53
   

Tunesia, Egyt and now Yemen: a domino effect in the Middle East?

 
 
revelette
 
  1  
Reply Fri 18 Feb, 2011 09:09 am
@spendius,
Quote:
An ex British ambassador to Saudi Arabia and Syria was on Newsnight last night and he said that some of the despots in the ME are fighting for their lives. "Literally", he added. He also said that the Bahrain government had taken the decision to put the protests down and that there was no going back
.

Well, the decision to put the protest down broke the hearts of the protesters and have energized them even more in Bahrain. At first all they wanted was more of a say and role in parliament with better job opportunities and the prime minister to step down. Now they want the entire regime to go. I doubt it will have same ending as Egypt as I guess the Bahrain government saw what happened if the protest are not stopped forcefully and brutally early on.

Quote:
The mood, however, appears to have turned towards defiance of the entire ruling system after the attack on a protest camp in Bahrain's capital, Manama, on Thursday left at least five dead and more than 230 injured. The country was placed on an emergency-like footing, with military forces in key areas and checkpoints on main roads.

"The regime has broken something inside of me ... All of these people gathered today have had something broken in them," said Ahmed Makki Abu Taki, whose 27-year-old brother Mahmoud was killed in the pre-dawn sweep through the protest camp in Pearl Square. "We used to demand for the prime minister to step down, but now our demand is for the ruling family to get out."

Outside a village mosque, several thousands mourners gathered to bury three men killed in the crackdown. The first body, covered in black velvet, was passed hand to hand towards a grave as it was being dug.

Amid the Shia funeral rites, many chanted for the removal of King Hamad bin Isa al-Khalifa and the entire Sunni dynasty that has ruled for more than two centuries in Bahrain, the first nation in the Gulf to feel the pressure for changes sweeping North Africa and the Middle East.

There were no security forces near the mosque on the island of Sitra, where three of those killed had lived.




source

I don't think those Bahrainis voted the Sunni dynasty in power. They have rigged the system by bringing foreign Sunnis; left links a day or two ago that effect.
0 Replies
 
InfraBlue
 
  1  
Reply Fri 18 Feb, 2011 10:36 am
@spendius,
Quote:
Maybe the isolationists have given up on persauding the American people and are now trying to get isolation forced on the US. The Romans had their isolationists. But their martial way of life would have to be turned on the citizens if they were isolated.


Surely, ours is a kinder gentler empire to that of the Romans. We've some time ago arrived at the Hadrian point, walling it all off in Micronesia and Polynesia right before the turn of the last century.

Our expansion has since been in "the sphere of influence."

The game of King of The Hill, of course, precludes complete isolationism, especially for the very king of that hill. A certain amount of isolationism would allow for a more practical and prudent approach to the game instead of rash and myopic interposition, like the propping of oppressive dictatorial and ethnocentric regimes.

Quote:
At the prosaic level the NFL might have to be replaced by more genteel games. Such as basketball. And aggressive imagery in movies and advertising changed to Katie Couric types explaining how wonderful you all are in scenic setting of soft-focus restfulness.


America's national game can be described in military terms, and indeed, it is a militaristic game what with its trenches--line of scrimmage, the backfield cavalry breaking through those trenches; its arial attack and its officer at the offensive attack. It's revealing that the word "quarterback' is translated in Spanish as mariscal--field marshal.

Did you read the New Yorker article that was posted in the Pick Um thread?
cicerone imposter
 
  0  
Reply Fri 18 Feb, 2011 11:18 am
@InfraBlue,
So true! Look at our relationship with Bahrain.
0 Replies
 
InfraBlue
 
  2  
Reply Fri 18 Feb, 2011 11:26 am
@Lash,
Lash wrote:

Are you aware of what Obama is doing/saying behind the scenes? If not, what is your opinion about how he's handling the Egyptian crisis in public?

...she asks for the third time...


He iterates. . .

It doesn't matter what Obama says publicly. What matters are his administration's realpolitik machinations behind the scene.

How he's handling the Egyptian crisis in public is, aside from providing the talking and screaming heads material for their entertainment shows, neither here nor there.
spendius
 
  1  
Reply Fri 18 Feb, 2011 11:39 am
@InfraBlue,
Quote:
Did you read the New Yorker article that was posted in the Pick Um thread?


As the back to back winner of the Pick-Um title in 2 attempts I felt it a duty to do so.
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Fri 18 Feb, 2011 12:01 pm
It seems that Arabia's despots have drawn their conclusions from the revolutions in Egypt and Tunisia ... bloody, deadly conclusions, in Libya, Jordan, Bahrain ...
JTT
 
  1  
Reply Fri 18 Feb, 2011 12:18 pm
Has anyone noticed the absence of Okie, Ican, MM, OmSig and other neocons? Only the pretense "intellectual" neocons have shown here, the Finns and the Gobs, attempting to gloss over the US's role in putting all these folk under and keeping them under the rule of brutal despots.

