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Global Warming...New Report...and it ain't happy news

 
 
glitterbag
 
  1  
Reply Sat 4 Jan, 2020 01:22 am
@farmerman,
hey, hey, hey, they don't become professionals until after the apprentice program. Chill
snood
 
  1  
Reply Sat 4 Jan, 2020 05:13 am
The scale of the burning going on in Australia is ******* scary.
blatham
 
  1  
Reply Sat 4 Jan, 2020 07:26 am
@glitterbag,
As an educator, my goal with self and others is to facilitate life long learning.
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Reply Sat 4 Jan, 2020 07:29 am
@snood,
Yeah, it really is.
0 Replies
 
hightor
 
  2  
Reply Sat 4 Jan, 2020 09:56 am
@snood,
I know. I can't process it.

This is from the "Another devastating fire season" thread:

Borat Sister wrote:
Koalas? We’re losing species we never knew existed. Estimates of native wildlife losses are at over 500 million and the toll in animal suffering beyond comprehension, including sheep, cattle, horses etc.

We have temperate and tropical rainforests burning that are not known to have burned in human history here....which goes back a minimum of fifty thousand years.


The only positive thing I can think of is that Prime Minister Scott Morrison is, fittingly, toast.
blatham
 
  1  
Reply Sat 4 Jan, 2020 10:10 am
@hightor,
Quote:
We have temperate and tropical rainforests burning that are not known to have burned in human history here....which goes back a minimum of fifty thousand years.
Goddamn. I did not know that.
0 Replies
 
Olivier5
 
  2  
Reply Sat 4 Jan, 2020 11:49 am
Australia suburb the hottest place on Earth amid devastating bushfires

The mercury has climbed to a record 48.9C in the outer western Sydney suburb of Penrith.
9 HOURS AGO
BY SBS NEWS

The western Sydney suburb of Penrith was the hottest place on Earth on Saturday, reaching a high of 48.9 degrees Celsius.

The highest-ever temperature for the area, recorded by the Bureau of Meteorology just after 3pm, smashed a record that had stood for 80 years.

At the same time, world temperature map website World Weather Today showed Penrith was the hottest place in the world.

Three hours later, at 6pm, the website showed the places with the top ten highest temperatures recorded globally over the previous 24 hours were all in Australia.


 https://sl.sbs.com.au/public/image/file/c80a819e-c2d9-4bfb-9817-ddc01afdaae7
A screenshot taken Saturday 4 January at 6pm AEST showing soaring temperatures in Australia.

Penrith’s temperature also set a new record for the Sydney basin, beating the previous mark of 47.8 degrees in Richmond in 1939.




https://www.sbs.com.au/news/sydney-s-penrith-the-hottest-place-on-earth-amid-devastating-bushfires
0 Replies
 
snood
 
  1  
Reply Sat 4 Jan, 2020 12:16 pm
To date: 23 verified dead, 12 million acres burned, 1500 homes lost
Walter Hinteler
 
  2  
Reply Sun 5 Jan, 2020 05:27 am
@snood,
Young against old - that is not the decisive line of conflict in the climate crisis. The real conflict is between the interests of the fossil industry and the protection of people. Nowhere this is more evident than in Australia now.
farmerman
 
  3  
Reply Sun 5 Jan, 2020 06:35 am
@Walter Hinteler,
AMEN. The fossil fuel companies understood about Induced climate change for 40 yers and have been cobbling up ll their phony-bloney "sponsored research" just like the cigarette companies once did.
Walter Hinteler
 
  2  
Reply Sun 5 Jan, 2020 11:04 am
@farmerman,
Russia announces plan to ‘use the advantages’ of climate change
Quote:
Kremlin website recognises global heating as a problem but lists ‘positive’ economic effects

The Russian government has published a plan to adapt the economy and population to climate change, aiming to mitigate damage but also “use the advantages” of warmer temperatures.

The document, published on the government website on Saturday, outlines a plan of action and admits that changes in the climate have had a “prominent and increasing effect” on socioeconomic development, people’s lives, health and industry.

Russia is warming 2.5 times quicker than the planet, on average, and the two-year “first stage” plan is an indication that the government officially recognises this as a problem, even though Vladimir Putin denies that human activity is the cause.

It lists preventive measures such as dam building or switching to more drought-resistant crops, as well as crisis preparations including emergency vaccinations or evacuations in case of a disaster.

It says climate change poses risks to public health, endangers permafrost, increases the likelihood of infections and natural disasters. It also can lead to different species being pushed out of their usual habitats.

Possible “positive” effects are decreased energy use in cold regions, expanding agricultural areas and navigational opportunities in the Arctic Ocean.

