32
   

Intelligent Design vs. Casino Universe

 
 
FBM
 
  1  
Reply Sun 4 Jan, 2015 04:55 am
http://skepdic.com/dvinefal.html

Quote:
divine fallacy (argument from incredulity)

The divine fallacy, or the argument from incredulity, is a species of non sequitur reasoning which goes something like this: I can't figure this out, so a god must have done it. Or, This is amazing; therefore, a god did it. Or, I can't think of any other explanation; therefore, a god did it. Or, this is just too weird; so, a god is behind it.

This fallacy is also a variation of the alien fallacy: I can't figure this out, so aliens must have done it. Or, This is amazing; therefore, aliens did it. Or, I can't think of any other explanation; therefore, aliens did it. Or, this is just too weird; so, aliens are behind it.

Another variation of the fallacy goes something like this: I can't figure this out, so paranormal forces must have done it. Or, This is amazing; therefore, paranormal forces did it. Or, I can't think of any other explanation; therefore, paranormal forces did it. Or, this is just too weird; so, paranormal forces are behind it.

further reading

Bad Moves: Arguments from incredulity by Julian Baggini
0 Replies
 
Herald
 
  1  
Reply Sun 4 Jan, 2015 05:30 am
@FBM,
FBM wrote:
Well, I've managed to squeeze a "personal 45% god" out of you
     Yes, but you don't know what this actually mean and how to deal with it ... in benefit of your career.
FBM wrote:
... but beyond that, yes, you're definitely being intellectually dishonest by hiding your full hypothesis.
     I am not hiding anything - I told you that I am agnostic - I don't honestly believe that you ever will come to know the assumptions of the Big Bang 'theory' with solid verification and validation and real truth values ... and I am not sure whether you even understand what that all means.
FBM wrote:
'Science can't explain everything, therefore my god!'
     No, my hypothesis is not that science cannot explain everything because my God must exist somehow - my hypothesis is that science really cannot explain everything because there are a lot of things that are definitely not stochastic - they have no signs of any stochastics, they have no probability distribution functions, most of them are impossible to appear by chance and out of nowhere and out of nothing, and some of them have so mind-blowing reason that it is highly improbable for that to have appeared by any chance.
     Why can't you find DNA on some other planets, for example (within the SS for now)? We have been on the Moon several times and have brought there a lot of bacteria, viruses, etc. - why none of them has survived so far? Because life is not simply cyanobacteria appearing out of an accidental lightning - life is a whole biosphere in continuous biological & physical equilibrium, and it cannot appear just so, when the Big Bang & its supporters decide that ... out of Nowhere and out of Nothing.
FBM
 
  1  
Reply Sun 4 Jan, 2015 05:44 am
@Herald,
Herald wrote:

FBM wrote:
Well, I've managed to squeeze a "personal 45% god" out of you
     Yes, but you don't know what this actually mean and how to deal with it ... in benefit of your career.


How about you explain it, then? Why the unnecessary obfuscation?

Quote:
FBM wrote:
... but beyond that, yes, you're definitely being intellectually dishonest by hiding your full hypothesis.
     I am not hiding anything - I told you that I am agnostic...


This is the first I've heard of your alleged agnosticism. Why don't you mention it more often? You seem awfully certain of something.

Quote:
I don't honestly believe that you ever will come to know the assumptions of the Big Bang 'theory' with solid verification and validation and real truth values ... and I am not sure whether you even understand what that all means.


Me, either, and I'm a native speaker of English. You see, an assumption doesn't have "solid verification and validation and real truth values." If it did, it'd be a fact, not an assumption. Wink

Quote:
FBM wrote:
'Science can't explain everything, therefore my god!'
     No, my hypothesis is not that science cannot explain everything because my God must exist somehow - my hypothesis is that science really cannot explain everything because there are a lot of things that are definitely not stochastic - they have no signs of any stochastics, they have no probability distribution functions, most of them are impossible to appear by chance and out of nowhere and out of nothing, and some of the have so mind-blowing reason that it is highly improbable for that to have appeared by any chance.


Name one.

Quote:
Why cant you find DNA on some other planets, for example (within the SS for now)? We have been on the Moon several times and have brought there a lot of bacteria, viruses, etc. - why none of them has survived so far?


