1
   

The US Dollar And The Stability Of The World Economy

 
 
Holiday20310401
 
  1  
Reply Thu 30 Apr, 2009 09:03 pm
@BrightNoon,
Sometimes I think a revolt of the current "scheme of things" is inevitable. And there has to be a transition, but why exponential growth? I was thinking the requirement for exponential growth was a 'quality' of capitalism, corporate capitalism at that.

Wouldn't exponential growth requirement imply the economic system is finite? If the system was sustainable it would be linear, would it not? So by creating a sustainable society, would it not ease the 'exponentiality' or whatever you want to call it.
BrightNoon
 
  1  
Reply Fri 1 May, 2009 08:08 am
@Holiday20310401,
As an economy is a reflection of the needs and abilities of a society, economic growth will always tend to be exponential, because human population growth is exponential. Malthus was right in a sense; we are destined for periodic collapses and die-off events. However, the die-off/collapse that's impending presently is not the result of natural economic development (via a free market), but of artificial manipulation of the economy. If continued economic growth (which could be growth in efficiency, quality, etc., not neccessarily material increase) is possible at all, it is possible only in the free market. Linear growth isn't possible at all unless the population stops growing exponentially, or increaingly large parts of that population lives in abject poverty. At this point, the system cannot be sustained, let alone grow more. When you hear politicians talking about sustainability, they're talking about population reduction and lower standards of living.

UK Population must fall to 30M, says Porritt wrote:
JONATHON PORRITT, one of Gordon Brown's leading green advisers, is to warn that Britain must drastically reduce its population if it is to build a sustainable society.


UK population must fall to 30m, says Porritt - Times Online

NYTimes wrote:
Customers largely skeptical of smart grid investments may be wary of letting utilities see when and how they use the energy they are consuming.... "A lot of people wonder if this is another thing that's going to benefit the utility at the expense of the consumer."


People are skeptical, and rightly soo, because the entire purpose of the smart grid, beside better integrating those valuable renewable energy sources that currently provide about 1% of our electricity :sarcastic:, is to enable the utilities to charge people base don how much energy they use and when, based on government regulations of course. Its a small setp to actually setting limits on the amount of power that a citizen is allowed to use. This is about rationing.

Will Americans learn to love 'smart grid'? - NYTimes.com
EmperorNero
 
  1  
Reply Fri 1 May, 2009 09:26 am
@BrightNoon,
BrightNoon;60830 wrote:
Linear growth isn't possible at all unless the population stops growing exponentially, or increaingly large parts of that population lives in abject poverty. At this point, the system cannot be sustained, let alone grow more. When you hear politicians talking about sustainability, they're talking about population reduction and lower standards of living.


I don't believe that we have reached the maximum yet. I don't believe in the whole overpopulation thing.

Quote:
the tremendous increase in global population since World War II has been accompanied by tremendous increases in prosperity and scientific achievement instead of the mass starvation and other disastrous consequences predicted by population controllers


Taking on the overpopulation myth - Washington Times

---------- Post added at 06:47 PM ---------- Previous post was at 05:26 PM ----------

Okay, a China question. China buys all this paper, printed by the US in order to boost the import of the US and thereby it's own exports. To keep the people happy. But wouldn't they be better off spending that money for production that stays withing China? So the people would be more happy having a higher standard of living?
BrightNoon
 
  1  
Reply Fri 1 May, 2009 11:25 am
@EmperorNero,
Re popultion growth:
I don't know if we have reached a maximum in the sense that, under any socio-political conditions, humanity has approached a physical limit to population growth. All I can say with certaintly is that 1) the present system cannot continue and there are no signs of it being reformed such that growth might be able to continue, and 2) the ruling powers are pushing hard for population control, regardless of the facts.