Among a list of 30 measures, the government will calculate risks of Russian products becoming uncompetitive and failing to meet new climate-related standards as well as prepare new educational materials to teach climate change in schools.

Russia is one of the most vulnerable countries to climate change, with vast Arctic regions and infrastructure built over permafrost. Recent floods and wildfires have been among the planet’s worst climate-related disasters.

Russia formally adopted the Paris climate accord in September of last year and criticised the US withdrawal from the pact.

Putin, however, has repeatedly denied the scientific consensus that climate change is primarily caused by man-made emissions, blaming it last month on some “processes in the universe”.

He has also criticised Swedish climate campaigner Greta Thunberg, painting her as an uninformed impressionable teenager possibly being “used” in someone’s interests.

He has also voiced scepticism on numerous occasions about solar and wind energy, expressing alarm about the danger of turbines to birds and worms, causing them to “come out of the ground” by vibrating. While there is evidence of that large wind-power installations can pose a risk to birds, known research does not suggest they harm worms.

On Sunday, Russia’s meteorological service predicted temperatures up to 16C higher than normal for Monday and Tuesday, when Russia celebrates the Orthodox Christmas.
hightor
 
  2  
Reply Sun 5 Jan, 2020 02:42 pm
Australian bushfires point to an ominous pattern

Quote:
Apocalyptic scenes are playing out across Australia as bushfires have burned millions of acres and ravaged more than 1,000 homes in New South Wales alone.

The bright orange haze may look like something out of a dystopic science fiction film -- or even Dante's Inferno -- but this is Australia's current reality. A total of 20 people have died, and the photographs of human suffering are foreboding: native Australians have poured out of smoke-shrouded towns as the flames creep nearer, while people along the coast have taken refuge on beaches.

These are scenes from an Earth that is becoming uninhabitable amid raging wildfires, severe hurricanes and floods, record droughts and rising sea levels that have already submerged islands. The climate crisis is claiming human lives, and the body count will grow.

The worldwide community of climate scientists says that ever larger swathes of our world could burn if the climate crisis continues to trigger extreme weather events like record-breaking temperatures and extended dry spells.
They have been ringing the alarms bells for years now. In late 2018, the International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) issued a damning report stating that because we have prevaricated for so long -- climate change has been well documented since the late 1980s -- greenhouse gas emissions could cause global warming to reach the crucial threshold of 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels by as early as 2030. This would lead to greater sea level rise, extreme weather and food shortages for hundreds of millions of people.

The recent fires that have ravaged North America's west coast, Europe, the Amazon and the Arctic Circle should have been enough, together with all of the other mounting evidence, to bring politicians to their senses and convince even hardcore climate skeptics that global warming is already impacting our world with even more dire consequences to come if we do not reverse course.

In fact, the only point where the scientists have erred is in their predictions about how fast temperatures will climb, and how resounding the shorter-term consequences would be.

The global wildfires are one case in point. The ever hotter, drier weather, exacerbated by forest mismanagement in some cases, is causing higher-intensity, faster-moving fires that can turn into erratic firestorms, argues Marc Castellnou, president of the Spanish independent wildfire prevention group Pau Costa Foundation.

Castellnou said that many experts initially though that the ferocious blazes in Europe, California and Australia in 2009 and 2012 were perhaps freak phenomena. But then fierce wildfires in Chile and Portugal in 2017, followed by fires in Greece and California the year after, confirmed an ominous pattern.

"That was the new normal arriving. 2018 has confirmed that," he told Horizon: The EU Research & Innovation Magazine. This kind of lethal wildfire is of an entirely different quality: "It eats everything," Castellnou says. Firefighters are nearly helpless against blazes of this intensity, he says.
The current fires in Australia are already the most destructive ever in terms of reach. Records for the region's hottest days -- up to 120 degrees Fahrenheit -- have been shattered one after another, and meteorologists say more blistering weather is on its way. Low humidity and stiff winds have only complicated firefighting and rescue efforts, which now include 10,000 emergency personnel and the Australian Defense Force. The smoke is so intense that giant ash clouds have even wafted to New Zealand nearly 1,300 miles away.

The new normal is not only more lethal, it's also harder to predict.

"All of a sudden it's getting a lot harder to protect against what's coming," writes journalist David Wallace-Wells in his book "The Uninhabitable Earth." There's still more to come: "much more fire, much more often, burning much more land," he writes. Wallace-Wells notes that globally, the length of wildfire seasons have grown by nearly 20% since 1979. In the US, wildfires burn twice as much land now as they did in 1970, and by 2050, the devastation caused by fires is expected to double again. And "for every additional degree of global warming, it could quadruple," he argues.

