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Global Warming...New Report...and it ain't happy news

 
 
miniTAX
 
  1  
Reply Fri 14 Mar, 2008 01:46 am
Walter Hinteler wrote:
The former UK's PM Tony Blair will lead a new international team to tackle the intractable problem of securing a global deal on climate change.
Blair will lead a new international SPIN team to tackle a non problem. Nuance...
I wonder who pays him. Follow the money trail and it will tell you the true story.
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Fri 14 Mar, 2008 01:51 am
miniTAX wrote:

I wonder who pays him. Follow the money trail and it will tell you the true story.


You mean, Bush is paying his poodle here again Shocked

http://i28.tinypic.com/2eobihx.jpg
Source: from above quoted The Guardian article


No, not completely:

Quote:
Blair was carrying out the unpaid seven-day tour in his role as a consultant to The Climate Group, a nonprofit organization which is funded by corporations and governments from around the world.
Source
0 Replies
 
parados
 
  1  
Reply Fri 14 Mar, 2008 06:38 am
Foxfyre wrote:

Yes, that is my understanding too, but you can't have it both ways. Either plants remove CO2 from the atmosphere or the plant cycle is a zero sum gaime.


Left to itself the natural cycle is a zero sum game. You can refuse to believe it all you want but the ice cores say otherwise.
0 Replies
 
miniTAX
 
  1  
Reply Fri 14 Mar, 2008 07:01 am
Walter Hinteler wrote:

Quote:
Blair was carrying out the unpaid seven-day tour in his role as a consultant to The Climate Group, a nonprofit organization which is funded by corporations and governments from around the world.
Source

Climate Group is "is an independent, nonprofit organisation dedicated to advancing business and government leadership on climate change. "

Independent... and sponsored by Dow Chemical which wants to sell its carbon quotas for having reduced the emission it would reduce anyway, HSBC & JP Morgan which have set up a huge carbon compensation business, Virgin which sells space tour tickets...
Hmmm, follow the money trail Walter ... http://images.forum-auto.com/images/perso/3/boxethai.gif
0 Replies
 
McGentrix
 
  1  
Reply Fri 14 Mar, 2008 08:43 am
Climate panel on the hot seat
0 Replies
 
okie
 
  1  
Reply Fri 14 Mar, 2008 10:13 am
parados wrote:
Foxfyre wrote:

Yes, that is my understanding too, but you can't have it both ways. Either plants remove CO2 from the atmosphere or the plant cycle is a zero sum gaime.


Left to itself the natural cycle is a zero sum game. You can refuse to believe it all you want but the ice cores say otherwise.

So it does no good to plant trees then, because when you plant a tree, you plant a life cycle. There is no such thing as an eternal tree. So contrary to your claims then, cutting down a tree or not cutting down a tree only changes the timing of the cycle, and may not change CO2 emissions or absorption in the long term, all of this assuming the plant life cycle is a zero sum game as you have posted.
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Fri 14 Mar, 2008 10:26 am
parados wrote:
Foxfyre wrote:

Yes, that is my understanding too, but you can't have it both ways. Either plants remove CO2 from the atmosphere or the plant cycle is a zero sum gaime.


Left to itself the natural cycle is a zero sum game. You can refuse to believe it all you want but the ice cores say otherwise.


If we assume that you are correct, then the IPPC is using very bad science to recommend that countries with large amounts of vegetation receive carbon credits based on the presence of that vegetation.

Or, for some of us who still believe our biology textbooks that plants take in far more CO2 than they emit, and the other obvious questionable recommendations coming out of the IPCC, the whole philosophy being fed to us re dealing with catastrophic AGW starts looking sillier and sillier. And it is not too hard to make that leap to a concept of such policies being based far more on grabs for political and economic power than based on any solid science or even a deepset belief in dangers of global warming.
0 Replies
 
parados
 
  1  
Reply Fri 14 Mar, 2008 10:44 am
okie wrote:
parados wrote:
Foxfyre wrote:

Yes, that is my understanding too, but you can't have it both ways. Either plants remove CO2 from the atmosphere or the plant cycle is a zero sum gaime.


Left to itself the natural cycle is a zero sum game. You can refuse to believe it all you want but the ice cores say otherwise.

So it does no good to plant trees then, because when you plant a tree, you plant a life cycle.
You plant a 200 year life and then you still have the cycle of 50-200 years to return all the carbon back to the air. It buys time for human emissions to go down and the ocean to take out what humans have already put in the atmosphere.

