nimh
 
  1  
Tue 6 May, 2008 04:33 am
FreeDuck wrote:
I guess I see where you're coming from, but the fact is that the Northeast Corridor is pretty much the only place in this country where rail actually works. People don't choose rail (often) to cross the country because it costs more than flying and takes for freaking ever. If we want rail to be an actual alternative then it has to be fast, affordable, and available. The Northeast Corridor is about the only example of this in our country.

Then again transportation (especially trains -- LOVE trains) is one of my pet interests so I'm just glad that someone is actually talking about it.

Sure, better something than nothing, but if we're talking the burden of gas prices, isnt it an effective commuter rail system within cities/metro areas we should be talking about rather than a fancy high speed rail between metropolises? Families worrying about gas prices dont need a high speed rail between NY and DC, they just need clean, safe, well-connected and widely available commuter trains as alternative to going to their work by car, right?

I know, it was just the one thing he said... but remember, I have this impression of Obama being a little too much up into grand and abstract causes and too little focused on immediate bread and butter stuff, so off-handed remarks/associations like that dont exactly help...
0 Replies
 
fishin
 
  1  
Tue 6 May, 2008 05:44 am
nimh wrote:
On a trivial but slightly exasperated note...

The Prospect's TAPPED reports:

Quote:
Campaigning in Indiana this past weekend, Barack Obama defended his refusal to pander on the gas tax by advocating -- gasp! -- a real public policy solution to both global warming and our over-reliance on foreign oil:

    The irony is with the gas prices what they are, we should be expanding rail service. ... We are going to be having a lot of conversations this summer about gas prices. And it is a perfect time to start talk about why we don't have better rail service.

So far, so good. How can one of the largest, richest country be so bad at providing its citizens with decent public transport, at least outside the old cities of the East and Midwest? How can it so singularly lack an effective national railway system, especially considering how it once led the way in its glorious heyday of rail traffic? It works elsewhere in the world, and it would really help in fighting both congestion and global warming.


I think you underestimate the complications of building an inner-city rail system here. Yes, it does work in other countries but most of them have had rail systems for decades. If you wanted to put a rail system in Los Angeles for example, you'd have to buy up hundreds of thousands of acres of privately owned land at fair market value for starters. A single line running from north to south through LA would cost billions to build before the first track was even laid and the finished system wouldn't provide the service most people would want/need.

Service could be improved in cities that already have a system for a much lower cost because the rail lines are already in place though. A national rail system does exist - but it is built on lower speed trains so getting fron NYC to Chicago is pretty much a full day trip sitting in a seat and the cost is almost identical to the cost of flying. People don't take Amtrak across the country unless they have time to waste.

Quote:
But then a dissonant tone:

Quote:
    We are the only advanced country in the world that doesn't have high speed rail. We just don't have it. And it works on the Northeast corridor. They would rather go from New York to Washington by train than they would by plane. It is a lot more reliable and it is a good way for us to start reducing how much gas we are using. It is a good story to tell.

Argh. As if the man wants to be portrayed as the new John Kerry. Remember, the debate at hand is that about the gas tax holiday Hillary and McCain are proposing. That proposal makes little to no rational sense, but it's squarely aimed at assuaging the anxiety of financially squeezed families for whom the rising gas prices are causing some real panic.

Obama refuses to go along with this pandering proposal that's irresponsible and substantively meaningless, and will enrich the oil companies rather than give those families that extra break. Good for him. But then please highlight, at every turn, an alternative message that does address those anxieties. Dont start talking about how useful high speed rail would be on the Northeast Corridor as an alternative to flying. I mean, who flies from New York to DC? Not your average middle class family coping with rising gas prices.

I know, I know, I'm sure it's just a fragment from whatever he was saying, and that he said lots of more a propos stuff too. But at this point in the race it's all about staying on message. And pondering the opportunities of a choice between air or high-speed rail for the executive types going to and fro between NY and DC is just not a part of any right response to this issue. Gah!


