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Study finds Fla. 'ghost' e-votes

 
 
Reply Sun 21 Nov, 2004 10:43 am
I had to start a new thread because the "appears the vote may have been hacked" thread has been locked. Why was it locked? ---BBB

Study finds Fla. 'ghost' e-votes
Cal trio: Results showing a Bush boost may help stop future snags
By Ian Hoffman, Oakland Tribune staff writer

Friday, November 19, 2004 - In the nation's first academic study of the Florida 2004 vote, University of California, Berkeley graduate students and a professor have found intriguing evidence that electronic-voting counties there could have mistakenly awarded up to 260,000 votes to President Bush.

The discrepancy, reported Thursday, is insufficient by itself to sway the outcome of the presidential race in Florida, but the UC Berkeley team called on Florida elections officials for an investigation.

"This is a no-vote-left-behind kind of project, not a change-the-president project," said UC Berkeley sociology professor Michael Hout, who oversaw the research. "We're as interested in the next election as the one just over."

Broadly speaking, the UC Berkeley team found that Bush received tens of thousands more votes in electronic-voting Democratic counties than past voting patterns would have suggested. No such pattern turned up in counties using optical scanning machines.

The UC Berkeley report has not been peer reviewed, but a reputable MIT political scientist succeeded in replicating the analysis Thursday at the request of the Oakland Tribune and The Associated Press. He said an investigation is warranted.

"There is an interesting pattern here that I hope someone looks into," said MIT arts and social sciences Dean Charles Stewart III, a researcher in the MIT-Caltech Voting Technology Project.

Stewart isn't convinced the problem is electronic voting. It could be absentee voting or some quirk of election administration. But whatever the problem, it didn't show up in counties using optical scanning machines. Rather than offer evidence of fraud or voting problems, the UC Berkeley study infers they exist mathematically.

Frustrated at the lowbrow, data-poor nature of allegations of election fraud flooding the Internet, three Berkeley grad students decided to apply the tools of first-year statistics class.

"We decided, well, you might as well test it properly instead of sitting around speculating," said first-year sociology grad student Laura Mangels. She and two colleagues downloaded voting and demographic data, ran them through statistics software and in the first night had results that produced a collective "Wow" among the students, she said.

They shopped their results to faculty and finally to Hout, a well-known skeptic who is chairman of the university's graduate sociology and demography group.

"Seven professors later, nobody's been able to poke a hole in our model," Mangels said. "Our results still hold up."

Hout agreed. "Something went awry with the voting in Florida."

They found nothing out of the ordinary in Ohio. But in Florida they discovered a small, unexplained boost in Bush support in three heavily Democratic counties compared to how those counties voted in 1996 and 2000.

The counties -- Broward, Palm Beach and Miami-Dade -- were at the eye of Florida's 2000 election storm. All traded out their reviled punchcards for touch-screen voting machines sold by either Omaha-based Election Systems & Software or Oakland-based Sequoia Voting Systems.

The Kerry-Edwards campaign and allies concentrated most of their Florida effort in those three counties.

In Broward County, the students found, Bush appeared to have received 72,000 more votes than would be forecast based on Broward's past voting patterns.

The UC Berkeley study estimates that all 15 electronic-voting counties in Florida produced at least 130,733 and as many as 260,000 "ghost votes" for Bush -- votes that either weren't cast by voters or were registered for a candidate other than the one intended by the voter.
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BumbleBeeBoogie
 
  1  
Reply Sun 21 Nov, 2004 10:46 am
Information about the Verified Voting Foundation
http://www.verifiedvoting.org/

Information about the Verified Voting Foundation:

Mission and Team

The Verified Voting Foundation and VerifiedVoting.org champion transparent, reliable, and publicly verifiable elections in the United States. The purpose of the website is threefold:

To inform the public of the problems with relying on electronic voting machines to record and count our votes, without the backup of a voter-verifiable audit trail.

To point to reasonable solutions that are within reach.

