34
   

Watching The Election Returns On Tuesday Night

 
 
jespah
 
  1  
Reply Tue 6 Nov, 2012 07:00 pm
@JPB,
What are they saying re West Va.? I am guessing it's close - #s on Google and Politico seem reversed.

PS Hi all - gonna go offline soon to eat and watch (and give myself an ulcer).

Hope everyone's got enough snacks.
Finn dAbuzz
 
  1  
Reply Tue 6 Nov, 2012 07:04 pm
Exit polls are a device for networks racing to be the first to call a state, but there are actual votes that are being cast and will be counted. I think most of the networks will make the right call, but a lot of these states aren't tough to call. Mistakes have been made and can be made in those states (Ohio maybe) where the exit polls and actual reported returns are real close. For those states, I tend to take the projection of the first network to call with a grain of salt.

It really is crazy when you think about it. We just can't wait for the actual votes to be tallied.

SC was called for Romney with less than 1% of the vote in and Obama ahead 75% to 25%

Question I have is when are the exit polls taken. Heard that it's usually around 3:00 so unless it can be pretty certain that the distribution of voters is essentially the same after 3:00, as before, the exit poll results have to be questionable.

So far, zero surprises in called states.
jespah
 
  1  
Reply Tue 6 Nov, 2012 07:06 pm
@Finn dAbuzz,
Quote:
The Associated Press ‏@AP
AP RACE CALL: Obama wins IL, CT, ME, DC, DE, RI, MD, MA; Romney wins OK. #Election2012
Finn dAbuzz
 
  1  
Reply Tue 6 Nov, 2012 07:09 pm
All I can assume with these states wherein one candidate is way ahead and no one is calling it, is that the exit polling heavily favors the guy behind in the count.
0 Replies
 
maxdancona
 
  1  
Reply Tue 6 Nov, 2012 07:09 pm
@jespah,
I could have called any one of those a week ago.
0 Replies
 
Finn dAbuzz
 
  1  
Reply Tue 6 Nov, 2012 07:10 pm
@jespah,
No surprises.
0 Replies
 
Finn dAbuzz
 
  1  
Reply Tue 6 Nov, 2012 07:14 pm
Another reason for exit polls: Network people have something to speculate and pontificate about while the results come in.
0 Replies
 
JPB
 
  2  
Reply Tue 6 Nov, 2012 07:15 pm
@jespah,
WV was called early for Romney
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Tue 6 Nov, 2012 07:15 pm
PA is 'too early to call' - not too close to call. That's good news for Obama.

Cycloptichorn
realjohnboy
 
  1  
Reply Tue 6 Nov, 2012 07:16 pm
Angus King (I) projected to win the Senate seat in Maine. He will succeed Olympia Snowe (R). King will probably caucus with Dems.
0 Replies
 
Finn dAbuzz
 
  1  
Reply Tue 6 Nov, 2012 07:18 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
I think your reading too much into the words being used
JTT
 
  2  
Reply Tue 6 Nov, 2012 07:19 pm
@Finn dAbuzz,
My druthers - I'm going to watch paint dry.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Tue 6 Nov, 2012 07:20 pm
@Finn dAbuzz,
Finn dAbuzz wrote:

I think your reading too much into the words being used


Oh, I think not. The idea that Romney was going to win PA was always a really long shot.

Cycloptichorn
sozobe
 
  1  
Reply Tue 6 Nov, 2012 07:21 pm
Ginormous turnout in Virginia:

http://www.wvec.com/news/Va-turnout-expected-to-meet-or-exceed-2008-election-177533131.html
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Tue 6 Nov, 2012 07:23 pm
@sozobe,
Fellow Sully-ite!

I've always liked the fact that we read so many of the same sources online

Cycloptichorn
sozobe
 
  1  
Reply Tue 6 Nov, 2012 07:24 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Heh! Yeah, that's where I got it.
0 Replies
 
Finn dAbuzz
 
  1  
Reply Tue 6 Nov, 2012 07:28 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Of course he doesn't have to win it all
0 Replies
 
sozobe
 
  1  
Reply Tue 6 Nov, 2012 07:29 pm
@sozobe,
sozobe wrote:

CNN on TV.

TPM, Daily Dish, NYT on computer.

Plus here and Facebook.


Actually several different NYT tabs, including Nate Silver's live blog:

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/06/live-blog-the-2012-presidential-election
0 Replies
 
Finn dAbuzz
 
  1  
Reply Tue 6 Nov, 2012 07:32 pm
Nelson projected to beat Mack in FL

McCrory projected to win governor's in NC. Former Mayor of Charlotte. Knew him when I lived there-- good guy. Cograts Pat!
0 Replies
 
realjohnboy
 
  1  
Reply Tue 6 Nov, 2012 07:37 pm
Murphy (D) projected over McMahon (R) in Conn senate race.
 

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