You might be surprised at the number of families that fly between NY and DC every day. It isn't all executives flying back and forth. There are at least 50 daily flights between Boston and DC and most of the passangers aren't executives. Flights between major cities have been pretty cheap. I can buy a seat from Boston to DC for $49 without much problem. (If you look you can find seats for as low as $19 on occassion.)

For the urban dwellers that don't own cars the choices for travel are flying or the trains. Of course, that doesn't even get into moving cargo as opposed to people.

IMO, the message was perfectly timed. This is May. A lot of people are planning their summer vacations and thinking about traveling. Mentioning trains as an alternative is something that a lot of people would relate to right now. A high-speed national system would increase their options.
0 Replies
 
engineer
 
  1  
Tue 6 May, 2008 05:59 am
Polls are open in NC, my vote has been cast.
0 Replies
 
sozobe
 
  1  
Tue 6 May, 2008 06:39 am
Whew!

Today's the day. (Yet again... same butterflies as NH, and SC, and Super Tuesday, and....)

Anything to report, engineer? Good turnout?
0 Replies
 
joefromchicago
 
  1  
Tue 6 May, 2008 06:59 am
nimh wrote:
Sure, better something than nothing, but if we're talking the burden of gas prices, isnt it an effective commuter rail system within cities/metro areas we should be talking about rather than a fancy high speed rail between metropolises? Families worrying about gas prices dont need a high speed rail between NY and DC, they just need clean, safe, well-connected and widely available commuter trains as alternative to going to their work by car, right?

I'm sure he was talking about both. Here's what he said about mass transit to the Charlotte Observer:
    I'm a strong supporter, as part of our broader energy strategy. You know, if we are designing cities, and urban communities and suburban communities around two-hour commutes, then we are destined to continue down the course of climate change. And mass transit not only is far more environmentally sound, but with oil prices sky high, and not likely to go down significantly, because of increased demand by China and India, it gives individuals much more of an incentive to look at trains and mass transit as an alternative.
As fishin points out, building light rail systems from scratch can be extremely expensive. Los Angeles and Denver have both found that out, and Seattle's attempt to create a monorail line was a complete disaster. With gas prices going ever higher, though, light rail might be easier to sell to the taxpayers.

In addition, although Obama only mentioned the northeast corridor for high speed rail, I'm sure he was also thinking of the midwest. Chicago would be the natural hub of a web of high speed rail lines to Detroit, St. Louis, Indianapolis, Milwaukee, and Minneapolis, and proposals for such a system have been on the drawing boards for years.
0 Replies
 
engineer
 
  1  
Tue 6 May, 2008 07:42 am
sozobe wrote:
Whew!

Today's the day. (Yet again... same butterflies as NH, and SC, and Super Tuesday, and....)

Anything to report, engineer? Good turnout?

Everything was calm where I vote, but it was 7:00 am. Not many republican ballots gone from the table. Rules in NC are that independents choose which ballot they want. Not a lot of signage out in general. I've only seen a couple of Obama and Clinton signs. I wonder if they both decided not to advertise a lot. No yard signs at all. I tried to get a bumper sticker at the Obama headquarters and they didn't have any.
0 Replies
 
OCCOM BILL
 
  1  
Tue 6 May, 2008 08:06 am
nimh wrote:
OCCOM BILL wrote:
Dude asked a reasonable question. WTF is analog supposed to mean here? (I can think of no way that analog is superior to digital)

Digital: everything is either 1 or 0... following the association from there, looking at the world in a digital fashion would be seeing everything in terms of black and white, us vs them, good guys or bad guys, and never a way between can be seen. Makes for much strident rhetorics, little skill at diplomacy, and all too quickly seeing war as the only solution.
Thanks for the explanation. It is a rather silly analogy when you consider analog is an imprecise science that has all but been replaced by the infinitely more consistent digital format. When I think of analog; I think outdated tapes and VCR cassettes as opposed to CD, DVD and now solid state technologies. Even the early "Laser Disk" players were far superior to analog.
0 Replies
 
engineer
 
  1  
Tue 6 May, 2008 08:31 am
OCCOM BILL wrote:
Thanks for the explanation. It is a rather silly analogy when you consider analog is an imprecise science that has all but been replaced by the infinitely more consistent digital format. When I think of analog; I think outdated tapes and VCR cassettes as opposed to CD, DVD and now solid state technologies. Even the early "Laser Disk" players were far superior to analog.

