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The US Dollar And The Stability Of The World Economy

 
 
xris
 
  1  
Reply Sun 3 May, 2009 01:46 pm
@EmperorNero,
EmperorNero wrote:
Why do you think the great depression happened exactly at oil peak?
Are you addressing the mirror or is this an Agatha Christie mystery?
0 Replies
 
BrightNoon
 
  1  
Reply Sun 3 May, 2009 04:37 pm
@EmperorNero,
EmperorNero wrote:
Why do you think the great depression happened exactly at oil peak?


I don't think I follow you. The great depression of the 30's obviously was a long way before peak oil. If you mean this crisis now, which I think is all but certain to become great depression 2.0, I would say that there is pretty strict correspondence between the inflationairy monetary system and the end of exponential growth. When that end comes, the inflationairy system should explode spectacularly. Picture a roller-coaster shooting up a very steep incline, but then suddenly the track ends; the coaster keeps ascending for a little while on momentum, but then crashes back to earth. Well, because of the unique status of the dollar as world reserve currency, we can continue ascending, or at least delay the greater part of the fall, for a while. The dollar will be the last bubble to burst and when it does, the game is over. I hope that's what you're talking about, if not correct me.

Xris,
You haven't attempted to add anything to the debate for a couple pages. I'd be glad to hear your refutation of any of the historical facts I've presented, or of my analysis based on those facts. However, if you can't formulate a rational argument, why are you still posting in this thread? I for one am done responding to your silly comments.
EmperorNero
 
  1  
Reply Sun 3 May, 2009 05:00 pm
@BrightNoon,
BrightNoon;61184 wrote:
I don't think I follow you. The great depression of the 30's obviously was a long way before peak oil.


I was just speculating. I referred to the "first" great depression in the 30's.
I thought that the crash course noted that the peak of oil was in 1930. I think we agree in the view that post industrial revolution complexity was an anomaly caused by peak oil. And I came up with the theory that the world wars were due to the ability of humanity to burn a bunch of resources when they were the easiest to get.
The easier humanity could get energy, the more economic growth. But at the very epicenter of peak-oil, or just before, when energy was the easiest to get, there is a depression. It doesn't fit in.

It might be coincidence, I just wondered.
BrightNoon
 
  1  
Reply Sun 3 May, 2009 10:44 pm
@EmperorNero,
O ok, I think I see what you mean; around the time of the great depression oil was easiest to acquire, so why did the depression (a decrease in complexity of sorts) occur? That certainly dosen't fit into the energy/compeity relationship, but not every event can be explained that way. In simplest terms, the G.D. was the result of the bust following the boom of the 20s, which was the creation of the newly founded federal reserve and its expansion of the money supply. And of course, what might have been just another depression, like we experienced throughout the 19th century, became 'Great' largely because of the government interventions, which prevented the correction. Anyway, as far as the world wars are concerned, no doubt the sudden availability of massive new sources of energy enabled that scale of conflict. The second world war was really a continuation of the first, and IMO the first was the final triumph of the British Empire over its last theoretical opponent: a united Germany. That may sound odd. We don't learn that in school and, indeed, it appears that the two world wars destroyed the british empire and established the U.S. as the world power, along with the russian paper tiger. However, I've come to look beyond nationalistic conceptions of history; i.e. even though Britain as a nation of islands in the North Sea began to decline, the elite of Britain, the finanicial interests, continued to dominate world events and in fact gained from the wars, along with their American peers on the East Coast, especially New York. The british system still exists, you might even say the british empire still exists, and we are part of it. However, as I said, that dosen't really have anything to do with the region of the world called Britain. It makes sense if you think about it. Capitalism and modern industrial civilization originated in Britain; members of high finance have always been internationalists; they survive and prosper even if the county to which they ostensibly belong and ar loyal declines. That system, of finanicial control still exists. I only call it British because it started there. I ramble...
EmperorNero
 
  1  
Reply Mon 4 May, 2009 06:15 am
@BrightNoon,
BrightNoon;61199 wrote:
the G.D. was the result of the bust following the boom of the 20s, which was the creation of the newly founded federal reserve and its expansion of the money supply. And of course, what might have been just another depression, like we experienced throughout the 19th century, became 'Great' largely because of the government interventions,


Well, that does explain it pretty well. The great depression was the result of the bubble of the 20's.
Well, if we are right with our anomaly theory here, then the current bubble is... well modern human society, right?
That bursting would suck pretty bad.
http://www.philosophyforum.com/forum/attachment.php?attachmentid=64&stc=1&d=1241438168

What do you think about that venus project stuff? Sounds to me like leninism in outer space. Which can't work, because it needs to be centrally planned. And that usually breeds corruption. Which is the problem with all marxist theories, they can't work in reality.