One might suggest that the Okies/Icans/MMs aren't hypocrites but their track record makes that kinda tough.
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Fri 18 Feb, 2011 01:09 pm
@JTT,
They slithered away with their tails between their legs. LOL

What is it about Bahrain that seems to offer the facts about how the US has continued to support tyrannical governments? It's a direct contradiction of the US in support of democracy.
0 Replies
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Fri 18 Feb, 2011 01:17 pm
@Walter Hinteler,
Unfortunately for themselves, Arabian governments have no experience of anything but despotic rule by either their own leaders, or Turks or European colonial powers, and, during the last century, as pawns in larger economic & political struggles, involving external powers.

It is possible that we are wittnessing an awakening analogous to those that occurred in Europe and America 250 years ago (longer ago if you count Rienzi). However, it isn't yet clear that what will result won't degenerate into equivalently authoritarian theocracies, or merely something similar to what they are struggling to escape now. Certainly a degree of individual economic freedom and initiative has been an historical precondition for democratic development in other cultures - something that doesn't appear to yet exist in the Arab countries experiencing the unrest now.

I think Spendius' earlier concerns about his lack of confidence in a good result and his expressed reservations about the hopeful, but largely credulous observers here have some merit.
spendius
 
  1  
Reply Fri 18 Feb, 2011 06:02 pm
@georgeob1,
What really shows us all up is that after 3 weeks of extensive coverage there has been no mention, not a single one that I have seen, of the kids.

So obsessed are the daredevil on the spot reporters with their own careers and CVs that they have forgotten all about Arabic children except when they could milk a photo-op out of some ******* idiot taking one into the melee.

reasoning logic
 
  1  
Reply Fri 18 Feb, 2011 06:23 pm
@spendius,
Spendius I can see somewhat why you would respond with extreme emotions but could you take a step back and respond with what you and many others would define as an intellectual response without the emotions? The reason I ask is because I have seen you do it before, otherwise I would not ask!
0 Replies
 
msolga
 
  -1  
Reply Fri 18 Feb, 2011 07:37 pm
@georgeob1,
George, yes most of us "credulous observers" are watching & hoping for “good results” in Egypt, Tunisia, Bahrain, Libya, etc ... But we are merely very interested observers of these events, not participants. The same as you.
I haven't seen any confident predictions about the outcome of these struggles from any of us, have you?

But what is so "credulous" about hoping that the people risking their lives in these struggles actually do achieve better lives for themselves, free of the poverty & repression they've lived with for years? Why shouldn't we support their struggles for human rights & hope they achieve those goals? The same as we have in Burma, in South Africa under apartheid, the East Timorese fighting for independence from Indonesia?

spendius said:
Quote:
I don't really understand why some posters on this thread are siding with the protesters which is the same thing as overthrowing their governments. I can make a case that such an outcome is in the interests of the protesters and also a case that it is in our interests. But my confidence in either case is not all that high. It's a speculation.

Is this the statement which you thought had some merit, George?

I'm sure a "case" could be made for any number of positions. Like supporting autocratic regimes in the middle east because they're best for "our" interests.

But what do “our” interests have to do with their struggles for self determination, their aspirations for decent lives? Is it reasonable to argue that our interests should override theirs?
I don't believe so.

Maybe the west will just have to adjust "our interests" in the light of changed circumstances? Which might not be a bad thing at all, for all we know. We will just have to wait to see what happens.

Anyway, back to the media coverage of the most recent events in Bahrain & Libya, now ....
msolga
 
  1  
Reply Fri 18 Feb, 2011 07:46 pm
Latest BBC update (including video report) :

Quote:
18 February 2011 Last updated at 23:49 GMT

Bahrain protests: King Hamad seeks talks after violence

King Hamad of Bahrain has asked his eldest son, Crown Prince Salman, to start a national dialogue to resolve the Gulf state's political crisis.

The prince, who earlier called on protesters to withdraw from the streets, is authorised to talk to all parties, a statement said.

Troops fired on demonstrators trying to march into the centre of the capital Manama on Friday, wounding at least 50. ...<cont>


http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-12512741
0 Replies
 
msolga
 
  1  
Reply Fri 18 Feb, 2011 07:54 pm
Also from the BBC.
Very serious situation with the death toll rising ... media blackouts now in place.
Report includes video footage:


Quote:
18 February 2011 Last updated at 23:17 GMT

Libya protests: Death toll mounts as unrest spreads

Rights groups say there is a rising death toll from clashes between anti-government protesters and security forces in Libya.