There are several ways that analog is superior to digitial. Analog is actually MORE precise than digital, but digital is easier to store and transmit. You will find many audiophiles who would disagree with your comments about analog music, but in industrial applications, analog has a lot of advantages including speed of signal response and accuracy.

In summation, I understood the analogy and thought is was used correctly.
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Tue 6 May, 2008 08:33 am
Okie writes
Quote:
I agree to a point, and actually I think we should consider changing our policy toward Cuba. And we probably are communicating unofficially with Iran now, and have been for a long time. Is it in our best interest to elevate the credibility of the leader, who cannot be trusted, to have official talks and negotiations, I doubt it very seriously.


As I understand it, in the simplest form (gross oversimplification) the basis of liberation theology is that people are angry and cruel and retalitory because they are oppressed and forcibly disadvantaged and are justified in being the way they are. It isn't their fault. Be nice to people, however, and they will be nice to you; i.e. the notion that if Israel would just be nice to the Palestinians, the terrorist attacks would stop. If we just play square and fair with the Iranians, bin Laden et al and stop ticking them off et al, they will be good friends, etc.

The most sinister aspect of liberation theology is the Marxist concept that the oppressors (governments, big business, 'rich white people' etc.) may have to be taken down forcibly by the people before there will be equality and justice.

We all know anecdotal evidence where liberation theology produced good results: The American Revolution; stopping apartheid in South Africa, etc. And we know the downside such as removing the devil we knew (Batista) and replacing him with a worse devil (Castro).

So far the book is inconclusive re whatever commitment Obama might have to liberation theology. I picked it up again last night but didn't last long before I fell asleep. But the book is pretty clear that Obama was close to and admired Jeremiah Wright then. And in my opinion, Jeremiah Wright's theology is a black liberation theology. Whether Obama embraces that intuitively or in spirit I can't say. I will finish the book.
0 Replies
 
okie
 
  1  
Tue 6 May, 2008 08:44 am
Diest TKO wrote:
okie wrote:
Diest TKO wrote:
Okie - PLEASE indulge us on how you think the problem is solved. Be specific please. Remember that you can't use bureaucracy at all.

That would be "negotiating."
K
O

First of all, there will always be problems, and you will never eliminate all of them. I am not one to believe utopia is possible or likely on earth. But simply because I believe there will always be problems, I don't advocate simply rolling over and giving in. So, resist evil with all the ability that you have, and stand for good, and if it requires military action, so be it. Negotiate where reasonable and where there is an element of good faith, but don't negotiate with the unreasonable.

Next question?

Wow. So you're idea of solving problems with nations like Iran is to press the war button rapidly while assaulting the enemy with a barrage of meaningless hyperbole about good and evil?

I never said that.

Quote:
I asked for specifics, and said nothing about creating a utopia.

I merely pointed out that all problems will never be solved permanently, which I think is very pertinent to your question. I don't think reality fits the idealistic world that is visualized by the left.

Quote:
You make mention of negotiating but don't offer us any definition of what is "reasonable" or "unreasonable."

That would take a library, Diest, and I think that is what the State Department, Department of Defense, Secretary of State, including the thousands of employees, get paid to do, to evaluate all of this stuff, and it is far from a perfect science. We cannot re-create the people that we have to deal with, so we take what is given us and make the best of it.

Quote:
I see having a dialog with countries like Iran and Cuba as being reasonable. It doesn't mean that they get their way, but it means that we are using our political scientists and not our military scientists to wage war with conflicting ideas/world-views/interests.