How do you know that they haven't? Sounds like an assumption of your own there. Wink

Quote:
Because life is not simply cyanobacteria appearing out of an accidental lightning - life is a whole biosphere in continuous biological & physical equilibrium, and it cannot appear just so, when the Big Bang & its supporters decide that ... out of Nowhere and out of Nothing.


All you have to do is provide compelling evidence for your claim. Scientists have done robustly so for theirs, and it works swimmingly. Just provide something equally compelling. Your argument from incredulity isn't. http://i206.photobucket.com/albums/bb192/DinahFyre/teaemoticonbygmintyfresxa4.gif
0 Replies
 
FBM
 
  1  
Reply Sun 4 Jan, 2015 05:51 am
http://www.salon.com/2015/01/03/god_is_on_the_ropes_the_brilliant_new_science_that_has_creationists_and_the_christian_right_terrified/?utm_source=facebook&utm_medium=socialflow

Quote:
SATURDAY, JAN 3, 2015 11:00 PM KST
God is on the ropes: The brilliant new science that has creationists and the Christian right terrified
A young MIT professor is finishing Darwin's task — and threatening to undo everything the wacky right holds dear


The Christian right’s obsessive hatred of Darwin is a wonder to behold, but it could someday be rivaled by the hatred of someone you’ve probably never even heard of. Darwin earned their hatred because he explained the evolution of life in a way that doesn’t require the hand of God. Darwin didn’t exclude God, of course, though many creationists seem incapable of grasping this point. But he didn’t require God, either, and that was enough to drive some people mad.

Darwin also didn’t have anything to say about how life got started in the first place — which still leaves a mighty big role for God to play, for those who are so inclined. But that could be about to change, and things could get a whole lot worse for creationists because of Jeremy England, a young MIT professor who’s proposed a theory, based in thermodynamics, showing that the emergence of life was not accidental, but necessary. “Under certain conditions, matter inexorably acquires the key physical attribute associated with life,” he was quoted as saying in an article in Quanta magazine early in 2014, that’s since been republished by Scientific American and, more recently, by Business Insider. In essence, he’s saying, life itself evolved out of simpler non-living systems.

The notion of an evolutionary process broader than life itself is not entirely new. Indeed, there’s evidence, recounted by Eric Havelock in “The Liberal Temper in Greek Politics,” that it was held by the pre-Socratic natural philosophers, who also first gave us the concept of the atom, among many other things. But unlike them or other earlier precursors, England has a specific, unifying, testable evolutionary mechanism in mind.

Quanta fleshed things out a bit more like this:

From the standpoint of physics, there is one essential difference between living things and inanimate clumps of carbon atoms: The former tend to be much better at capturing energy from their environment and dissipating that energy as heat. Jeremy England, a 31-year-old assistant professor at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, has derived a mathematical formula that he believes explains this capacity. The formula, based on established physics, indicates that when a group of atoms is driven by an external source of energy (like the sun or chemical fuel) and surrounded by a heat bath (like the ocean or atmosphere), it will often gradually restructure itself in order to dissipate increasingly more energy. This could mean that under certain conditions, matter inexorably acquires the key physical attribute associated with life.
...
0 Replies
 
FBM
 
  1  
Reply Sun 4 Jan, 2015 06:16 am
Quote:
Index to Creationist Claims,
edited by Mark Isaak, Copyright © 2004
Previous Claim: CI100.1 | List of Claims | Next Claim: CI102
Claim CI101:

Complexity indicates intelligent design.

Response:


This is a quintessential argument from incredulity. Complexity usually means something is hard to understand. But the fact that one cannot understand how something came to be does not indicate that one may conclude it was designed. On the contrary, lack of understanding indicates that we must not conclude design or anything else.

Irreducible complexity and complex specified information are special cases of the "complexity indicates design" claim; they are also arguments from incredulity.

In the sort of design that we know about, simplicity is a design goal. Complexity arises to some extent through carelessness or necessity, but engineers work to make things as simple as possible. This is very different from what we see in life.

Complexity arises from natural causes: for example, in weather patterns and cave formations.

