13
   

So what does your prediction map look like? Find out here!

 
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Mon 3 Nov, 2008 06:07 pm
@realjohnboy,
I've enjoyed two sites more than any other when it comes to electoral votes - Pollster.com and fivethirtyeight.com. 538 predicts:

http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_ov-pT1x-W8Y/SQ9_M0yKUuI/AAAAAAAADB4/Dz8C5na9QZs/S1600-R/1103b_mainchart.png

And so shall I.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
JTT
 
  1  
Reply Mon 3 Nov, 2008 06:25 pm
@realjohnboy,
Quote:
MN (if that is the abbreviation for Montana).


MN = Minnesota

MT = Montana
realjohnboy
 
  1  
Reply Mon 3 Nov, 2008 06:31 pm
@JTT,
JTT: TU
OCCOM BILL
 
  1  
Reply Mon 3 Nov, 2008 06:33 pm
@realjohnboy,
Laughing I think you mean "TY"
realjohnboy
 
  1  
Reply Mon 3 Nov, 2008 06:35 pm
@OCCOM BILL,
I am a dumb redneck, Bill. But I do know my 2nd amendment rights, if you know what I mean.
JTT
 
  1  
Reply Mon 3 Nov, 2008 06:37 pm
@OCCOM BILL,
He's from the Omsig David school, Bill. Smile
0 Replies
 
JTT
 
  1  
Reply Mon 3 Nov, 2008 06:40 pm
@realjohnboy,
Quote:
I am a dumb redneck, Bill. But I do know my 2nd amendment rights, if you know what I mean.


I was just jokin, honest I was, RJB.
0 Replies
 
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Mon 3 Nov, 2008 06:49 pm
@nimh,
I like 'your' map best, but I think Obama will end up with more than 311. I'm thinking "landslide."
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Mon 3 Nov, 2008 06:50 pm
@realjohnboy,
rjb, I agree that Obama will pick up Florida; a huge loss for the GOP.
H2O MAN
 
  -2  
Reply Mon 3 Nov, 2008 06:55 pm
@cicerone imposter,

Yeah, that landslide talk worked out real well last time - let's all hope that nothing changes this go round.
0 Replies
 
realjohnboy
 
  1  
Reply Mon 3 Nov, 2008 07:20 pm
@cicerone imposter,
With regards to FL: I am thinking that the Jewish voters, who were cool to Obama at one point are swinging his way. And the "Hispanic" voters - however you define that group (which is too complicated to go into now) are also. I hear that the younger generation of Cubans are more inclined to see a dialogue opened with the post Castro(s) regimes. Is that an accurate reading?
0 Replies
 
OCCOM BILL
 
  1  
Reply Mon 3 Nov, 2008 07:30 pm
@realjohnboy,
realjohnboy wrote:
I am a dumb redneck, Bill. But I do know my 2nd amendment rights, if you know what I mean.
You can sell that "dumb redneck" stuff to the folks who haven't met you, RJB; I know better.
kuvasz
 
  1  
Reply Tue 4 Nov, 2008 12:58 am
@engineer,
engineer said
Quote:
I won't bother to post a new map, but I'm going for your map plus GA and IN in Obama's corner for 390 total.
.. btw the same map predicted by the founder of daily kos.

georgia has already cast 1,990,000 votes where in 2004 they had cast a total of 3,3 million, so the dems GOTV has moved an obama majority to the polls already.

i'm with you (and kos), and add montana so add three EVs to obama, for 393, mccain 145
0 Replies
 
OCCOM BILL
 
  1  
Reply Tue 4 Nov, 2008 03:05 am
@OCCOM BILL,
Still liking the predictions. And I LOVE these odds:

http://img411.imageshack.us/img411/2417/81063491ds8.jpg

A cool Ten to One. Where's that fat lady, anyway?
0 Replies
 
fbaezer
 
  1  
Reply Wed 5 Nov, 2008 09:06 am
I believe the winner by total tally will be Occom Bill (only thing you have to do is exchange Missouri and Indiana, as things look like right now).

But I think I was the closest overall, analytically.
My 338 votes are exactly those on Obama's account at the moment.
The toss-ups were the toss-ups.

North Carolina was the state I was most hesitant about.
Indiana is reassuringly surprising me.
Never had Rockhead's faith in Missouri (I learned English in St. Louis, and visited the heartland... George Wallace country back then). Still don't.
OCCOM BILL
 
  1  
Reply Wed 5 Nov, 2008 11:45 am
@fbaezer,
Well, we both blew Indiana... happy surprise, that! (and only by a fraction of a point... 22,718 votes. (<-Close!)) We may have to wait awhile for Misery and NC... crazy close! (I hope those that didn't exercise their right to vote learn a lesson.) Currently, of our remaining potential errors:
NC: 12,163 vote lead for Obama. (<-Closer!)
MO: 5,853 vote lead for McCain. (<-Closest Wink)

All three are by fractions of a point, so I don't think our heads need to be hung in shame. Well done!
jespah
 
  1  
Reply Wed 5 Nov, 2008 05:50 pm
@OCCOM BILL,
Current results

346-163 as of this writing. Missouri (11) and North Carolina (15) not yet in.
0 Replies
 
 

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