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Bush campaign unusually negative - and wrong???????

 
 
dlowan
 
Reply Mon 31 May, 2004 09:35 am
I suppose this will just split along loyalty lines - sigh - but still - the Washington Post has claimed that Bush's campaign is unusually negative - and factually wrong.

I don't live in the US - so I was interested in comments from within the thick of it, as it were.

If this is true - does it mean anything? Is Bush a little desperate? Is this the campaign of the future?


Rest of the article available here:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A3222-2004May30.html?referrer=email


From Bush, Unprecedented Negativity
Scholars Say Campaign Is Making History With Often-Misleading Attacks
By Dana Milbank and Jim VandeHei
Washington Post Staff Writers
Monday, May 31, 2004; Page A01


It was a typical week in the life of the Bush reelection machine.




Last Monday in Little Rock, Vice President Cheney said Democratic presidential candidate John F. Kerry "has questioned whether the war on terror is really a war at all" and said the senator from Massachusetts "promised to repeal most of the Bush tax cuts within his first 100 days in office."

On Tuesday, President Bush's campaign began airing an ad saying Kerry would scrap wiretaps that are needed to hunt terrorists.

The same day, the Bush campaign charged in a memo sent to reporters and through surrogates that Kerry wants to raise the gasoline tax by 50 cents.

On Wednesday and Thursday, as Kerry campaigned in Seattle, he was greeted by another Bush ad alleging that Kerry now opposes education changes that he supported in 2001.

The charges were all tough, serious -- and wrong, or at least highly misleading. Kerry did not question the war on terrorism, has proposed repealing tax cuts only for those earning more than $200,000, supports wiretaps, has not endorsed a 50-cent gasoline tax increase in 10 years, and continues to support the education changes, albeit with modifications.

Scholars and political strategists say the ferocious Bush assault on Kerry this spring has been extraordinary, both for the volume of attacks and for the liberties the president and his campaign have taken with the facts. Though stretching the truth is hardly new in a political campaign, they say the volume of negative charges is unprecedented -- both in speeches and in advertising.

Three-quarters of the ads aired by Bush's campaign have been attacks on Kerry. Bush so far has aired 49,050 negative ads in the top 100 markets, or 75 percent of his advertising. Kerry has run 13,336 negative ads -- or 27 percent of his total. The figures were compiled by The Washington Post using data from the Campaign Media Analysis Group of the top 100 U.S. markets. Both campaigns said the figures are accurate.

The assault on Kerry is multi-tiered: It involves television ads, news releases, Web sites and e-mail, and statements by Bush spokesmen and surrogates -- all coordinated to drive home the message that Kerry has equivocated and "flip-flopped" on Iraq, support for the military, taxes, education and other matters.

"There is more attack now on the Bush side against Kerry than you've historically had in the general-election period against either candidate," said University of Pennsylvania professor Kathleen Hall Jamieson, an authority on political communication. "This is a very high level of attack, particularly for an incumbent."

Brown University professor Darrell West, author of a book on political advertising, said Bush's level of negative advertising is already higher than the levels reached in the 2000, 1996 and 1992 campaigns. And because campaigns typically become more negative as the election nears, "I'm anticipating it's going to be the most negative campaign ever," eclipsing 1988, West said. "If you compare the early stage of campaigns, virtually none of the early ads were negative, even in '88."

In terms of the magnitude of the distortions, those who study political discourse say Bush's are no worse than those that have been done since, as Stanford University professor Shanto Iyengar put it, "the beginning of time."

Kerry, too, has made his own misleading statements and exaggerations. For example, he said in a speech last week about Iraq: "They have gone it alone when they should have assembled a whole team." That is not true. There are about 25,000 allied troops from several nations, particularly Britain, in Iraq. Likewise, Kerry said several times last week that Bush has spent $80 million on negative and misleading ads -- a significant overstatement. Kerry also suggested several times last week that Bush opposed increasing spending on several homeland defense programs; in fact, Bush has proposed big increases in homeland security but opposed some Democratic attempts to increase spending even more in some areas. Kerry's rhetoric at rallies is also often much harsher and more personal than Bush's.

But Bush has outdone Kerry in the number of untruths, in part because Bush has leveled so many specific charges (and Kerry has such a lengthy voting record), but also because Kerry has learned from the troubles caused by Al Gore's misstatements in 2000. "The balance of misleading claims tips to Bush," Jamieson said, "in part because the Kerry team has been more careful."
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timberlandko
 
  1  
Reply Mon 31 May, 2004 11:13 am
One given is that the nabobs and supporters of either Party will have convinced themselves the nabobs and supporters of the other Party have it all wrong, and are the proximate cause of all ill and evil in the world. That such an assumption would be ludicrous on its very face occurs to neither. The first things to fall when the political axes start swinging are logic, reason, and perspective.
0 Replies
 
Sofia
 
  1  
Reply Mon 31 May, 2004 11:25 am
It seems that we canna have it both ways.

Kerry and the left say the 'most' tax cuts are for the wealthy. Hell, they've said ALL the tax cutsarefor the wealthy at one time or another. Ipsofacto--if Kerry is going to repeal tax cuts for the wealthy, doesn't it follow--using their own rhetoric-- that Kerry WILL INDEED be cutting most tax cuts? Either that, or the Dems have been lying all along. PICK ONE!

