32
   

Intelligent Design vs. Casino Universe

 
 
FBM
 
  1  
Reply Thu 15 Jan, 2015 08:20 pm
http://i206.photobucket.com/albums/bb192/DinahFyre/10917113_10153045539272425_7532833837085926018_n.jpg
Herald
 
  1  
Reply Thu 15 Jan, 2015 09:31 pm
@FBM,
FBM wrote:
What you do is point out the limits of science (many mistakenly, however), which are no big secret.
     No, it is not that. On the assumptions of the Big Bang depends whether the Big Bang has created something at all or not; whether it is feasible (possible to exist) or not; whether it can pretend to explain the things it is claiming to explain or not. Without verified & validated assumptions with assigned truth and probability values you cannot construct such kind of a theory.
    ● If the Universe has always existed, the 'creation' of the Universe is out of subject and makes no point - no matter whether by the Big Bang or by God or by whom/what-soever.
     ● If the energy in the Universe has always existed in some form or another, the creation of any energy by the appearance of the Big Bang on the 'event horizon' is out of subject as well.
     ● If the Cosmology cannot explain how and into what the Universe is expanding, it should not start making any claims of that kind and about any expansions at all.
     ● Without validated assumptions the whole that theory is out of subject ... and is a road to nowhere.
FBM wrote:
As if that were logical support for ID. Thus, the g0d-of-the-gaps fallacy.
     The 'god-of-the-gaps' is your personal lovely & personally designed straw-men, and in the capacity of being so it is not my problem.
FBM wrote:
That's all you have.
     Not exactly - the complexity and the capacity of the Biosphere on the Earth to maintain life in continuous equilibrium is mind-blowing and the Big Bang will never be able even to start explaining that 'observation', for this assertion does not exist to it owing to the operation of the filter of the confirmation bias.
FBM
 
  1  
Reply Thu 15 Jan, 2015 10:16 pm
@Herald,
There's not one word in all that circumstantial rhetoric that provides the smallest hint of support that your "personal 45% god-of-the-gaps" actually exists. You still have nothing. If you want to show something, tell us what you know about this god of yours so that we can at least have something to stack up against the evidence. Why are you so scared to talk about your hypothesized god?
FBM
 
  1  
Reply Thu 15 Jan, 2015 10:20 pm
@FBM,
We're still at comparing this:

FBM wrote:

... http://www-donut.fnal.gov/web_pages/standardmodelpg/TheStandardModel.html

Quote:
The Standard Model
Introduction:


Human nature is to question. Just ask any pre-schooler what their favorite word is and you'll probably receive the response, "Why?" followed by "what", "how" and "when". Eventually these children move on from their post-toddler obsession with monosyllabic words and develop into adults, yet they always retain some of that curiosity that is so intrinsic to human nature. Physicists, on the other hand, can't stop asking those questions and are the people who never grew up. One puzzle that philosophers and physicists have pondered for centuries is the riddle, "What is matter?" The Greek philosopher Democritus was the first to propose that matter is comprised of tiny "indivisibles" which he called "atoms".

By convention there is color,
By convention sweetness,

By convention bitterness,

But in reality there are atoms and space"

-Democritus (circa 400 BCE)

Democritus was on the right path, and far ahead of his time. Today we know that atoms are not the smallest building blocks of matter; rather, there exists a whole world of particles more fundamental than atoms. Although less poetic than Democritus, we would say, "there are quarks, leptons, gluons and space". Physicists, through experimentation and theory, have created the Standard Model of particle physics, which outlines what they believe to be the most basic building blocks of matter.

History:

The history of physics is a long and involving tale, which will not be told here. This is simply a brief history of particle physics pertinent to the development of the standard model. For more information on the history of physics, please visit the American Physical Society's A Century of Physics timeline.