To provide a list of actions voters can take, and to encourage them to act on their own behalf to ensure that all their votes count accurately in future elections.

The core Verified Voting team consists of the following people:

David L. Dill, Founder and Board Director
Will Doherty, Executive Director
Robert Kibrick, Legislative Analyst
Pamela Smith, Nationwide Coordinator

Team Biographies

David L. Dill founded the organization and set the tone, which is objective, well-researched, and non-partisan. He provides academic expertise on the subject of voting machines and computer science and is primary public spokesman for the group.

He is a Professor of Computer Science and, by courtesy, Electrical Engineering at Stanford University. He has been on the faculty at Stanford since 1987. He has an S.B. in Electrical Engineering and Computer Science from Massachusetts Institute of Technology (1979), and an M.S and Ph.D. from Carnegie-Mellon University (1982 and 1987).

His primary research interests relate to the theory and application of formal verification techniques to system designs, including hardware, protocols, and software. He has also done research in asynchronous circuit verification and synthesis, and in verification methods for hard real-time systems. He was the Chair of the Computer-Aided Verification Conference held at Stanford University in 1994. From July 1995 to September 1996, he was the Chief Scientist at 0-In Design Automation.

Prof. Dill's Ph.D. thesis, "Trace Theory for Automatic Hierarchical Verification of Speed Independent Circuits" was named as a Distinguished Dissertation by the Association for Computing Machinery (ACM), and published as such by M.I.T. Press in 1988. He was the recipient of an Presidential Young Investigator award from the National Science Foundation in 1988, and a Young Investigator award from the Office of Naval Research in 1991. He has received Best Paper awards at International Conference on Computer Design in 1991 and the Design Automation Conference in 1993 and 1998. He was named a Fellow of the IEEE in 2001 for his contributions to verification of circuits and systems.

Since becoming involved in the electronic voting controversy, Prof. Dill has served on the California Secretary of State's Ad Hoc Task Force on Touch-Screen Voting and currently serves on the IEEE P1583 Committee and Santa Clara County's Citizen's DRE Oversight Board. In December of 2003, Prof. Dill was one of a select group of presenters at the Symposium on Building Trust and Confidence in Voting Systems sponsored by the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST).

Will Doherty is the Executive Director of the Verified Voting Foundation and VerifiedVoting.org.

Doherty previously held a position as Media Relations Director of the Electronic Frontier Foundation (EFF).

He founded the Online Policy Group (OPG), a free speech Internet Service Provider (ISP) that initiated a lawsuit against election systems manufacturer Diebold Systems, Inc., to prevent the company's attempt to stifle discussion of an email archive demonstrating flaws with Diebold election equipment and potential problems with use of uncertified portions of Diebold election machines in actual elections.

Doherty has twenty years of experience in for-profit and nonprofit management, consulting, and activism. He served as Globalization Operations Manager at Sybase, Inc., Localization Program Manager and Technical Writer for Sun Microsystems, Inc., and Director of Online Community Development at the Gay & Lesbian Alliance Against Defamation (GLAAD). He has designed and implemented Internet strategies and websites for dozens of nonprofit community and advocacy organizations. Doherty holds an M.B.A. from Golden Gate University and a B.S. in Computer Science and Writing from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT).

Robert Kibrick, Legislative Analyst, researches current events, official meeting transcripts, and election regulations and procedures and prepares rebuttals to propound the positions of the Verified Voting Foundation and VerifiedVoting.org. He is also working to build relationships with other organizations, including university groups and organizations promoting electoral reform and integrity. He is helping others to organize public forums on electronic voting and will help with efforts to establish local chapters of the Verified Voting Foundation and VerifiedVoting.org.

Mr. Kibrick is a research astronomer at the University of California Observatories / Lick Observatory, where he has worked since 1976. For the last 6 years, he has served as its Director of Scientific Computing and is currently responsible for overseeing the development of computer software and hardware for scientific instrumentation and control systems employed in the Observatory's astronomy research programs.

