Asherman wrote:Historical events are rarely random. Everything is connected, but it is ultimately impossible to untangle the skein to any particular causality with a high probablility of being correct.
The bottom line is that there are usually both "good" and "ill" effects for every decision, every act that is made by an individual, or a nation. That suffering can result from the best of intentions is almost a truism. It is unfair to apply the common morality of today to those who lived in an earlier time under conditions far from our own.
Many pivotal historical events are indeed random, meteorological events, geological events, the geography of the lands, the associated flora and fauna, the availability of food, the amount and type of disease, whether a potently historical figure dies prior to having the influence they might have, the list is immense.
The premise of causally is more a function of man's need to rationalize events. To say that "everything is connected" is not to say that for all intents and purposes the events in question are not random, as everything is in some sense connected.
By your argument, and as per my prior example, you could start with 100 identical parallel worlds and in 100,000 years of man's history (if each world was left to develop independently) events in each world would unfold the same . That logic is simply untenable, all the theories of science and the observations of nature deny such congruency.
Random:
Having no specific pattern, purpose, or objective
Without a governing design, method, or purpose