-Pre 1800 Up until 1800 not much work is done involving the theory of matter. The majority of the exploration falls under chemistry through the identification of elements

-1802 Dalton revives the study of matter with his Atomic theory, which states that atoms are the fundamental building blocks of nature and can only combine in whole number ratios

-1898 J. J. Thompson discovers that cathode rays are electrons, a fundamental particle

-1905 Einstein publishes his theory of the wave-particle duality of light. This forms a foundation for quantum mechanics

-1911 Rutherford discovers that the atom has a concentrated positive nucleus

-1913 Bohr furthers Rutherford's model of the atom to include electron orbits at discrete radii to account for distinct atomic spectra emission lines

-1919 The bending of starlight due to the curvature of space-time is observed, confirming Einstein's general relativity

-1923 Louis de Broglie proposes the wave-particle duality of matter

-1925 Heisenberg creates his uncertainty principle, which puts limits on the precision of experimentation

-1925-26 Schrodinger rescues the wave-particle duality of nature from confusion with the wave equation

-March 1926 Quantum mechanics is formulated

-1932 James Chadwick announces discovery of neutron

-1956-57 Tsung-Dao Lee and Chen Ning Yang propose parity non-conservation in certain sub-atomic processes, which is confirmed by experimentalist Chien-Shiung Wu

-1962 The first experimental observation of the muon neutrino occurs

-1967 Raymond Davis creates the first solar neutrino detector, finding only half of the predicted solar neutrino flux

-1967 Steven Weinberg, Sheldon Glashow (collaboration) and Abdus Salam (independent) create the electro-weak theory, unifying the electromagnetic and weak nuclear force (they win Nobel prizes in 1979)

-1964 Quarks are proposed by Murray Gell-Mann and George Zweig

-1969 Jerome Friedman, Henry Kendall, and Richard Taylor find the first evidence of quarks

-1970-73 Standard model of particle physics is developed

-1974 The charmed quark is observed

-1975 Evidence of the tau lepton is found

-1977 Experimenters find proof of the bottom quark

-1983 Carlo Rubbia discovers the W and Z bosons, mediators of the weak-force

-1994 Planning for LHC (Large Hadron Collider) at CERN begins

-1995 Evidence for the top quark, the final undiscovered quark, is found at Fermilab

-2000 The tau neutrino, the last piece to the standard model, (with the exceptopm of the higgs particle) is observed at Fermilab



Components of the Standard Model:



The standard model is divided into three sections: quarks, leptons and force carriers. The quarks and leptons, which in turn are divided into three generations, are members of a family of particles called fermions (particles with half integer spins). Both the quarks and leptons come in pairs. For example, quarks are grouped up and down, charm and strange, and top and bottom (And yes, those are their real names). Experimental evidence for the top quark was recently found here at Fermilab in 1995. Scientists have proven that quarks combine in triplets to form baryons or quark-antiquark pairs to form mesons, both types of elementary particles.

Leptons, which belong to a class of particles called fermions, also come in pairs. The electron, muon and tau particles each have an associated low mass, charge-less neutrino. The electron, like the proton and the neutron, is a stable particle and is present in almost all matter. The muon and tau particles are unstable and are found primarily in decay processes.

The intermediate vector bosons, or force carriers, make up the third section of the standard model. They transmit three of the four fundamental forces through which matter interacts. The gluon, like its namesake, is responsible for the most powerful force, the strong force, which binds together quarks inside protons and neutrons, and holds together particles inside an atomic nucleus. The photon is the electromagnetic force carrier that governs electron orbits and chemical processes. Lastly, the W and Z bosons are attributed to the weak force, playing a role in radioactive decay. The weak force is very important in observing neutrino reactions, because the neutrinos are impervious to the electromagnetic force (due to their lack of charge) and unaffected by the strong (which governs nuclear interactions), leaving only the weak force to characterize the neutrino.

The standard model is not a complete theory; in fact it is far from being so. Detectors at Fermilab and eventually at the LHC at CERN are looking for the elusive Higgs particle, which, if found, will either explain the standard model or force us to readjust our conception of matter. Also the standard model does not have a place for gravity, the fourth force, which does not play a significant part in atomic and subatomic processes because it is so weak on those scales. Physicists are searching for a grand unified theory that would unite all four of the forces, currently only those included in the standard model are united. The next twenty years should prove very exciting for this field of physics.



