I believe it's been proven this planet has gone through two ice ages.
Funny graphics:
I like the fact that the "observed trend" goes some fifty years into the future. How did the people doing the observing get the data?
(Hint: if you predict something, you called it a "prediction". Not an "observation".)
(Oh, and thanks for posting this misleading piece of garbage, minitax.)
So CAFE standards decreasing the amount of fuel necessary to burn to maintain our preferred lifestyle is the far more economical and satisfying way to go and far more beneficial to the overall economy.
If the CAFE standards accomplish the same thing as higher gas taxes and do it without lowering quality of life, why should that be a problem to anybody?
By the way, with all the noise being made about SUV's, why don't people complain about penalizing big houses, big hotels, cruises, Christmas lights, signs, gambling casinos, Las Vegas, airline travel, you name it?
Thomas, one more time:
Option A. Impose reasonable CAFE standards in lieu of a higher gas tax.
CAFE standards requiring fuel economy for the purpose of reducing harmful emissions and/or conserve a finite fuel supply is no different than requiring catalytic converters to reduce harmful emissions or [requiring certain kinds of tires and weight limits to protect road surfaces.
The standards probably do add to the cost of an automobile, but they are paid only once there and are more than offset by savings in fuel costs over the life of the automobile.
Option B. Require no built in fuel economy but impose a higher gas tax to force fuel economy while lowering payroll taxes to offset the gas tax. The gas tax however presumably
forces people to travel less
creating reduced income for the recreation and tourist industries The increased pressure on cost of goods forces inflation upward offsetting much or all of the savings realized through lower payroll taxes. The people are restricted in their ability to live their lifestyle, the recreation and tourist industries are hurt and everybody pays more for goods and services.
Foxfyre wrote:Thomas, one more time:
Option A. Impose reasonable CAFE standards in lieu of a higher gas tax.
If the standards are reasonable by definition, then you have no problem to solve. You just defined the problem away by fiat.
Foxfyre wrote:CAFE standards requiring fuel economy for the purpose of reducing harmful emissions and/or conserve a finite fuel supply is no different than requiring catalytic converters to reduce harmful emissions or [requiring certain kinds of tires and weight limits to protect road surfaces.
The difference is that a Carbon monoxide tax to replace the catalytic converter requirement would be impractical to collect, as would a road erosion tax to replace for regulations about tire. (I would have no problem permitting erosive tires, or cars without catalytic converters, and taxing them.) A Carbon dioxide tax -- implemented by a gasoline tax, is eminently practical to collect in comparison.
Foxfyre wrote:The standards probably do add to the cost of an automobile, but they are paid only once there and are more than offset by savings in fuel costs over the life of the automobile.
As Thomas Sowell, one of your favorite sources, likes to point out, the price of something is what you give up to get it. Because of CAFE regulations, car manufacturers are limited in building the cars consumers want, meaning consumers end up with different cars than their favorite ones. While production cost is a one-off expense, consumers drive cars different from the ones they want permanently. This part of the cost -- in the relevant, economic sense of cost -- is significant. And it permanent, no different in principle than a tax.
Foxfyre wrote:Option B. Require no built in fuel economy but impose a higher gas tax to force fuel economy while lowering payroll taxes to offset the gas tax. The gas tax however presumably
I love your usage of "however presumably".
As an adherent to the supply-side economics the Republican party claims to believe in, you presumably oppose hikes in the top marginal income tax. The argument Republican politicians make against this, and for the Bush tax cuts, is that people respond very strongly to tax incentives, so higher tax rates at the top lead to CEOs working a lot less, being a lot less productive, to the detriment of all. But now that we're talking about a gasoline tax, you suddenly find it uncertain that the same people who respond so promptly to income tax changes also respond to gasoline tax changes. However convenient this assumption may be for you to make your point, it is logically incoherent. People either respond to tax incentives by reducing the activity being taxed -- or they don't. And they do, both in the income/payroll tax case an in the gasoline tax case.
