@Quehoniaomath,
Quehoniaomath wrote:
Quote:Silly statement since DNA doesn't have years as a variable. What does happen over more years is there are more attempts. The more attempts the more likely an outcome will be achieved simply because there are more chances for it to occur.
wrong! again! Jesus! Buy a statistics book of sorts! please!!!!!
ROFLMAO... But I am learning so much from YOU!!!!
Let's start with something simple.
Let's saw we want to roll 3 sixes in a row on a six sided die.
That would mean in one attempt the likelihood of rolling 3 sixes would be 1/6 x 1/6 x 1/6 or 1/216.
But we are going to make several attempts of rolling 3 times. So how many attempt would we have to make to have an 80% chance that we would roll 3 sixes in one of those attempts.
This is simple statistics now Q. We simply find the probability of not rolling 3 sixes and then multiply those attempts and subtract from one.
So in 3 attempts our chances of rolling 3 sixes would be
1 - (215/216 x 215/216 x 215/216) = 1.38%
Our chances of rolling 3 sixes in just one attempt would be 0.5% so in 3 attempts we haven't quite tripled our chances but we have made them more than twice as likely.
So after 149 attempts we would have a 50% chance of having rolled 3 sixes.
After 346 attempts we would have an 80% chance of having rolled 3 sixes.
Now tell us again how no one has ever won the lottery because of stochastic statistics. I really do find it humorous.