To this:

Herald wrote:

... my personal are 45% God or some meta-intelligence (string theory or s.th.); 30% another ILF, sending the designs on the Earth even through some form of teleportation or another form of encoded communication (it might have extinct already by the time the information has came here), and perhaps 25% of the Big Bang and the theory that we are made out of star dust (whatever this might mean) and fused with the time by the Dark Energy and Dark Matter.
...
Herald
 
  1  
Reply Fri 16 Jan, 2015 12:28 pm
@FBM,
FBM wrote:
There's not one word in all that circumstantial rhetoric that provides the smallest hint of support that your "personal 45% god-of-the-gaps" actually exists.
     If you can't see it, what am I supposed to do. Believe it or not, but there isn't any known stochastic system that is able to create biosphere with intelligent self-regulation ... for over several billion years ... and without any normal distribution of some replica to it in the 'vicinity' (within the Galaxy, for example).
FBM wrote:
You still have nothing.
     I have had great teachers - like for example the people who are preaching the Big Bang 'theory' ... expanding into Nothing. If you are curious to know Nothing is the only precondition of the Big Bang 'theory'.
FBM wrote:
If you want to show something, tell us what you know about this god of yours so that we can at least have something to stack up against the evidence.
     The evidence is that no one here down on the Earth is able to invent a system (like the religion) that will plaster the minds of so many people for millennia on end. It must have been something else.
FBM wrote:
Why are you so scared to talk about your hypothesized god?
     Because you are not interested in God ... and in the Big Bang 'theory'. You are interested in the status quo only ... and how to derive personal benefits on the ground of the competitive advantage that the status quo has always had.
FBM
 
  1  
Reply Fri 16 Jan, 2015 05:50 pm
@Herald,
Herald wrote:

FBM wrote:
There's not one word in all that circumstantial rhetoric that provides the smallest hint of support that your "personal 45% god-of-the-gaps" actually exists.
     If you can't see it, what am I supposed to do.


Well, in the rational world, when you propose a hypothesis, it's generally understood that you provide evidence to support it. http://i206.photobucket.com/albums/bb192/DinahFyre/read.gif

Quote:
Believe it or not,


Until you provide evidence, I'll stick with not, thank you. Wink

Quote:
but there isn't any known stochastic


You truly love that word, don't you? You seem to think it makes you sound intelligent. Laughing

Quote:
system that is able to create biosphere with intelligent self-regulation ... for over several billion years ... and without any normal distribution of some replica to it in the 'vicinity' (within the Galaxy, for example).


Prove it.

Quote:
Index to Creationist Claims, edited by Mark Isaak, Copyright © 2007
Previous Claim: CB180 | List of Claims | Next Claim: CB200.1
Claim CB200:

Some biochemical systems are irreducibly complex, meaning that the removal of any one part of the system destroys the system's function. Irreducible complexity rules out the possibility of a system having evolved, so it must be designed.

Source:

Behe, Michael J. 1996. Darwin's Black Box, New York: The Free Press.
Response:

Irreducible complexity can evolve. It is defined as a system that loses its function if any one part is removed, so it only indicates that the system did not evolve by the addition of single parts with no change in function. That still leaves several evolutionary mechanisms:

deletion of parts
addition of multiple parts; for example, duplication of much or all of the system (Pennisi 2001)
change of function
addition of a second function to a part (Aharoni et al. 2004)
gradual modification of parts

All of these mechanisms have been observed in genetic mutations. In particular, deletions and gene duplications are fairly common (Dujon et al. 2004; Hooper and Berg 2003; Lynch and Conery 2000), and together they make irreducible complexity not only possible but expected. In fact, it was predicted by Nobel-prize-winning geneticist Hermann Muller almost a century ago (Muller 1918, 463-464). Muller referred to it as interlocking complexity (Muller 1939).

Evolutionary origins of some irreducibly complex systems have been described in some detail. For example, the evolution of the Krebs citric acid cycle has been well studied (Meléndez-Hevia et al. 1996), and the evolution of an "irreducible" system of a hormone-receptor system has been elucidated (Bridgham et al. 2006). Irreducibility is no obstacle to their formation.

Even if irreducible complexity did prohibit Darwinian evolution, the conclusion of design does not follow. Other processes might have produced it. Irreducible complexity is an example of a failed argument from incredulity.

