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Global Warming...New Report...and it ain't happy news

 
 
Stray Cat
 
  1  
Reply Sun 18 Feb, 2007 01:37 am
my globes like the warming.
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Sun 18 Feb, 2007 10:50 pm
Recently I wrote that I fear being obliterated by a large asteroid than I feared being obliterated by global warming.

And then today there is this:

U.N. urged to take action on asteroid threat
Sun Feb 18, 2007 12:46pm ET

SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) - An asteroid may come uncomfortably close to Earth in 2036 and the United Nations should assume responsibility for a space mission to deflect it, a group of astronauts, engineers and scientists said on Saturday.

Astronomers are monitoring an asteroid named Apophis, which has a 1 in 45,000 chance of striking Earth on April 13, 2036.

Although the odds of an impact by this particular asteroid are low, a recent congressional mandate for NASA to upgrade its tracking of near-Earth asteroids is expected to uncover hundreds, if not thousands of threatening space rocks in the near future, former astronaut Rusty Schweickart said.

"It's not just Apophis we're looking at. Every country is at risk. We need a set of general principles to deal with this issue," Schweickart, a member of the Apollo 9 crew that orbited the earth in March 1969, told an American Association for the Advancement of Science conference in San Francisco.

Schweickart plans to present an update next week to the U.N. Committee on Peaceful Uses of Outer Space on plans to develop a blueprint for a global response to an asteroid threat.

The Association of Space Explorers, a group of former astronauts and cosmonauts, intends to host a series of high-level workshops this year to flesh out the plan and will make a formal proposal to the U.N. in 2009, he said.

Schweickart wants to see the United Nations adopt procedures for assessing asteroid threats and deciding if and when to take action.
MORE HERE

So what do you think is more important? Tracking asteroids that we know are out there and we will not survive if they hit us? Or combating global warming that a fair number of scientists consider not to be problem we can do anything about and we will need to adapt to climate change as humankind has always done?
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Mon 19 Feb, 2007 12:04 am
There's one coming close in the next ten years or so as well, if I remember correctly.

Whe I heard a report about this one, it said that we only have a chance to make more and preciser predicts when that asteroid can be observed the next time again .... in a couple of years or more.

Yes, that's a danger as well.

And in (and before) April, there will be more stories (and denyings here).
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old europe
 
  1  
Reply Mon 19 Feb, 2007 04:49 am
Foxfyre wrote:
There are as many complaints leveled at the pro-AGW group in that they redact and/or omit scientific opinion that disagrees with the conventional consensus of the day, not to mention that they also attempt to otherwise stifle the opinions of those who disagree with them.

Even on this thread, there is far more verbage expended by the pro-AGW group on attempts to discredit, ridicule, or trash the skeptics than there is any effort made to discuss their scientific opinions.


The same seems to be happening on the Bush-was-behind-9/11 threads, where there is often far more verbiage expended by the official-story group on attempts to discredit, ridicule, or trash the sceptics than there is any effort made to discuss their "scientific" opinions.
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Reply Mon 19 Feb, 2007 06:07 am
Quote:
So what do you think is more important? Tracking asteroids that we know are out there and we will not survive if they hit us? Or combating global warming that a fair number of scientists consider not to be problem we can do anything about and we will need to adapt to climate change as humankind has always done?


So, what should medical science bother with? Cancer or heart disease? Clearly, it must be one or the other.
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Reply Mon 19 Feb, 2007 06:10 am
miniTAX wrote:
blatham wrote:
US specific... report from Union of Concerned Scientists
I always thought UCS stands for "Union of Con Scientists", this bunch of binocculared anti-nuclear IRrationnalists who took the street in the 70s with slogans like "Rather Red Than Nuked". :wink:


You do understand that, as a Frenchman, you aren't welcome in much of the US? I think you are likely wasting your time trying to sound like one.
0 Replies
 
Steve 41oo
 
  1  
Reply Mon 19 Feb, 2007 06:36 am
blatham wrote:
Quote:
So what do you think is more important? Tracking asteroids that we know are out there and we will not survive if they hit us? Or combating global warming that a fair number of scientists consider not to be problem we can do anything about and we will need to adapt to climate change as humankind has always done?


So, what should medical science bother with? Cancer or heart disease? Clearly, it must be one or the other.
Nice one Bernie. False dichotomy well illustrated.

MiniT...I think it highly unlikely that we will develop the capability to avoid catastrophe from asteroid impact before global warming gets us, so why bother?
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Mon 19 Feb, 2007 10:54 am
old europe wrote:
Foxfyre wrote:
There are as many complaints leveled at the pro-AGW group in that they redact and/or omit scientific opinion that disagrees with the conventional consensus of the day, not to mention that they also attempt to otherwise stifle the opinions of those who disagree with them.

