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Tue 17 Jun, 2008 03:38 pm
where do you see these two countries in 15-20 years time??
who will become more powerful economically?
who will pose a millitary threat??
who will have the bigger say in geo-politics in 15-20 years time??
how do he prospects of these two asian countries compare??
Re: india and china
brahmin wrote:where do you see these two countries in 15-20 years time??
Roughly the same location they are currently found at.
Quote:who will become more powerful economically?
China.
Quote:who will pose a millitary threat??
Both, but India's military will always be a lot weaker.
Quote:who will have the bigger say in geo-politics in 15-20 years time??
Same as now, China.
Quote:how do he prospects of these two asian countries compare??
Both will grow, China into a continental power and India into a big regional economy.
a.) India. China's growth is almost entirely from manufacturing, India's growth is due to software, engineering, research and innovation. So I see India's growth as more sustainable.
b.) China, India is a democracy, and it shares almost all of it's values with America. So it won't pose a miliatry threat to us.
c.) Not sure. China has veto power, so I guess them.
In my own opinion, which is based on gut instinct, India will be more of a world leader than China, because they already speak English, print more books in English than any other country, understand the British/American mindset, and assimilate into American and British society in a relatively short time, perhaps measured in weeks.
China has another focus. Where it takes them, I don't know, but I would guess their strength on the world stage will be in their ability to put a brake on the direction other nations may want to take. Not a positive role in the opinion of some.
The only counter force to India's progress is Pakistan, in my opinion. World events could make Pakistan a "loose cannon" of sorts, in my opinion.
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