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Global Warming...New Report...and it ain't happy news

 
 
parados
 
  1  
Reply Wed 1 Apr, 2009 08:06 am
@Foxfyre,
Quote:
What did I make up?
Quote:
Now then, IF the article represents solid science and IF humans are indeed increasing water vapor in the atmosphere and IF that is causing the climate to warm. . . . . (taking breath). . . .then that alone is reason to stop all this CO2 reduction immediately and look to increased water vapor as the culprit that is dooming the planet. What kind of sense does it make to reduce the CO2 when that will do little or nothing to decrease water vapor and, in the case of some 'green' fuels, will actually increase it?

Parados doesn't seem too interested in discussing that though.

That is what you made up. The article clearly says WHY water vapor has increased. The warming models clearly state WHY water vapor has increased.

From the article's abstract which is the first paragraph before it gets into the science you claim you don't understand Fox.
Quote:
Data from the satellite-based Special Sensor Microwave Imager
(SSM/I) show that the total atmospheric moisture content over
oceans has increased by 0.41 kg/m2 per decade since 1988....
Experiments in which forcing factors are varied individually suggest
that this fingerprint ‘‘match’’ is primarily due to humancaused
increases in greenhouse gases and not to solar forcing or
recovery from the eruption of Mount Pinatubo. Our findings
provide preliminary evidence of an emerging anthropogenic signal
in the moisture content of earth’s atmosphere.


Of course when I point out you made it up even though you accused me of not wanting to discuss it you now attack me for discussing what you said I didn't want to discuss.

I posted the link to the ENTIRE article Fox. You stated quite clearly you did NOT read the article then you proceeded to tell us what the article should have said which is directly opposite from what it DOES say. If you want to bring up a point and accuse me of not discussing it then don't get your panties in a twist when I show your point is made up by you and is not supported by the article I posted.

By the way Fox..
Quote:
If I'm wrong then by all means post the pertinent points
Since you not only didn't link to anything but you admitted you didn't read it, what gives you any authority to demand others provide links to pertinent points. When I provide links you don't read them anyway as you just admitted.

Quote:
Otherwise just carry on with your usual MO of attempted oneupmanship, put downs, and personal insults.
Right.. Because you don't do anything like that.


Foxfyre wrote:
Given your usual refusal to do that in the past, I have a very difficult time believing you wished to do that now.
Please explain your statement Fox if it is not meant as a put down, personal insult or oneupmanship. You like to pretend you are somehow superior when in fact you are not.

I provided links to data. You claimed there was no data there. Did you open any of the data files? Did you confirm there was no data there? No, you attacked me for not providing "easy to read" graphs, charts or data.
You then accused science of NOT looking at the data because you didn't accept any of the data I provided.
When I provided PUBLISHED scientific article which clearly uses water vapor data, and cites at least 5 others that do the same thing, you admit to not reading it but claim science should look at other things in direct contradiction of the statements made in the paper you did NOT read.
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  0  
Reply Wed 1 Apr, 2009 08:48 am
Naw, I'll pass Parados. As long as you continue to pluck my sentences out of context and try to make them look like something different than what I said and tell me things that I claim that I didn't claim, it does become an exercise in futility and I get tired of having to spend my time pointing that out. I'll let others engage you in that kind of activity.

One the one matter that you almost entered into a discussion about was the water vapor increasing when the temperature rises. And yes, in 9th grade science we learned that warm air can hold more water vapor than cool air can. It does not follow however that the amount of water vapor in the air is a result of warming however--here on the desert the temperature can be 100 degrees and the humidity 5%. Or it can be 50 degrees and the humidity 100%.

Evenso, the higher the humdity, the warmer the climate overall.

So the question remains. How much of climate warming is attributable to the amount of waper vapor humankind is pumping into the air? And is that a more critical factor than CO2? And if so, why are we not focusing on water vapor instead of CO2? Or does human generated water vapor and CO2 have a negligible or insignificant effect on climate?

That is what I am interested in and I invited you to join in. You, however appeared to be more interested in oneupmanship, 'gotcha', and personal insults. Add dishonest representation of my remarks to that.