Irreducible complexity is poorly defined. It is defined in terms of parts, but it is far from obvious what a "part" is. Logically, the parts should be individual atoms, because they are the level of organization that does not get subdivided further in biochemistry, and they are the smallest level that biochemists consider in their analysis. Behe, however, considered sets of molecules to be individual parts, and he gave no indication of how he made his determinations.

Systems that have been considered irreducibly complex might not be. For example:
The mousetrap that Behe used as an example of irreducible complexity can be simplified by bending the holding arm slightly and removing the latch.
The bacterial flagellum is not irreducibly complex because it can lose many parts and still function, either as a simpler flagellum or a secretion system. Many proteins of the eukaryotic flagellum (also called a cilium or undulipodium) are known to be dispensable, because functional swimming flagella that lack these proteins are known to exist.
In spite of the complexity of Behe's protein transport example, there are other proteins for which no transport is necessary (see Ussery 1999 for references).
The immune system example that Behe includes is not irreducibly complex because the antibodies that mark invading cells for destruction might themselves hinder the function of those cells, allowing the system to function (albeit not as well) without the destroyer molecules of the complement system.
Links:

TalkOrigins Archive. n.d. Irreducible complexity and Michael Behe. http://www.talkorigins.org/faqs/behe.html
References:

Aharoni, A., L. Gaidukov, O. Khersonsky, S. McQ. Gould, C. Roodveldt and D. S. Tawfik. 2004. The 'evolvability' of promiscuous protein functions. Nature Genetics [Epub Nov. 28 ahead of print]
Bridgham, Jamie T., Sean M. Carroll and Joseph W. Thornton. 2006. Evolution of hormone-receptor complexity by molecular exploitation. Science 312: 97-101. See also Adami, Christopher. 2006. Reducible complexity. Science 312: 61-63.
Dujon, B. et al. 2004. Genome evolution in yeasts. Nature 430: 35-44.
Hooper, S. D. and O. G. Berg. 2003. On the nature of gene innovation: Duplication patterns in microbial genomes. Molecular Biololgy and Evolution 20(6): 945-954.
Lynch, M. and J. S. Conery. 2000. The evolutionary fate and consequences of duplicate genes. Science 290: 1151-1155. See also Pennisi, E., 2000. Twinned genes live life in the fast lane. Science 290: 1065-1066.
Meléndez-Hevia, Enrique, Thomas G. Waddell and Marta Cascante. 1996. The puzzle of the Krebs citric acid cycle: Assembling the pieces of chemically feasible reactions, and opportunism in the design of metabolic pathways during evolution. Journal of Molecular Evolution 43(3): 293-303.
Muller, Hermann J. 1918. Genetic variability, twin hybrids and constant hybrids, in a case of balanced lethal factors. Genetics 3: 422-499. http://www.genetics.org/content/vol3/issue5/index.shtml
Muller, H. J. 1939. Reversibility in evolution considered from the standpoint of genetics. Biological Reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society 14: 261-280.
Pennisi, Elizabeth. 2001. Genome duplications: The stuff of evolution? Science 294: 2458-2460.
Ussery, David. 1999. A biochemist's response to "The biochemical challenge to evolution". Bios 70: 40-45. http://www.cbs.dtu.dk/staff/dave/Behe.html


http://www.talkorigins.org/indexcc/CB/CB200.html

Quote:
FBM wrote:
You still have nothing.
     I have had great teachers - like for example the people who are preaching the Big Bang 'theory' ... expanding into Nothing.

If you are curious to know Nothing is the only precondition of the Big Bang 'theory'.


Really, the only thing I'm curious about is how you can keep making the same fallacious argument(s) over and over and over and over again, despite having been shown how full of errors they are. I got interested in abnormal psychology way back in college.

Quote:
     The evidence is that no one here down on the Earth is able to invent a system (like the religion) that will plaster the minds of so many people for millennia on end. It must have been something else.


a) God of the gaps yet again. See above. http://i206.photobucket.com/albums/bb192/DinahFyre/bored.gif
b) Prove it.

Quote:
     Because you are not interested in God ...


I'm very interested. That's why I engage people who claim to know that one exists. I think it would be absolutely the greatest thing ever if someone could produce some evidence for its existence. You seem to shrink away from talking about it, though. That's very curious behavior for a believer.