As for China, that's exactly what they're doing. When they unveiled their stimulus package, which relative GDP dwarfs our own, they announced that in the coming years the export model was going to be replaced by a domestic consumption model; i.e. the Chinese factories will start selling to the Chinese people.
xris
 
  1  
Reply Fri 1 May, 2009 11:49 am
@BrightNoon,
The facts are we running out of resources at an ever increasing amount in terms of what this present population requires.To kid yourselves everything in the garden is rosy and we can continue on our own sweet ways is ostrichitise.When you consider they are now talking about mining old waste tips, it gives a clue to the future.
A planned reduction in population and a considered amount of less consumption, not poverty, is the natural course of action.
This planet belongs to our children's children and our excesses will be their poverty if we dont grasp the nettle.
EmperorNero
 
  1  
Reply Fri 1 May, 2009 01:10 pm
@xris,
BrightNoon;60847 wrote:
2) the ruling powers are pushing hard for population control, regardless of the facts.


Why do you think that is, if the facts don't add up for it to be a sound reaction. I always viewed wanting to finish off large parts your own kind as a symptom of guilty liberal self-hate.
Every government should see a greater population as an asset, if only for having more tax-payers and military recruits. Hence it should support population growth as it has been beneficial to every society in human history. I don't think we're so special now that "it's different this time". As I noted earlier, every generation thinks that it lives in a special time where things are different.
This population reduction talk as in the link you posted strikes me as suicidal for any nation. Another theory is that this is part of a plot to plunge western nations into chaos to have a justification for implementing left-wing authoritarianism -- leninist-fascism.
I saw all of the crash course, and I agree with it. I even think things are going to crash pretty bad. But this stuff is not for those reasons. The crash course even mentioned how creating bulges in demography through suddenly falling birthrates is a problem.
The following is on the context of lefties intentionally supporting the islamisation of Europe through multiculturalism, but it is within the overall topic.
Quote:
With the failure of the USSR to destroy the West under the stalemated situation of MAD and later collapse of the USSR, an Alliance with Islamofascist Arab racial supremacy was undertaken, the idea being to plunge Western democratic society in to chaos employing Islamofascist Arab racial supremacy contained in a trojan horse of fake multiculturalism, with the end objective of seizing power by declaring State Socialism, (in reality crypto-Stalinist Leninist fascism), to be solution and then killing the Islamofascist Arab racial supremacist leadership in a Night of the Long Knives and imposing draconian measures against the wider Muslim community, to cower them in to submission, for example killing several thousand ordinary innocent Muslims. Unfortunately for the Leftist Fascists, Islamofascist Arab racial supremacists are both more sophisticated and more ruthless, when it comes to double crossing their supposed friends, than the lefties are and it would be the lefties who would be rounded up and shot, not the the Islamofascists.

That's what authoritarianists always do, right? Create the reason for them to be needed.
To say it in a somewhat simpler quote:
The nations that accepted communism were poor.
We have wealth, therefore we need to first destroy that wealth so we can implement communism.
xris
 
  1  
Reply Sat 2 May, 2009 03:14 am
@EmperorNero,
If i had my way i would select all right wing thinkers and exterminate them and we would kill two birds with one stone.Decrease the population and stop this shameless bigoted propaganda from being spouted as if it was the truth.I have witnessed a lot of debates deteriorate into right wing rhetoric before but this takes first prize.
EmperorNero
 
  1  
Reply Sat 2 May, 2009 08:33 am
@xris,
xris;60931 wrote:
If i had my way i would select all right wing thinkers and exterminate them and we would kill two birds with one stone.


I wouldn't exterminate all left-wingers if I had the chance. I think neither side is completely correct and neither sides agenda can function very well. I think there needs to be a balance between rational hard-asses and emotional soft-heads. The two sides need to balance each others out. Finding the right balance is all that matters. Both extremes on the pendulum will doom society.
Watch the South Park episode I'm a Little Bit Country for a nice explanation of that thought.
I happen to be a right-winger because I see that the balance is tilted too far to the left. Even if their motives are fallacious, I see the value of their influence. And I don't want to exterminate them. But I do think if they commit crimes, that should be punished. Such as the entirely undemocratic voter-intimidation by the same sex marriage mafia in California.
Both sides need to appreciate the value of the other side, and should not wish to exterminate it. We need to give both sides a voice, trying to get ones opinion to be the dominant one is all right, it's just that the left is too good at it. They have completely taken over media, education system and governments (especially the US) in industrialized nations, hence we're heading for the cliff at full speed.
Holiday20310401
 
