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Global Warming...New Report...and it ain't happy news

 
 
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Wed 24 Feb, 2010 03:28 pm
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/img/climate/research/global-jan-dec-error-bar-pg.gif

http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/img/climate/research/global-jan-dec-error-bar-pg.gif
Jan-Dec Global Mean Temperature over Land & Ocean
During the 100 year period, 1910 to 2010,
THE MEAN ANNUAL GLOBAL TEMPERATURE INCREASED LESS THAN 1°C (1.8°F).

http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/temperature/nhshgl.gif
Average Annual Global Temperature 1850-2009
http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/temperature/nhshgl.gif
Average Annual Global Temperature 1850-2009
During the 100 year period, 1910 to 2010,
THE AVERAGE ANNUAL GLOBAL TEMPERATURE INCREASED LESS THAN 1°C (1.8°F).



……………………………………………………………
http://epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Minority.Blogs&ContentRecord_id=f80a6386-802a-23ad-40c8-3c63dc2d02cb
As of December 20, 2007, more than 400 prominent scientists from more than two dozen countries have voiced significant objections to major aspects of the alleged UN IPCC "consensus" on man-made global warming.

Quote:

http://epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Minority.SenateReport#report
369
Environmental expert Sergei Golubchikov, Vice President of Russia's National Geocryological Foundation, expressed skepticism of man-made global warming in 2007. "Humanity is focusing environmental efforts on the boogeyman of global warming," Golubchikov wrote in a November 8, 2007 article in RIA Novosti. "Environmental phobias go hand in hand with technological civilization. Anxiety over climate change is carried too far, to my mind," Golubchikov continued. "Anxiety easily turns to panic, forcing the world into hasty, and possibly wrong, steps. The Kyoto Protocol, for instance, was ratified even before the link between global warming and the concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere had been proved," Golubchikov explained. "But is the gas [CO2] so bad? It is no poison, and plants need it as much as we humans need our daily bread. At present it makes up a mere 0.037% of the atmosphere. Greater concentrations cause plant life to flourish-especially forests, the greatest absorbers of greenhouse gases. If the release of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere were suddenly stopped, the earth's plant life would consume that remaining in a matter of 8-11 years. After that they would curl up and die. Every living thing on earth would be doomed with them," he wrote. "As 95% of the world's carbon dioxide is dissolved in saline water, global warming makes the sea the principal source of emissions, leaving industry far behind. To my mind, international agreements should instead seek to reduce emissions of sulfur dioxide, carbonic and nitric oxides, benzpyrene, soot, heavy metals and other toxic substances responsible for causing cancer and mutations. These are, in fact, the greatest environmental challenge to governments and the public," he added. (LINK)

0 Replies
 
okie
 
  1  
Reply Fri 26 Feb, 2010 10:34 am
Not to overlook the obvious, but if the weather stations in the U.S. are delivering bogus data, what is the liklihood of bogus data around other parts of the globe? Pretty obviously high liklihood, folks. Is there any reason to believe any of the crap coming out of the global warmers political coalition? Not in my opinion.
http://www.foxnews.com/static/managed/img/Scitech/Global%20Warming%

http://www.foxnews.com/scitech/2010/02/26/climate-data-compromised-by-heat-sources/?http://www.foxnews.com/static/managed/img/Scitech/Global%20Warming%20Predictions2_monster_397x224.jpg
"A critical cog in the machinery that drives the theory of global warming is a small white box not too far from where you live. Inside the box sits a thermometer that tracks the local temperature, which in turn becomes part of a data trail for the monitoring of climate change on Earth.

But there's a problem: Nearly every single weather station the U.S. government uses to measure the country's surface temperature may be compromised. Sensors that are supposed to be in empty clearings are instead exposed to crackling electronics and other unlikely sources of heat, from exhaust pipes and trash-burning barrels to chimneys and human graves."

Cycloptichorn
 
  0  
Reply Fri 26 Feb, 2010 10:41 am
@okie,
Do you even read these articles?

Quote:
Watts, who has posted pictures of the sensors on his Web site, SurfaceStations.org, says he believes that the location of the sensors renders their recorded temperatures inaccurate, which in turn brings some of the data behind global warming theory into question.

"It's asinine to think that this wouldn't have some kind of an effect," Watts told FoxNews.com.

But climate scientists who analyze the data say that they are able to account and adjust for the faulty locations by comparing warming trends they spot at bad sites to trends they see at good ones.

"If you use only the sites that currently have good siting versus those that have not-so-good siting, when you look at the adjusted data basically you get the same trend," said Jay Lawrimore, chief of the climate monitoring branch at NCDC.