Amnesty said 43 people had died in protests on Thursday, while other reports suggested dozens more were killed on Friday.

The government has blocked websites and shut off electricity in some areas.

State media outlets have warned of retaliation against anyone criticising Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi.

The mainstay of the unrest is in regional towns and cities, where many people live in poverty.

Foreign journalists operate under restrictions in Libya, so it has been difficult to independently verify much of the information coming out of the country.

But the BBC has confirmed that several websites - including Facebook and al-Jazeera Arabic - have been blocked.

And the airport in Benghazi, the country's second largest city, has been closed, amid reports that protesters have taken it over.


http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-africa-12512536
0 Replies
 
hawkeye10
 
  1  
Reply Fri 18 Feb, 2011 08:20 pm
It is interesting that the leaders of Bahrain and Libya seem to have decided that Mubarak screwed up by being to soft on the rebels. It looks like Iran is now seen as the example of the correct way to deal with protests, that the West's view on the matter is being dismissed, even by our critical and long term ally Bahrain.
reasoning logic
 
  0  
Reply Fri 18 Feb, 2011 08:42 pm
@hawkeye10,
You seem to be speaking in a empirical language That I have not learned as of yet!
Are you for certain that you know what you are speaking of or do you need financial advice about how to handle your retirement as the US {Roman empire} crumbles to the ground?
0 Replies
 
Lash
 
  0  
Reply Fri 18 Feb, 2011 08:44 pm
@InfraBlue,
Sorry I wasted my time on someone who can't cobble together an opinion.

I wonder if anyone here praises or criticizes the US president's response during such a momentous historical, potentially portentous event.
JTT
 
  2  
Reply Fri 18 Feb, 2011 09:00 pm
@Lash,
Quote:
I wonder if anyone here praises or criticizes the US president's response during such a momentous historical, potentially portentous event.


Why is it about the US, Lash, and the US president? The momentous events are happening not because of the US but in spite of it.
0 Replies
 
msolga
 
  2  
Reply Fri 18 Feb, 2011 09:28 pm
@Lash,
Quote:
I wonder if anyone here praises or criticizes the US president's response during such a momentous historical, potentially portentous event.

Why should anyone praise or damn him?
It's not about him.
It's about peoples aspirations in the middle east.
georgeob1
 
  2  
Reply Fri 18 Feb, 2011 09:34 pm
@msolga,
msolga wrote:

George, yes most of us "credulous observers" are watching & hoping for “good results” in Egypt, Tunisia, Bahrain, Libya, etc ... But we are merely very interested observers of these events, not participants. The same as you.
I haven't seen any confident predictions about the outcome of these struggles from any of us, have you?
Yes, several: including yours.

msolga wrote:
But what is so "credulous" about hoping that the people risking their lives in these struggles actually do achieve better lives for themselves, free of the poverty & repression they've lived with for years? Why shouldn't we support their struggles for human rights & hope they achieve those goals? The same as we have in Burma, in South Africa under apartheid, the East Timorese fighting for independence from Indonesia?
Why have you omitted Zimbabwe, The Ivory Coast, Sudan, and Somalia? The fact is the march towards freedom and prosperity in those countries has been a very mixed bag, at best. Indeed some, including those I cited, and others as well have arguable regressed, even from their colonial pasts. That is certainly true of Burma, Zimbabwe, Somalia and the Ivory Coast, and is true enough, though to a lesser degree for all the others you cited. The credulity, of course, comes from ignoring history and the accumulated past precedents in analogous circumstances and entertaining unrealistic hopes as though they were certainties. The "hope that people risking their lives in these struggles... etc" is, I believe, founded on an exaggerated notion of "risking their lives" That doesn't mean you don't get to claim virtue for your oh-so-nice wishes, only that they may, in the circumstances, be unrealistic.

msolga wrote:
spendius said:
Quote:
I don't really understand why some posters on this thread are siding with the protesters which is the same thing as overthrowing their governments. I can make a case that such an outcome is in the interests of the protesters and also a case that it is in our interests. But my confidence in either case is not all that high. It's a speculation.

Is this the statement which you thought had some merit, George?
Partly. I do think it has some merit. Do you disagree?

msolga wrote:
I'm sure a "case" could be made for any number of positions. Like supporting autocratic regimes in the middle east because they're best for "our" interests.

But what do “our” interests have to do with their struggles for self determination, their aspirations for decent lives? Is it reasonable to argue that our interests should override theirs?I don't believe so.
Perhaps. However the histories of just about every country and civilization in the history of the world, including your own, demonstrate very clearly that self interest does indeed usually trump the interests of others. Perhap you have achieved a new state of enlightnment from which you can criticize all others. I don't claim such virtue for myself - and I am skeptical of such claims in others.

 

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