  1  
Reply Sat 2 May, 2009 12:48 pm
@EmperorNero,
A dove is white, but it's feet are red.
xris
 
  1  
Reply Sat 2 May, 2009 01:04 pm
@Holiday20310401,
Come the revolution brother that house on the hill is mine.
EmperorNero
 
  1  
Reply Sat 2 May, 2009 01:11 pm
@xris,
xris;61000 wrote:
Come the revolution brother that house on the hill is mine.


Slaving in an arms factory is what you will do come the authoritarian revolution. :a-ok:
xris
 
  1  
Reply Sat 2 May, 2009 01:29 pm
@EmperorNero,
EmperorNero wrote:
Slaving in an arms factory is what you will do come the authoritarian revolution. :a-ok:
No im a commissar in my local revolutionary council.Your cards marked.Like salt on your chips? i hope so for your sake..
EmperorNero
 
  1  
Reply Sat 2 May, 2009 01:33 pm
@xris,
xris;61009 wrote:
No im a commissar in my local revolutionary council.Your cards marked.Like salt on your chips? i hope so for your sake..


Don't be so sure of that. Fascists are known to betray their own.
xris
 
  1  
Reply Sat 2 May, 2009 01:34 pm
@EmperorNero,
EmperorNero wrote:
Don't be so sure of that. Fascists are known to betray their own.
Not if you exterminate all your friends...friend..
0 Replies
 
BrightNoon
 
  1  
Reply Sat 2 May, 2009 03:43 pm
@xris,
xris wrote:
If i had my way i would select all right wing thinkers and exterminate them and we would kill two birds with one stone.Decrease the population and stop this shameless bigoted propaganda from being spouted as if it was the truth.I have witnessed a lot of debates deteriorate into right wing rhetoric before but this takes first prize.


Dosen't that support out point? ...that the statists (communists, socialists, fascists, theocrats, etc.: left/right is meaningless) are utilitarians and are capable of doing anything, even the most hiedous crimes, in the name of the 'greater good?' And let me say, your later posts express the same thing. You're just itching to sit on the local board of public safety aren't you, and indict all your personal enemies as 'traitors?'

Disgusting. When/if (hopefully when) 'your' revolution fails (not really yours, belongs to the people who you think are your enemies: banks corporations, etc.) there will be another Nuremburg and people who have carried out the things you're reccomending will be tried, found guilty, and shot.

---------- Post added at 05:57 PM ---------- Previous post was at 05:43 PM ----------

EmperorNero wrote:
Why do you think that is, if the facts don't add up for it to be a sound reaction.


First, its not just an issue of governments being presented with bad science and, as laymen, evaluating it without enough rigor. As I understand it, there are two prominent theories/models/data sets which suggest global warming, the big kahuna in the environmental movement. Both of the scintists who developed these model are working for and being payed by the government, directly or indirectly. On the other hand, there are literally hundreds of equally if not better qualified and sitinguished scientists not on government payroll who object to thoss models and find no evidence for global warming. Anyway, I think the objective is the same as it is with almost everything the government does: more control. Its easier to contorl a smaller population, and to manipulate it if the government can dictate power, water, food usage, etc. They (the ruling powers in and behind governments) want to manage us like livestock on their private estate. So said many prominent 19th centiry British intellectuals and politicians. There is a great quote saying almost eactly that from Bertrand Russel...or Maltus...or Geroge Bernard Shaw...I don't remember. I'll see if I can find it. (note, those are all, with the exception of Malthus who was too early, members of the Fabian Society, the stated goal of which is to establish, by means of gradualism, a world socialist state)

Quote:
That's what authoritarianists always do, right? Create the reason for them to be needed.
To say it in a somewhat simpler quote:
The nations that accepted communism were poor.
We have wealth, therefore we need to first destroy that wealth so we can implement communism.


