@cicerone imposter,
Here's a news report today that I agree with.
Quote:Fed's Lacker: Economy close to maximum employment
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) - The economy is much closer to maximum employment than many economists think, meaning monetary policy can do little to lower the unemployment rate, said Jeffrey Lacker, the president of the Richmond Federal Reserve Bank, on Monday.
I totally agree; with the world recession impacting both China and Europe, there isn't much the US can do to increase employment. American produced goods and services are purchased by Americans at about 89%. The remaining 11% isn't going to improve any time soon.
My observations traveling the world has been that people with money still spend on luxuries and travel. That won't change any time soon. Even in Cuba where the average income is $20/month, the good hotels, bars and restaurants are always packed.
Even during our (US) National Parks and Canyons tour two months ago, Globus had two trainees in our group because the demand have been increasing.
Some leisure markets are showing 30% increases over last year, and I believe this trend is here to stay, because more baby-boomers are now retiring.
Those without jobs for over a year or more will have more difficulty finding jobs until the trend in college grads begin to improve. Even then, college grads with the right kind of skills will find jobs in short order. That should improve as the older population begin to retire, but the level of new employment will struggle for many years to come.
The stock market will remain somewhat stable, because most of the cause of the volatility for the past couple of years has already been considered.
When the market goes too low, speculators will jump in to buy. That's because bonds and gold are not the best form of investment to keep up with inflation, and gold produces "nothing." Gold prices are based only on speculation on inflation which is based on fear and nothing else. Gold is not a practical medal; it's used in industry and jewelry. Water and oil has more value for the present and the future.
That's MHO.