Thu 12 Feb, 2009 01:52 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Cycloptichorn wrote:

okie wrote:

parados wrote:

Many businesses are losing money in this economy which is why they are laying people off and doing other measures to try to return to profitability.

A tax cut doesn't help a business that is losing money. It won't affect them until they are making a profit.

....

I don't know where to start, there is so much lack of common sense here. Whether a business is making money or not, a tax cut for businesses affects all businesses, because the entire business world is connected. Just one example, if a business buys supplies or materials, or services from another business, which of course permeates the entire business world, the price of those materials, services, and materials are affected by taxes on those businesses, on on down the line. There is a multiplier effect throughout the system.


maybe the price is affected down the line. You assume that businesses automatically lower prices when their prices are lowered. They do not.

Cycloptichorn

With competition, prices do come down. Learn it, love it, cyclops, it happens. It sometimes takes a while, but it does. If you ever ran a business, you would know this. And lower prices stimulate sales. Sam Walton proved this, oh did he prove it.
okie
 
  1  
Reply Thu 12 Feb, 2009 01:57 pm
@okie,
I continually am surprised at the outright ignorance of simple economic concepts here on this forum, price, demand, supply, and how they all link. Human nature plays into it. People buy the best and cheapest, they balance quality and price, and they do not spend money on more expensive unless they are convinced it is enough better, if given a choice. Or perhaps just lack of faith in the concepts, but ample evidence abounds everyday in everybody's world if they would just open their eyes.

The free market works, central planning does not. Now if anyone wants to challenge that, fine, but provide evidence that is credible.
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Thu 12 Feb, 2009 01:59 pm
@okie,
okie wrote:

Cycloptichorn wrote:

okie wrote:

parados wrote:

Many businesses are losing money in this economy which is why they are laying people off and doing other measures to try to return to profitability.

A tax cut doesn't help a business that is losing money. It won't affect them until they are making a profit.

....

I don't know where to start, there is so much lack of common sense here. Whether a business is making money or not, a tax cut for businesses affects all businesses, because the entire business world is connected. Just one example, if a business buys supplies or materials, or services from another business, which of course permeates the entire business world, the price of those materials, services, and materials are affected by taxes on those businesses, on on down the line. There is a multiplier effect throughout the system.


maybe the price is affected down the line. You assume that businesses automatically lower prices when their prices are lowered. They do not.

Cycloptichorn

With competition, prices do come down. Learn it, love it, cyclops, it happens. It sometimes takes a while, but it does. If you ever ran a business, you would know this. And lower prices stimulate sales. Sam Walton proved this, oh did he prove it.


So, how long does that take? Months? Years? You have no idea. This is where the idea that business tax cuts have any sort of near-term stimulus effect has very little actual data to back it up.

Lower prices don't stimulate sales in the middle of a recession if people don't have jobs to buy non-essential goods.

This is where your ideology sort of breaks down. You are making assumptions about the market which don't exist. What about businesses for whom there is no real competition in their area, or who are locked in to long-term, fixed contracts with other businesses? Tax cuts just put more money in their owner's pockets.

Cycloptichorn
okie
 
  1  
Reply Thu 12 Feb, 2009 02:01 pm
@cicerone imposter,
cicerone imposter wrote:

okie, It's not tax cuts that'll save any business; that's why it's called a business; they must have demand (people with money). Without demand, they go broke with or without tax cuts.

Lower prices can help demand for your product. Sheesh, where have you been? Taxes are not the only thing, but it is one thing that helps.
0 Replies
 
okie
 
  1  
Reply Thu 12 Feb, 2009 02:02 pm
@okie,
This needs posting again. These are concepts that should be learned in kindergarten.

okie wrote:

I continually am surprised at the outright ignorance of simple economic concepts here on this forum, price, demand, supply, and how they all link. Human nature plays into it. People buy the best and cheapest, they balance quality and price, and they do not spend money on more expensive unless they are convinced it is enough better, if given a choice. Or perhaps just lack of faith in the concepts, but ample evidence abounds everyday in everybody's world if they would just open their eyes.