Exactly. Problem, reaction, solution. For example. It is now pretty well documented that the panic of 1907, which provided the impetus to 'bank reform,' was deliberately generated by the New York banks. Of course, out of the 'bank reform' that was supposed to limit the power of the money trust (the big New York banks), came the Federal Reserve Act, written by the bankers, which turned over the monetary power to a private corporation, the Fed, owned and operated by, you guessed it, those bankers.
EmperorNero
 
  1  
Reply Sat 2 May, 2009 06:11 pm
@BrightNoon,
BrightNoon;61041 wrote:
First, its not just an issue of governments being presented with bad science and, as laymen, evaluating it without enough rigor. As I understand it, there are two prominent theories/models/data sets which suggest global warming, the big kahuna in the environmental movement.


Environmentalists, eh. I am as concerned with saving the planet as the next guy. But some environmentalist extremists are anti-humanity self-haters. They have guilt over being better off, over being in the overconsuming, rich part of the world. But instead of punishing themselves they want to punish humanity.

BrightNoon;60781 wrote:
Glad you think so, I'm trying to get my parents to watch it. There's always the possibility that some new and currently unimaginable technology will allow growth to continue, but even that has its problems. Unless something is invented which can power existing cars, homes, factories, etc. with the existing infrastructure, which is meant for fossil fuels (gas stations e.g.), there will have to be a significant period of time available to construct the new infrastructure. There is no such time if we are at 'peak everything' already. As Martenson explains, our economy depends not only on growth, but on massive exponential growth to sustain itself. I think we've reached the point where the obligations we've made are too great to be satisfied, i.e. that the future prosperity that we've effectively borrowed against cannot possibly be as great as we imagine it to be; even if it eventually is, there will be a period of decline during the transition to a new system. In other words, default on the debt with which we've built our modern society is inevitable, except that, rather than default, the government will inflate. The result is the same for the real economy. It's pretty obvious that, having reached the peak, or at least neared the peak of the inflationary system, we are not backing away slowly, but 'putting the pedal to the floor,' as Martenson says. I don't know, call me a pessimist, but I am starting to subscribe to the idea that the industrial revolution and industrial society (~1800-present) is a historical anomaly, and that humanity is destined to return to a simpler way of life, and a much lower population. This wasn't necessarily inevitable though. If we had had a free market and sound money, the massive depletion of resources over the last two centuries could have been invested productively, ensuring future prosperity. Instead, we took the easy route, installed an inflationary monetary system that allowed society to live above its means by borrowing against the future to fund the present, thereby causing an epic misallocation of resources (millions of excess homes, shopping malls, etc.), which ensures that the future prosperity won't be sufficient: a ponzi scheme that collapses in the end.


BrightNoon, please poke holes or correct me where I go wrong.

I finished watching all of the crash course. Holy cow, that stuff is scary. It's very interesting, but scary.
It seems the US are pretty much insolvent. It has a system that can cover over that until things completely fall apart and crash.
I looked it up. The US make over 6 Dollars in debt for every US citizen every day. As a comparison, Germanys debt is about 0.6 Cents per citizen per day. That seems unreal.
As far as I understood it, China produces worthless plastic toys, TV's and toasters. And the US buy them for worthless paper Dollars. And then China gives those worthless Dollars back to the US for soon worthless bonds. It's a bit like giving free heroin to your junky adversary. Did I get that right?

One of the things I learned from Thomas Friedman's The world is flat, was that nations create assets because they had to. Like India had to become big with knowledge work, because India has few natural resources. So they had to rely on what they had - the brains of their citizens.
I think the US were in a situation where they could print a bunch of money without it immediately inflating. So it did.
On what did the US spend all that money? Actually, I don't know. Certainly a high standard of living. And aircraft-carriers! The US spend as much on military as the rest of the world together. It is the world police. The US military is the reason that the rest of the western world doesn't have to have much of a military. And all that is funded by a pyramid scheme. What happens when the bubble bursts and the US can't maintain their military any more? I would say we go back to 'simpler ways'.
I have not much doubt that the US monetary bubble will burst. But the question is whether the rest of humanity will be dragged into it when that happens.