From March 1998 through 2003, he served on a national advisory council of the University Corporation for Advanced Internet Development (UCAID). Mr. Kibrick has a B.A. in Information and Computer Science from the University of California and is the principal inventor for three U.S. patents involving optical position encoding systems and bar code technology. He has also served on a voting systems review panel for the City of Santa Cruz, California.
0 Replies
 
Letty
 
  1  
Reply Sun 21 Nov, 2004 10:47 am
book mark
0 Replies
 
BumbleBeeBoogie
 
  1  
Reply Sun 21 Nov, 2004 10:51 am
Election Worker Refuses to Lie for Voting Software Company
April 22, 2004
Election Worker Refuses to Lie for Voting Software Company
By Rick Dawson and Loni Smith McKown
Channel 8, Indianapolis

I-Team 8 has more information on a woman who disobeyed her company by telling the truth.

Wendy Orange works for Election Systems and Software, known as ES&S, which sold Marion County its voting system.

Marion County Clerk Doris Anne Sadler revealed Tuesday that the company installed illegal software before last November's election.

The I-Team first met Wendy Orange last January, when we conducted a test on Marion County's new optical-scan voting machines. Orange is the ES&S project manager for Marion County. She's the one who blew the whistle on ES&S for installing illegal software, the same software used to tabulate November's election results.

"The company with which the Marion County election board has contracted to provide its voting machines and software has willfully and purposely deceived me and the Marion County election board by installing uncertified election software and then ordering their employee to withhold that information from me," said Sadler at a Tuesday press conference.

But Wendy Orange didn't withhold that information. Her husband, Doug Orange, used to work for ES&S as Johnson County's project manager. He was fired after refusing a superior's order to zero the counters on voting machines at the courthouse instead of the polls. "I felt those procedures were illegal," said Orange.

Johnson County Clerk Jill Jackson believes Doug Orange did the right thing. "There's a lot of integrity there, that he put his job on the line because he was not willing to do something that he felt was illegal," said Jackson.

Doris Anne Sadler believes Wendy Orange did the right thing too. "The software in question is called data acquisition manager and is used to compile the votes," said Sadler.

The illegal software could still be seen in the computer when the I-Team tested the system in January. Wendy Orange showed us how she takes the individual results from each card and accumulate them into one place to give overall totals for each race.

"We run that test several times prior to the election so that we're assured everything would accumulate correctly," said Orange.

"We believed that all of that software was certified," said Sadler.

The illegal software was surreptitiously replaced March 30. Wendy Orange discovered the truth on Friday and informed Sadler immediately.
0 Replies
 
dare2think
 
  1  
Reply Sun 21 Nov, 2004 12:20 pm
THE ELECTION WAS A SHAM, IT WAS ALREADY SET UP TO GO TO BUSH. BUT HISTORY WILL TELL THE TRUE STORY.
0 Replies
 
Acquiunk
 
  1  
Reply Sun 21 Nov, 2004 01:10 pm
The 260,000 vote difference most likely reflects the effectiveness of the Republican massive "get out the vote" drive in Florida. If the democrats are going to learn anything from the 3004 election they first have to accept the fact that they lost the election.
0 Replies
 
rabel22
 
  1  
Reply Sun 21 Nov, 2004 01:49 pm
We all realize the 2004 election is over. Lets worry about the 2006 and 2008 elections. I would like too feel that I have witnessed one honest election before I die. I have huge doubts about the last three elections. Before someone gets cute I mean the 2000, 2002, and 2004 elections.
0 Replies
 
BumbleBeeBoogie
 
  1  
Reply Sun 21 Nov, 2004 02:50 pm
QUOTE: I had to start a new thread because the "appears the vote may have been hacked" thread has been locked. Why was it locked? ---BBB

I just revisited the original thread and find that it has now been unlocked. Don't know what is going on.

BBB
0 Replies
 
 

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