Finn dAbuzz wrote:OCCOM BILL wrote: Finn,
I follow your "it's not always the most popular guy who gets the job done" logic on this one... but submit that on occasion; it is (See: Ronald Reagan). The attributes you scoff at may well prove to be the defining qualities of a great President.
Perhaps, but what are the odds?
What precisely are the odds any potential President will be great?
Finn dAbuzz wrote:OCCOM BILL wrote:1. As you know; it is in no small part his inexperience that attracts me, being quite tired of watching business as usual. I can't be alone in desiring a change from the bipartisan old guard BS I've watched since birth.
So your logic is here is a babe in the woods may f**ck everything up but at least it won't be because he his an old fart? Since when does youth = performance or inexperience = virtue? You are allowing a credible disatisfaction with the Old Guard stampede you towards an incredible affection for the New and Unproven Guard.
No, I'm not. To the extent I've read and watched Obama field questions; he strikes me as an honest man who, given the opportunity, would make decisions based on what he thinks is in the country's best interest... rather than Party loyalty. I get the same feeling thus far from both Giuliani and McCain so it has less to do with youth and inexperience than it does with my impression of credibility. Antonym-like candidates would be Hillary Clinton or Jeb Bush. They represent what I would consider to be the Old Guard, and I therefore would not like to see either become President. Independent critical thinking ability and a reasonable expectation of a desire to put the good of the people above that of the Party is what I long for in the oval office. I simply don't believe that the standard government resume is necessary to this end, and moreover believe said standard resume tends to pollute the virtues of your average politician (forgive me if that last part is the understatement of the decade).
Finn dAbuzz wrote:OCCOM BILL wrote:2. Those same attributes, even if they only serve to garner popularity, can still be used to force handshakes across the aisle and maybe even get something meaningful done. If, and it is a big IF, he could get approval ratings from the nation as high as he does in Illinois, you would see bipartisan cooperation, whether his adversaries liked his prize winning smile or not.
Bipartisan cooperation is a canard. To the extent it has ever happened, it has been within a government controlled by the (White Male) Establishment. Take a look at the Baker/Hamilton Commission. It revels in its bi-partisanship and it takes comfort, behind the scenes, in its Establishment origins. Except for his Houston roots, Baker is the quintessential Establishment magnate. The difference between today and 40 years ago is that Southerners can compete with Rockefellers and Cabot-Lodges for primacy in the Establishment. Baker is The Establishment Man!
Again, I give you Ronald Reagan. When a President's approval rating reaches a certain plateau, it becomes political suicide for the nominally partisan, who lack a solid footing in Congress, to join the hyper-partisan in opposition for the sake of opposition. Even the hyper-partisan tend to swing like a weathervane when confronted by popular opinion (See: John Kerry).
Finn dAbuzz wrote:OCCOM BILL wrote: 3. One need not be a world traveler to realize the consensus of world opinion of our current leader is just about as bad as it could be (though I'm crossing my fingers that statement doesn't jinx us :wink:). This has to be considered when accessing the relative lack of global cooperation we currently receive. Again; these same attributes could play a major role in reversing this trend.
What? Who gives a flying f**k about the world consensus on our leader? Frankly, the more Europeans support an American candidate for President, the more I believe they should never be given the office. The interests of these fools is only partially aligned with our own, AND there is no shortage of European idiots who don't care about common interests and want to dis America because it is America.
I give a flying f**k, and you should too. I whole heartily believe that much of the world's opposition to pressuring Saddam, Ahmadinejad, Kim Jong Il etc., is do in no small part to Bush's inability to sell it. While I am sure no one wants these madmen in possession of dangerous weapons, I am equally sure that much of the opposition to collective bargaining strength stems from Bush's lack of tact in seeking it. There is considerably more anti-U.S.-President sentiment than there is anti-American sentiment in the world... and a more charismatic leader would inevitably change this.
Finn dAbuzz wrote:OCCOM BILL wrote:Sony's Betamax was considered by many to be a superior technology to JVC's VCR. Doesn't help, if you can't sell it. Sometimes it is the most popular guy, who gets the job done.
This is such an inconsidered and superficial reason to support Obama that I cannot believe that you have advanced it. Even assuming that "sometimes" it is the most popular guy who gets the job done, is this a reason to support the most charasmatic guy? The very use of "sometimes" suggests that you appreciate that popularity equalling effectiveness is a crap-shoot. Is that how you intend to cast your vote?
I haven't yet decided how I'll cast my vote. Thoughtful Conservative thinkers I respect (like you) will have ample opportunity to illuminate the errors in my opinions between now and Election Day. At the same time; I'll learn a good deal more about each of the candidates as they come further into focus. That my initial opinions of Obama are positive, and to a degree superficial, in no way should be considered indicative that other considerations won't apply. Predicting a potential President's performance is always a crap-shoot, and I suspect I put more weight on personal integrity and cooperation-inspiring-charisma as opposed to professional experience than you do. The man who gets my vote will be the one who inspires the most confidence in consideration of a wide range of attributes... those you scoff at included.
(Next Post)
Finn dAbuzz wrote: OCCOM BILL wrote:Roxxxanne wrote:The only way the Republican candidate would have any chance agsinst him is if they just flat out refuse to hold debates. Obama would have any of them for lunch.
Point well taken... but not everyone watches debates. Perot obliterated his opponents (doubled his polling numbers), but only a fraction of the voting public watched it.
Point well taken?
Yes, unlike our current leader, Obama has a exhibited an extraordinary ability to think on his feet.
Finn dAbuzz wrote: When will the hysteria cease?
What hysteria? My recognition of Obama's solid speaking skills doesn't make me hysterical.
Finn dAbuzz wrote:Who has seen Obama debate an opponent of high skills and regard? He ran away with the election for his current Senatorial seat.
Obama clearly has a natural eloquence. It is (obviously) a formidable talent, but to assume that it will triumph in a debate is to display an ignorance of the dynamics of public debates.
Neither McCain nor Gulliani are slouches when it comes to public rhetoric, and both have far more gravitas than Obama. Does anyone really think that either of these serious men might find themselves spellbound by Obama's toothy smile and measured cadence?
I would agree that McCain has demonstrated an ability to measure his responses and avoid traps like pre-poisoned wells in argument and overall comes off as quite competent when blindsided with questions. Giuliani on the other hand; is sometimes a bit too quick to answer (or too slow to think) and I've thus seen him look quite uncomfortable and less believable when confronted by unexpected questions. On the other hand, Giuliani delivers a pre-written speech with far more Charisma than McCain could ever muster. Obama, from what I've seen, is considerably better in both scenarios than either of them and I think it reasonable to predict this would be demonstrated in debate. Style may not trump content, but it would be foolish to underestimate its importance in assessing the relative effect in a Presidential debate.