Let's hope peak everything isn't reached too soon. And I think at that point in the course Martenson makes a few jumps to conclusions. For example, oil extraction might have flattened out lately because of lack of investment during the dot-com-bubble, when investments went where they had higher returns instead. And today we notice the effects of not maintaining the oil infrastructure, as it's falling apart and we get less out of it. Also we have been ramming more plugs into existing oil fields, shunning the investment of making new ones attainable. So the oil peak may still be ahead.
But you're right that we at least need oil long enough for a new technology to be out there and working. And I don't see that happening.

Let's hope that the worlds energy surplus doesn't go away too fast. All of our lives complexity can in some way be traced back to oil. From food to everyday products to security. We each have a thousand slaves in the form of oil. (In your face, Roman Empire.) What are we going to do when most of the slaves disappear? In that sense I can understand the global warming myth as a means of reducing overconsumption. And the necessity to indoctrinate us into believing it.
I like to ask you if you think world politicians know what they are doing. Or are world politicians stumbling around hoping for things not to crumble while they are in office? Do they have a correct understanding of what goes on and are the policies we notice part of a long-time strategy to get through this, (like the global warming story, it seems to be quite a elaborate and strategy, it requires a lot of organization), or is their goal merely to grab power and support special interests?
Having a bigger population would be an asset to any nations government to weather the upcoming storm. That they are advocating population reduction is partly why I think they are pursuing a different agenda than getting us out of this mess.

You might be right that post industrial revolution complexity of society is an anomaly. And that me will return to simpler ways.
I view a return to 'simpler ways' more like a medieval age. A return to a feudal society with a low standard of living and oppression.
So that's it? Humanity got to the moon. By then we burned all resources and return to 'simpler ways'. Our modern standard of living, progress, leisure, democracy, cars, health care. All that was just a symptom of the anomaly?
That the most aggressive species succeeded to become to dominant one has the inevitable consequence that the species will be aggressive and burn all of earths resources because it can. It's a conundrum.

High intensity warfare is expensive, it requires fighter-jets, tanks, aircraft-carriers, technology and resources. High intensity warfare is quick and precise.
Low intensity warfare is cheap. That means dragged out conflicts with simple weapons, as warfare is in Africa. It's mostly badly armed infantry. And low intensity wars are much more deadly and depriving.
I'm beginning to believe that the big post industrial wars revolution were something that was bound to happen around the peak of humanities energy surplus. And that these extreme discharges, including the world wars, were a symptom of the anomaly.

You know, this outlook is pretty scary. But being born in the aftermath of the peak is pretty cool. It's a bit like entering a bar at the moment when everybody decides to stand a round. I bet there was uncertainty in every age. We have thousands of slaves, and we're right around the moment in world history when the optimum is reached. I like living in interesting times.
BrightNoon
 
  1  
Reply Sat 2 May, 2009 07:32 pm
@EmperorNero,
[quote]As far as I understood it, China produces worthless plastic toys, TV's and toasters. And the US buy them for worthless paper Dollars. And then China gives those worthless Dollars back to the US for soon worthless bonds. It's a bit like giving free heroin to your junky adversary. Did I get that right?[/quote]

Exactly. They loan us the money to buy the stuff they produce. They get to develop from a feudal agricultural society to an industrial society faster than any other nation in history, and we get (temporarily) high standards of living, and no industrial base.