Lawrimore admitted that Watts' volunteers had discovered real problems with sensor siting, but he said that even when those sites' heat readings were adjusted down, they still showed a steady overall rise in temperatures.

"The ultimate conclusion, the bottom line is that there really isn't evidence that the trends have a bias based on the current siting," he said.

And surface station data is only a small subset of information confirming the warming of the climate, Lawrimore said.

Changes in air temperature, water temperature, glacier melt, plant flowering, tree growth and species migration, among many others, show the same worldwide trend -- a 0.7 degree Celsius jump (1.2 degrees Fahrenheit) in the past century.


This is the problem with amateurish nitpicking: when you don't understand the science behind it, you aren't really building a case against it. You're looking for an exploit with which to damn the whole theory. That's not 'science,' it's politics.

Cycloptichorn
okie
 
  1  
Reply Fri 26 Feb, 2010 10:46 am
@Cycloptichorn,
That post is absolutely silly, and if a serious scientist actually would try to express such stupidity in other scientific fields, they would be laughed out of the building. Essentially, you have the people in charge of this bogus crap claiming that since good stations show similar trends as bogus bad stations, we will continue to use the bogus crappy data and continue to claim it is approximately right.

Get serious, cyclops. You guys are becoming a laughingstock.
okie
 
  1  
Reply Fri 26 Feb, 2010 10:50 am
@Cycloptichorn,
Cycloptichorn wrote:
when you don't understand the science behind it, you aren't really building a case against it.

The "science behind it" is apparently fraudulantly cherrypicking and skewing data, cyclops. Only a dummy hasn't figured that out yet. Or perhaps you have figured it out, but because it agrees with radical leftie idealogy, you accept it as serious science. I do not.
Cycloptichorn
 
  0  
Reply Fri 26 Feb, 2010 10:52 am
@okie,
okie wrote:

That post is absolutely silly, and if a serious scientist actually would try to express such stupidity in other scientific fields, they would be laughed out of the building. Essentially, you have the people in charge of this bogus crap claiming that since good stations show similar trends as bogus bad stations, we will continue to use the bogus crappy data and continue to claim it is approximately right.

Get serious, cyclops. You guys are becoming a laughingstock.


You're acting like a ******* idiot, Okie.

If you have a station that is next to a parking lot, and has a 10 degree higher temperature then those stations near it; and the average temp in that station goes up by a degree, and the average temp goes up at the OTHER stations by a degree, then you have the same trend no matter what the starting point of either station was.

The fact that a station has a higher starting point due to it's location doesn't make it a 'bogus station.' That's just idiotic.

There was only one actual scientist quoted in your article... and he gave a persuasive explanation as to why you and the amateurs are wrong. You just don't want to hear it, because - once again - you think you've found a silver bullet. And you guys wonder why you are not taken seriously. This is the opposite of building a scientific case against something; it's politics, pure and simple.

Cycloptichorn
Cycloptichorn
 
  0  
Reply Fri 26 Feb, 2010 10:53 am
@okie,
okie wrote:

Cycloptichorn wrote:
when you don't understand the science behind it, you aren't really building a case against it.

The "science behind it" is apparently fraudulantly cherrypicking and skewing data, cyclops. Only a dummy hasn't figured that out yet. Or perhaps you have figured it out, but because it agrees with radical leftie idealogy, you accept it as serious science. I do not.


It's a good thing for Humanity that nobody gives a **** what your uninformed opinion is, Okie.

Cycloptichorn
BillRM
 
  1  
Reply Fri 26 Feb, 2010 11:19 am
@Cycloptichorn,
Does this thread ever end?

It seem likely we will have at least two warming and ice age cycles and this thread still will be going strong.
Cycloptichorn
 
  0  
Reply Fri 26 Feb, 2010 11:21 am
@BillRM,
BillRM wrote:

Does this thread ever end?

It seem likely we will have at least two warming and ice age cycles and this thread still will be going strong.


Looks like it. It's one of the longest-running threads on A2K at this point.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
MontereyJack
 
  1  
Reply Fri 26 Feb, 2010 12:04 pm
and it started on abuzz, with some of the same culprits, and later transferred to a2k, so it's even longer than you think, bill. i'm surprised ican hasn't yet noticed that increased global temperature is proportionate to the rising page count on this topic and concluded that CO2 has nothing to do with the rise but rather that it's all caused by the hot air he blows.
0 Replies
 
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Fri 26 Feb, 2010 12:52 pm
Whether or not all the global temperature measurements since 1910 are accurate or inaccurate, the fact is they all show two things:
(1) The average annual global temperature increase since 1910 has been less than one degree Celsius (less than 1.8 degrees Fahrenheit);
(2) Since 1998 the average annual global temperature has been leveling or decreasing--depends on the source of the measurements.


