dlowan wrote:
I don't know that it is inevitable, but bear in mind that the people you are positing being put somewhere are known for not playing nicely together.
I would by no means think it especially likely that they would settle down to harmonious life together, or scatter peacefully.
a. That's still a stretch away from certain death. In any case, they are already being placed together in small cells with traditional incarceration.
Quote:You are, I suppose, imagining plenty of food etc? I am imagining what I think is a far more realistic scenario of amateur farmers having lots of crop failures and food being scarce.
b. I certainly imagine some crop failure, mostly to do with laziness and not ineptitude. I also see it as a consequence of shunning society by breaking the social contract with society.
Quote:Yes, they are kept in close quarters in prison, and I think that prisons are a good argument for trying to think of something else, but they don't kill each other a lot in prison because there is some imposition of outside order
c. Said imposition of outside order consists primarily of denying them most of their freedoms and still doesn't prevent atrocity.
Quote:as well as the presence of groups who will avenge an attack on one of theirs (and protection of vulnerable prisoners by powerful ones, in return for sex.)
d. This can exist anywhere, the lack of imposition of outside order is the only relevant distinction.
Quote:Remember, these are not even an ordinary prison population (who tend to be pretty goddam brutal to each other anyway) but the most violent offenders. That being said, some of the nicest criminals I have worked with are murderers, but I am unsure if one off murderers would be in your scenario?
It would be for death penalty cases (to make this part simple).
Quote:Looking at what happens when prisons, or parts of prisons, get taken over by prisoners for a while is likely the closest in vivo experiment with your scenario,
e. I don't think it's anything remotely similar. Prison riots tend to have, as their primary motivation, elements of their incarceration.
Quote:I would think the best hope would be the formation of some sort of gang culture, where there was organised brutality, mixed in with the kind of emotional bonding one sees in gangs in the US.....with the added problem of sexual predation to manage. Adding food hardship to this would be a pretty toxic mix, I think.
f. I would think that putting death penalty cases (even from the whole world at ten times the current population) in an area the size of Australia would result in a lot of solitude.
Quote:
I am positing people being added to the population because I do not see it likely that crime would stop because of your islands, and there would be a continuing supply of newly sentenced people to be marooned.
Sounded like you were talking of increasing numbers being sent (as in a greater flow).
Quote:
I am not saying a more cheerful society could not form, but I really think you are being rather optimistic about the likely actions of your posited islanders.
g. What likely actions have I talked about?
In any case, we already put dangerous people together. I think putting them together in much less proximity is a more humane thing to do even if they do kill themselves at a greater rate. In some places blacks are far more likely to die in jail than out of jail but they still prefer out of jail.
h. The key to me is that society would not be killing the individuals. I think this is a better solution for the inmates themselves than life in jail or the death penalty even in your worst case scenarios.
i. Incidentally, what if it was a choice between life in prison and banishment? What qualm would you find with it then? And how many do you think would pick life in prison?
Inessence youd just have another prison, only with a much larger perimeter to guard.
a. Part of our difference may be that, psychologically, I find it hard to factor in a real death penalty, since this hasn't occurred in Australia since the 60's. Yes..people would likely choose some chance of life rather than death.
b. You are imagining inconveniences to the food supply...I am imagining a life of the harshness it had in early settlement times in Australia and the US, without the presence of people who know how to farm, and with the presence of people with little or no empathy, no impulse control, and few normal constraints upon their behaviour. Just growing food is very difficult, you know...as is living off the land with no weapons and no knowhow.
e. I don't know....I agreed there were differing circumstances...but from what prisoners who have lived through this sort of thing have told me, life organises itself pretty fast into heavies rule, and do whatever they want, depending on the "no squealing" rule to stop others from disclosing the rapes etc. they have suffered. Riots are certainly pretty extreme, especially when alcohol fuelled, but I think you are way too sweeping in dismissing the likely similarity to dynamics on your island. Just as a for instance, prisoners generally decide it's not a really good idea to kill anyone during a riot, as they know the authorities will take control back at some point.
f. You keep assuming that people will scatter. Some might....but, humans tend to be a herd creature and crave society.
Also, to produce enough food to live on at pre-industrial revolution technology (even IF you know what you are doing) you tend to need a lot of labour. My hunch would be, if they survived, that they would form warring gangs.....
As I said, that might be quite a satisfying life, as I understand from what (little) I have read of the sociology of gangs, that members find them quite sustaining. But...I'd not like to be someone seen as a weak member, or there when the conflicts happened.
Also, even if they survived, I imagine it would soon be a miserable life (do they have any medical supplies?) as one became ill, or old, or injured.
g. The actions you appear to me to have talked about are organised and reasonably successful farming, people scattering and hence lessening the chance of lots of violence, and a general assumption that a lot of the people will act in a fairly rational and reasoned manner..(eg farm, have rules and sanctions).....