[quote]One of the things I learned from Thomas Friedman's The world is flat, was that nations create assets because they had to. Like India had to become big with knowledge work, because India has few natural resources. So they had to rely on what they had - the brains of their citizens. I think the US were in a situation where they could print a bunch of money without it immediately inflating. So it did. On what did the US spend all that money? Actually, I don't know. Certainly a high standard of living. And aircraft-carriers! The US spend as much on military as the rest of the world together. It is the world police. The US military is the reason that the rest of the western world doesn't have to have much of a military. And all that is funded by a pyramid scheme. What happens when the bubble bursts and the US can't maintain their military any more? I would say we go back to 'simpler ways'.
I have not much doubt that the US monetary bubble will burst. But the question is whether the rest of humanity will be dragged into it when that happens.[/quote]


Good questions, which I'm certainly not qualified to answer. That's going to be my next project. However, I would guess that regional power structures like the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (composed of China, Russia, the Central Asian republics, Pakistan, and Iran) will become more important. Unfortunately, both because of the problems there already, and because it seems to confirm the insanity of the 'Armageddon' people, the next great war will probably be in the Middle East. With U.S. power declining and Chinese needs and power increasing, China is going to take bold action to secure its access to important resources, especially oil: hence the alliance with Iran (this is the only reason, IMO, that we haven't attacked Iran). It might be proxy war, like Vietnam, Korea, etc., but it could still have devastating consequences. I worry about Saudi Arabia in a post-American world; our active support is the ONLY thing that keeps that hated, tyrannical regime in place. If it was removed, the people might well elect a government that aligns itself with Iran, and just like that Saudi Arabia's vast oil reserves become in effect Chinese, and there's none for us in the U.S. In Europe, as I said before, Russia already has more influence than the U.S. Obviously that increases when the U.S. has to close bases and reduce military spending. Nations in East Asia that are currently protected by us have the most to worry about obviously. Chin has been pretty aggressive in claiming rights to oil and gas fields, amoung other assets in the South China Sea and elsewhere in the region.

http://www.smh.com.au/national/america-will-not-protect-us-warns-rudd-20090501-aq6c.html

In any case, global realignments are inevitably coming and we moving toward spura-national regionalism. I don't think something like Orwell's tripartite system, Oceania, East Asia, and Eurasia are too far off.

[quote]Let's hope peak everything isn't reached too soon. And I think at that point in the course Martenson makes a few jumps to conclusions. For example, oil extraction might have flattened out lately because of lack of investment during the dot-com-bubble, when investments went where they had higher returns instead. And today we notice the effects of not maintaining the oil infrastructure, as it's falling apart and we get less out of it. Also we have been ramming more plugs into existing oil fields, shunning the investment of making new ones attainable. So the oil peak may still be ahead. But you're right that we at least need oil long enough for a new technology to be out there and working. And I don't see that happening.[/quote]




I think most politicians do not understand what they are doing. When I first became interested in politics, I had trouble taking the politicians seriously; when they aren't obviously acting as shills for their corporate masters, they can hardly speak in a coherent fashion. They are pretty faces who look good in suits, or pant-suits: that's all. However, the next question would be, 'do the people really in control, the 'special interests,' know what they are doing?' Yes, they do. And, IMO, they are not acting only in simple self-interest, to make money. As I've been saying throughout my posts here, the elite of the west (especially the bankers) have always been in favor of communism/socialism/fascism/etc. I am quite convinced that the objective of these people, as represented by their various 'charitable' foundations, political clients, and their own memoirs, books and statements in many cases, is to establish a world totalitarian state. To be more specific, the ruling class would like to create a situation such that they cannot be removed from power, ever, and to increase their power. Again, Orwell comes to mind. What I am talking about is a neo-feudalist system, operated by a perennial oligarchy of the current ruling class. As I said, we will be managed like livestock, and bred or culled like livestock. This sort of statement would turn most people off from what I'm saying, because it seems so radical, but really, if you think of the last two centuries as an anomaly, it's a return to normality.

