@hingehead,
hingehead wrote:
Quote:but I bet the majority are things like McDonald
I'd bet against you - certainly in terms of where jobs are growing - it's in new quaternary areas relating to telecoms, information management etc. I think the fast food market boom has pretty much stabilised in terms of a demand for labour (in developed economies anyway).
It was your assertion that we wouldn't need as many accountants and lawyers due to improvements in tech that I was referring to - I think we will still need people with those skills but they won't be called lawyers and accountants - a skills convergence with another profession if you will.
Service sector like McDonald type jobs cannot be stabilizing. Why? Since US population is still growing, thus, McDonald type jobs must grow at the same rate to capture the increasing demand.
My friend owns a restaurant, and legally, he is to give all the books to a third party accountant. I also used to work for a company that make software for accountants ( like E-file, income taxes etc). Combining the software I created, and my friend 's accountant, there are so many different type of jobs I help destroy. This example shows that information technology, thought increase the productivity of each accountant, or lawyer, have reduce the number of such jobs in need for those professions. The result is a few high income earners, and a mass of unemployed workers.
I think the industry that creates good jobs are aviation, and defense contractors. These jobs will probably not be outsourced, but require permanent fund from the government( A sink for tax payer money).
From here:http:
//247wallst.com/2011/04/24/americas-ten-largest-employers/2/
10: bank tellers
9: truck drivers
8: sales, and truckk drivers
7: IT support( outsourced to India)
6: sales.
5: McDonald --Can you say daddy?
4: deliver guys
3: IBM outscource to India, and China, because the Chinese are smarter.
1: Sales.
You see a pattern, Son? All the good jobs ( IBM, and HP) are outsourced to China, Israel, and India, because they are smarter. All the sales, and delivery guy, bank teller jobs are left. You see any accounts, and lawyer jobs? No.
Sears don 't need that many ******* lawyers.