"In some places blacks are far more likely to die in jail than out of jail but they still prefer out of jail. " Did you mean blacks are far LESS likely to die in prison?
h. I am not at all convinced that putting them somewhere where violence, starvation, untreated disease will kill them, for some, more slowly, is a lot better for society than killing them. I just think, as I said, that it simply removes the act even further from those in whose name it is done than the current situation in the USA does.
That being said, I know that my thinking is informed by knowing there are other options...eg the death penalty is unknown here....most prisoners will be released, and do not face life in prison, most western countries are not doing what the US does in killing people or making them stay in prison forever....(though a rather obscene political scenario is playing out here of would-be governments competing about how draconian their treatment of criminals will be, so it may get a lot worse.)
I may be unable to really imagine the horror of the situation of many US prisoners, and, given that my beliefs about how your scenario would play out in real life are much gloomier than yours, I may not be balancing glooms with full knowledge of the prison/execution part of the gloom.
"Incidentally, what if it was a choice between life in prison and banishment? What qualm would you find with it then? And how many do you think would pick life in prison?"
My qualms lessen dramatically if there is a choice.
Personally, for instance, I would likely pick life in prison...as long as I had books.
Being marooned with a bunch of dangerous criminals would seem to me a fate far worse than life in prison. I know from life in prison (as much as anyone who hasn't been incarcerated CAN know), and I know that people can make a sort of life in there. What I have seen of unchecked rule by prison heavies scares the living bejesus out of me...and I include the women here.
But I am imagining prisons I know.....the prisons you are thinking of may be a lot worse.
I don't know about the vulnerable ones. They are, in my experience, as terrified as I of unfettered rule by heavies. What they are already experiencing is usually awful enough.
BTW, I haven't tried to figure out how New Zealand would go yet.
ALSO,, just a minor annoyance, would this proposal get in the way of the eighth amendment? or is the author of this brilliant idea counting on an even more right wing USSC?
Another reason to vote against MCCAin.
Do you really think that current laws are relevant arguments in an ethical debate about what the laws should be
farmerman wrote:Inessence youd just have another prison, only with a much larger perimeter to guard.
This is the most cogent objection to this idiocy. You'd spend more resources and money attempting to guard against the depredations of escaped inmates, or you'd need, literally, an army to patrol the perimeter--and even that would be scant guarantee.
RG's suggestion of using islands is hardly more plausible. People have escaped from islands, as well, but the costs would astronomical on islands, too. Just whose islands does one propose to give them? And if they were put on islands that no one now wants to live on, how would it differ from just taking them out to shoot them?
Just clicked....you're probably assuming they are deposited in scattered groups?
The majority of the cost of guarding a prison involves guarding the prisoners from themselves and regulating their day to day activities. It does not stem from merely segregating the society.
Using an island to segregate has historical precedent as you certainly know they did not spend more resources per capital on guarding prisoners than they currently spend in much smaller areas.
The increased cost has come from improved prison conditions and internal security.
Aside from the initial cost of allocating land (a big enough problem to make this an entirely theoretical exercise) there's no reason to believe that the costs would be any higher than they currently are (US averages $88 per prisoner per day).
The primary cost of incarceration is imposing order on their day to day activities. Keeping these people from escaping a remote island would be a very small cost and they'd likely escape to a lesser degree than they already do from prisons.
Well, yeeaaahhh. Do you propose that e do away with all or just a few of the Bill of Rights? Your thinking is a bit muddled.
But there are several other things which went unconsidered into this proposal. If you want to set up your penal colony county, you're going to have to condemn the entire county under public domain, and they pay the current owners fair market value. The state that did that would be in hock of a century.
Apart from that, probably half the population would murder the other half within the first year or two. That would make all the state officials who had cooperated accessories to murder before the fact.
It would make more sense, as i've already pointed out, just to march them out and shoot them right off the bat.
I suggest you read The Fatal Shore, Richard Hughes,
A U.S. Justice Department report released on November 30 2006 showed that a record 7 million people -- or one in every 32 American adults -- were behind bars, on probation or on parole at the end of last year. Of the total, 2.2 million were in prison or jail.
According to the International Centre for Prison Studies at King's College in London, more people are behind bars in the United States than in any other country. China ranks second with 1.5 million prisoners, followed by Russia with 870,000.
The U.S. incarceration rate of 737 per 100,000 people in the highest, followed by 611 in Russia and 547 for St. Kitts and Nevis. In contrast, the incarceration rates in many Western industrial nations range around 100 per 100,000 people.
