Frank Apisa wrote:2) I think the best thing the Democrats can do is to simply write off the South and use their resourses in other, truly swing areas. The South no longer is a swing area -- it is solidly in the Republicn camp.
I not only think it's possible to take back at least a portion of the south like Jimmy Carter did but I think it's a must for the long term survival of the party.
The problem is that Minnesota is the only solidly Democratic state though Washington DC has been solidly Democrat also. That's why the Republicans can have 49 state sweeps. The Democrats wouldn't dare dream of such a victory.
The following states haven't voted Democrat after 1964:
Indiana, Kansas, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota, Virginia, Oklahoma, Idaho, Utah, Wyoming, Alaska
The following states haven't voted Democrat after 1976:
Alabama, Mississippi, North Carolina, South Carolina, Texas
Washington DC has always voted Democrat. Minnesota is the only state to have always voted Democrat since 1976, 1980, or 1984.
Giving up the solidly Republican states would be giving up 17 states or 135 electoral votes! Exactly half the number of votes needed to win. Meanwhile the Democrats only have 1 solidly Democratic state plus the District of Columbia for a total of 13 electoral votes.