Complexity is poorly defined.


http://www.talkorigins.org/indexcc/CI/CI101.html
farmerman
 
  1  
Reply Sun 4 Jan, 2015 07:07 am
@FBM,
Now theres a danger in using " a mathematical" basis for attempting to show that life is thermodynamically inevitable. The danger is (math aside), that science is beginning to sound a lot like "counter Creationism" .
The Creation?ID Crowd uses a bunch of equations and expansions to demonstrate how life by abiogenesis is "mathematically impossible"' and now this guy at MIT Is sorta trying to say that life is "mathematically inevitable" ( its the same logic just a different outcome Cool ) I hate outcome driven science. It takes away the role of surprises.

I still favor the discovery process in action. Even if we do manage to develop real life via abiogenesis, we have no ay of saying that its the life sequence that was in effect on this planet. There are so many "Chemical cycles and types of linkages and forces" applied in life that by running a phase rule expansion creates a simplistic view of life.
First we create life from a pool of chemicals and energy conditions (They've already considered the energy handling of chemical self assembly ) by using hygroscopic crystal lattices and using these lattices as "frames" upon which life comes to being.

FBM
 
  1  
Reply Sun 4 Jan, 2015 07:25 am
@farmerman,
No doubt, there's the danger of over-extending on both sides. Given what's being claimed by each side, which do you figure is doing the most over-extending? One side says that an open system (or collection of systems) in the Goldilocks zone is likely to be prone to developing life, the other side posits an invisible, undectable guy-in-the-sky, without which it could not have happened.

No doubt, both sides are doing a bit of punting/speculating, but which of the two goes beyond the realm of known possibilities? I recall reading where, given an infinite universe, anything that's possible is inevitable. Not that I know it to be a truth, but I'd guess that complexity arising out of molecularly efficient energy dispersion would be a lot more explainable than a magic wand waved by a cosmic Santa. I'm funny like that.
farmerman
 
  1  
Reply Sun 4 Jan, 2015 07:50 am
@FBM,
Quote:
but I'd guess that complexity arising out of molecularly efficient energy dispersion would be a lot more explainable than a magic wand waved by a cosmic Santa. I'm funny like that.


I totally agree. However, Im not sure that "our bullshit" is more reasonable than their bullshit.

math expansions really don't prove or disprove a damn thing in this arena (my assertion). Both arguments are based upon desired outcomes and as such, lose creds in my sight.

There have been a number of "energy ordering" studies that had been based on crystals like desiccating iron sulphate and oxyhyroxide lattices (with teeny amounts of bound water) and how this framework supports surface chemistry reactions like clay adsorption because these had been successful at generating biopolymers and nucleus free blobs of motile gels that could function as cell walls and a kind of protoplasmic glop in a very early crucible.

Using some math expansion to announce that life is inevitable is (to me) like taking bets without understanding what the bets about. I don't think the MIT mathematician has any idea about the vast amounts of biological/edaphic "possibilities" that all can become inevitable (using your words). That means that there are maybe an equivalent or greater bunch of xperimental Impossibilities.



FBM
 
  1  
Reply Sun 4 Jan, 2015 08:20 am
@farmerman,
Well, I'm also suspicious of any claim made on the basis of a political or philosophical bias. That's why I don't claim any absolute knowledge in either case regarding this debate. While on the one hand I admit that you lost me there on several of those techincal references (though I will dig into them later), I still have to bring up the issue of reasonable probabilities. Scientific knowledge is inferential; probabilistic, based on observational data. Though it can never be 100%, it has significant empirical support. This is precisely what the supernatural hypothesis lacks. Empirical evidence. Scientists start with a question, collect data and identify patterns. The answers are derived from the evidence. Theists start with a preferred answer, then work backwards to collect (fragmented) data to sustain their preferred conclusion. What am I missing?
farmerman
 
  1  
Reply Sun 4 Jan, 2015 08:30 am
@FBM,
Quote:
This is precisely what the supernatural hypothesis lacks.
Science has to stop being so damned smug about this. I do not know that life on earth IS NOT based upon pnspermia for xample.