T
K
O

I do not view the leader of Iran as being a straight shooter. He will only use dialog to further his own aims. Any dialog that is carried on will not be in good faith. Our government sees it in the same way at the present time. Sometimes it pays to talk, and sometimes it doesn't, and history has proven it.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Tue 6 May, 2008 08:48 am
OCCOM BILL wrote:
nimh wrote:
OCCOM BILL wrote:
Dude asked a reasonable question. WTF is analog supposed to mean here? (I can think of no way that analog is superior to digital)

Digital: everything is either 1 or 0... following the association from there, looking at the world in a digital fashion would be seeing everything in terms of black and white, us vs them, good guys or bad guys, and never a way between can be seen. Makes for much strident rhetorics, little skill at diplomacy, and all too quickly seeing war as the only solution.
Thanks for the explanation. It is a rather silly analogy when you consider analog is an imprecise science that has all but been replaced by the infinitely more consistent digital format. When I think of analog; I think outdated tapes and VCR cassettes as opposed to CD, DVD and now solid state technologies. Even the early "Laser Disk" players were far superior to analog.


I was the originator of the analog v. digital analogy in this thread; and I must say that Engineer has hit the nail on the head.

Imagine trying to fly a plane, or drive a car, with a digital controller. It would be entirely difficult to do. Attempting to run our foreign policy in a digital manner has been a failure, and it is a silly way to look at an Analog world.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
okie
 
  1  
Tue 6 May, 2008 08:59 am
Foxfyre wrote:
Okie writes
Quote:
I agree to a point, and actually I think we should consider changing our policy toward Cuba. And we probably are communicating unofficially with Iran now, and have been for a long time. Is it in our best interest to elevate the credibility of the leader, who cannot be trusted, to have official talks and negotiations, I doubt it very seriously.


As I understand it, in the simplest form (gross oversimplification) the basis of liberation theology is that people are angry and cruel and retalitory because they are oppressed and forcibly disadvantaged and are justified in being the way they are. It isn't their fault. Be nice to people, however, and they will be nice to you; i.e. the notion that if Israel would just be nice to the Palestinians, the terrorist attacks would stop. If we just play square and fair with the Iranians, bin Laden et al and stop ticking them off et al, they will be good friends, etc.

The most sinister aspect of liberation theology is the Marxist concept that the oppressors (governments, big business, 'rich white people' etc.) may have to be taken down forcibly by the people before there will be equality and justice.

We all know anecdotal evidence where liberation theology produced good results: The American Revolution; stopping apartheid in South Africa, etc. And we know the downside such as removing the devil we knew (Batista) and replacing him with a worse devil (Castro).

So far the book is inconclusive re whatever commitment Obama might have to liberation theology. I picked it up again last night but didn't last long before I fell asleep. But the book is pretty clear that Obama was close to and admired Jeremiah Wright then. And in my opinion, Jeremiah Wright's theology is a black liberation theology. Whether Obama embraces that intuitively or in spirit I can't say. I will finish the book.

Good post. I too am having a tough time with the very dry reading. Just an impression, I wonder what yours is, I think his approach for the book and for his political strategy is to stay above the fray and look at the positive aspects of both left and right and then pretend to bring it all together as the final and wisest arbitor - is tending to fall apart toward the end of the book, and his partisanship is coming out stronger. I also seriously question some of the assertions in the book in regard to how rosy things were with the Clinton administration and how dastardly the Republicans are on specific policies, although I haven't interrupted the reading to look them up.

The book is inconsistent with Wright, thats for sure, so we have a conflict here. You might look in on the following thread where I asserted that Black Liberation Theology has some characteristics or a relationship to Marxist ideas, and pointed out that Wright rails against rich white people, imperialism, etc., and seems to admire communist dictators like Castro and Chavez. Of course, the libs all ganged up and ridiculed my assertions as totally groundless, as is so predictable. I find it fascinating that many of the leftists here on this forum are quicker to defend suggestions of Marxism than they are such things as free markets, capitalism, and America.

http://www.able2know.org/forums/about115920-130.html
0 Replies
 
okie
 
  1  
Tue 6 May, 2008 09:02 am
Cycloptichorn wrote:

I was the originator of the analog v. digital analogy in this thread; and I must say that Engineer has hit the nail on the head.

Imagine trying to fly a plane, or drive a car, with a digital controller. It would be entirely difficult to do. Attempting to run our foreign policy in a digital manner has been a failure, and it is a silly way to look at an Analog world.

