realjohnboy
 
  1  
Sat 2 Feb, 2008 04:38 pm
You can't be serious, Cyclo. Are you?
0 Replies
 
Thomas
 
  1  
Sat 2 Feb, 2008 04:39 pm
Cycloptichorn wrote:
Quote:
Heads they win the bet. Tails the public loses because they join the system later and reap the benefits paid by those who got insured in the first place.


Make them pay back at least some of the income they didn't provide.

How do you distinguish this from discriminating based on prior conditions, which Obama's plan wants to outlaw?
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Sat 2 Feb, 2008 04:40 pm
Thomas wrote:
Cycloptichorn wrote:
It's correct to attack the plan for the mandates. I support him doing so. And I think the flyer was an effective message. That's why they used it. There's nothing dishonest about it; tell me, what part of the ad isn't true?

The factual claim in the flyer is: "Hillary's plan forces everyone to buy health insurance, even if you can't afford it." The false, dishonest, deliberately slanderous part of the claim is "even if you can't afford it." Hillary Clinton's health care plan, just like every other Democrat's, contains several measures ensuring that everyone can afford health insurance. In particular, it includes two provisions ensuring that working people and their dependents can afford healthcare: (1) it limits premium payments to a percentage of income, (2) it provides tax deductions for healthcare. Moreover, (3) the plan covers people who cannot work through Medicaid and SCHIP. It will expand both programs to close the holes through which vulnerable people are currently falling. (See Clinton's American Health Choices plan (PDF), executive summary, item 4, on page 2. For more details, see "Ensuring Affordable Health Coverage for all", item 5, on page 8.

This ad is a hit job worthy of Karl Rove, coming from yet another man who wants to "change the tone in Washington" and "bring the country together". I don't see why the Obama supporters in this thread defend this kind of smear. Apparently your zeal to see no evil in your darling candidate is seriously clouding your better judgment.


So if the gov't subsidizes the health insurance, and those bills come out of the general fund - and we all know that for the first several years, at least, it's going to run in the red - then adding to the Federal gov't debt is exactly the same as charging you higher fees. It just passes that debt on to your kids.

Nobody gets something for nothing, man.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
Thomas
 
  1  
Sat 2 Feb, 2008 04:48 pm
Cycloptichorn wrote:
Why don't we have a program first and add in the mandates when the efficiency gains present themselves? I haven't seen anyone say why this wouldn't work.

For two reasons:

1) Because efficiency gains cut both ways: They can be interpreted as supporting mandates, because they are now safe to add. But they can also be interpreted as evidence against mandates -- after all, the system improved even without them.

2) Because efficiency losses also can cut both ways: They can be interpreted as evidence that universal healthcare is failing; they can also be interpreted as evidence that the incentives Obama's plan sets create so much free-riding it undercuts the whole system.

Waiting for evidence about efficiency gains, then, is a pure delay tactic. It adds no useful information for deciding if mandates are a good idea or not.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Sat 2 Feb, 2008 04:50 pm
Thomas wrote:
Cycloptichorn wrote:
Why don't we have a program first and add in the mandates when the efficiency gains present themselves? I haven't seen anyone say why this wouldn't work.

For two reasons:

1) Because efficiency gains cut both ways: They can be interpreted as supporting mandates, because they are now safe to add. But they can also be interpreted as evidence against mandates -- after all, the system improved even without them.

2) Because efficiency losses also can cut both ways: They can be interpreted as evidence that universal healthcare is failing; they can also be interpreted as evidence that the incentives Obama's plan sets create so much free-riding it undercuts the whole system.

Waiting for evidence about efficiency gains, then, is a pure delay tactic. It adds no useful information for deciding if mandates are a good idea or not.


I disagree. It adds evidence that can be spun however you like. But the losses will be real and that's what matters. It is universally agreed that without efficiency gains it isn't practical to have mandates.

The gov't subsidizing higher and higher prices is not fiscally responsible, and it doesn't save people money. Just puts the bill off.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
Thomas
 
  1  
Sat 2 Feb, 2008 05:09 pm
Cycloptichorn wrote:
So if the gov't subsidizes the health insurance, and those bills come out of the general fund - and we all know that for the first several years, at least, it's going to run in the red - then adding to the Federal gov't debt is exactly the same as charging you higher fees. It just passes that debt on to your kids.

1) Even if your argument was valid, it still wouldn't address the factual claim in the flyer, and wouldn't make it any less of a pathetically dishonest smear.

2) Subsidies don't necessarily raise deficits. They can also be paid out of taxes. Maybe you are too young to remember (that sounds arrogant, sorry), but there once were US governments that paid their entire expenses as they went -- out of federal revenue. The disagreement between the Clinton plan and the Obama plan is about the optimal market structure of the health care sector. Fiscal responsibility is an entirely separate question.

3) On the substance of your argument, here's your mistake: You are looking only at the costs of healthcare reform when you should be looking at its whole balance sheet. A switch to universal healthcare raises people's taxes, which is a cost to them. It also lowers their health insurance premiums, which is a benefit. Because the switch increases the efficiency of the system at producing health, the benefits exceed the cost, so citizens effectively end up with more disposable income even if they pay higher taxes. The same is true for every other reform that gives taxpayers their money's worth. It's about the cost/benefit ratio, not just about the cost.
0 Replies
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Sat 2 Feb, 2008 05:29 pm
Thomas wrote:
... A switch to universal healthcare raises people's taxes, which is a cost to them. It also lowers their health insurance premiums, which is a benefit. Because the switch increases the efficiency of the system at producing health, the benefits exceed the cost, so citizens effectively end up with more disposable income even if they pay higher taxes. The same is true for every other reform that gives taxpayers their money's worth. It's about the cost/benefit ratio, not just about the cost.


