13
   

Poll Watching

 
 
FBM
 
  1  
Reply Sun 28 Oct, 2012 04:03 am
If what I've read in this thread, I have less reason to worry than I'd thought. Other sources I've looked at suggest that things are pretty much neck-and-neck. CNN's poll of polls, for example.
engineer
 
  1  
Reply Sun 28 Oct, 2012 12:30 pm
@FBM,
The national polls are neck and neck, but winning Utah by 50 percentage point is not as important as winning Ohio by 3% and in the swing states, Obama is showing more and more strength. The latest swing state polls:
http://graphics8.nytimes.com/images/2012/10/27/us/politics/fivethirtyeight-1027-satstate1/fivethirtyeight-1027-satstate1-blog480.png
FBM
 
  1  
Reply Sun 28 Oct, 2012 07:22 pm
@engineer,
Thanks for that, engineer. Sometimes I'm afraid to look for fear of seeing the opposite. Cheers.
0 Replies
 
engineer
 
  1  
Reply Tue 30 Oct, 2012 06:40 am
A humoruos article on Nate Silver (creator of fivethirtyeight.com).
Irishk
 
  1  
Reply Tue 30 Oct, 2012 11:00 pm
@engineer,
Good article. It's true that Nate moved to the NYT in 2008, but many of his followers (including me) followed him on his blog way before that. He's not exactly a 'newcomer' to the scene, but I suppose the 'rose to prominence' part is right. The NYT would do that lol.
sozobe
 
  1  
Reply Wed 31 Oct, 2012 05:55 am
@Irishk,
Yes, I remember when it was a big deal that Poblano (Poblano? something like that) was unmasked as Nate Silver.
JPB
 
  1  
Reply Wed 31 Oct, 2012 06:31 am
The bookies flipped VA to blue today

http://electoralmap.net/2012/intrade.php
0 Replies
 
H2O MAN
 
  -2  
Reply Wed 31 Oct, 2012 07:17 am

The Virginian Pilot

Poll: Romney leads 52-45 among early voters
0 Replies
 
Irishk
 
  2  
Reply Wed 31 Oct, 2012 10:31 am
@sozobe,
He had a very respectable following on his blog and most have remained loyal.

Have you read his column for today yet? The polls are keeping him awake at night LOL! (Means he's earning his paycheck)!
0 Replies
 
jcboy
 
  3  
Reply Fri 2 Nov, 2012 03:38 am
This is the Princeton Election Consortium. Strictly math. Interesting stuff. They project Obama with 315 Electoral College Votes. They were dead on in 2004 and 2008 and have since then refined this formula, which calculates 2.3 quadrillion outcomes!

Princeton Election Consortium
0 Replies
 
 

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