There's quite a few problems with this conspiracy theory - namely, making claims without a shred of evidence. 'Put Options'? If these nameless people actually did make these bets, then there are records of them, and they can be named. The other issues are many are simply perspectives put forth as 'real'. Other than that I didn't watch the whole video - the author lost a great deal of credibility due to just those two things alone.
As for general conspiracy theories - I'm with JL - some events that most would dismiss as conspiracy theories actually have basis in 'fact' and historical records.
Some examples, particularly from the CIA (as over the years as secrecy laws expired, their records started showing a number of interesting thing) :
- The CIA coup in Iran in 1951 (or 2) was widely known to be run by the CIA, and eventually after the secrecy laws expired, their records showed it to be true.
- the CIA may or may (or may not) have a 'secret cash fund'. After WW2 when the CIA was set up, they were given unlimited access to funds from The Marshall Plan, and no one knows just how much they took (though presumably these funds would have found their way into bosses pockets). While the concept of a secret cash fund has conspiracy theory written all over it, the existance of one, or not, should be left purely to 'a possibility' rather than being labelled one way or the other (a problem facing those for conspiracy theories, or dead against the mere existance of conspiracy theories)
-the CIA did try to kill Castro multiple times, and Castro wrote to the director and told him to stop or he would kill the US president. The president told the CIA to stop, and they did...until Kennedy got elected and they started again. Surprise, surprise, Kennedy was then shot by a man with links to Castro.
Those details come from a 2007 Pulitzer prize winning book called 'Legacy of Ashes : a history of the CIA', which claims to be written from the CIA's own records, plus interviews with operatives etc.
Particularly the last one - was always regarded as a conspiracy theory - but as you can see, (whether or not it existed) there was actually reason for a CIA coverup to exist. Whether one existed isn't actually the point.
There are other things that may or may not mean anything - in Pakistan, a country in which the common people hate the US, the only 3 presidents to have been assassinated have been the only 3 anti-US presidents. If that means anything - who know's.
A very famous and true 'conspiracy' is the Nazi takeover of Germany - that required co-ordinated effort. The invention of 'Propoganda' is it's most famous element. The dismissal of the 'Nurenburg defense' as a defense against war crimes is another notorious element. The creation of the SS and the Hitler youth brigade contributed.
Again - I agree with JL - there's no point dismissing something that has evidence as a conspiracy theory just because you don't like the idea or it would require co-ordinated effort. But there is no point in taking every conspiracy theory to heart that has no shred of evidence (that video for example).