Cycloptichorn

Planes are flown digitally, and cars run digitally. It depends on how many digits. I understand your attempt at an analogy here, but it isn't very good. In fact, digital ends up being far more exact and precise than analog, if I understand anything about it.

I think your analogy is a failed attempt to avoid making a decision, thats all, and at some point, you need to say yea or nay. Yea or nay is digital.
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  1  
Tue 6 May, 2008 09:16 am
joefromchicago wrote:
I'm sure he was talking about both. Here's what he said about mass transit to the Charlotte Observer:

Yes, I wrote already, "I know, I'm sure it's just a fragment from whatever he was saying, and that he said lots of more a propos stuff too."

I think maybe we're kind of talking past each other. I have no problem with high speed rail! I think it's a great idea. Any expansion of rail is good in my book.

I also appreciate the extra info you and Fishin', too, provided about the difficulty of establishing new rail links. I know that a new North-South underground line that's being built in Amsterdam, right underneath the city centre, for example, was a couple of decades in making. It could really only be built now, rather than 30 years ago when it was first proposed, because back then it would have involved razing swathes of valuable inner city housing. Now new technologies of underground drilling make it possible to build it without much mayhem beyond breaking up roads and the traffic problems that temporarily causes.

Same here in Budapest, they're building a whole new underground line across the city here too. Also been a decade in making. Those aren't small efforts. Though both examples also show that such major infrastructural public transport projects are possible, and are a lot less disruptive now than they used to be.

As often as not, all kinds of non-tangible elements get in the mix too. The New Yorker had a great article about the myriad facets of the escalating commuter crisis last year, and one example it highlighted was the proposed extension of the underground or light rail system (dont remember which) in Atlanta. That's a city with one of the most messed up congestion problems in the country, apparently, but the proposal was voted down in a referendum (I think?), largely for reasons to do with community relations rather than transport. The (white) suburbanites resented the huge expenses that would largely benefit the black residents of the inner circles of the city, and the no-vote was partly even fuelled by the fear that rapid public transport links into the suburbs would lead to an influx of inner city blacks. (The acronym of the Atlanta public transport authority apparently is often derided by whites as standing for "Moving Africans Rapidly Through Atlanta.")

So there's a lot of challenges and dilemmas involved, while at the same time the need to expand quality public transport increases all the time with global warming, congestion and gas price rises. So what should have priority in this area? If you have to choose what to spend your political capital on? Replacing air travel with long-distance rapid rail links would be the most effective way to counter global warming, I would guess. But if it's congestion and the anguish of working/middle class people squeezed by rising gas prices you see as the most immediate problem, local public transport alternatives for driving seem more acute.

I can see the problems in building light rail from scratch, obtaining the properties etc. They have been building a new light rail system in Holland across the four main cities now, but it's alongside existing rail lines so thats probably easier. But then what about expanding and improving buses? From what I gather, especially in cities in the West, local buses are often rare, crappy and unsafe, and are only used by people who really cant afford anything else. Now take the example of Ken Livingstone in London. In his eight years as mayor he imposed a congestion charge for car traffic in the inner city, and with the proceeds he funded a great expansion of the number and frequency of buses and bus lines, and price cuts for large groups of people. It led to an explosion in the use of the bus.

Yeah so, I'm digressing ridiculously, but my beef isnt that I think rapid long-distance rail links are a bad idea. They're basically a good idea, though I do feel that improving local commuter options in public transport should be a bigger priority, because that would better benefit the people who need the break the most. But my point was about political strategy. Specifically Obama's seeming lack of feeling the right perspective in discussions like this.

Like I said, at this point in the race it's all about staying on message. The subject at hand was that Hillary has come up with some ridiculously rhetorical plan to help out struggling middle class families who are facing a squeeze because of the gas prices. The plan doesnt make any sense and will hardly help, but she's probably still scoring points with it in IN, NC, WV and KY. Explaining all the reasons why her plan is a fraud is good. But if you're doing that, then please find a counterplan to provide a break for these people and stick to it through all discussions about it. Being distracted into pondering the dilemmas of lacking the choice between air or high-speed rail for all those NY-DC trips, even just as part of your remarks, is just dumb and plays right into those "elitist, out of touch" stereotypes. That's all that got my goat.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Tue 6 May, 2008 09:19 am
okie wrote:
Cycloptichorn wrote:

I was the originator of the analog v. digital analogy in this thread; and I must say that Engineer has hit the nail on the head.