The ultimate goal must be and has to be that human emissions are reduced so the natural sinks can take back out what we put in.
0 Replies
 
parados
 
  1  
Reply Fri 14 Mar, 2008 10:46 am
Foxfyre wrote:
parados wrote:
Foxfyre wrote:

Yes, that is my understanding too, but you can't have it both ways. Either plants remove CO2 from the atmosphere or the plant cycle is a zero sum gaime.


Left to itself the natural cycle is a zero sum game. You can refuse to believe it all you want but the ice cores say otherwise.


If we assume that you are correct, then the IPPC is using very bad science to recommend that countries with large amounts of vegetation receive carbon credits based on the presence of that vegetation.

Burning down vegetation increases CO2 output. So paying people with large amounts of vegetation to keep that vegetation intact sounds like a very GOOD plan to me.
0 Replies
 
okie
 
  1  
Reply Fri 14 Mar, 2008 11:02 am
parados wrote:
Burning down vegetation increases CO2 output. So paying people with large amounts of vegetation to keep that vegetation intact sounds like a very GOOD plan to me.

You ignore nature, Parados, which indicates that burning is an integral part of and healthy, at least to a certain extent. The reason Yellowstone Park, just one example of many in the west, the reason it became so overgrown and too thickly populated with spindly trees was because of a policy of fire suppression. Forest managers are now recognizing that fire is good and very beneficial to the health of forests, not only for plants but the soil and other wildlife, also to suppress disease and insects that attack forests. Selective logging and thinning of forests can also be a healthy thing for forests. According to my reading, even ancient indians recognized this and sometimes torched areas to benefit the forests and hunting areas. Actually in regard to lightning, it is a part of nature for a reason, and forest managers are finally waking up to it.

So to keep vegetation intact and largely prevented from burning is not a good policy long term.
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Fri 14 Mar, 2008 11:34 am
Parados seems to be debating both sides of the issue - living plants are an effective tool in removing CO2 but plants are a zero sum game in the overall accumulation of CO2 in the atmosphere. I agree with him on the first part which would support the IPPC recommendation; but if he is correct on the second part, then the IPPC granting of carbon credits to countries with lots of vegetation would be a badly flawed policy. I mean those countries have been recycling that vegetation for a lot of centuries now--a lot longer than any trees normally live--so those countries, according to Parados, are emitting at least as much CO2 as they are removing.

And when you start looking at circular arguments like that, it really does start looking sillier and sillier.

Actually when you start looking at ALL the science instead of just the limited studies the IPPC allows for its conclusions, the whole concept starts looking pretty silly. Certainly we have been in a warming trend for some time now, but we also know that the Earth warms and cools with predictable regularlity over any given amount of time. To assume that humans can change that situation seems silly. To assume that we should even try to do so seems silly.

And even if humans have in fact contributed to fluctuations in mean temperatures across the Earth, to think that we are going to rewind human generated CO2 and other greenhouse gasses to a pre-industrial age is REALLY silly. Far better to focus on policies that help us adapt better to whatever environmental changes are going to occur including a dramatically increasing population on Earth.

(I wonder why that hasn't been factored into those IPCC recommendations? Let's just stop producing people and the problem should stablilize right away. One generation with a moratorium on having babies and the problem is solved.)
0 Replies
 
okie
 
  1  
Reply Fri 14 Mar, 2008 12:56 pm
Agreed on all of the above. Good point about circular argments going nowhere.

When you boil it down, one of my biggest problems with environmentalism is the idea that the earth is fragile and that we need to somehow "save it." I don't think it is fragile at all, and I think the systems, including the carbon cycle, are built with checks and balances. The whole idea of a 'tipping point" sort of runs counter to the idea that the earth is really quite tough, and when something starts going out of balance, there are always factors that bring things back to balance. I just don't think nature is built like a delicate balance that is set to be disastrous with a puff of wind that comes along.
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Fri 14 Mar, 2008 02:48 pm
okie wrote:
Agreed on all of the above. Good point about circular argments going nowhere.

When you boil it down, one of my biggest problems with environmentalism is the idea that the earth is fragile and that we need to somehow "save it." I don't think it is fragile at all, and I think the systems, including the carbon cycle, are built with checks and balances. The whole idea of a 'tipping point" sort of runs counter to the idea that the earth is really quite tough, and when something starts going out of balance, there are always factors that bring things back to balance. I just don't think nature is built like a delicate balance that is set to be disastrous with a puff of wind that comes along.


I acquired a movie called "Day of Destruction" (entertaining flick) awhile back and the meteorologist in the movie had an interesting theory that a butterfly flapping its wings in South America will affect the weather in Duluth though of course we can't measure or utilize data at that level. The concept is that there is a cause and an effect for everything that happens on Earth and that it is all cumulative. When you consider how few people there are when compared to all the factors contributing to cause and effect on Planet Earth, much of which is still poorly understood if known at all, I don't know how anybody could accurately calculate exactly what the human factor might be in all that.
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Fri 14 Mar, 2008 02:49 pm
okie wrote:
Agreed on all of the above. Good point about circular argments going nowhere.