[quote]You know, this outlook is pretty scary. But being born in the aftermath of the peak is pretty cool. It's a bit like entering a bar at the moment when everybody decides to stand a round. I bet there was uncertainty in every age. We have thousands of slaves, and we're right around the moment in world history when the optimum is reached. I like living in interesting times.[/quote]


Me too :a-ok:. If I'm right about the direction in which we are being pushed, this is THE time to live if you want to make a difference. If the agenda of these people is carried out, there is no reason to believe that they won't suceed in establishing themselves as the permanent ruling class, which we will be unable to ever overthrow.
xris
 
  1  
Reply Sun 3 May, 2009 05:51 am
@BrightNoon,
BrightNoon wrote:
Dosen't that support out point? ...that the statists (communists, socialists, fascists, theocrats, etc.: left/right is meaningless) are utilitarians and are capable of doing anything, even the most hiedous crimes, in the name of the 'greater good?' And let me say, your later posts express the same thing. You're just itching to sit on the local board of public safety aren't you, and indict all your personal enemies as 'traitors?'

Disgusting. When/if (hopefully when) 'your' revolution fails (not really yours, belongs to the people who you think are your enemies: banks corporations, etc.) there will be another Nuremburg and people who have carried out the things you're reccomending will be tried, found guilty, and shot.

---------- Post added at 05:57 PM ---------- Previous post was at 05:43 PM ----------



First, its not just an issue of governments being presented with bad science and, as laymen, evaluating it without enough rigor. As I understand it, there are two prominent theories/models/data sets which suggest global warming, the big kahuna in the environmental movement. Both of the scintists who developed these model are working for and being payed by the government, directly or indirectly. On the other hand, there are literally hundreds of equally if not better qualified and sitinguished scientists not on government payroll who object to thoss models and find no evidence for global warming. Anyway, I think the objective is the same as it is with almost everything the government does: more control. Its easier to contorl a smaller population, and to manipulate it if the government can dictate power, water, food usage, etc. They (the ruling powers in and behind governments) want to manage us like livestock on their private estate. So said many prominent 19th centiry British intellectuals and politicians. There is a great quote saying almost eactly that from Bertrand Russel...or Maltus...or Geroge Bernard Shaw...I don't remember. I'll see if I can find it. (note, those are all, with the exception of Malthus who was too early, members of the Fabian Society, the stated goal of which is to establish, by means of gradualism, a world socialist state)



Exactly. Problem, reaction, solution. For example. It is now pretty well documented that the panic of 1907, which provided the impetus to 'bank reform,' was deliberately generated by the New York banks. Of course, out of the 'bank reform' that was supposed to limit the power of the money trust (the big New York banks), came the Federal Reserve Act, written by the bankers, which turned over the monetary power to a private corporation, the Fed, owned and operated by, you guessed it, those bankers.
I am amazed when men of intelligence can not see a humorous response to a point of view that is beyond reasonable reply.I leave you two to your twisted view of world affairs and the blinkered attitudes you propose.I think the problem for you both is the system that you much admire has caused such a disaster, you are scrambling to find scape goats at ever opportunity.Be honest for once and admit your heroes have let you down.
0 Replies
 
EmperorNero
 
  1  
Reply Sun 3 May, 2009 08:36 am
@BrightNoon,
BrightNoon;61061 wrote:
Exactly. They loan us the money to buy the stuff they produce. They get to develop from a feudal agricultural society to an industrial society faster than any other nation in history, and we get (temporarily) high standards of living, and no industrial base.


China can just pull the plug of the US economy, right? They can just destroy the Dollar from one day to the next.
Which China can do in case of a conflict.

BrightNoon;61061 wrote:
Good questions, which I'm certainly not qualified to answer. That's going to be my next project. However, I would guess that regional power structures like the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (composed of China, Russia, the Central Asian republics, Pakistan, and Iran) will become more important. Unfortunately, both because of the problems there already, and because it seems to confirm the insanity of the 'Armageddon' people, the next great war will probably be in the Middle East. With U.S. power declining and Chinese needs and power increasing, China is going to take bold action to secure its access to important resources, especially oil: hence the alliance with Iran (this is the only reason, IMO, that we haven't attacked Iran). It might be proxy war, like Vietnam, Korea, etc., but it could still have devastating consequences. I worry about Saudi Arabia in a post-American world; our active support is the ONLY thing that keeps that hated, tyrannical regime in place. If it was removed, the people might well elect a government that aligns itself with Iran, and just like that Saudi Arabia's vast oil reserves become in effect Chinese, and there's none for us in the U.S. In Europe, as I said before, Russia already has more influence than the U.S. Obviously that increases when the U.S. has to close bases and reduce military spending. Nations in East Asia that are currently protected by us have the most to worry about obviously. Chin has been pretty aggressive in claiming rights to oil and gas fields, amoung other assets in the South China Sea and elsewhere in the region.