Quote:
and in the Big Bang 'theory'. You are interested in the status quo only ... and how to derive personal benefits on the ground of the competitive advantage that the status quo has always had.


I'm trying to unwrap this word salad, but you do realize that the status quo has for centuries been that theists have run the world, right?

So, anyway, why should any rational person accept your "personal 45% god-of-the-gaps" over the Standard Model? Especially when your only attempts to support your claim involve a) logical fallacies and b) evasion?
Herald
 
  1  
Reply Fri 16 Jan, 2015 10:24 pm
@FBM,
FBM wrote:
Well, in the rational world, when you propose a hypothesis, it's generally understood that you provide evidence to support it.
     Without the assumptions one cannot make any hypothesis in the first place, let alone 'providing evidence to support it'. You cannot support a structure of a building built on quicksands.
FBM wrote:
Quote:
Believe it or not,
Until you provide evidence, I'll stick with not, thank you.
Do you know how the stochastics works - I doubt. What we are talking about?
FBM wrote:
You truly love that word, don't you?
     This has nothing to do with me - your favorite 'theory' claims that the things are happening on 'auto-pilot' as a sequence of stochastic events chosen by some natural selection ... of the Evolution of the Stars (whatever that is supposed to mean). This has nothing to do with me and what I think or don't think.
FBM wrote:
You seem to think it makes you sound intelligent. Laughing
     If you don't know the interpretation of stochastics there are e-Dictionaries and Wiki pages on the net ... and also not entirely bad offline dictionaries. Nobody is obliged to fill up omissions into your personal knowledge.
     BTW I am going to answer only to things that you have said personally as your own opinion and statement - all those references are subject of dispute with other people and I am not sure that you are empowered to speak and pronounce on their behalf and to explain what they are supposed to think ... without their consent and knowing.
FBM
 
  1  
Reply Fri 16 Jan, 2015 10:30 pm
@Herald,
So, anyway, why should any rational person accept your "personal 45% god-of-the-gaps" over the Standard Model? Especially when your only attempts to support your claim involve a) logical fallacies and b) evasion?
0 Replies
 
FBM
 
  2  
Reply Fri 16 Jan, 2015 11:14 pm
@FBM,
Herald wrote:

... my personal are 45% God or some meta-intelligence (string theory or s.th.); 30% another ILF, sending the designs on the Earth even through some form of teleportation or another form of encoded communication (it might have extinct already by the time the information has came here), and perhaps 25% of the Big Bang and the theory that we are made out of star dust (whatever this might mean) and fused with the time by the Dark Energy and Dark Matter.
...


A quick breakdown:

45% goes to either:
a) God
b) meta-intelligence
c) String Theory
d) s.th. (?)

[I recommend you choose one before pursuing this 45% any further.]


30% goes to:

"another ILF, sending the designs on the Earth even through some form of teleportation or another form of encoded communication (it might have extinct already by the time the information has came here)"

[How is this distinct from the "meta-intelligence" in the 45% answers? But, hey, as long as you're not proposing anything too far-fetched. Wink]


And "perhaps" 25% goes to:

"25% of the Big Bang and the theory that we are made out of star dust (whatever this might mean) and fused with the time by the Dark Energy and Dark Matter."

You seem to have mistaken BBT as somehow saying that stardust is "fused with the time" by DE & DM. You might consider understanding the theory before you try to shoot it down. Just a friendly tip.


So, again, I have to ask: Why would any rational person even briefly consider the above as remotely equivalent in explanatory power to the Standard Model?
Herald
 
  1  
Reply Sat 17 Jan, 2015 01:55 am
@FBM,
FBM wrote:
So, again, I have to ask: Why would any rational person even briefly consider the above as remotely equivalent in explanatory power to the Standard Model?
     Because the standard model explains only 4% of the visible and known Universe, and if my claim had been 'god-of-the-gaps' it should have assigned 96% belief in God. Laughing
     Now, may I ask you something - why should a person who is supposed to be interested in the theme of the discussion (to solve the dilemma - God or Big Bang ... or s.th. else) is asking all the time personal questions. You believe 95% in the Big Bang 'theory', don't you - what in particular is your problem?
FBM
 
  1  
Reply Sat 17 Jan, 2015 02:06 am
@Herald,
IF...the Standard Model only explains 4% of the visible universe, that doesn't change the fact that your "personal 45% god-of-the-gaps" fallacy explains 0% of it.