Oh well. Carry on.
okie
 
  1  
Reply Wed 1 Apr, 2009 09:53 am
@parados,
parados wrote:

Do you know what "fingerprint" means in that context okie?

Do you?
Quote:
You must have missed this part which then lists studies that show that relative humidity remains constant as temperature increases.

Did you miss where they said that was an "assumption?"
Quote:
Quote:
relative humidity remains approximately constant,
for which there is considerable empirical support

Just a reminder for you okie. Constant relative humidity with higher temperature means an increase in water vapor. It doesn't debunk my argument at all. It merely illustrates further how little scientific knowledge you possess.

The same relative humidity indicates more water vapor at higher temperatures, but it does not prove that if temperatures are higher that there will always be more water vapor, as it depends upon where you are at. Obviously Houston, Texas is more humid than Albuquerque, NM at the same temperature. So Houston Texas 200 years ago may not have been as humid as it is now, that is my point, and water vapor content, globally, for the atmosphere may not have been as humid as it is now, without regard to temperature, although temperature also is influenced by humidity as is humidity influenced by temperature.

And you still have not cited the data or a graph for global averages for water vapor concentrations, yet. The graph on the link you provided was at least a start, but it was not global, according to what I could determine.

And what are your qualifications as a scientist, Parados? I've asked you many times, without much of an answer. Are you a lawyer? What are your qualifications?
parados
 
  1  
Reply Wed 1 Apr, 2009 11:02 am
@Foxfyre,
Quote:

So the question remains. How much of climate warming is attributable to the amount of waper vapor humankind is pumping into the air?
No one said anything about water vapor being the result of humans pumping it into the air. It is the result of warmer air holding more water vapor. Read the science before you ask questions that are clearly not worth asking.


Quote:

That is what I am interested in and I invited you to join in. You, however appeared to be more interested in oneupmanship, 'gotcha', and personal insults. Add dishonest representation of my remarks to that.
Rolling Eyes

I love how quoting your FULL statements are now plucking you out of context.
0 Replies
 
parados
 
  1  
Reply Wed 1 Apr, 2009 12:09 pm
@okie,
It is an assumption for this paper based on several scientific papers. Do you know what "for which there is considerable empirical evidence" means?

Quote:
Obviously Houston, Texas is more humid than Albuquerque, NM at the same temperature.

Obviously. Houston is near the ocean. Are you arguing that the ocean wasn't near Houston 200 years ago?


okie
 
  1  
Reply Wed 1 Apr, 2009 01:12 pm
@parados,
Oklahoma is not near the ocean, but its alot more humid than Albuquerque.

Again, what is your training? Are you a lawyer or a scientist, or a wannabe?
parados
 
  1  
Reply Wed 1 Apr, 2009 01:18 pm
@okie,
Considering the definition of "scientist" used by ican and Inhofe, I would be a scientist.
okie
 
  1  
Reply Wed 1 Apr, 2009 01:24 pm
@parados,
parados wrote:

Considering the definition of "scientist" used by ican and Inhofe, I would be a scientist.

Typical dodge and weave answer, Parados. Why would I ever expect anything more out of Parados? Even though you have never admitted it, I think you must be a lawyer?

A lawyer joke for you, Parados, how can you tell the difference between a run over lawyer or a run over skunk on a highway?
parados
 
  1  
Reply Wed 1 Apr, 2009 01:34 pm
@okie,
Using ican's and Inhofe's definition of "scientist" I don't think a lawyer would not be a scientist.

So what are you okie? A lawyer, a scientist, or a wannabe?
ican711nm
 
  0  
Reply Wed 1 Apr, 2009 02:16 pm
@parados,
http://epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Minority.Blogs&ContentRecord_id=f80a6386-802a-23ad-40c8-3c63dc2d02cb

As of December 20, 2007, over 400 prominent scientists--not a minority of those scientists who have published their views on global warming--from more than two dozen countries have voiced significant objections to major aspects of the alleged UN IPCC "consensus" on man-made global warming.

