rosborne979 wrote:...but at its core the answer is that most people are focused on their personal short term needs over the general long term needs of the population.
Yea, this is just kind of how humans are. We've been doing this forever and I see no reason for it to ever stop. How or when it will end; I can't say. I'm at the point where the whole environmental damage issue is just depressing. Its like, no one cares...
jgweed wrote:Even if we cannot be absolutely certain that human activity poses such a dire threat, isn't it reasonable to err on the side of caution?
Nice - probably the best use of The Wager I've seen.
kennethamy wrote:Well, that of course depends on a cost/benefit analysis. What kinds of measures have to be taken, and how draconian will they be, measured against the probability (whatever it is) of our not taking draconian measures, but more moderate measures? It is not reasonable to err on the side of caution if erring on the side of caution means the loss of many jobs and an economic depression, as well as a reversion to our standard of living 75 years ago or so....
Good point, and I think its precisely because of the costs (and pains) associated that we've not done much - as a species - to lower our consumption footprint. But they're not getting any cheaper, and whether the damage is now slight or heavy, as resources become more rare (and costs become higher and more countries industrialize), it'll never be as easy as it is right now (barring massive, breakthrough technologies). I wonder when will it be time to take that bitter pill, or if we'll even know it when time comes.
farmerman wrote:The US used to be the greatest pollutor until the growing awareness of pollution and its consequences was monetized. Regs and awareness helped together. Now we have a thriving pollution control industry that can make sewage effluent into water cl eaner than the source that produced it .
China and India must learn the same lesson. There is a growing awareness in both countries of the health and economic consequences of pollution, so the governments aill have to cave and join the flow .
Yea, and when one considers how much lower the U.S. population is, and how much damage it DID do through these phases, I can only imagine what effect China/India growth will have if they go through all we have... wow!
kennethamy wrote:But you are just assuming not only the correctness of environmental hysteria, but that it is either dying or else destroying the economy of the United States, the industrial countries, and making a wholesale transfer of wealth to China and India who don't seem to be as hysterical as you are.
You talked about the Hysteria, and I'm not sure others got a really good point in there; That the more something is hyped or painted as immediate "OMG the world'z blowing up!" the less credible it'll be viewed. So whether we feel it to be immediate and urgent, we do this cause injustice by not painting it in a reasonable, low-keyed fashion. I believe some adherents and media outlets have taken up the environmental story and hyped it SO much (like always seems to be the case) that its backfiring. In any case..
Environmental problems are very high on my concern list, and they have been for a long, long time. I've been enjoying, for a long time, a LOT of documentaries (daily) for about the last 10 years (since I can't seem to tolerate any other kind of TV entertainment any more) and I can say with confidence that we are damaging our atmosphere, oceans, other species and other natural resources regularly and on a
massive scale. Whether there's enough time to turn back Global Warming or any other problem, I can't say. I do know this: Human nature is such that any plea of doom and gloom will be met with large and concerted, "Nah, you're just blowing smoke"-response.
I find the whole issue depressing. But what it might take to fix our environmental problems I find to be generally contrary to human nature. So whether sooner or later,
this train of waste, depletion and just *isn't* going to stop - not voluntarily anyway.
Thanks all