There is absolutely no indication that the scientific method will cease to be effective regarding DE & DM. There is zero indication that a supernatural explanation or blind faith in any invisible sky-fairy is needed for observed phenomena.

So, once again, why would a rational person choose the blind faith alternative?
Quehoniaomath
 
  1  
Reply Sat 17 Jan, 2015 02:21 am
@FBM,
http://i206.photobucket.com/albums/bb192/DinahFyre/10917113_10153045539272425_7532833837085926018_n.jpg

LOL, I take it that you are unaware that you have out a picture u of some psychopathic liars ( e.g. Hawkins) and some other idiots who's job is to ONLY repeat the official party line of the religion called 'science'

You really have no idea how laughable this posting is, mate!

LOL
0 Replies
 
Herald
 
  1  
Reply Sat 17 Jan, 2015 03:24 am
@FBM,
FBM wrote:
IF...the Standard Model only explains 4% of the visible universe, that doesn't change the fact that your "personal 45% god-of-the-gaps" fallacy explains 0% of it.
     1. 'God of-the-gaps' is your personally designed straw-man, and in the capacity of being so you cannot attribute it to me. This straw-man is your personal problem.
     2. You don't have any assumptions about your 95% belief in the Big Bang 'theory', so by default your personal belief is also explaining 0% of the world (without the assumptions).
     3. What are you so much impressed by some hypothetical percentages ... that can be altered in the next calculation or verification? You don't know absolutely anything about the assumptions of the Big Bang 'theory', right? The two key assumptions are: Has the Universe always existed? and Has the energy-matter of the Universe always existed in some Hyperspace or another Universe, or wherever and in whatever form?

     As you don't know anything about whether the Universe has always existed or not, the odds for that assumption are 50:50, which means that the probability for the Big Bang to have created the Universe out of whatever is no more than 50% (if the Universe has always existed there is no way for the Big Bang to have created whatsoever out of whatsoever). Now what about the energy-matter problem? 96% of the present day Universe is Dark Matter + Dark Energy - LOL Laughing
     Let's have some mercy and take the best case scenario. We don't know whether the matter-energy (no matter whether dark or known) has always existed or has been created at some point of time by whom/whatsoever. Actually we don't know anything, so we may assign to it 50:50 as well, hence from your inability to define the assumptions of the Big Bang we have exactly 25% probability for it to have created the Universe out of whatsoever ... as a best case scenario.

     Then we have the logical fallacy of the excluded middle. The standard dilemma is 'it is either God or the Big Bang' and is based exclusively on selfish interests of the Science & the Church respectively. None of the parties is interested in the truth - they both simply want the power, the whole power, and nothing but the power. The excluded middle is not interesting - another ILF, who cares. When somebody mentions ILF the military and the shrinks take out the big pen and the thick notebook and launch a new stage for career promotion and/or start writing the next Ph.D. thesis. Nobody wants to be the 'canary in the restaurant' so this option for another ILF to have organised the biosphere on the Earth is excluded a priori as a personal precautionary measure, just in case for somebody not to think by chance that you are 'irrational personality'. Actually this hypothesis exists, and if we don't know anything about the triple choice God-ILF-Big Bang, the honest approach would be to assign to them equal probability - by 33.33333% to the three of them. As the Big Bang has the best case scenario probability, we leave it as it is - 25%. We round the 33.3333% to 35% (for convenience of the consideration) and obtain ex officio 45% for the God hypothesis.

     As the Big Bang 'theory' cannot explain how has it guessed to make the elementary particles, the chemical elements, the life on our planet (protected by brilliantly designed biosphere for millions of years on end), and why this stochastics (if such is the case) is not observed as normal distribution in time & space, hitherto - so far. When and if you explain something of the above better (without citing at random irrelevant references of any kind, intended for other themes and discussions) the percentages might be changed.