Kerry has been highly critical of The Patriot Act, which includes wiretapping. He has said he thinks it should be abandoned. (Of course, this is where waffling pays off. He's said a couple of differing things about this, as well. But--dismantle The Patriot Act, and wiretapping goes with it.

If Kerry supports "modifications" in the education bill he previously supported THAT MEANS HE IS NO LONGER FOR THE BILL AS IT WAS, WHEN HE SUPPORTED IT.

Geez! Plays on words.
0 Replies
 
dlowan
 
  1  
Reply Tue 1 Jun, 2004 04:07 pm
Hmmmm - Fact check org:

Kerry Stays Positive, Avoids Specifics

His latest ad is all generalities, no facts.

06.01.2004

Summary




A Kerry ad released June 1 offers a string of glittering general statements without a single specific factual claim. It has Kerry saying, for example, "We?re a country of the future?.we?re a country of optimists, we?re the can-do people." You won't catch us disputing that opinion.

Such ads have become typical of Kerry advertising since he wrapped up the Democratic nomination. A new analysis shows only 27% of Kerry's ads have attacked Bush by name, while 75% of Bush's ads have attacked Kerry. Kerry campaign officials say their high-road ads are working and Bush's are backfiring.



Analysis




There aren't any factual claims to analyze in this ad, but it's worth a look for what it says about the current tone of the 2004 campaign.

Kerry's ads have mostly been like this one, all positive with no mention of Bush. The Washington Post reported over the weekend that an analysis done for the newspaper by the Campaign Media Analysis Group found that the Bush campaign has run ads saying negative things about Kerry 49,050 times -- amounting to 75 percent of Bush's campaign advertising. Kerry however has run negative ads against Bush 13,336 times -- or just 27 percent of his total.

Kerry Ad "Optimists"

Kerry: We're a country of the future. . . we're a country of optimists, we're the can-do people.

Narrator: For John Kerry, a stronger America begins at home. Real plans to create jobs here, not overseas; lower health care costs; independence from Middle East oil.

And in the world, a strong military and strong alliances - to defeat terror.

America. Stronger at home. Respected in the world. John Kerry for President.

Kerry: I'm John Kerry and I approve this message.

Some Empty Oratory

This latest ad is all oratory. It says for example that Kerry has "real plans to create jobs here, not overseas; lower health care costs; independence from Middle East oil." Kerry has indeed put forth proposals in all those areas, though it's a matter of opinion whether they would work or not.

Even the generalizing can tell voters something useful about the candidate. By stating that America should be "respected in the world" the ad conveys some sense that Kerry is stating he'd put more emphasis on diplomacy and repairing frayed relations with US allies, for example.

But some statements are so vague as to give voters practically no sense of what Kerry actually would do if elected. For example, to help achieve what the ad calls "independence from Middle East oil," Kerry has proposed "A Plan to Use Hydrogen Throughout the Nation By 2020." That "plan" contains few specifics, and is not terribly different from President Bush's own proposals to fund research on hydrogen-powered vehicles. In any case it's highly dubious whether hydrogen will be a practical fuel for motorists by the time this year's newborns reach driving age, according to a study issued last year by the Massachusetts Institute of Technology's Laboratory for Energy and the Environment.

Since Kerry's ad avoids specifics, he can't be accused of false statements. The worst we can say is that some of the ad's statements -- like hydrogen itself -- are lighter than air.

Are They Working?

It?s no secret why Kerry is sticking with positive ads ? his campaign aides say they?re working and that Bush?s mostly negative ads have been backfiring. And in fact, the National Annenberg Election Survey issued a report last week concluding that Kerry?s standing has improved significantly in 20 ?battleground states? in which both campaigns have been putting their advertising dollars. Between late April and the third week of May, Kerry?s ?favorable? rating improved to 44% of adults in those states, up eight percentage points. Meanwhile Bush?s ?favorable? rating in the battleground states declined to 44%, going down by four percentage points. ?It's very clear the advertising has been a tremendous boon,? Kerry pollster Mark Mellman told reporters during a conference call June 1. The Annenberg poll showed no real change in the Bush or Kerry favorable ratings in states where ads were not appearing, pointing to a conclusion that the ads, and not other factors, are the most likely cause of Kerry?s improved showing.

(The Annenberg data includes responses from 800 people, and has a margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points.)



Heehee - don't you just love those vague high sounding statements?

Are they worse than personal attacks?


I dunno.
0 Replies
 
Sofia
 
  1  
Reply Tue 1 Jun, 2004 04:26 pm
He took a lesson from John Edwards: looks very serious, gestures appropriately while saying....nothing.

He got himself into a lot of trouble with many bad statements and backpedalling re Iraq and other stuff. It must be HORRIBLE to have to account for every syllable. (True sympathy.)

So, I think he's regrouping a bit--staying general--and trying to figure out what he can say to get elected. Reading his speeches and foreign policy "plan", he's not very concerned about APPLYING his plan, just finding one people will vote for...