Only time will solve many of these evidentiary things. If we go further nd further into space and find DNA the farther out we go, what does that really say about the origins of life? Craig Venter says that we will find that DNA is ubiquitous to the Galaxy and beyond. He has no basis or that assertion
I really want to see life based upon phosphorus or silicon.
However Right now we work under AN ASSUMPTION of "local" methodological naturalism based upon available evidence.
farmerman
 
  1  
Reply Sun 4 Jan, 2015 08:30 am
@FBM,
Quote:
This is precisely what the supernatural hypothesis lacks.
Science has to stop being so damned smug about this. I do not know that life on earth IS NOT based upon pnspermia for xample.

Only time will solve many of these evidentiary things. If we go further nd further into space and find DNA the farther out we go, what does that really say about the origins of life? Craig Venter says that we will find that DNA is ubiquitous to the Galaxy and beyond. He has no basis or that assertion
I really want to see life based upon phosphorus or silicon.
However Right now we work under AN ASSUMPTION of "local" methodological naturalism based upon available evidence.
0 Replies
 
parados
 
  1  
Reply Sun 4 Jan, 2015 09:17 am
@Herald,
So rather than admit you were wrong about the prediction you decide to go off on another tangent.
Simply asking if it is something without evidence of it being something is not rational thought. It is simply an attempt on your part to deny reality and evidence.


Let's reexamine your argument. You claimed that the Big Bang Theory didn't predict anything and you demanded evidence Then when shown that it predict something did you simply pretend it didn't. Frankly Herald, you are too stupid for words. You can't admit that your own arguments are wrong when they clearly are.
parados
 
  1  
Reply Sun 4 Jan, 2015 09:19 am
@Herald,
Quote:
So, anyway. What about a small amount of something about your favorite Big Bang 'theory', Prof. Einstein: what is the math formal model of the Big Bang; what are the major characteristics & definition of the variables with the Big Bang - stochastics/determinism; brainlessness/creative abilities; plausibility/feasibility;

It seems you have completely forgotten where you were given that link. Do you suffer from Alzheimer's?
Herald
 
  1  
Reply Sun 4 Jan, 2015 09:56 am
@parados,
parados wrote:
It is simply an attempt on your part to deny reality and evidence.
     What reality and what evidence you are talking about? The Big Bang is not the reality - it is light years away from the nearest plausible reality ... and the Big Bang is not a direct evidence of anything. The Big Bang cannot explain even its own assumptions, let alone the creation of the Universe and the other things it is claiming to explain.
parados wrote:
Let's reexamine your argument. You claimed that the Big Bang Theory didn't predict anything and you demanded evidence.
     Absolutely yes - it cannot explain neither what the form of the Universe is, nor even whether it is Euclidean solid geometry or not ... & it cannot explain also why the Telescope is into the center of the Universe; it cannot explain how it has done anything out of whatsoever in contradiction to the laws of physics and math logic and Euclidean solid geometry - the Big Bang 'theory' is obviously above the fundamental sciences as we know them, but it cannot explain how has that happened. If it is O.K. with you - it is not O.K. with me & I can't accept that with such an ease.
parados wrote:
You can't admit that your own arguments are wrong when they clearly are.
     Just like you - I have had great teachers. You cannot admit that you have no valid assumptions of the Big Bang 'theory'; you cannot admit that being in contradiction with the laws of physics, math logic and Euclidean geometry is not an idea of first brilliance; you cannot admit that the Big Bang simply does not possess any reasonable ground & abilities to make the mind-blowing smart decisions it is claiming to have taken (like for example the changing of the PNA of the cyanobacteria into DNA with humans); you cannot admit that the hypothesis of creating the nano-engine of the flagella of the cyanobacteria out of a stochastic set of amino-acids & by a stochastic lightning is a masterpiece of the ignorance & the illiteracy of explain the world - hence I have had great teachers, in your face, and what in particular is your problem?
FBM
 
  1  
Reply Sun 4 Jan, 2015 05:49 pm
@farmerman,
farmerman wrote:

Quote:
This is precisely what the supernatural hypothesis lacks.
Science has to stop being so damned smug about this. I do not know that life on earth IS NOT based upon pnspermia for xample.


Not sure where you see smugness (except when I'm being snotty to Herald). If there's evidence for panspermia, then that's the way to go. Until there is, though, it should continue to be considered as one among many hypotheses.

