Zogby: No Poll Bounce For Kerry
Zogby
July 8, 2004
Kerry-Edwards Pulls In Ahead of Bush-Cheney 48%-46%; No Big Bounce for Kerry; Country Still Evenly Divided in Red and Blue States; Nearly One in Ten Likely Voters Say that "Their Vote is Not Counted Accurately," New Zogby America Poll Reveals
The newly announced Democratic Presidential ticket of Massachusetts Senator John Kerry and former North Carolina Senator John Edwards enters the race with a two point lead over President George W. Bush and Vice-President Dick Cheney (48%-46%), according to a new Zogby America poll. The poll of 1008 likely voters was conducted Tuesday and Wednesday (July 6-7, 2004). Overall results have a margin of sampling error of +/-3.1.
In a one on one match-up with the President, Kerry leads by two points (46%-44%), with 7% undecided. Kerry shows no significant bounce here in spite the recent announcement of his vice-presidential running mate.
Independent candidate Ralph Nader garners two percentages points when he is added into the 3-way race. Kerry's and Bush's percentages are virtually unchanged from last month. Similar to the showing in the two-way race, Kerry holds a two-point lead over the President (47% to 45%).
Overall approval of President Bush's job performance moved up two points this month to 49%, with more than half of respondents expressing disapproval of the Bush administration's performance on the economy (59%); foreign policy (54%); health care (68%); education (63%); and the environment (60%).
Pollster John Zogby: "This is not a big bounce electorate. Let me repeat again: we are a nation that is split down the middle, polarized and hardened. What happened in the past 48 hours is that Undecideds are back down to the 5%-7% range. Kerry's announcement of Edwards as his running mate brought some of those who defected into the undecided camp in June back into the fold. At the same time, it seems to have also re-energized Bush supporters. Where we are today is probably where we are going to be through much of the summer, if not through most of this campaign.
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