Even on this thread, there is far more verbage expended by the pro-AGW group on attempts to discredit, ridicule, or trash the skeptics than there is any effort made to discuss their scientific opinions.


The same seems to be happening on the Bush-was-behind-9/11 threads, where there is often far more verbiage expended by the official-story group on attempts to discredit, ridicule, or trash the sceptics than there is any effort made to discuss their "scientific" opinions.


Really? I was of the opinion that the I Hate Bush group are as disinterested in any facts that discredit their emotional, kneejerk response to that as much as they are disinterested in any facts that discredit their emotional, kneejerk responses here. It is possible some of the official story people are engaged in trashing the proponents of the Bush = 9/11 theory, but I rather doubt it is as prevalent as the reverse situation. I have seen the "science" presented by both groups, however, and the "official story" people have the edge there as do the skeptics here.
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Mon 19 Feb, 2007 11:07 am
Germans who buy environmentally friendly automobiles should be rewarded with tax breaks, our transport minister said this weekend.

And as of today, even the car industry applaudes that we might most surely get a car tax based on emissions instead of engine size to help tackle climate change.
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old europe
 
  1  
Reply Mon 19 Feb, 2007 11:46 am
Foxfyre wrote:
Really? I was of the opinion that the I Hate Bush group are as disinterested in any facts that discredit their emotional, kneejerk response to that as much as they are disinterested in any facts that discredit their emotional, kneejerk responses here.


I don't know about the "I Hate Bush group", as they seem to take a variety of positions. Which is not a big surprise, as with the current approval ratings, there should be a fair number even of Republicans opposing Bush's policies. Internationally, the "I Hate Bush group" is probably as heterogeneous as it can get.

Personally, I am kind of a fan of conspiracy theories, even if I find it odd that some people actually seem to believe that stuff. And that goes for all the theories about how Zionists or the Bush administration were behind 9/11 as well as for the "the WMD have been moved to Syria" conspiracy. Apparently, it doesn't seem to be that difficult to find "experts" to dispute every well-researched report out there, and equally easy to find people to believe in those experts and their quickly written-up "research papers".
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cjhsa
 
  1  
Reply Mon 19 Feb, 2007 12:55 pm
I just cut a $5C fart.

My carbon footprint grows and grows.
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Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Mon 19 Feb, 2007 02:26 pm
old europe wrote:
Foxfyre wrote:
Really? I was of the opinion that the I Hate Bush group are as disinterested in any facts that discredit their emotional, kneejerk response to that as much as they are disinterested in any facts that discredit their emotional, kneejerk responses here.


I don't know about the "I Hate Bush group", as they seem to take a variety of positions. Which is not a big surprise, as with the current approval ratings, there should be a fair number even of Republicans opposing Bush's policies. Internationally, the "I Hate Bush group" is probably as heterogeneous as it can get.

Personally, I am kind of a fan of conspiracy theories, even if I find it odd that some people actually seem to believe that stuff. And that goes for all the theories about how Zionists or the Bush administration were behind 9/11 as well as for the "the WMD have been moved to Syria" conspiracy. Apparently, it doesn't seem to be that difficult to find "experts" to dispute every well-researched report out there, and equally easy to find people to believe in those experts and their quickly written-up "research papers".


The difference between you and me is that I can criticize somebody or think they made a mistake or a wrong choice without having to hate him or her and/or assume that everything s/he does or has done is wrong. You liberals could learn a lot from conservatives there.

As for conspiracy therories, I enjoy them too going all the way back to old presidential assassinations up to JFK, the Roswell incident, and Area 51 coupled with various UFO sightings, etc. I know better than to start believing manufactured crap though, and it is just plain scary when some among our leadership begin to believe the stuff and incorporate it into legislation or policy. That will be true as well if we do wind up bowing to policy developed from junk science re global warming or any other global phenomenon.
0 Replies
 
old europe
 
  1  
Reply Mon 19 Feb, 2007 03:00 pm
Foxfyre wrote:
The difference between you and me is that I can criticize somebody or think they made a mistake or a wrong choice without having to hate him or her and/or assume that everything s/he does or has done is wrong. You liberals could learn a lot from conservatives there.


If that is a fact on your side, then I can happily report that this is no difference between us at all. I did not look up all of your posts here, but I just did a search of all my posts here on A2K, and I can state that I have never said that I hated Bush.

Actually, I think that you have to be really emotionally involved in order to hate something, and I'm definitely not emotionally involved with Bush. I think he is a complete failure as a president and that his actions had and will have negative consequences for the entire world, but I don't hate him.


