Under-inflated balls!

Could the Patriots be so good that they just defy the numbers? As my friend theorized: Perhaps they’ve invented a revolutionary in-house way to protect the ball, or perhaps they’ve intentionally stocked their skill positions with players who don’t have a propensity to fumble. Or perhaps still, they call plays which intentionally result in a lower percentage of fumbles. Or maybe its just that they play with deflated footballs on offense. It could be any combination of the above.

But regardless of what, specifically, is causing these numbers, the fact remains: this is an extremely abnormal occurrence and is NOT simply random fluctuation.

is it not in their best interest to wrap up the investigation quickly, hand out the penalty/fine, and get on with SB-49?

Absolutely. Why not hand a one-game suspension to Brady, to be served at the next game?

I spoke with a data scientist who I know from work on the NFLproject.com website, and sent him the data. He said:

Based on the assumption that fumbles per play follow a normal distribution, you’d expect to see, according to random fluctuation, the results that the Patriots have gotten over this period, once in 16,233.77 instances”.

Which in layman’s terms means that this result only being a coincidence, is like winning a raffle where you have a 0.0000616 probability to win. Which in other words, it’s very unlikely that it’s a coincidence.

how Tom Brady can say he didn't notice the difference in the balls, before and after.
If a guy catching one of those balls noticed it, how can superpro TB not notice?

#DeflateGate theory

For those of who who want to vilify the Patriots and their team, you're welcome to that. But I believe differently. I speak not as an admitted fan of this team, but as one who is looking at it pragmatically.

I submit this alternate theory.

The QB chooses the balls over the course of the week. He has all week to work the balls in as he sees fit and then selects the ones he wants to use during the game. He then says to the league two and a half hours prior to game time 'I want these' and then those balls are taken from the team, weighed, stored away from any member of the team, and then given to the team only minutes prior to the first snap.

In this case, that means that all 11 under inflated balls were deflated IN PLAIN SIGHT OF EVERYONE to exactly the same air pressure.

In this day and age of electronics and sideline cameras and everything else that is there, how is that accomplished? Isn't that a major undertaking? There is a massive amount of risk in doing that - and especially in a game of this magnitude.

Or....

The league didn't weigh the balls like they normally do and won't admit to it. To me, this makes way more sense. Someone said at some point 'Oh yeah, we weighed them' and they didn't, knowing full well they would hold up a major television event and most likely lose their job. And since those balls weren't measured or weighed, having been in various temperatures, they'll most likely be inflated with slightly less air pressure.

All of them.

The kicking balls are new that day of the game, so that's the 12th ball that was at the proper air pressure.

Let me back this up with additional information.

This being the same league that had Ray Rice evidence all along and admitted it, then said they didn't, then admitted they messed up.

I believe the Patriots are innocent.

The kicking balls are new that day of the game, so that's the 12th ball that was at the proper air pressure.

Quote:

#DeflateGate theory


The QB chooses the balls over the course of the week. He has all week to work the balls in as he sees fit and then selects the ones he wants to use during the game.

how does this jive with three sets of twelve balls being delivered the day of the game?

I am reading so many different descriptions of what is supposed to happen (let alone what may have happened). They'll never get ISO certification like this

Region Philbis wrote:

Quote:

#DeflateGate theory


The QB chooses the balls over the course of the week. He has all week to work the balls in as he sees fit and then selects the ones he wants to use during the game.

how does this jive with three sets of twelve balls being delivered the day of the game?

I am reading so many different descriptions of what is supposed to happen (let alone what may have happened). They'll never get ISO certification like this

The three sets of twelve:
Set 1: Balls used only for kicking. These are 12 new footballs direct from
the manufacturer. They are kept in the officials' room until 2 hours
before kick-off. They are marked with a "K".
Set 2: Balls used by the home team offense. These are twelve balls
provided by the home team and inspected by the officials 2 hours
and fifteen minutes before kicking. If approved, they are mark by the
inspecting official, placed in a bag and delivered to the home team's
ball attendant just before kick-off.
Set 3: Same as Set 2 but provided by the visiting team for their use.