Of course, there are still hard-headed doubters, including President Donald Trump and Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison. (While Morrison acknowledged that climate change is one of many factors behind the bushfires, he also said calls to reduce carbon emissions are "reckless" and claimed Australia doesn't need to do more to combat the climate crisis). It was Australia, along with the US, Brazil, and Saudi Arabia, that blocked meaningful new climate protection reforms at the recent UN climate conference in Madrid. Morrison made it clear that his imperative was to get the Australian economy performing at full tilt.

Indeed, due to its heavy burning of coal and use of liquified natural gas, Australia has one of the highest per capita greenhouse gas emissions rates in the world. Last summer, Morrison's administration gave the green light to a new coal mine in Queensland; others are in the pipeline.

The UN's warning that Australia is not on track to meet its modest obligations pledged at the Paris climate summit in 2015 does not appear to faze Morrison. But Australia isn't alone -- the US and China are also failing to reach their emissions targets.

Leaders like Trump and Morrison must be voted out of office. There are political parties and candidates who grasp the existential nature of the crisis at hand, and reputable institutes have designed detailed policies and plans that can ameliorate the worst of it. One of the best examples of clear, prescient thinking can be seen in New Zealand's Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern, who has successfully pushed landmark climate legislation that commits the country to slash carbon emissions to zero by 2050.

Indeed, the situation is grim: worldwide, we have to cut CO2 emissions by 50% by 2030. But fatalist pessimism is as dangerous as lying about the crisis at hand.

The clean tech necessary to offset rising temperatures and seas has long been around: renewable energy, electric cars and buses, zero-carbon housing and hydrogen-fueled airplanes and ships. It is only a matter of political will that we deploy this technology en masse and put a swift end to the reliance on fossil fuels and unsustainable consumption.

And if the will is not there, then it is up to those of us who live in democracies responsible for the biggest carbon footprints to replace the intransigent politicos with ones who will act. This next decade will be decisive in battling the climate crisis. Despite what the skeptics and fatalists might think, there is something every one of us can do.

cnn/paul hockenos
blatham
 
  2  
Reply Mon 6 Jan, 2020 06:46 pm
@Walter Hinteler,
Quote:
Putin, however, has repeatedly denied the scientific consensus that climate change is primarily caused by man-made emissions, blaming it last month on some “processes in the universe”.

Yes. Just like the torture, rape and murder of children. Processes in the universe.
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Reply Mon 6 Jan, 2020 06:51 pm
@hightor,
Satellite photos of Australia are now being published and show the dimensions of what is happening.

0 Replies
 
Olivier5
 
  2  
Reply Tue 7 Jan, 2020 12:48 pm
Climate change can ‘supercharge’ wildfires in Australia through more extreme heat, drought

Climate experts say Australia's hottest, driest year has made the fires worse.

By Stephanie Ebbs, CBS
6 January 2020, 23:01

Climate change can increase the chances that areas prone to wildfiressee both record high temperatures and drought simultaneously, creating the potential to ”supercharge” the wildfires in Australia after 2019's record-high temperatures, climate experts say.

These fire conditions match what climate scientists have been predictingfor more than a decade. A United Nations climate report published in 2007 said heatwaves and fires were “virtually certain to increase in intensity and frequency” as global average temperatures increase.

“An increase in fire danger is likely to be associated with a reduced interval between fires, increased fire intensity, a decrease in fire extinguishments and faster fire spread,” the 2007 report said.

The brush fires in Australia this season have burned more than 12.35 million acres of land. At least 25 people have been killed and 2,000 homes destroyed, the most casualties from wildfires in the country since 2009, according to the BBC. The University of Sydney estimated that 480 million animals have died in South Wales alone.

Zeke Hausfather, an energy systems analyst and climate researcher at Berkeley Earth, said those factors play a significant role in the severity of the ongoing fires in Australia.

“Wildfires around the world and in Australia in particular have been happening for a long time but what we do see is years where it's been hotter and drier tend to be years where we see more area burned,” Zeke Hausfather, an energy systems analyst and climate researcher at Berkeley Earth told ABC News.

Hausfather said warmer temperatures and extreme weather have made Australia more susceptible to fires and increased the length of the fire season. He said the hotter, drier conditions combined with record high temperatures in 2019 created prime conditions for the devastating fires.

"The combination of those two can really supercharge Australia's fires. 2019 was the perfect storm for being the warmest year on record for Australia and the driest year on record for Australia,” Hausfather said Friday.