I will say--if he keeps this up much longer, and doesn't come through with SPECIFIC plans for troop movement and his vision for getting through Iraq--he will not be elected. The 100% diplomacy is not going to cut it. For someone having been in war (even for just four months), he completely avoids talking about what specific military plans he has. Diplomatic appointment ideas are sailing out of his ying-yang--but what about troops? Plans? A vision...and how to ACHIEVE that vision? Its like he can't even talk about war ops.

The people who threw Dean over for an electable guy must be pissed--the guy who had WAR experience--he's not showing any knowledge or ideas re the military...
0 Replies
 
ebrown p
 
  1  
Reply Tue 1 Jun, 2004 07:13 pm
How sad.

The war on terrorism *is* a farce.
The Bush tax cuts should be repealed.
The Bush education plan is a sad failure.

I only wish Kerry was the candidate Bush is accusing him of being.
0 Replies
 
dlowan
 
  1  
Reply Wed 2 Jun, 2004 02:49 am
Comments on the BUSH campaign, Sofia?
0 Replies
 
Sofia
 
  1  
Reply Wed 2 Jun, 2004 11:14 am
I don't think the article you brought in the Post is correct in either charge---unusually negative or wrong. I addressed the 'wrong' charge above.

It is definitely not "too negative". What did they do? Count as negative any commercial that MENTIONS Kerry? When two guys are running--they are naturally going to run biographical (positive) ads----and comparative (negative) ads. Bush is going after the comparative. Is that new? Hell no. Is it sinister in some way? No. He is very well known, and doesn't require expenditures on so many biographical ads...

One reason Kerry is running more biographical is 1)Nobody knows who the hell he is, and 2) He has allowed himself to be defined by others, accurately or not, and whatever definition people have settled on--according to the polls-- won't get Kerry elected.
0 Replies
 
dyslexia
 
  1  
Reply Wed 2 Jun, 2004 11:18 am
Bush himself (with associates) will get Kerry elected.
0 Replies
 
kickycan
 
  1  
Reply Wed 2 Jun, 2004 11:21 am
Sofia wrote:
One reason Kerry is running more biographical is 1)Nobody knows who the hell he is, and 2) He has allowed himself to be defined by others, accurately or not, and whatever definition people have settled on--according to the polls-- won't get Kerry elected.


This is all about money. The only reason he has "allowed" himself to be defined by others, is because the others (the republican campaign machine) have been able to use their huge monetary advantage to define him in their own way.

Money, in this case, really does talk, and people really do listen, even if the message is a lie.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Wed 2 Jun, 2004 11:23 am
The problem for the Bush campaign, Sofia, is there just isn't a lot of sucess that they can point to for positive campaign issues.

Bush's best media analysis will undoubtedly show that beating the 9/11 drum will only work so far. So what else will he point to to show sucess in his admin? Our huge debt? Our ongoing foreign war? Our trade deficit? Our terrible education program? Our lack of good relations with the other UN countries? Rising gas prices? His many, many lies leading to the Iraq war? The WMD that aren't there? Bush's fantastic military record, or his business dealings that all went oh so well? How about his familial history with the Bin Laden family? I doubt any of these important issues would show up in a Bush ad.

What's much easier is to attack Kerry for 'flip-flopping.' The point of the article is that the Bush re-election machine has done a great job of creating a reality by creating expectations.

When there's nothing good to say about yourself, paint the opponent as a 'bad guy' and wait to get the knee-jerk votes. It's the republican way, after all.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
perception
 
  1  
Reply Wed 2 Jun, 2004 11:26 am
Seems to me Kerry has resorted to the old "Jimmy Carter" game. Take a quick poll before they arrive and then simply smile, shake hands and then tell the people what the poll says they want to hear.

I doesn't matter how it actually fits with past rhetoric or whether he intends to followup if elected.
0 Replies
 
kickycan
 
  1  
Reply Wed 2 Jun, 2004 11:40 am
yeah, just like every other candidate has done for the past 20 years. Rolling Eyes
0 Replies
 
perception
 
  1  
Reply Wed 2 Jun, 2004 01:00 pm
Nah------ Bush is concentrating on defining Kerry as the flip-floping, lying, liberal that he really is.

See there---- I can learn a thing or two from Move-on.org and ilk.
0 Replies
 
kickycan
 
  1  
Reply Wed 2 Jun, 2004 01:00 pm
Hee hee
0 Replies
 
dlowan
 
  1  
Reply Wed 2 Jun, 2004 03:39 pm
Neither side's campaign looks much damn good to me - from way over here!
0 Replies
 
patiodog
 
  1  
Reply Wed 2 Jun, 2004 04:13 pm
I live in a state that's "in play." Oh, the joy tat's going to bring about for the next few months. Both parties doing their damnedest to rip the most gullible and thoughtless out of their chairs and into the voting booths at the last minute. Joy of joys...
0 Replies
 
Sofia
 
  1  
Reply Wed 2 Jun, 2004 04:19 pm
Ahnold is doing very well in Cali...

Can he deliver California for BUSH??

Cool
0 Replies
 
 

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