Edit: Boy, human history sucks.
BrightNoon
 
  1  
Reply Mon 4 May, 2009 11:25 pm
@EmperorNero,
When I first started looking into some of these topics, I came across the movie 'Zeitgeist,' which does a pretty good job explaining the corruption inherent in the monetary system, but concludes with a glowing endorsement of the Venus Project. It seems disturbing to me. Dreams of utopia usually end in dystopia.
EmperorNero
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 May, 2009 06:36 am
@BrightNoon,
BrightNoon;61349 wrote:
When I first started looking into some of these topics, I came across the movie 'Zeitgeist,' which does a pretty good job explaining the corruption inherent in the monetary system, but concludes with a glowing endorsement of the Venus Project. It seems disturbing to me. Dreams of utopia usually end in dystopia.


I would say the Venus project is just a front of the authoritarianist power grab. It is an excuse to turn control over to a central government.

BrightNoon;61041 wrote:
Exactly. Problem, reaction, solution.


And we shouldn't extend todays world linearly to the future and try solving problems that might occur in 1000 years. There are enough problems today.

BrightNoon wrote:
Exactly. They loan us the money to buy the stuff they produce. They get to develop from a feudal agricultural society to an industrial society faster than any other nation in history, and we get (temporarily) high standards of living, and no industrial base.


China can just pull the plug of the US economy and thereby the military, right?
0 Replies
 
EmperorNero
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 May, 2009 02:44 pm
@EmperorNero,
http://www.philosophyforum.com/forum/attachment.php?attachmentid=65&stc=1&d=1241555912

Let me ask you this. Do you think that this debt bubble came into being by pure incompetence?
It is the stated goal of Marxists to destroy nations to implement communism. Karl Marx said that to implement communism in rich nations, that wealth would first have to be destroyed. That is done by intervening in the cycles of up and down. You freak people out in times of down, you get them to intervene, and you do that until you crash the economy. The goal is crashing the economy!
Holiday20310401
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 May, 2009 06:35 pm
@BrightNoon,
BrightNoon wrote:
Dreams of utopia usually end in dystopia.


I can definitely see that with the Venus Project. Though I like the idea of getting rid of the monetary system and creating a sustainable society, I really don't see a positive outlook on the future of such a society. The technology just seems to emanate a kind of uniformity I find disturbing.

It's an interesting utopia, but I can't help but think the society would end up making people all have their own happy feeling rooms, you know, "trade your life for a happy feeling". Is that not what we are doing right now? Gaming, smoking... the tech is just not there, nor the automation.

The venus project might consider the implications technology/automation has on the percentage of extroverts/introverts. The extroverts would just disappear. If our desires are no longer fulfilled by people, but rather by machines, and they overpower lust, then think about how isolated we'd be.
0 Replies
 
EmperorNero
 
  1  
Reply Wed 6 May, 2009 08:53 am
@BrightNoon,
BrightNoon;61061 wrote:
If the agenda of these people is carried out, there is no reason to believe that they won't suceed in establishing themselves as the permanent ruling class, which we will be unable to ever overthrow.[/COLOR]


It's going on in this very moment. They banned a conservative talk show host from Britain for his thought crimes.

Michael Savage Banned From Entering UK: Country Publishes List Of People Not Allowed
0 Replies
 
BrightNoon
 
  1  
Reply Wed 6 May, 2009 09:37 am
@EmperorNero,
Quote:
China can just pull the plug of the US economy and thereby the military, right?


Yes. China could sell all of its dollar holdings, trillions public and private, tommorow and the dollar would be worth nothing by Friday, as this would start a chain reaction of every one of our creditors bailing in order to salvage something before the dollar collapsed. Of course, they would have to sell at a loss, so its not really in China's interest to do this, unless we leave them no other choice; i.e. unless we do something suicidal like start a war, either with China itelf or with one of its major allies: Russia, IRAN.

EmperorNero wrote:
Let me ask you this. Do you think that this debt bubble came into being by pure incompetence?
It is the stated goal of Marxists to destroy nations to implement communism. Karl Marx said that to implement communism in rich nations, that wealth would first have to be destroyed. That is done by intervening in the cycles of up and down. You freak people out in times of down, you get them to intervene, and you do that until you crash the economy. The goal is crashing the economy!


