Bush bounce deflates

Finally the worm turns. Thank goddess.

Currently I am working as a Precinct Captain here in San Diego. And there is a huge undercurrent of resentment against Bush, even here.

The DNC has registered over 50,000 new voters in San Diego County since January.

I wish I could say the same for Texas.

We don't need Texas but like you I wish we could say the same for the Lone Star state.

I think we need every state in this the most traumatized time since Vietnam. Actually, I believe it is a crisis much worse than Nam.

i agree edgar. there's much more about the bush administration that bothers me than just iraq.

there is an undercurrent of complete disdain for anyone that doesn't toe the very narrow line they have drawn. this is something that i noticed growing in the late '80s, which is when i stopped voting for republican presidents. to me it is telling when an administration labels at least half of the country as "out of the mainstream".

when i vote for a president, or any politician, i am voting for someone to run the mechanics of the country, not a religious leader. there's much else that bothers me about these guys, but i suspect that you already know what they are.

I believe we are on the same page, don'ttread

The battle of the polls continues....

Bush clear leader in poll

By Susan Page, USA TODAY
WASHINGTON ?- President Bush has surged to a 13-point lead over Sen. John Kerry among likely voters, a new Gallup Poll shows. The 55%-42% match-up is the first statistically significant edge either candidate has held this year. (Related item: Poll results)

Among registered voters, Bush is ahead 52%-44%.

The boost Bush received from the Republican convention has increased rather than dissipated, reshaping a race that for months has been nearly tied. Kerry is facing warnings from Democrats that his campaign is seriously off-track.

With 46 days until the election, analysts say the proposed presidential debates offer Kerry his best chance to change the race.

"It doesn't look like the new consultants and strategies of attacks are the right ones" for Kerry, says Matthew Dowd, chief strategist for the Bush campaign. Kerry in recent weeks added veterans of the Clinton White House to his team and began criticizing Bush more sharply on Iraq and other issues.

Dowd says Kerry at this point would "have to defy history" to defeat a sitting president.

"We have seen some bouncing around in the numbers," says Mike McCurry, a top Kerry adviser, "but it is our sense that the race is moving back to a much closer race."

A Pew Research Center poll released Thursday shows a tighter contest. The survey, taken Saturday through Tuesday, gives Bush a statistically insignificant lead of 47%-46% among likely voters.

The Gallup Poll was taken Monday through Wednesday.

Presidential candidates have won after trailing by similar margins. One was George W. Bush himself. In 2000, he was behind Al Gore by 10 points among registered voters in early October and then prevailed in the Electoral College, though he lost the popular vote.

In 1980, Ronald Reagan was down 8 points in the Gallup Poll in late October but won in a landslide after doing well in the only debate held with President Carter.

"Sen. Kerry is like Seabiscuit: He runs better from behind," says Donna Brazile, who was Gore's campaign manager. But she acknowledges that "backbenchers" in the Democratic Party "have begun pushing the panic button."

Find this article at:
http://www.usatoday.com/news/politicselections/nation/president/2004-09-17-gallup-poll_x.htm?POE=NEWISVA

sometimes howard dean comes up with a good one;

"the only poll that matters is on election day"

i know what my answer is going to be.

I think the polls will settle somewhat after the debates. Then we will be able to start predicting with a bit more certainty.

I think it's worse than Vietnam for the simple reason that we already had a Vietnam and we should have learned what not to do. Clearly we learned nothing.