When you boil it down, one of my biggest problems with environmentalism is the idea that the earth is fragile and that we need to somehow "save it." I don't think it is fragile at all, and I think the systems, including the carbon cycle, are built with checks and balances. The whole idea of a 'tipping point" sort of runs counter to the idea that the earth is really quite tough, and when something starts going out of balance, there are always factors that bring things back to balance. I just don't think nature is built like a delicate balance that is set to be disastrous with a puff of wind that comes along.


I acquired a movie called "Day of Destruction" (entertaining flick) awhile back and the meteorologist in the movie had an interesting theory that a butterfly flapping its wings in South America will affect the weather in Duluth though of course we can't measure or utilize data at that level. The concept is that there is a cause and an effect for everything that happens on Earth and that it is all cumulative. When you consider how few people there are when compared to all the factors contributing to cause and effect on Planet Earth, much of which is still poorly understood if known at all, I don't know how anybody could accurately calculate exactly what the human factor might be in all that.
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Fri 14 Mar, 2008 02:49 pm
okie wrote:
Agreed on all of the above. Good point about circular argments going nowhere.

When you boil it down, one of my biggest problems with environmentalism is the idea that the earth is fragile and that we need to somehow "save it." I don't think it is fragile at all, and I think the systems, including the carbon cycle, are built with checks and balances. The whole idea of a 'tipping point" sort of runs counter to the idea that the earth is really quite tough, and when something starts going out of balance, there are always factors that bring things back to balance. I just don't think nature is built like a delicate balance that is set to be disastrous with a puff of wind that comes along.


I acquired a movie called "Day of Destruction" (entertaining flick) awhile back and the meteorologist in the movie had an interesting theory that a butterfly flapping its wings in South America will affect the weather in Duluth though of course we can't measure or utilize data at that level. The concept is that there is a cause and an effect for everything that happens on Earth and that it is all interrelated and it is all cumulative. When you consider how few people there are when compared to all the factors contributing to cause and effect on Planet Earth, much of which is still poorly understood if known at all, I don't know how anybody could accurately calculate exactly what the human factor might be in all that.
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Fri 14 Mar, 2008 02:49 pm
okie wrote:
Agreed on all of the above. Good point about circular argments going nowhere.

When you boil it down, one of my biggest problems with environmentalism is the idea that the earth is fragile and that we need to somehow "save it." I don't think it is fragile at all, and I think the systems, including the carbon cycle, are built with checks and balances. The whole idea of a 'tipping point" sort of runs counter to the idea that the earth is really quite tough, and when something starts going out of balance, there are always factors that bring things back to balance. I just don't think nature is built like a delicate balance that is set to be disastrous with a puff of wind that comes along.


I acquired a movie called "Day of Destruction" (entertaining flick) awhile back and the meteorologist in the movie had an interesting theory that a butterfly flapping its wings in South America will affect the weather in Duluth though of course we can't measure or utilize data at that level. The concept is that there is a cause and an effect for everything that happens on Earth and that it is all interrelated and it is all cumulative. When you consider how few people there are when compared to all the factors contributing to cause and effect on Planet Earth, much of which is still poorly understood if known at all, I don't know how anybody could accurately calculate what the human factor might be in all that.
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Fri 14 Mar, 2008 02:59 pm
miniTAX wrote:
Climate Group is "is an independent, nonprofit organisation dedicated to advancing business and government leadership on climate change. "

Independent... and sponsored by Dow Chemical which wants to sell its carbon quotas for having reduced the emission it would reduce anyway, HSBC & JP Morgan which have set up a huge carbon compensation business, Virgin which sells space tour tickets...


Quote:
He is backed by the Climate Group, a not-for-profit organisation supported by business. He is drawing together a team of international experts, including Sir Nicholas Stern, the author of the groundbreaking report on the costs of climate change, and specialists from China, Japan, the US and Europe.


Well, you certainly could add a lot to Sir Stern and those experts, too, I suppose. And to the numerous companies, governments etc. supporting them as well.
0 Replies
 
parados
 
  1  
Reply Sat 15 Mar, 2008 07:23 am
okie wrote:
parados wrote:
Burning down vegetation increases CO2 output. So paying people with large amounts of vegetation to keep that vegetation intact sounds like a very GOOD plan to me.