Quote:

http://epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Minority.SenateReport#report
246
Atmospheric scientist and hurricane expert Dr. Christopher W. Landsea NOAA's National Hurricane Center who served as a UN IPCC as both an author and a reviewer and has published numerous peer-reviewed research noted that recent hurricane activity is not linked to man-made factors. According to a February 23, 2007 article in Myrtle Beach Online, Landsea explained that "the 1926-1935 period was worse for hurricanes than the past 10 years and 1900-1905 was almost as bad." Landsea asserted that it is therefore not true that there is a current trend of more and stronger hurricanes. "It's not a trend, it's a cycle: 20-45 years quiet, 20-45 years busy," Landsea said. He did say that a warming world would only make hurricanes "5 percent stronger 100 years from now. We can't measure it if it's that small." The article said Landsea blamed Gore's An Inconvenient Truth, for "persuad[ing] some people that global warming is contributing to hurricane frequency and strength." (LINK) Landsea, who was both an author and a reviewer for the IPCC's 2nd Assessment Report in 1995 and the 3rd Assessment Report in 2001, resigned from the 4th Assessment Report after becoming charging the UN with playing politics with Hurricane science. "I am withdrawing because I have come to view the part of the IPCC to which my expertise is relevant as having become politicized. In addition, when I have raised my concerns to the IPCC leadership, their response was simply to dismiss my concerns," Landsea wrote in a January 17, 2005 public letter. "My view is that when people identify themselves as being associated with the IPCC and then make pronouncements far outside current scientific understandings that this will harm the credibility of climate change science and will in the longer term diminish our role in public policy," he continued. "I personally cannot in good faith continue to contribute to a process that I view as both being motivated by pre-conceived agendas and being scientifically unsound," Landsea added.

0 Replies
 
okie
 
  1  
Reply Wed 1 Apr, 2009 02:32 pm
@parados,
Wheres your sense of humor, Parados?

In answer to your question, a geologist, only a BS, no PHD, "piled higher & deeper" degree.

Not a lawyer, Parados, I should have been, as lawyers and doctors are now buying all the land up, they are the only ones with any money.

In case you cared about the joke, there are skid marks in front of the skunk, thats how you tell the difference.

By the way, have you figured out how Oklahoma could be as humid as it is, considering there is no ocean nearby? You are a scientist now you know.
0 Replies
 
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Wed 1 Apr, 2009 03:01 pm
@parados,
ican711nm wrote:
Parados, it is you who is the denier here.
You continue to fail to provide rational evidence that humans are the major causes of the density of water vapor in the atmosphere.

I never said that. I seen no reason to defend your idiotic accusation.
ican711nm wrote:
You continue to fail to rationally refute the assertion that solar irradiance on the earth is the major cause of water vapor in the atmosphere.

I never said that. I seen no reason to defend your idiotic accusation.
ican711nm wrote:
You continue to fail to provide rational evidence that the CO2 density in the atmosphere is the major cause of water vapor in the atmosphere.

I never said that. I seen no reason to defend your idiotic accusation.
ican711nm wrote:
You have yet to even provide rational evidence that humans are the major cause of the density of CO2 in the atmosphere.

I never said that. I seen no reason to defend your idiotic accusation.
ican711nm wrote:
However, you perform a frequent job of slandering, albeit irrationally, those with whom you disagree.

When you make idiotic statements, I see no reason to not call them what they are.
..........!?!
~~~(o | o)~~~
~~~~(<>)~~~~
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Wed 1 Apr, 2009 04:42 pm
Okie wrote
Quote:
Obviously Houston, Texas is more humid than Albuquerque, NM at the same temperature.


True most of the time, yes, but not 100% true in all cases.

Albuquerques average daytime temperature in July is around 92 degrees farenheit. Houston's average daytime temperature in July is around 82 or 83 degrees farenheit. But let's pick a day on which the two are even--say 85 degrees. Usually Houston humidity will be very high, but if there are no clouds about and the winds are blowing in off the dry lower plains, Houston's humidity can drop to a comfortable 30 - 40% while the annual monsoon is bringing moisture out of Mexico into Albuquerque to push the humidity up to an uncomfortable 70 - 80 %. (I hate when that happens because our swamp coolers don't work very well in those conditions.)

In other words, Albuquerque's weather can be warmer or cooler than Dallas or Houston in either the winter and summer. Most places in Texas usually have higher humidity than us but not always.