The free market works, central planning does not. Now if anyone wants to challenge that, fine, but provide evidence that is credible.
0 Replies
 
okie
 
  1  
Reply Thu 12 Feb, 2009 02:05 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Cycloptichorn wrote:
So, how long does that take? Months? Years? You have no idea. This is where the idea that business tax cuts have any sort of near-term stimulus effect has very little actual data to back it up.

Lower prices don't stimulate sales in the middle of a recession if people don't have jobs to buy non-essential goods.

This is where your ideology sort of breaks down. You are making assumptions about the market which don't exist. What about businesses for whom there is no real competition in their area, or who are locked in to long-term, fixed contracts with other businesses? Tax cuts just put more money in their owner's pockets.

Cycloptichorn

So do you believe in central planning, communism, cyclops? Say it, you believe businesses are all evil and greedy. Are you claiming taxes do not help businesses, if reduced or eliminated? Good grief, I give up on this forum!
okie
 
  1  
Reply Thu 12 Feb, 2009 02:08 pm
@okie,
I give up for a while, and going back to work.
0 Replies
 
cicerone imposter
 
  0  
Reply Thu 12 Feb, 2009 02:15 pm
@okie,
okie, "Central planning, communism?" You really don't understand our form of government do you? We just had an election where American voters elected Obama to be our president. (And the whole world celebrated.)

What we "had" during the Bush regime was a theocracy; Bush communicated with god over his biological father. Bush didn't rely on polls to listen to the American People; he instead listened to Cheney, Paul Wolfowitz and Richard Perle.

0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Thu 12 Feb, 2009 02:17 pm
@okie,
okie wrote:

Cycloptichorn wrote:
So, how long does that take? Months? Years? You have no idea. This is where the idea that business tax cuts have any sort of near-term stimulus effect has very little actual data to back it up.

Lower prices don't stimulate sales in the middle of a recession if people don't have jobs to buy non-essential goods.

This is where your ideology sort of breaks down. You are making assumptions about the market which don't exist. What about businesses for whom there is no real competition in their area, or who are locked in to long-term, fixed contracts with other businesses? Tax cuts just put more money in their owner's pockets.

Cycloptichorn

So do you believe in central planning, communism, cyclops? Say it, you believe businesses are all evil and greedy. Are you claiming taxes do not help businesses, if reduced or eliminated? Good grief, I give up on this forum!


I claim that savings for businesses do not translate to lower prices with the rapidity or certainty that you seem to think they do.

What proof can you offer that businesses do, in fact, directly pass along savings to their customers? Not theories, proof.

See, the things you think are 'obvious,' are not obvious, b/c you are relying upon assumptions. You shouldn't do that. It makes for a very weak argument.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Thu 12 Feb, 2009 02:29 pm
Businesses do not pass savings on to their customers unless such savings increase business so that the overall bottom line is increased. Otherwise, in a normal market, price will always be most governed by supply versus demand.

But well run, competent businesses will use savings to:

1. Avoid layoffs or reductions in hours, wages, benefits and/or increases wages/benefits so that good people are retained and opportunity to increase the bottom line is not compromised.
2. Hire new people that will allow the business to be more effective and generate new revenues that increase the bottom line.
3. Expand in ways that create even more new jobs and also increase the bottom line.
4. Invest in R&D toward creation of new product lines that will increase the bottom line as well as create more jobs and opportunities for employees.
cicerone imposter
 
  -1  
Reply Thu 12 Feb, 2009 02:34 pm
@Foxfyre,
Show us proof of your claim?

Let's see; Mervyns, Circuit City, Gap, and many others have already closed their doors. Many are planning to close their doors for lack of business.

Even old timers like JC Pennys, Sears, and Macys are cutting back on staff and planning to close stores.

Even WalMart is barely hanging on, and I wouldn't be surprised to see them scale back their operations too.
cicerone imposter
 
  0  
Reply Thu 12 Feb, 2009 02:36 pm
Please name some of them?
genoves
 
  1  
Reply Thu 12 Feb, 2009 02:37 pm
@cicerone imposter,
Okied- This is from the Carter years-Anogther bozo like Obama who thought he could save the country by putting pressure on businesses.
0 Replies
 
 

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