@Linkat,
The answer to your question, by the way, is:
No they do not --- at least not all of you.
Does the name McKinsey ring a bell?
Chances are that if not McKinsey, then some other management consultant has been engaged by your company.
What you are describing is a version of a fairly common consultant's exercise designed to involve employees in the very unpleasant process of downsizing.
I suppose some senior managers think that the process can result in the employees actually selecting the people to lay off, but I suspect that most simply want their employees to better understand the need for lay-offs so they do not come as a tremendous shock.
The answer to a question you did not ask is: Some of you
are morons, or at least irrational.
You may think that these sort of efforts (or ploys if you like) are unnecessary because in rough economic times, employees are smart enough and adult enough to understand that lay-offs may be necessary and would prefer to just get on with it.
Unfortunately this is not uniformly the case. No matter how bleak the picture may be for the company and the larger economy, there are a great many employees who react with shock when layoffs are announced, and even more so when they are the ones being laid off.
I saw this approach used once and was dismayed to find that once the employees caught on that the exercise was intended to identify the people who needed to go, the response of far too many was to use it to identify people other than themselves. You can imagine how ugly it became.
Your view of these exercises depends in large measure in your trust in your senior management and your basic opinion of corporate management in general.
On the one hand, the exercises are use by calculating cowards to distance themselves from the stressful, if not painful, decisions around lay-offs and to attempt to have the herd cull itself.
On the other hand they are used by thoughtful and well intentioned people who want their employees to understand why such drastic measures are necessary.
Generally, management that suspends or reduces their own bonuses or cuts perks like corporate aircraft, before laying off employees fall into the latter category. Safe to say that the ones who find it necessary to lay off to preserve their own elite status quo fall into the former.
My experience tells me that only a very few senior managers actually believe that their employees are too stupid to see through their ploys. The sad fact is that many of them don't really care whether or not the employees do. If they are trying to pull the wool over anyone's eyes it is shareholders, board members, and in some cases industry press. Often they just want to have a smooth answer to give when someone, anyone, confronts them on the issue.
Again, it is a mistake to assume that all senior managers are venal and conniving. Many do care about their employees and struggle with tough decisions that impact their welfare. Like anything else, generalizing rarely paints an accurate picture.
Of course I could be wrong, but the signs, as you relate them, strongly suggest that lay-offs are in your future.
As a manager yourself, you will do your people no good at all by stirring up cynicism and resentment. You should only discuss with them what you know; not what you suspect or fear.
The primary reason companies employ severance packages at time of down-sizing is for the good of the people retained, rather than the people let go. Of course many senior managers care about the people being let go and want to be as generous as possible, but those people are, after all, being let go --- they have no direct impact on the ongoing fortunes of the company. On the other hand, the people retained most certainly do, and chances are they will be asked to work harder than before.
If you see your peers cast adrift on the ocean of unemployment your cynicism will rise, your productivity will fall, and if you have any brains, you will be looking for a new job. This is deadly for a company that intends to live on after layoffs. Presumably, if you are retained, you are someone they think they need, and it certainly isn't in their interest to destroy your value and potential by demoralizing you.
Of course there are plenty of senior managers who will do things that are against the interests of their company, providing they are in their own personal interests, but there are many who try to play it smart and straight.
While we're at it, let’s not romanticize the poor lowly worker. There are plenty of them who should have been fired long before they ever got laid off and if retained wouldn't be worth spit. The percentage of good vs. bad is probably pretty similar in terms of senior managers and general employees.
If and when lay-offs come, the best things you can do for your people are:
1) Keep them as informed as you can, but only with information of which you are sure.
2) Take whatever opportunity you have to influence the enriching of severance policy
3) Be able to clearly and convincingly argue why your true "keepers" should be retained and don't try and blow smoke up anyone's ass about the rest
4) Help those that get the pink slip by introducing them to whatever network of contacts you have
5) Keep the workplace atmosphere as upbeat as possible. The depth of a person's funk once laid off has a direct relationship to their chances for finding new employment
Of course you may actually only be concerned with your personal situation which is fair enough, but not really any different than the senior managers.