Foxfyre wrote:
As for conspiracy therories, I enjoy them too going all the way back to old presidential assassinations up to JFK, the Roswell incident, and Area 51 coupled with various UFO sightings, etc. I know better than to start believing manufactured crap though, and it is just plain scary when some among our leadership begins to believe the stuff and incorporate it into legislation or policy.


Apropos conspiracy theories: I seem to remember that we still have a bet going on the fate of all those Iraqi WMD. I think you supported the claim that they had been moved to Syria. Can you remember what the bet was about?


Foxfyre wrote:
That will be true as well if we do wind up bowing to policy developed from junk science re global warming or any other global phenomenon.


I agree absolutely. Especially concerning climate change, I would hate to see policy shaped according to the junk science purported by a few lobbyists rather than according to scientific findings.

Luckily, America has some of the best universities and a lot of bright scientists as well as lots of intelligent citizens.
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Mon 19 Feb, 2007 05:02 pm
old europe wrote:
Foxfyre wrote:
The difference between you and me is that I can criticize somebody or think they made a mistake or a wrong choice without having to hate him or her and/or assume that everything s/he does or has done is wrong. You liberals could learn a lot from conservatives there.


If that is a fact on your side, then I can happily report that this is no difference between us at all. I did not look up all of your posts here, but I just did a search of all my posts here on A2K, and I can state that I have never said that I hated Bush.

Actually, I think that you have to be really emotionally involved in order to hate something, and I'm definitely not emotionally involved with Bush. I think he is a complete failure as a president and that his actions had and will have negative consequences for the entire world, but I don't hate him.


I didn't say you (or anybody else) hated Bush. I provided an either and/ or choice. You picked the 'either' and ignored the 'or' in your response. I think that's one of the main problems you and I have communicating.


Quote:
Foxfyre wrote:
As for conspiracy therories, I enjoy them too going all the way back to old presidential assassinations up to JFK, the Roswell incident, and Area 51 coupled with various UFO sightings, etc. I know better than to start believing manufactured crap though, and it is just plain scary when some among our leadership begins to believe the stuff and incorporate it into legislation or policy.


Apropos conspiracy theories: I seem to remember that we still have a bet going on the fate of all those Iraqi WMD. I think you supported the claim that they had been moved to Syria. Can you remember what the bet was about?


I'm sorry I don't remember. What was the wager? And did I really claim that they had been moved to Syria? (That would be my first guess based on quite a bit of testimony from what others have said, and I very well may have agreed to that in my wager.)

Quote:
Foxfyre wrote:
That will be true as well if we do wind up bowing to policy developed from junk science re global warming or any other global phenomenon.


I agree absolutely. Especially concerning climate change, I would hate to see policy shaped according to the junk science purported by a few lobbyists rather than according to scientific findings.

Luckily, America has some of the best universities and a lot of bright scientists as well as lots of intelligent citizens.


Hey you said something positive about America. I think that's twice in all this time on A2K. Maybe it's a trend. Smile
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blatham
 
  1  
Reply Wed 21 Feb, 2007 05:20 am
What the hell happened to my last post? Anyway, to quickly restate...

thomas
Your view (crops will move towards polls) is a long term view which seems to make no accounting for disruptions to human communities and disruptions to existing ecological balances. It is not enough to surmise that equilibriums will be achieved generations from now. Further, the reason I brought up milfoil and the pine beetle was to point to the certainty of large scale die-offs as eco-systems are upset and the consequences to human communities from that. Quite aside from droughts and flooding, there will be a lot of suffering up the line from climate warming.

Here's an example of a consequence which I hadn't even considered when thinking about higher ocean levels...
Quote:
http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/world/la-fg-warming21feb21,0,6823000.story?coll=la-home-headlines

About a decade ago or so, a mite began spreading through bee colonies in North America. It was a significant problem not merely for the folks collecting honey but also for pollination of plants (I don't know the present status of this). I have no idea whether this was related to climate changes but I mention it as an example of how disruption in eco-systems can have far-reaching or cascading consequences.
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blatham
 
  1  
Reply Wed 21 Feb, 2007 06:31 am
Quote:
Climate change: scientists warn it may be too late to save the ice caps

David Adam, environment correspondent
Monday February 19, 2007

Guardian

A critical meltdown of ice sheets and severe sea level rise could be inevitable because of global warming, the world's scientists are preparing to warn their governments. New studies of Greenland and Antarctica have forced a UN expert panel to conclude there is a 50% chance that widespread ice sheet loss "may no longer be avoided" because of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere.
Such melting would raise sea levels by four to six metres, the scientists say. It would cause "major changes in coastline and inundation of low-lying areas" and require "costly and challenging" efforts to move millions of people and infrastructure from vulnerable areas. The previous official line, issued in 2001, was that the chance of such an event was "not well known, but probably very low".
more below
http://environment.guardian.co.uk/print/0,,329720051-121568,00.html
0 Replies
 
Thomas
 
  1  
Reply Wed 21 Feb, 2007 07:16 am
blatham wrote:
Your view (crops will move towards polls) is a long term view which seems to make no accounting for disruptions to human communities and disruptions to existing ecological balances. It is not enough to surmise that equilibriums will be achieved generations from now.