You ignore nature, Parados, which indicates that burning is an integral part of and healthy, at least to a certain extent. The reason Yellowstone Park, just one example of many in the west, the reason it became so overgrown and too thickly populated with spindly trees was because of a policy of fire suppression. Forest managers are now recognizing that fire is good and very beneficial to the health of forests, not only for plants but the soil and other wildlife, also to suppress disease and insects that attack forests. Selective logging and thinning of forests can also be a healthy thing for forests. According to my reading, even ancient indians recognized this and sometimes torched areas to benefit the forests and hunting areas. Actually in regard to lightning, it is a part of nature for a reason, and forest managers are finally waking up to it.

So to keep vegetation intact and largely prevented from burning is not a good policy long term.

Prior to 1850 there was no forest management in Yellowstone.

What part of CO2 was constant for centuries prior to man's interference don't you get? Natural sources and sinks of CO2 provide for a fairly constant amount of CO2 in the atmosphere. When man starts clearing forests that would normally not burn and burning fossil fuel it contributes to the CO2 in the atmosphere.

Go ahead and play stupid okie. You do it rather well.
0 Replies
 
parados
 
  1  
Reply Sat 15 Mar, 2008 07:29 am
Foxfyre wrote:
Parados seems to be debating both sides of the issue - living plants are an effective tool in removing CO2 but plants are a zero sum game in the overall accumulation of CO2 in the atmosphere. I agree with him on the first part which would support the IPPC recommendation; but if he is correct on the second part, then the IPPC granting of carbon credits to countries with lots of vegetation would be a badly flawed policy. I mean those countries have been recycling that vegetation for a lot of centuries now--a lot longer than any trees normally live--so those countries, according to Parados, are emitting at least as much CO2 as they are removing.
Quote:

Why don't you just ignore ALL of my posts Foxfyre instead of the just the parts that you don't want to believe?
Quote:

And when you start looking at circular arguments like that, it really does start looking sillier and sillier.
It only looks circular because you are spinning so much Fox. Stop spinning and you might not be so dizzy.
Quote:

Actually when you start looking at ALL the science instead of just the limited studies the IPPC allows for its conclusions, the whole concept starts looking pretty silly. Certainly we have been in a warming trend for some time now, but we also know that the Earth warms and cools with predictable regularlity over any given amount of time. To assume that humans can change that situation seems silly. To assume that we should even try to do so seems silly.
All the science? You mean like the crap that ican keeps posting where he can't even get his math correct let alone his logic?
Quote:

And even if humans have in fact contributed to fluctuations in mean temperatures across the Earth, to think that we are going to rewind human generated CO2 and other greenhouse gasses to a pre-industrial age is REALLY silly. Far better to focus on policies that help us adapt better to whatever environmental changes are going to occur including a dramatically increasing population on Earth.
Why is it silly? We know the ocean removes more CO2 than humans put out. If humans stop putting out CO2 the ocean will continue to absorb from what has accumulated. It's a little thing called "science" which if you bothered to look at all the science you would know what I was talking about. (Henry's law)
Quote:

(I wonder why that hasn't been factored into those IPCC recommendations? Let's just stop producing people and the problem should stablilize right away. One generation with a moratorium on having babies and the problem is solved.)
Sure. There is your science right there. Babies are the cause of the increase in CO2. Making idiotic statement sure makes your argument for you Fox. Why don't you post a cartoon to go with your cartoon statement?
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Sat 15 Mar, 2008 10:25 am
We can continue the circular argument ad nauseum Parados, but the logic of the skeptics isn't changed in the least. In hundreds of pages of posts, Ican probably got something wrong here and there and he has also demonstrated time and time again that he was right despite the scorn of the AGW religionists. Probably all of us have misspoken about something or misinterpreted something. Your own posts have certainly been refuted by others many many times which you have yet to acknowledge I believe even once.

But when you say that the oceans remove more CO2 than humans put out in one breath, and then say that if humans stop emitting CO2 the oceans will continue to reduce the CO2 in the atmosphere, while true, you have to see how unrealistic that is. Humans are here and they continue to develop new technology and processes and substances that have for the most part made life better here on planet Earth. The fact remains that the ONLY way we will realistically stop human generated CO2 in the next generation or several generations is to remove humans from the Planet earth. We breath the stuff out for heavens sake. So of course stopping production of humans was said tongue in cheek, but in your own post you suggest that is the solution.

In my opinion, the best policy would be to stop attempting to demonize each other and debate the issues themselves which is what the AGW skeptics have been mostly doing on this thread. Until the AGW religionists are willing to look and consider ALL the science instead of using poorly supported arguments to deny anything other than that they want to believe, I think there will be no best solution to all this forthcoming.
0 Replies
 
 

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