@Fil Albuquerque,
kennethamy;114546 wrote: The issue, as I already put it, is whether human actions and choices cannot be both free and predictable. Why can it not be predicted, completely accurately, that a person will do something freely??
I understand your point I think.
This statement is true:
If something is determined then it is also predictable (by one of Laplace's Martians at least)
But the converse is not so certain:
If something is predictable then it is also determined.
But doesn't prediction imply a tracing of the causes that
determine some future event?
Is there some other kind of prediction that does not involve tracing these causes? Divination perhaps? Tarot cards? Magic 8-ball? I want to believe there is but I can't think of one.
I want to believe that predictions involving probabilities somehow escape the causal chain of determinism but predictions involving probabilities are always at least partially guesses and not fully predictions.