In the first place, Finn posited a "penal county," and not an island, and you would need an army to patrol the perimeter, which could be hundreds of miles in a large county, and many tens of miles even for a small one.
Island penal colonies still needed to be supported by the authorities.
The fact that, for example, England spends more now per capita on the prison population than it did in 1820 is a disingenuous response, because it ignores the proportional value of money.
In fact, Van Dieman's Land was a dead loss to the English government throughout the history of the penal colony in Australia, and the government looked the other way with regard to costs in New South Wales, because they were basically running a slave economy. Many free settlers and many ticket of leave men and women got really rather wealthy from getting assigned convict labor.
But the best argument against this false statement of yours is that England abandoned the penal colony system when they began to build prisons like Pentonville, which were modeled on the new American penitentiaries (which, of course, they'll never admit).
I suggest you read The Fatal Shore, Richard Hughes, some time. It will educate you a good deal about just how cost effective the "Botany Bay" experiment was.
As i pointed out with regard to a "penal county," you'd have to condemn the land under public domain provisions, and pay fair market value to the current owners. The cost would be enormous, probably out of the realm of probability.
But if you choose an island or islands which are not currently inhabited, the reason would be obvious--there were no utility of any kind in inhabiting the island. In that case, you'd either have to provide shelter, and provide continuing supplies of food and clothing, or you condemn to a slow an agonizing death any whom you land there. Otherwise, you'd find it much more economical just to shoot the sons of b*tches at the outset.
Perhaps I am misreading but this thread seems to me to be a neg-utopia proposal. A constructed fantasy without a hint of being reality actualized. Quite a futile but interesting conjecture. I would suggest North Dakota for the men and South Dakota for the women, Oklahoma for the transexuals.
Setanta wrote:I suggest you read The Fatal Shore, Richard Hughes,
Set says this should be Robert Hughes.
dlowan wrote:
a. Part of our difference may be that, psychologically, I find it hard to factor in a real death penalty, since this hasn't occurred in Australia since the 60's. Yes..people would likely choose some chance of life rather than death.
They may also choose it over incarceration.
Quote:b. You are imagining inconveniences to the food supply...I am imagining a life of the harshness it had in early settlement times in Australia and the US, without the presence of people who know how to farm, and with the presence of people with little or no empathy, no impulse control, and few normal constraints upon their behaviour. Just growing food is very difficult, you know...as is living off the land with no weapons and no knowhow.
I imagine significant enough difficulty. Like I said, not too different from the many pre-industrial hardships one was faced with too survive.
Quote:e. I don't know....I agreed there were differing circumstances...but from what prisoners who have lived through this sort of thing have told me, life organises itself pretty fast into heavies rule, and do whatever they want, depending on the "no squealing" rule to stop others from disclosing the rapes etc. they have suffered. Riots are certainly pretty extreme, especially when alcohol fuelled, but I think you are way too sweeping in dismissing the likely similarity to dynamics on your island. Just as a for instance, prisoners generally decide it's not a really good idea to kill anyone during a riot, as they know the authorities will take control back at some point.
Only non-lifers have motivation to act this way. In many other cases they kill as many of their enemies as they can while they can. In any case, society already puts their inmates at this risk and provides very little real protection to incarcerated individuals.
Quote:f. You keep assuming that people will scatter. Some might....but, humans tend to be a herd creature and crave society.
Having the option to elect solitude or the society is their prerogative. Whatever the consequences of each is the responsibility of the individual.
The key to me is that when incarcerating for life, I think the only legitimate reason is merely to separate the individual from the society whose social contract he is unwilling to uphold. I don't see value in the punishment of incarceration and thusly don't really care too much if conditions are much better or worse.
My own guess is that they would be happier but have lower life expectancies. But that all really depends on what social contract they are able to enforce. Given that these would be people who would not accept the larger societies social contract I don't see it as a particularly strong dilemma if they are unable to create a better one amongst themselves.
Quote:Also, to produce enough food to live on at pre-industrial revolution technology (even IF you know what you are doing) you tend to need a lot of labour. My hunch would be, if they survived, that they would form warring gangs.....
Yeah, life's a bitch when you don't get the benefits of the society. Said benefits come within a social contract that these individuals would have broken so whatever they inflict on themselves in their freedom isn't that important an ethical question to me.
As long as they are given a decent enough chance for survival and you aren't handing down an inevitable death penalty your society is not responsible for what those who reject it do.
Quote:As I said, that might be quite a satisfying life, as I understand from what (little) I have read of the sociology of gangs, that members find them quite sustaining. But...I'd not like to be someone seen as a weak member, or there when the conflicts happened.