Imagine trying to fly a plane, or drive a car, with a digital controller. It would be entirely difficult to do. Attempting to run our foreign policy in a digital manner has been a failure, and it is a silly way to look at an Analog world.

Cycloptichorn

Planes are flown digitally, and cars run digitally. It depends on how many digits. I understand your attempt at an analogy here, but it isn't very good. In fact, digital ends up being far more exact and precise than analog, if I understand anything about it.

I think your analogy is a failed attempt to avoid making a decision, thats all, and at some point, you need to say yea or nay.


Cars are driven using an analog controller - the steering wheel. To the best of my knowledge, airplanes are also flown using an analog controller.

Digital is in fact NOT more 'accurate' then analog. The exact opposite is true...

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  1  
Tue 6 May, 2008 09:23 am
nimh wrote:
The New Yorker had a great article about the myriad facets of the escalating commuter crisis last year

Found it back:

There and Back Again: The soul of the commuter
0 Replies
 
maporsche
 
  1  
Tue 6 May, 2008 09:36 am
I wanted to chime in that I did not understand the analog/digital analogy either.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Tue 6 May, 2008 09:44 am
maporsche wrote:
I wanted to chime in that I did not understand the analog/digital analogy either.


It's a different way of measuring things.

Under a digital system, there are only two possible states: 1 or 0, On or Off, Black or White, Good or Evil. There is no in-between.

Analog systems posit a whole different range of values, for example, a scale of 1 to 100 can be used to show a position. Your steering wheel in your car works in an analog fashion; you turn the wheel a little, it turns a little. You turn a lot, it turns a lot. You turn all the way and it turns as hard as it can go.

A digital steering wheel would only have two positions; on and off. You would either be going straight, or giving the car maximum possible turning force. There's no 'feel' to it.

Humans, by the way, are exceedingly and utterly analog. There's nothing digital about us (other then our fingers!), and that's why it's silly to posit a digital system for dealing with inherently analog situations.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
FreeDuck
 
  1  
Tue 6 May, 2008 10:07 am
nimh wrote:
Yeah so, I'm digressing ridiculously, but my beef isnt that I think rapid long-distance rail links are a bad idea. They're basically a good idea, though I do feel that improving local commuter options in public transport should be a bigger priority, because that would better benefit the people who need the break the most. But my point was about political strategy. Specifically Obama's seeming lack of feeling the right perspective in discussions like this.


I took this as your main point and I agree with the necessity of local and commuter public transport options and think it, along with a general rethinking of how we design our cities, should be a major priority. However, these needs are usually specific to large, centralized cities with populous suburbs where there is enough demand for it public commuter transportation. I don't know how many cities in Indiana or N. Carolina would fit that description. Second, those programs are usually state and local projects, though with some federal funding. Not something a President can do much but talk about. Should he still talk about it? Of course, and I don't know that he hasn't. But as your Atlanta example shows, these are largely local government issues.
0 Replies
 
Ticomaya
 
  1  
Tue 6 May, 2008 10:07 am
nimh wrote:
OCCOM BILL wrote:
Dude asked a reasonable question. WTF is analog supposed to mean here? (I can think of no way that analog is superior to digital)

Digital: everything is either 1 or 0... following the association from there, looking at the world in a digital fashion would be seeing everything in terms of black and white, us vs them, good guys or bad guys, and never a way between can be seen. Makes for much strident rhetorics, little skill at diplomacy, and all too quickly seeing war as the only solution.


And ... it sets up a reasonable question about whether he would be willing to negotiate with everyone.

engineer wrote:
In summation, I understood the analogy and thought is was used correctly.


I understood the analogy as nimh described, but I am unclear what it means in real world application. Where does Obama draw the line?

Or, in an analog world, is there a necessity to draw any lines?
0 Replies
 
 

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