Foxfyre wrote:forces people to travel less
Travel less, or buy a more fuel efficient car, as they would under CAFE. The tax deprives them of no option they would have under CAFE.
Foxfyre wrote:creating reduced income for the recreation and tourist industries The increased pressure on cost of goods forces inflation upward offsetting much or all of the savings realized through lower payroll taxes. The people are restricted in their ability to live their lifestyle, the recreation and tourist industries are hurt and everybody pays more for goods and services.
No. Since we assume that the gasoline tax hike is compensated by corresponding cuts of the payroll- and income tax, the net impact on the rest of the economy would be zero. There might be shifts within the rest of the economy -- for example, people might spend less money on trips to Disneyland and more on movie tickets. But in the aggregate, what they spend less on one thing they would spend more on something else. An income-neutral shift form income- to gasoline taxes causes no change in total consumer spending.
A Carbon dioxide tax -- implemented by a gasoline tax, is eminently practical to collect in comparison.
Sorry to inject this into interesting information on CAFE standards, but saw this and I think it is very applicable to the global warming debate.
It is what is called the "Occam's Razor" principle, which simply means the simplest theory to explain a natural phenomenon usually turns out to be the correct one. It is simply common sense, really, and documents in different words what some of us here have tried to explain to the CO2 bandwagon crowd, which requires somewhat convoluted computer models, projections, and unproven assumptions, while at the same time other simpler and more direct factors are so easily demonstrated and obvious. Factors like the variability of the sun, earth's wobble, etc. are obvious candidates first, and perhaps if you wish to apply the so-called "greenhouse effect," why not look at clearly the most dominant part of this factor first, which is water vapor?
http://pespmc1.vub.ac.be/OCCAMRAZ.html
Perhaps this has been brought up before and is common knowledge, but to me it was not, so I found it interesting.
I suspect Thomas' antipathy for CAFE standards springs primarily from his relatively libertarian economic views. I fully agree with him on this point.
I have far more confidence in the ability of automobile manufacturers to design a selection of vehicles to meet the quite variable needs of a large population of motorists, than I do of governments - even the best of them. Bureaucrats everywhere think of the powers and perogatives of their department or agency first, and the efficacy and quality of the services they render last. If the best that German bureaucrats (in the GDR) could do with an automobile design was the Trabant, at a time when their private alternatives in the FRG were making Volkswagons, Mercedes (before the contemporary wave of electronic unreliability) and Porsches - all in much greater numbers, what hope can there be for others?
Government can influence the choices that people make in meeting their quite variable needs and wants through its power of taxation. However, even this can have unanticipates side effects, some of which have already been illustrated by miniTAX in his interesting posts.
Direct government involvement in the operation of businesses generally has more bad side effects than good direct ones - even under the best of circumstances. The current difficulties of Airbus, with its government contriolled boards is a good example of this point.
I suspect Thomas' antipathy for CAFE standards springs primarily from his relatively libertarian economic views. I fully agree with him on this point.
I have far more confidence in the ability of automobile manufacturers to design a selection of vehicles to meet the quite variable needs of a large population of motorists, than I do of governments - even the best of them. Bureaucrats everywhere think of the powers and perogatives of their department or agency first, and the efficacy and quality of the services they render last. If the best that German bureaucrats (in the GDR) could do with an automobile design was the Trabant, at a time when their private alternatives in the FRG were making Volkswagons, Mercedes (before the contemporary wave of electronic unreliability) and Porsches - all in much greater numbers, what hope can there be for others?
Government can influence the choices that people make in meeting their quite variable needs and wants through its power of taxation. However, even this can have unanticipates side effects, some of which have already been illustrated by miniTAX in his interesting posts.
Direct government involvement in the operation of businesses generally has more bad side effects than good direct ones - even under the best of circumstances. The current difficulties of Airbus, with its government contriolled boards is a good example of this point.
I suspect Thomas' antipathy for CAFE standards springs primarily from his relatively libertarian economic views. I fully agree with him on this point.