     Now, would you please explain in particular how exactly have you assigned 95% belief in the Big Bang 'theory' on the grounds of casual statements on amateur video, claiming that '95% of the scientists' (which is obviously sewed with vivid threads) accept the Big Bang as an axiomatic truth (which is also sewed with the same threads)?
FBM
 
  1  
Reply Sat 17 Jan, 2015 10:33 am
@Herald,
I'm not going to keep repeating my lack of belief every time you have a short circuit in your memory banks. Scroll back to where I've already answered that.

You're the one who identified the 45% part of your smorgasbord of partial beliefs as a god, not me. When you keep pretending that the limits of scientific knowledge is evidence for either your god or another ILF, it's the same fallacy. ILF-of-the-gaps is no less fallacious than god-of-the-gaps.

So, we've got a scorecard of sorts:

Standard Model - 4%

god/ILF-of-the-gaps - 0%

Why should any rational person choose the 0% option?
0 Replies
 
parados
 
  1  
Reply Sat 17 Jan, 2015 12:09 pm
@Herald,
Quote:
As you don't know anything about whether the Universe has always existed or not, the odds for that assumption are 50:50,

Boy, you really do love to throw out logical fallacies. Why are the odds 50:50? Just because there are 2 choices? 2 choices don't make any odds 50:50 unless you show the probability of both are the same. So let's see your work proving the odds are equal of the universe having always existed or not.

FBM
 
  1  
Reply Sat 17 Jan, 2015 12:19 pm
@parados,
parados wrote:

Quote:
As you don't know anything about whether the Universe has always existed or not, the odds for that assumption are 50:50,

Boy, you really do love to throw out logical fallacies. Why are the odds 50:50? Just because there are 2 choices? 2 choices don't make any odds 50:50 unless you show the probability of both are the same. So let's see your work proving the odds are equal of the universe having always existed or not.




His claim is based on his ignorance of the space-time continuum. He seems to think that space suddenly appeared in an already-existing time, which is contrary to the BBT that he pretends to understand well enough to oppose. Get used to him exposing his ignorance over and over and over and over again. It's a routine for him. Wink
Herald
 
  1  
Reply Sat 17 Jan, 2015 10:35 pm
@parados,
parados wrote:
Boy, you really do love to throw out logical fallacies. Why are the odds 50:50? Just because there are 2 choices?
     The odds are 50:50, because the choices are two AND you cannot prove anything in favor of any of them. To both of them you don't know anything, hence you cannot change it in one way or another and the best approximation in that case id 50:50.
Herald
 
  1  
Reply Sat 17 Jan, 2015 10:38 pm
@FBM,
parados wrote:
His claim is based on his ignorance of the space-time continuum. He seems to think that space suddenly appeared in an already-existing time, which is contrary to the BBT that he pretends to understand well enough to oppose.
     I am not thinking that the Time has already existed. What I think is that you don't have the vaguest idea what could have existed (which is a process) before the Big Bang has launched the Time component, and how exactly the Big Bang (that could not have existed before the Time) has launched the Time component of the Universe.
FBM
 
  1  
Reply Sat 17 Jan, 2015 10:39 pm
@Herald,
False dichotomy and self-contradiction. If there are only two possibilities, explain this:

Quote:
A quick breakdown:

45% goes to either:
a) God
b) meta-intelligence
c) String Theory
d) s.th. (?)

[I recommend you choose one before pursuing this 45% any further.]


30% goes to:

"another ILF, sending the designs on the Earth even through some form of teleportation or another form of encoded communication (it might have extinct already by the time the information has came here)"

[How is this distinct from the "meta-intelligence" in the 45% answers? But, hey, as long as you're not proposing anything too far-fetched. Wink]


And "perhaps" 25% goes to:

"25% of the Big Bang and the theory that we are made out of star dust (whatever this might mean) and fused with the time by the Dark Energy and Dark Matter."
0 Replies
 
FBM
 
  1  
Reply Sat 17 Jan, 2015 10:42 pm
@Herald,
Herald wrote:
     I am not thinking that the Time has already existed. What I think is that you don't have the vaguest idea what could have existed (which is a process)


Fallacious appeal to ignorance, incredulity. Again.

Quote:
...before the Big Bang has launched the Time component, and how exactly the Big Bang (that could not have existed before the Time) has launched the Time component of the Universe.


Nobody does. Therefore, god/ILF? God-of-the-gaps again.
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