http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/img/climate/research/global-jan-dec-error-bar-pg.gif

http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/img/climate/research/global-jan-dec-error-bar-pg.gif
Jan-Dec Global Mean Temperature over Land & Ocean
During the 100 year period, 1910 to 2010,
THE MEAN ANNUAL GLOBAL TEMPERATURE INCREASED LESS THAN 1°C (1.8°F).

http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/temperature/nhshgl.gif
Average Annual Global Temperature 1850-2009
http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/temperature/nhshgl.gif
Average Annual Global Temperature 1850-2009
During the 100 year period, 1910 to 2010,
THE AVERAGE ANNUAL GLOBAL TEMPERATURE INCREASED LESS THAN 1°C (1.8°F).
0 Replies
 
parados
 
  0  
Reply Fri 26 Feb, 2010 02:24 pm
@okie,
okie wrote:

That post is absolutely silly, and if a serious scientist actually would try to express such stupidity in other scientific fields, they would be laughed out of the building. Essentially, you have the people in charge of this bogus crap claiming that since good stations show similar trends as bogus bad stations, we will continue to use the bogus crappy data and continue to claim it is approximately right.

Get serious, cyclops. You guys are becoming a laughingstock.

That's funny coming from you okie..

In case you didn't notice. REAL scientists point to several other things that also support the warming. You on the other hand IGNORE those things. It is YOU that is the laughingstock okie.

You are arguing that you can't possible be on fire because the color of the flame isn't orange while ignoring the heat, smoke and the fact that the fire department is is trying to spray water on you.
0 Replies
 
Ionus
 
  -1  
Reply Fri 26 Feb, 2010 05:16 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Quote:
You're acting like a ******* idiot, Okie.
Showing off your considerable education from the gutter again ? Where did you study ? The Hollywood upstairs school for abused children ? One eyed horn, aka dick head for he has as much brians as a one eyed horn, should stop trying to intimidate people with his considerable intellect of insults and read about the science.

As these cretans are using faulty data based on poorly sited weather stations and the mid point rather than the average, they could achieve the same result with a random number generator. How do you think they found a baseline to measure an increase ?

What happened to the Russian data ? Or the estimates for the air temp over the oceans ? The email debacle ? The many "fixes"done to data so it would be "correct" ? Short term measurements of your insults would be a better indication of Global Warming than the bullshit clowns like you are trying to get away with.

Quote:
it's politics, pure and simple
Correct. That is exactly what Global Warming is....
Ionus
 
  -1  
Reply Fri 26 Feb, 2010 05:20 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Quote:
It's a good thing for Humanity that nobody gives a **** what your uninformed opinion is, Okie.
You are defending humanity with personal attacks and enobling yourself at the same time ? I suppose in your delusional world you are informed ? What a hero !! Ladies and gentlemen, I give you the dickhead who will save us all, the great, the one and only, give it up for ....Penis !!! Yayyyyy !!!!

Seriously, did your mother toilet train you with a chainsaw ?
0 Replies
 
Ionus
 
  -1  
Reply Fri 26 Feb, 2010 05:21 pm
@BillRM,
Quote:
It seem likely we will have at least two warming and ice age cycles and this thread still will be going strong.
And none of those will be man made. Natural cycles will continue.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  0  
Reply Fri 26 Feb, 2010 05:22 pm
@Ionus,
Another ******* moron.

Quote:

As these cretans are using faulty data based on poorly sited weather stations and the mid point rather than the average, they could achieve the same result with a random number generator. How do you think they found a baseline to measure an increase ?


The mid-point between the high and low for the day IS the average, the average of every day in the month is THEN calculated and used. How many times do you have to be told that you are completely wrong on this issue?

You're a waste of the time it takes me to type, and you don't give a **** what anyone else says, because in your mind, you know more about climate science then anyone - even when you can clearly been shown to be using inaccurate terminology and display a poor understanding of the underlying factors involved.

I'm tired of dealing with your clear homosexual projections upon everyone on this board who disagrees with you... from now on the only response you will receive from me will be ridicule, for you're not worthy of anything that takes more thought then that.

Cycloptichorn
Ionus
 
  0  
Reply Fri 26 Feb, 2010 05:31 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Quote:
from now on the only response you will receive from me will be ridicule,
What a cop out !! Is it too hard for you, my little diddims ?? You have a penis for a name and you imagine I have homosexual fantasies ? Why is that ? Frustrated ??

Quote:
The mid-point between the high and low for the day IS the average
That statement shows a complete lack of understanding of anything to do with averages. It is an assumption and it is incorrect. But I dont expect a dickhead like you to understand that.