Quote:
Only time will solve many of these evidentiary things. If we go further nd further into space and find DNA the farther out we go, what does that really say about the origins of life? Craig Venter says that we will find that DNA is ubiquitous to the Galaxy and beyond. He has no basis or that assertion


Agreed 100%.

Quote:
I really want to see life based upon phosphorus or silicon.
However Right now we work under AN ASSUMPTION of "local" methodological naturalism based upon available evidence.


Yup. It's all we have to work with. Wishful thinking, such as for a benevolent supernatural being to be behind it all, has no place in science. If evidence for such a being comes in, cool. But until it does, it should be left in the children's storybooks.
0 Replies
 
FBM
 
  1  
Reply Sun 4 Jan, 2015 05:53 pm
@parados,
He gets amnesia about not only being corrected with factual evidence, but on basic logic, too. He keeps repeating the same old tired logical fallacies again and again and again, despite being called out on them. Red herrings, non sequitur, moving the goal posts, god of the gaps fallacy, strawmen, etc etc, ad nauseum. I'm not sure whether he can not learn or simply will not. Also not sure if there's a signficant difference between the two. Rolling Eyes
farmerman
 
  1  
Reply Sun 4 Jan, 2015 07:05 pm
@FBM,
I quit responding to Herod because hes so full of **** that he is actually scary
FBM
 
  1  
Reply Sun 4 Jan, 2015 07:11 pm
@farmerman,
http://i206.photobucket.com/albums/bb192/DinahFyre/hehe.gif
0 Replies
 
Herald
 
  1  
Reply Sun 4 Jan, 2015 08:03 pm
@farmerman,
farmerman wrote:
I quit responding to Herod because hes so full of **** that he is actually scary
     There is nothing more scary than your amnesia and your absolute inability to explain the assumptions of the Big Bang 'theory', don't you think, FM? I noticed that you are not responding, but I though that your laptop has been expended by the acceleration of the Big Bang to such an extend that you are unable to include its keyboard with outstretched arms.

     If you are curious to know, the option for the Universe to be expanding with acceleration is much more scary than the option for a static Universe that has always existed.http://i206.photobucket.com/albums/bb192/DinahFyre/hehe.gif
FBM
 
  1  
Reply Sun 4 Jan, 2015 08:16 pm
@Herald,
Quote:
Index to Creationist Claims,
edited by Mark Isaak, Copyright © 2004
Previous Claim: CH350 | List of Claims | Next Claim: CH401
Claim CH370:

The creation model predicts galaxies constant and stars unchanging, in the main. They may decay, but they were created entire and did not build up over time.
Source:


Morris, Henry M., 1974. Scientific Creationism, Green Forest, AR: Master Books, pp. 13,24-25.
Response:

The claim is baseless. The formation of stars takes on the order of millions of years, so we cannot expect to see major changes as we watch, but that does not mean the stars are unchanging.

Given our knowledge of physical laws and our observations of stars and interstellar matter, we expect star formation to be occurring continuously, as molecular clouds form and condense. And we see molecular clouds, protostars, and young stars in all stages of formation, in close agreement with what we expect (Pudritz 2002; Ward-Thompson 2002).

The existence of stars with differing amounts of heavy elements is also in good agreement with star formation over time, since the heavy elements come only from supernovae of earlier stars.

Galaxies have changed over time, too. Quasars were more common in the earlier universe; there are no recent ones. We also see galaxies in various stages of colliding.
References:

Pudritz, Ralph E. 2002. Clustered star formation and the origin of stellar masses. Science 295: 68-76.
Ward-Thompson, Derek. 2002. Isolated star formation: From cloud formation to core collapse. Science 295: 76-81. (See also related articles in the same issue.)


http://www.talkorigins.org/indexcc/CH/CH370.html
0 Replies
 
 

Related Topics

Intelligent Design - Question by giujohn
What is Intelligent Design? - Discussion by RexRed
Do *ANY* creationists understand evolution? - Discussion by rosborne979
The Bed Bug/Parasite Plant Theory - Question by TeePee38
dna worlds - Discussion by Syamsu
DD VERSUS EVOLUTION - Discussion by Setanta
The Evil of god - Discussion by giujohn
 
Copyright © 2024 MadLab, LLC :: Terms of Service :: Privacy Policy :: Page generated in 0.1 seconds on 12/25/2024 at 07:10:17