Its that same perplexing problem that we keep running into on this thread. Temperatures are constantly changing as is humidity as is climate. Darn stuff just won't stay put.

(P.S. New Mexico is a long way from the ocean too at least until that chunk of the Western US collapses and we become ocean again.)
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Wed 1 Apr, 2009 05:47 pm
@Foxfyre,
Further 100% unscientific research but quite interesting:

April 1, 2009 - 5:45 PM MDT

Oklahoma City OK - 70 degrees farenheit - 12% humidity
Houston TX - 69 degrees farenheit - 70% humidity
Dallas TX - 48 degrees farenheit - 26% humidity
Albuquerque NM - 35 degrees farenheit - 60% humidity

Wild huh?
parados
 
  1  
Reply Wed 1 Apr, 2009 06:34 pm
@Foxfyre,
Yes, it is interesting..

Based on your temperature and humidity we get -

OKC has 1.9 g/kg
Houston has 10.5g/Kg
Dallas has 1.9g/kg
Albuqerque has 2.5g/kg

So, even though the humidity in Dallas is more than double the humidity in OKC, the amount of water vapor is almost exactly the same.

And even though Albuquerque has 60% humidity compared to Houston's 70%, Houston has 4 times the water vapor. Amazing, isn't it? Temperature greatly affects water vapor even if the humidity is the same.
okie
 
  1  
Reply Wed 1 Apr, 2009 09:35 pm
@Foxfyre,
I haven't checked your numbers, but I lived in Albuquerque and swamp coolers worked great most of the time. They don't hardly work at all in Houston, as my sister lived there for a while, so I know there is no way the two places are even close to being similar. And they certainly do not work hardly at all in Oklahoma, I can vouch for that. I will check this out more later.
0 Replies
 
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Fri 3 Apr, 2009 01:10 pm
http://epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Minority.Blogs&ContentRecord_id=f80a6386-802a-23ad-40c8-3c63dc2d02cb

As of December 20, 2007, over 400 prominent scientists--not a minority of those scientists who have published their views on global warming--from more than two dozen countries have voiced significant objections to major aspects of the alleged UN IPCC "consensus" on man-made global warming.

Quote:

http://epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Minority.SenateReport#report

247
Atmospheric scientist Glen Shaw, a Professor of Physics at the Geophysical Institute at the University of Alaska Fairbanks, who was skeptical of global cooling fears in 1970s, now calls the current warming scare "massively political." Shaw noted in a April 22, 2007 article in News Miner that "a significantly large fraction of the science being done on global climate change is perhaps not wrong, but not enough, a little naive, repetitive and incorporating only a fraction of the complexity required to base policy on." "And the issue of global warming has become massively political. Special interests abound. Try getting funding while being a skeptic," he added. Shaw also explained how he ran up against the coming ice age scare three decades ago. "In the 1970s as a young scientist at the Geophysical Institute I wrote passionate letters complaining that for the first time in the geologic era man was changing the atmosphere of the planet. I argued that continued dumping of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere would be associated with a warming of the entire Earth and pled for attention to this matter. The letters were ignored. They were ignored because in the 1970s, Newsweek, the Christian Science Monitor, the New York Times, and countless books and articles were warning of the dangers of global cooling. Things have changed." Shaw concluded: "There is much more in climate science that we simply do not understand. Believe it or not, nobody has any sustainable theory, other than a few clues, about the causes of the ice ages. They are resonant with some of the orbital movements of the planets, but only roughly so and other things are going on that cause and end these spectacular events. We do not know."

248
Geologist Dr. Lee C. Gerhard, past director and state geologist with the Kansas Geological Society and a senior scientist emeritus of the University of Kansas and a UN IPCC reviewer, debunked the notion that human CO2 emissions are driving climate change. "Overall, the earth's climate has been cooling for 60 million years, but that is only an average -- temperature goes up and down constantly," Gerhard said in a January article in a National Policy Analysis publication. "Depending on the period in earth's history that is chosen, the climate will either be warming or cooling. Choosing whether earth is warming or cooling is simply a matter of picking end points," Gerhard stated. Gerhard also noted that CO2 only represents about ¼ of one percent of the total greenhouse gas effect, "hardly a device to drive the massive energy system of earth's climate." (LINK) Gerhard also wrote on August 17, 2006: "I never fully accepted or denied the anthropogenic global warming (AGW) concept until the furor started after [NASA's James] Hansen's wild claims in the late 1980's. I went to the [scientific] literature to study the basis of the claim, starting at first principles. My studies then led me to believe that the claims were false, they did not correlate with recorded human history." Gerhard concluded that "the current climate changes were entirely explainable by geologic history." Gerhard has published more than 150 papers and authored the 2001 book "Geological Perspectives of Global Climate Change."