No, I think the powers that be have deliberately amassed an untenable amount of debt. On the one hand, debt grants control to the creditor (the bankers), makes them rich, and is the vehicle for manipulating the economy however they like; on the other hand, this amount of debt simply will, inevitably, cause the collapse of this nations currency and of the economy is general. That, reducing the lone superpower to third world status, is a neccessary precondition for international socialism. This is exactly what these same finanicial interests have done in almost every third world nation around the globe, via the IMF and American corporations. It seems confusing, and sometimes it seems like these elite powers are nationlistic Americans, even if they are authoritarian. However, in my view, they are simply using America as a vehicle for their agenda. The easiest way to control the world is to covertly coopt the greatest power in the world. The fact that, in using us for this purpose, they also destroy the middle class and the Republic, only helps them.

Quote:
It's going on in this very moment. They banned a conservative talk show host from Britain for his thought crimes.


About a month ago, Anthony John Hill, a British citizen, was arrested on a warrant from the EU and sent to the terrorism court of the EU at Westminster. He's not been released and its not been made public whether he's been charged or tried, or what his fate may be. As he was sent to the terrorism court, I presume he can be treated like a terrorist, and from what I understand the British 'enhanced interrogation techniques' make ours look reasonable. :perplexed: What was his suppposed crime? He made a documentary revealing some inconsistancies in the official story of the 7/7 bombings in London. Incidentally, while the govern went to these extraordinary lengths to prosecute a citizen for speaking out, they didn't bother to deny or refute any of his claims.
EmperorNero
 
  1  
Reply Wed 6 May, 2009 09:53 am
@BrightNoon,
BrightNoon;61595 wrote:
Yes. China could sell all of its dollar holdings, trillions public and private, tommorow and the dollar would be worth nothing by Friday, as this would start a chain reaction of every one of our creditors bailing in order to salvage something before the dollar collapsed. Of course, they would have to sell at a loss, so its not really in China's interest to do this, unless we leave them no other choice; i.e. unless we do something suicidal like start a war, either with China itelf or with one of its major allies: Russia, IRAN.


Then that constellation of WW3 is not going to happen. It would be my guess that WW3 will be sunni vs. shia.

BrightNoon;61595 wrote:
No, I think the powers that be have deliberately amassed an untenable amount of debt. On the one hand, debt grants control to the creditor (the bankers), makes them rich, and is the vehicle for manipulating the economy however they like; on the other hand, this amount of debt simply will, inevitably, cause the collapse of this nations currency and of the economy is general. That, reducing the lone superpower to third world status, is a neccessary precondition for international socialism. This is exactly what these same finanicial interests have done in almost every third world nation around the globe, via the IMF and American corporations. It seems confusing, and sometimes it seems like these elite powers are nationlistic Americans, even if they are authoritarian. However, in my view, they are simply using America as a vehicle for their agenda. The easiest way to control the world is to covertly coopt the greatest power in the world. The fact that, in using us for this purpose, they also destroy the middle class and the Republic, only helps them.


Might be.
Maybe I wasn't very clear on that idea. I meant that to gain total power one must destroy the freedom that is in the way of that. And intervention in the cycles of the free market, with the ultimate goal to make the economy going bust, is that way to destroy the economy. Communists see the economy as a hindrance. By way of freaking people out about mild economic downturn they push for intervention that will have the same effect as it had in the G.D.
BrightNoon
 
  1  
Reply Wed 6 May, 2009 10:33 am
@EmperorNero,
EmperorNero wrote:

Might be.
Maybe I wasn't very clear on that idea. I meant that to gain total power one must destroy the freedom that is in the way of that. And intervention in the cycles of the free market, with the ultimate goal to make the economy going bust, is that way to destroy the economy. Communists see the economy as a hindrance. By way of freaking people out about mild economic downturn they push for intervention that will have the same effect as it had in the G.D.


Yea I agree, just trying to elaborate a little. I tend to be a little loooooong winded..Surprised Very Happy
EmperorNero
 
  1  
Reply Wed 6 May, 2009 10:52 am
@BrightNoon,
BrightNoon;61601 wrote:
Yea I agree, just trying to elaborate a little. I tend to be a little loooooong winded..Surprised Very Happy


I thought you were disagreeing because you started you post with "No".