Quote:
you know more about climate science then anyone
I wouldnt have said that, but thank you.

Quote:
anything that takes more thought then that
News Flash, dickhead..you are not capable of more thought than that.

Bring it on, dickhead.
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Fri 26 Feb, 2010 06:48 pm
@Ionus,
Ionus, Cycloptichorn really acts like a "political relativist." Barack Obama is an Alinsky disciple, and Cycloptichorn acts like an Obama disciple.

According to Saul Alinsky:

The radical organizer does not have a fixed truth"truth to him is relative and changing; everything to him is relative and changing. He is a political relativist;

The most basic principle for radicals is lie to opponents and disarm them by pretending to be moderates and liberals.

ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Fri 26 Feb, 2010 06:53 pm
@ican711nm,
Quote:

http://www.ncpa.org/sub/dpd/index.php?Article_ID=19034&utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=DPD
CLIMATE CHANGE: DEVELOPING COUNTRIES CONTROL THE THERMOSTAT
It has long been recognized that no policies undertaken solely by Western countries can reduce future global warming, regardless of the developed world's past and current contributions to atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations. Rather, fast-growing developing countries control the climate change thermostat, says H. Sterling Burnett is a senior fellow with the National Center for Policy Analysis.

As early as 1995, the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and the International Energy Agency (IEA) recognized that most of the emissions in the 21st century would occur in the developing world:

The IPCC predicted that developing nations would account for the majority of greenhouse gas emissions by 2020.
The IEA stated that by 2025 China would emit more CO2 than the current combined total of the United States, Japan and Canada.
These predictions proved to be very optimistic. Since 2003, China has doubled its greenhouse gas emissions, surpassing the United States as the world's largest emitter. In fact, China already emits more CO2 than the United States and Canada combined, and will likely surpass the combined total of the United States, Canada and Japan by 2015.

Richard Muller, a physics professor at the University of California, Berkeley, recently examined IEA data and found:

China's emissions intensity (CO2 per dollar of gross domestic product) is five times greater than that of the United States.
Even if China cuts its emissions intensity 45 percent, it will still surpass the United States in per capita annual CO2 emissions by 2025.
Indeed, every 10 percent cut in U.S. emissions would be negated by one year of China's growth.
Furthermore, Muller's calculations show:

Because China's economy is growing annually by 10 percent, a 4 percent cut in intensity is actually a 6 percent annual increase in emissions.
CO2 emissions are increasing at a similar rate in India and other developing countries -- far surpassing industrialized countries' output.
He concludes that even if China and India's goals are met -- and other developing countries make similar cuts -- total atmospheric CO2 would rise from 385 parts per million currently to 700 parts per million by 2080.

Source: H. Sterling Burnett, "Climate Change: Developing Countries Control The Thermostat," National Center for Policy Analysis, Brief Analysis No. 694, February 25, 2010.
okie
 
  1  
Reply Fri 26 Feb, 2010 10:33 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Cycloptichorn wrote:
If you have a station that is next to a parking lot, and has a 10 degree higher temperature then those stations near it; and the average temp in that station goes up by a degree, and the average temp goes up at the OTHER stations by a degree, then you have the same trend no matter what the starting point of either station was.Cycloptichorn

That is hilarious, cyclops. And it has to be one of the stupidist posts ever written in the name of science. Next time I put up a thermostat in my house, using your reasoning, I will place it right above my kitchen range above the burner where I heat the teakettle. After all, that is one of the handiest places for me to see it and adjust it while cooking breakfast and supper. And if I simply use a little Kentucky windage or incorporate a fudge factor so that maybe the right temperature in the house will be when it is set at maybe 90 degrees, or if that doesn't work, maybe 100 degrees. Of course I might need to change fudge factors for the season, or for whatever times I usually heat the teakettle, right? But anyway, I understand your reasoning very well, cyclops, it seems entirely sensible to just assume the temperature above the stove will also rise from whatever it was when the furnace is running, and even if it is only 60 degrees in the living room while it is 75 above the stove, if I set the thermostat at 87, that should keep it a comfy 72 in the living room. Lets see, that will work when the stove is on, but oh let me rethink this again, but it should work, right cyclops, after all you said it would, and so do those weather station experts too, all that is needed is to crank in the correction factors to adjust for the secondary heat and cooling sources around the weather stations, yes that should work, that makes alot of sense. All that matters is trends, going up or down, not an accurate temperature, because we can correct the numbers later to whatever we think they should have been, right?

You are a real hoot, cyclops, thanks for the humor, but maybe you need to stick to the humor business instead of science. Have you ever tried auditioning for a comedian's job in Vegas? You could hit it big, and the pay would be good.
 

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