0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Sun 5 Apr, 2009 11:42 am
According to a report in New Scientist, the research was carried out by Valerie Trouet at the Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow, and Landscape Research in Birmensdorf.

It suggests that the medieval warm period was mainly a regional phenomenon caused by altered heat distribution rather than a global phenomenon.

Natural mechanism for medieval warming discovered

Quote:
Europe basked in unusually warm weather in medieval times, but why has been open to debate. Now the natural climate mechanism that caused the mild spell seems to have been pinpointed.

The finding is significant today because, according to Valerie Trouet at the Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow, and Landscape Research in Birmensdorf, the mechanism that caused the warm spell in Europe " and meant wine could be produced in England as it is now " cannot explain current warming. It means the medieval warm period was mainly a regional phenomenon caused by altered heat distribution rather than a global phenomenon.

The finding scuppers one of the favourite arguments of climate-change deniers. If Europe had temperature increases before we started emitting large amounts of greenhouse gases, their argument goes, then maybe the current global warming isn't caused by humans, either.
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Sun 5 Apr, 2009 12:40 pm
@Walter Hinteler,
I don't recall ever seeing anything of an environmental nature published in New Science that did not take the pro-anthropogenic global warming position. And while that in itself does not of course disqualify the information in the article, it does raise a question of strong preference for one point of view.

And who is Nora Shultz and what are her qualifications to analyze Trouet's study and comment on it?

Assuming that Shultz did her homework, however, there are some rebuttals to Trouet's study on various blogs and these two sources that do seem to rebut her conclusions:

http://co2science.org/articles/V11/N53/C2.php

http://www.sciencedirect.com/science?_ob=ArticleURL&_udi=B6WPN-4BKN11C-1&_user=10&_rdoc=1&_fmt=&_orig=search&_sort=d&view=c&_acct=C000050221&_version=1&_urlVersion=0&_userid=10&md5=e8a3ac0c9ca631a66eb6de3353566c20


ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Sun 5 Apr, 2009 02:26 pm
http://epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Minority.Blogs&ContentRecord_id=f80a6386-802a-23ad-40c8-3c63dc2d02cb

As of December 20, 2007, over 400 prominent scientists--not a minority of those scientists who have published their views on global warming--from more than two dozen countries have voiced significant objections to major aspects of the alleged UN IPCC "consensus" on man-made global warming.

Quote:

http://epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Minority.SenateReport#report

249
Climatologist Dr. Roy W. Spencer, formerly a senior scientist for climate studies at NASA's Marshall Space Flight Center where he received NASA's Exceptional Scientific Achievement Medal, and currently principal research scientist at the University of Alabama in Huntsville, questioned how much scientists really know about the climate. "CO2 concentrations - now running at 380 parts per million (ppm), up about 40 percent in the last century - are indeed one possible explanation for our current warmth. But we also know that our climate is a nonlinear, dynamic system - which can go through sizeable gyrations all by itself," Spencer wrote in a February 26, 2007 article in the New York Post. "The one atmospheric process that has the greatest control on the Earth's climate is the one we understand the least - precipitation," Spencer, currently a principal research scientist at the Global Hydrology and Climate Center of the National Space Science and Technology Center in Huntsville, Alabama, wrote. "In fact, for the amount of solar energy available to it, our climate seems to have a ‘preferred' average temperature, damping out swings beyond one degree or so. I believe that, through various negative feedback mechanisms, the atmosphere ‘decides' how much of the available sunlight will be allowed in, how much greenhouse effect it will generate in response, and what the average temperature will be," he concluded. Spencer has published more than two dozen scientific papers in peer-reviewed journals.

0 Replies
 
 

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