Ramble as much as you want, I love every word of it.
xris
 
  1  
Reply Wed 6 May, 2009 12:37 pm
@EmperorNero,
I see you are clapping each others wonderful examination of the failed ideology of socialism but find it extremely hard to reconcile your well held beliefs with the reality of the moment...Tell me do you honestly believe the bankers greed ..was it initiated by a social determination or capitalist motivations?
EmperorNero
 
  1  
Reply Wed 6 May, 2009 12:49 pm
@EmperorNero,
Neither, but by the human nature of serving self-interest.
xris
 
  1  
Reply Wed 6 May, 2009 01:05 pm
@EmperorNero,
EmperorNero wrote:
Neither, but by the human nature of serving self-interest.
Ah so the allowed excesses of capitalism has nothing to do with its values but the excesses of communists has everything to do with moderate democratic socialism..Im so silly,i get it now..
BrightNoon
 
  1  
Reply Wed 6 May, 2009 01:14 pm
@xris,
xris wrote:
I see you are clapping each others wonderful examination of the failed ideology of socialism but find it extremely hard to reconcile your well held beliefs with the reality of the moment...Tell me do you honestly believe the bankers greed ..was it initiated by a social determination or capitalist motivations?


What is the 'capitalist motivation?' If you're talking about greed, then yes, the bankers are motivated by that, along with the desire to gain power, for the sake of itself. If you crack a book, however, you'll find that these motivations are as old as history and have nothing to do with capitalism except in the way that human nature is involved in any economic, political, or other societal system, including socialism. If you begin by stating that human beings should be other than they are (not selfish), you are 1) being hopelessly unrealistic, or 2) implicitly suggesting that humanity should be forcefully changed, which means that you are advocating the most oppressive totalitarian state imaginable. Government enforced morality is in no way comptable with freedom. Ergo, you are opposed to freedom if you are in favor of enforced morality. If you are opposed to freedom, then we simply begin our arguments with different premises and found our world-views on completely different values. In that case, there's nothing more to discuss, except, amoung people who are on my side fo the issue, how to defeat your side.

However, Xris, I don't think you are opposed to freedom. I think you don't understand the issues. I think you don't understand your ideology or its full implications and you surely don't understand mine. I've presented my own views in addition to my criticism of your views, but you address neither and repeat the same montra, which basically amounts to 'capitalism is bad because it encourages greed and causes X, Y, and Z negative effects.' As Wittgenstein would say, greed is the case, a peice of given information in the equation; it is not a property which, under any circumstances, can be eliminated. As for X, Y, and Z negative effects, I've explained over and over and over and over how those are not products of the free market, but rather of government intrusion into the free market. If you disagree with that point, address my arguments and refute them with facts or logic. Otherwise, concede that you are mistaken. Or, concede that you have no interest in logical debate.
EmperorNero
 
  1  
Reply Wed 6 May, 2009 01:21 pm
@xris,
xris;61616 wrote:
Ah so the allowed excesses of capitalism has nothing to do with its values but the excesses of communists has everything to do with moderate democratic socialism.


"To do with" is to broad term. If we call it "will lead to", then yes, moderate democratic socialism will lead to communism and capitalism will not lead to bad values.
0 Replies
 
xris
 
  1  
Reply Wed 6 May, 2009 01:23 pm
@BrightNoon,
BrightNoon wrote:
What is the 'capitalist motivation?' If you're talking about greed, then yes, the bankers are motivated by that, along with the desire to gain power, for the sake of itself. If you crack a book, however, you'll find that these motivations are as old as history and have nothing to do with capitalism except in the way that human nature is involved in any economic, political, or other societal system, including socialism. If you begin by stating that human beings should be other than they are (not selfish), you are 1) being hopelessly unrealistic, or 2) implicitly suggesting that humanity should be forcefully changed, which means that you are advocating the most oppressive totalitarian state imaginable. Government enforced morality is in no way comptable with freedom. Ergo, you are opposed to freedom if you are in favor of enforced morality. If you are opposed to freedom, then we simply begin our arguments with different premises and found our world-views on completely different values. In that case, there's nothing more to discuss, except, amoung people who are on my side fo the issue, how to defeat your side.

However, Xris, I don't think you are opposed to freedom. I think you don't understand the issues. I think you don't understand your ideology or its full implications and you surely don't understand mine. I've presented my own views in addition to my criticism of your views, but you address neither and repeat the same montra, which basically amounts to 'capitalism is bad because it encourages greed and causes X, Y, and Z negative effects.' As Wittgenstein would say, greed is the case, a peice of given information in the equation; it is not a property which, under any circumstances, can be eliminated. As for X, Y, and Z negative effects, I've explained over and over and over and over how those are not products of the free market, but rather of government intrusion into the free market. If you disagree with that point, address my arguments and refute them with facts or logic. Otherwise, concede that you are mistaken. Or, concede that you have no interest in logical debate.
Ah now the act of desperation to conclude that your opponent is stupid and unable to conceive of his wonderful reasoning.Ethics , morality is not for sale, it is the aim of every right thinking human.I may not change man but i can hold a candle up to show him the way.
0 Replies
 
 

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