Why not? If global warming happens on the timescale of generations, why isn't it enough to point out that equilibrium will be reached on the timescale of generations?

I'm not denying that global warming causes serious problems for low-lying places like Bangladesh. I believe I said as much when you asked me about it in an earlier post. But the problem has a straightforward engineering solution that I presume is cheaper than avoiding the problem. The solution is dikes and drainage, similar to what the Netherlands have done for centuries. Bangladesh cannot afford this engineering solution because it's poor. So, while global warming is a problem for it, lack of development is a bigger problem, and should take precedence as the country sets its policy priorities.
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Reply Thu 22 Feb, 2007 07:26 am
Thomas wrote:
blatham wrote:
Your view (crops will move towards polls) is a long term view which seems to make no accounting for disruptions to human communities and disruptions to existing ecological balances. It is not enough to surmise that equilibriums will be achieved generations from now.

Why not? If global warming happens on the timescale of generations, why isn't it enough to point out that equilibrium will be reached on the timescale of generations?

I'm not denying that global warming causes serious problems for low-lying places like Bangladesh. I believe I said as much when you asked me about it in an earlier post. But the problem has a straightforward engineering solution that I presume is cheaper than avoiding the problem. The solution is dikes and drainage, similar to what the Netherlands have done for centuries. Bangladesh cannot afford this engineering solution because it's poor. So, while global warming is a problem for it, lack of development is a bigger problem, and should take precedence as the country sets its policy priorities.


thomas
It isn't enough in the same manner that GM considering the financial upside and downside of unsafe vehicle design isn't enough. Or in the manner of Cheney or Feith calculating political/economic consequences of attacking Iraq isn't enough. Scooping up a child's guts and eyeballs falls outside the frame of reference.

Sure, the lack of potable water and many other real-world factors, if resolved immediately, would do more to ease suffering than immediate and serious accords to prevent warming. But they won't happen for many of the precise reasons that push the dynamics away from serious address to warming...it doesn't make money.

But again, my point was the unexpected and unknowable peripheral consequences which arise with climate change. It will not be a matter of crops moving peacefully and slowly polewards.

This item addresses something other...
Quote:
PINE FALLS, Manitoba -- Here on the edge of the silent and frozen northern tier of the Earth, the fate of the world's climate is buried beneath the snow and locked in the still limbs of aspen trees.

Nearly half of the carbon that exists on land is contained in the sweeping boreal forests, which gird the Earth in the northern reaches of Canada, Alaska, Scandinavia and Russia. Scientists now fear that the steady rise in the temperature of the atmosphere and the increasing human activity in those lands are releasing that carbon, a process that could trigger a vicious cycle of even more warming.

The prospect of the land itself accelerating climate change staggers scientists, as well as woodsmen such as Bob Austman, who stopped recently in a quiet stand of birch on the edge of the boreal forest to examine a jack rabbit's tracks.

"There are big forces out there," he said succinctly
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/02/21/AR2007022102095.html
0 Replies
 
Gandolf
 
  1  
Reply Thu 22 Feb, 2007 08:20 am
blatham wrote:
McG

Aside from being seven years old now, this reference is not to an objective scientific organization, yes? Cato has as its mission...

" The Cato Institute seeks to broaden the parameters of public policy debate to allow consideration of the traditional American principles of limited government, individual liberty, free markets and peace..."

If you are willing to accept that industry-sponsored research and think tanks are less than satisfying sources for our data, I'll go to some trouble here. Willing to go that far?


blatham, your statements, so far as least what I've read and I must add I am new to this site are very sound. Much more than the dung that spewed out by McG. As for as that being his or her point of view I find it useless. The pen and the gun part really fit the personality of this individual. Two questions for for McG. Have you ever really seen combat up close are are you another armchair supporter who deals out illogical statements from the safety of your own home and just how big a Bushie are you?
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okie
 
  1  
Reply Thu 22 Feb, 2007 09:13 am
Oh no, another mindless Bush hater.
0 Replies
 
 

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