Kevin Rudd | China dominance

In any case, global realignments are inevitably coming and we moving toward spura-national regionalism. I don't think something like Orwell's tripartite system, Oceania, East Asia, and Eurasia are too far off.


I agree. We really won't know when peak was until after it comes and it becomes very obvious that societal complexity is in decline. If not now though, I think it's got to be soon.
BrightNoon;61061 wrote:
I think most politicians do not understand what they are doing. When I first became interested in politics, I had trouble taking the politicians seriously; when they aren't obviously acting as shills for their corporate masters, they can hardly speak in a coherent fashion. They are pretty faces who look good in suits, or pant-suits: that's all.


Yeah, it would be pretty silly to actually put decisions in the hands of a bunch of pretty faces, elected by populist will.
What are they doing at these international meetings, like G8, is that just for show?

BrightNoon;61061 wrote:
However, the next question would be, 'do the people really in control, the 'special interests,' know what they are doing?' Yes, they do. And, IMO, they are not acting only in simple self-interest, to make money. As I've been saying throughout my posts here, the elite of the west (especially the bankers) have always been in favor of communism/socialism/fascism/etc. I am quite convinced that the objective of these people, as represented by their various 'charitable' foundations, political clients, and their own memoirs, books and statements in many cases, is to establish a world totalitarian state.


The best way to solve the problems created by fascism would be abandoning fascism, not creating justifications for more fascism.
Sadly, that's why I think the motives are not to solve problems, but to get more power.

BrightNoon;61061 wrote:
To be more specific, the ruling class would like to create a situation such that they cannot be removed from power, ever, and to increase their power. Again, Orwell comes to mind. What I am talking about is a neo-feudalist system, operated by a perennial oligarchy of the current ruling class. As I said, we will be managed like livestock, and bred or culled like livestock.


The only way to stop it would be convincing enough people, and it's so hard to explain to people before it's too late. They don't want to believe this, because that's just too scary and disturbing. They rather dig their own graves supporting what sounds noble.

BrightNoon;61061 wrote:
This sort of statement would turn most people off from what I'm saying, because it seems so radical, but really, if you think of the last two centuries as an anomaly, it's a return to normality.


I agree. You know, one of the odd things about the internet is that whichever wacky theory someone has, he will find someone there to confirm it. Which is why I try to poke holes into my own reasoning and try to find errors.

Studies show the brain is wired to get a quick high from reading things that agree with our point of view. The same studies proved that, strangely, we also get a rush from intentionally dismissing information that disagrees, no matter how well supported it is.

Which is why facts don't matter as much as which side gets to us first. Sadly the communists/socialists/fascists are pretty good at that.

BrightNoon;61061 wrote:
Me too :a-ok:. If I'm right about the direction in which we are being pushed, this is THE time to live if you want to make a difference. If the agenda of these people is carried out, there is no reason to believe that they won't suceed in establishing themselves as the permanent ruling class, which we will be unable to ever overthrow.


Eh, that sucks. I rather want a easy life, where my greatest challenge is not getting fat and decadent. :surrender:
Even if we stop this, I don't want to be known by my grandkids as grandpa who lived thorough the second great depression and fought in the global civil war.
0 Replies
 
EmperorNero
 
  1  
Reply Sun 3 May, 2009 11:41 am
@EmperorNero,
Why do you think the great depression happened exactly at oil peak?
 

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