I have far more confidence in the ability of automobile manufacturers to design a selection of vehicles to meet the quite variable needs of a large population of motorists, than I do of governments - even the best of them. Bureaucrats everywhere think of the powers and perogatives of their department or agency first, and the efficacy and quality of the services they render last. If the best that German bureaucrats (in the GDR) could do with an automobile design was the Trabant, at a time when their private alternatives in the FRG were making Volkswagons, Mercedes (before the contemporary wave of electronic unreliability) and Porsches - all in much greater numbers, what hope can there be for others?
Government can influence the choices that people make in meeting their quite variable needs and wants through its power of taxation. However, even this can have unanticipates side effects, some of which have already been illustrated by miniTAX in his interesting posts.
Direct government involvement in the operation of businesses generally has more bad side effects than good direct ones - even under the best of circumstances. The current difficulties of Airbus, with its government contriolled boards is a good example of this point.
I suspect Thomas' antipathy for CAFE standards springs primarily from his relatively libertarian economic views. I fully agree with him on this point.
I have far more confidence in the ability of automobile manufacturers to design a selection of vehicles to meet the quite variable needs of a large population of motorists, than I do of governments - even the best of them. Bureaucrats everywhere think of the powers and perogatives of their department or agency first, and the efficacy and quality of the services they render last. If the best that German bureaucrats (in the GDR) could do with an automobile design was the Trabant, at a time when their private alternatives in the FRG were making Volkswagons, Mercedes (before the contemporary wave of electronic unreliability) and Porsches - all in much greater numbers, what hope can there be for others?
Government can influence the choices that people make in meeting their quite variable needs and wants through its power of taxation. However, even this can have unanticipates side effects, some of which have already been illustrated by miniTAX in his interesting posts.
Direct government involvement in the operation of businesses generally has more bad side effects than good direct ones - even under the best of circumstances. The current difficulties of Airbus, with its government contriolled boards is a good example of this point.
I suspect Thomas' antipathy for CAFE standards springs primarily from his relatively libertarian economic views. I fully agree with him on this point.
I have far more confidence in the ability of automobile manufacturers to design a selection of vehicles to meet the quite variable needs of a large population of motorists, than I do of governments - even the best of them. Bureaucrats everywhere think of the powers and perogatives of their department or agency first, and the efficacy and quality of the services they render last. If the best that German bureaucrats (in the GDR) could do with an automobile design was the Trabant, at a time when their private alternatives in the FRG were making Volkswagons, Mercedes (before the contemporary wave of electronic unreliability) and Porsches - all in much greater numbers, what hope can there be for others?
Government can influence the choices that people make in meeting their quite variable needs and wants through its power of taxation. However, even this can have unanticipates side effects, some of which have already been illustrated by miniTAX in his interesting posts.
Direct government involvement in the operation of businesses generally has more bad side effects than good direct ones - even under the best of circumstances. The current difficulties of Airbus, with its government contriolled boards is a good example of this point.
I would prefer the government not meddle too. However, Thomas was arguing that we replace the CAFE standards with a high fuel tax to accomplish the desired reduction in fuel use (and presumably therefore harmful greenhouse gas emissions.)
I have been arguing that the CAFE standards are preferable to a European style high gas tax. So what do you think if it is an either/or situation, George? (And Thomas can't out libertarian me on most subjects.)
Europe generally has much better mass transit systems than the United States. This is partly the result of much higher taxation of gasoline and still higher government subsidy for rail systems. They generally work quite well - as do many European social welfare systems - but they require heavy tax burdens, stifling the accumulation and application of risk capital and increasing the government's involvement in research and economic life - bad things in my view. There is growing evidence that these programs are not sustainable and have significant adverse social and economic side effects.
I would prefer the government not meddle too. However, Thomas was arguing that we replace the CAFE standards with a high fuel tax to accomplish the desired reduction in fuel use (and presumably therefore harmful greenhouse gas emissions.)