Then by all means afford yourself the protection that your society's social contract affords you in this regard. In my scenario they wouldn't be there without taking multiple lives anyway, so I'm not that sympathetic to the consequences of their rejection of the social contract now that the society is not inflicting those consequences directly.
Quote:Also, even if they survived, I imagine it would soon be a miserable life (do they have any medical supplies?) as one became ill, or old, or injured.
Medical support is a societal benefit that their society will need to figure out how to provide. It was part of the social contract they rejected.
So I would accept medical supplies being given to them in their "starter package" but no subsequent medical attention from the outside world.
Quote:g. The actions you appear to me to have talked about are organised and reasonably successful farming, people scattering and hence lessening the chance of lots of violence, and a general assumption that a lot of the people will act in a fairly rational and reasoned manner..(eg farm, have rules and sanctions).....
I never mentioned organized farming. I don't think I also mentioned any expectations of them acting reasonably. They certainly didn't do so in their last society with things like this very scenario as a punishment so I expect many of them will not suddenly do so on their island. But that's their problem and more importantly their responsibility now.
Quote:"In some places blacks are far more likely to die in jail than out of jail but they still prefer out of jail. " Did you mean blacks are far LESS likely to die in prison?
Actually nearly all prison inmates are less likely to die in US prison than in the general US population. With certain demographics like young male blacks it's more pronounced because of their death rates outside of prison being so high.
Quote:
h. I am not at all convinced that putting them somewhere where violence, starvation, untreated disease will kill them, for some, more slowly, is a lot better for society than killing them. I just think, as I said, that it simply removes the act even further from those in whose name it is done than the current situation in the USA does.
That's a good thing to me. Directly killing your citizens is, to me, morally unacceptable. The only possible justification is to keep them from further harming society.
The punitive factor to me is unwarranted if your society has already decided to abandon the individual. If the individual has no further place in your society except to be punished then releasing the individual, even to a situation with worse survival odds, is more ethical to me than to spend society's resources caring for an individual while depriving them of their freedom or killing them directly.
It may be less suffering to die directly but that is a choice that they have with freedom anyway. There's no need for the blood to be on the hands of the society.
Quote:That being said, I know that my thinking is informed by knowing there are other options...eg the death penalty is unknown here....most prisoners will be released, and do not face life in prison, most western countries are not doing what the US does in killing people or making them stay in prison forever....(though a rather obscene political scenario is playing out here of would-be governments competing about how draconian their treatment of criminals will be, so it may get a lot worse.)
Still, there must be some people that you simply can't afford to allow back into society.
Quote:I may be unable to really imagine the horror of the situation of many US prisoners, and, given that my beliefs about how your scenario would play out in real life are much gloomier than yours, I may not be balancing glooms with full knowledge of the prison/execution part of the gloom.
I think the real difference is that I don't really care about the gloom, I care about who's responsible and how it's inflicted. Societies used to have a lot more gloom. The improvements were societal and not individual and accepting the social contract is what affords you the better quality of life.
Given that these individuals would have made repeated decisions to harm the quality of life of others in their society the predicable consequence of harm to their own quality of life isn't a big ethical concern to me.
Quote:"Incidentally, what if it was a choice between life in prison and banishment? What qualm would you find with it then? And how many do you think would pick life in prison?"
My qualms lessen dramatically if there is a choice.
But there already is a choice: kill a bunch of people or don't kill a bunch of people.
Quote:Personally, for instance, I would likely pick life in prison...as long as I had books.
If you killed a bunch of people I don't think society should be giving you anything. Why should you get to live for free off society at many times the cost of a law abiding citizen and furthermore get free books?
Quote:Being marooned with a bunch of dangerous criminals would seem to me a fate far worse than life in prison. I know from life in prison (as much as anyone who hasn't been incarcerated CAN know), and I know that people can make a sort of life in there. What I have seen of unchecked rule by prison heavies scares the living bejesus out of me...and I include the women here.
But I am imagining prisons I know.....the prisons you are thinking of may be a lot worse.
Indeed. Prison life is only like that when you spend much more money per capita on the prisoners than you do on the law abiding citizens. When, as in many places, you spend about what the average person contributes to the society it is a horrible place with overcrowding and just as much potential for violence as there would be with no control.
Why should society spend several times the average citizen's production to the society on making incarceration more palatable?
Quote:I don't know about the vulnerable ones. They are, in my experience, as terrified as I of unfettered rule by heavies. What they are already experiencing is usually awful enough.
I imagine the same, and if they elect to take actions that remove them from society and the protections of the social contract they broke I'm not that concerned about how awful their experience is so much as who is responsible for it.
Quote:BTW, I haven't tried to figure out how New Zealand would go yet.
Just to confuse you further where would you put transgendered people?