Noah Diffenbaugh, a climate researcher and earth system science professor at Stanford University, echoed that climate change is elevating the risk of severe fires through more extreme heat and drought conditions while also causing average temperature to rise.

“When low precipitation does occur, it's much more likely to occur in conjunction with high temperature. And when low precipitation occurs in conjunction with high temp it's much more likely to create the very high fuel loads we're seeing around the world including in Australia right now," he told ABC.

He added that more severe wildfire conditions from heat and drought can’t be reversed and will increase if temperatures continue to warm, but that different policies about how to manage land vulnerable to wildfires can help reduce the risk.

"What we see clearly is that the odds that different regions around the world experience warm and dry conditions simultaneously has already increased substantially as a result of the 1 degree of warming we've already had," he said. "We're already in a regime where different regions of the world are much likely to be warm and dry simultaneously compared to 50 years ago or 100 years ago.

“Approaches that ignore the fact that the climate is changing and the odds that these kinds of hazards like wildfires, like heat waves, like heavy rainfall, like extreme storm surge flooding," Diffenbaugh added. "Not acknowledging that these hazards are changing is a recipe for continuing to be exposed to these kinds of unprecedented conditions.”

https://abcnews.go.com/International/climate-change-supercharge-wildfires-australia-extreme-heat-drought/story
Walter Hinteler
 
  2  
Reply Wed 8 Jan, 2020 12:00 pm
@Olivier5,
Data released by the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) show that 2019 was the second warmest year in a series of exceptionally warm years across the globe, as CO2 concentrations continue to rise.

Copernicus: 2019 was the second warmest year and the last five years were the warmest on record
Quote:
The Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) announces today that 2019 was the fifth in a series of exceptionally warm years and the second warmest year globally ever recorded. Meanwhile, Europe saw its warmest year on record by a small margin. Together with the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS), C3S also reports that CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere have continued to rise. Their data provide the first complete, global picture of 2019 temperatures and CO2 levels. The results are in line with previous projections from WMO and the Global Carbon Project (GCP) for 2019. The WMO estimated that 2019 was likely to be the 2nd or 3rd warmest year on record, while both WMO and the GCP indicated that atmospheric CO2 concentrations had continued to increase.

https://i.imgur.com/ze2TFSbl.jpg

[...]

The data also show that:

• The five warmest years on record have all occurred in the last 5 years, with 2019 coming in as the second warmest and 2010-2019 being the warmest decade on record
• 2019 was almost 0.6 °C warmer than the 1981-2010 average
• The average temperature of the last 5 years was between 1.1 and 1.2 °C higher than the pre-industrial level defined by the IPCC
• Europe saw its warmest calendar year on record, marginally ahead of 2014, 2015 and 2018

Furthermore, according to satellite measurements of global atmospheric CO2 concentrations:

• CO2 continued to rise in 2019, increasing by 2.3 ± 0.8 ppm

... ... ...
blatham
 
  2  
Reply Wed 8 Jan, 2020 02:24 pm
Of course, as Putin put it the other day, global warming is caused by "processes in the universe".
0 Replies
 
McGentrix
 
  0  
Reply Wed 8 Jan, 2020 02:34 pm
@Walter Hinteler,
Plants love CO2. We'll be fine.
farmerman
 
  2  
Reply Wed 8 Jan, 2020 04:30 pm
@McGentrix,
not so simple McG. Youve got a bit to read about C3 v C4 plants (Most all of our crop plants and deciduous trees are C3, while grasses , bambo bromeliads, cctii, are C4). C3'w are threatened because these plants use mostly C12 in their respiration and have a thinner "comfort zone". The hevier isotope C13 is used in droughts or by desert plants.

We will lose numbers of crops and fruits as temps rise . Youll need to learn to et only tropical plnts and fruits that are ,Like bananas, alreday declining.


Were kinda fucked in many ways.
One thing, we wont have to **** with rhubarb and alliums.


The lit of denialists is shrinking mostly because the MSM "Murdoch Selfy Media", is slowly losing the grip in its home country as the effects of sea rise, glacial retreats, wilder tyfun, and deadlier fire seasons are making themselves felt all over the planet.

Murdoch and his todies including the brain dead guys like Limbaugh, Hannity, and other "news entertainers" are not able to handle science facts and modelling projections.
Finn dAbuzz
 
  1  
Reply Wed 8 Jan, 2020 05:16 pm
WE'RE ALL GONNA DIE!!!

And if we do, it won't be because of the Kochs and Oil Companies it will be because all of you Climate Change pussies care more about scolding than action.

But at least when you take your last gasp of superheated air you can say "I posted on A2K about this!"
 

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