If I could only believe this would be true...
0 Replies
 
sozobe
 
  1  
Sat 2 Feb, 2008 05:32 pm
dyslexia wrote:
what does continue to stick in my craw is when OBama stated that he would consider invading Pakistan if he had evidence of Osama's location in Pakistan. Another freakin' invasion justification? If we had intelligence of Osama hiding in Lebanon or German would he also consider invading? Shock and awe?


FWIW:

Quote:
I emailed our resident expert, Anthony Cordesman, who told me that Obama is correct, what he's talking about militarily would not be considered an "invasion."

"Technically," Cordesman writes, "an invasion is an incursion of an army for conquest or plunder. Moreover, since Pakistan has both admitted that hostile forces come from its territory to Afghanistan and said it cannot stop all of them, an incursion to defeat the insurgents is probably legal under international law.


http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalpunch/2007/08/was-obama-propo.html
0 Replies
 
dyslexia
 
  1  
Sat 2 Feb, 2008 05:32 pm
georgeob1 wrote:
Thomas wrote:
... A switch to universal healthcare raises people's taxes, which is a cost to them. It also lowers their health insurance premiums, which is a benefit. Because the switch increases the efficiency of the system at producing health, the benefits exceed the cost, so citizens effectively end up with more disposable income even if they pay higher taxes. The same is true for every other reform that gives taxpayers their money's worth. It's about the cost/benefit ratio, not just about the cost.


If I could only believe this would be true...
Just perhaps George, you're predisposed to believe one way or the other.
0 Replies
 
okie
 
  1  
Sat 2 Feb, 2008 05:34 pm
georgeob1 wrote:
Thomas wrote:
... A switch to universal healthcare raises people's taxes, which is a cost to them. It also lowers their health insurance premiums, which is a benefit. Because the switch increases the efficiency of the system at producing health, the benefits exceed the cost, so citizens effectively end up with more disposable income even if they pay higher taxes. The same is true for every other reform that gives taxpayers their money's worth. It's about the cost/benefit ratio, not just about the cost.


If I could only believe this would be true...

It doesn't work in other industries, so why would it here, so I agree, I don't believe it either. It will lead to higher cost or rationed services, one or the other.
0 Replies
 
sozobe
 
  1  
Sat 2 Feb, 2008 05:34 pm
I think I implied this earlier, but I'll say outright that I don't like the mailing. I think it is less-worse than the New Hampshire abortion mailing Clinton put out -- talk about slanderous -- but I think Obama has to be extra careful about these things.
0 Replies
 
dyslexia
 
  1  
Sat 2 Feb, 2008 05:41 pm
sozobe wrote:
dyslexia wrote:
what does continue to stick in my craw is when OBama stated that he would consider invading Pakistan if he had evidence of Osama's location in Pakistan. Another freakin' invasion justification? If we had intelligence of Osama hiding in Lebanon or German would he also consider invading? Shock and awe?


FWIW:

Quote:
I emailed our resident expert, Anthony Cordesman, who told me that Obama is correct, what he's talking about militarily would not be
Code:considered
an "invasion."

"Technically," Cordesman writes, "an invasion is an incursion of an army for conquest or plunder. Moreover, since Pakistan has both admitted that hostile forces come from its territory to Afghanistan and said it cannot stop all of them, an incursion to defeat the insurgents is probably legal under international law.


http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalpunch/2007/08/was-obama-propo.html
I guess I'm just not buying this "probable" spin of "invasion" or "legality", I certainly do see it as both an invasion and illegal under US law.
Could he do what he suggested? I'm sure he could. Should he do what he suggested? I'm sure he should not.
0 Replies
 
Thomas
 
  1  
Sat 2 Feb, 2008 05:44 pm
Thomas wrote:
2) Subsidies don't necessarily raise deficits. They can also be paid out of taxes. Maybe you are too young to remember (that sounds arrogant, sorry), but there once were US governments that paid their entire expenses as they went -- out of federal revenue. The disagreement between the Clinton plan and the Obama plan is about the optimal market structure of the health care sector. Fiscal responsibility is an entirely separate question.

I might as well be specific here. Hillary Clinton proposes to pay for her Universal healthcare system by repealing the Bush tax cuts for people earning more than $250,000 per year. According to serious economists, whose articles I admittedly haven't bookmarked but could find again if needed, this frees about $200 billion dollars a year -- more than enough to pay for Clinton's $140 billion a year plan. In term of financing, Clinton's and Obama's plans are similar. They both let the Bush income tax cuts expire, but keep the part that applied to middle income people.
0 Replies
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Sat 2 Feb, 2008 05:46 pm
I think the question of word choice, 'invasion' or something else, is irrelevant. Someone who asserts the rationally defensible view that our intervention in Iraq was unwise overereaching and wasteful of both our moral authority and resources -- and then goes on to suggest that we should intervene in any form in Pakistan, is simply not being rational.
0 Replies
 
sozobe
 
  1  
Sat 2 Feb, 2008 05:48 pm
Not really. A big part of his point is that the war in Iraq is using up resources that need to be used for national security reasons. As in, get bin Laden -- that specific guy. Don't invade a whole country.
0 Replies
 
Thomas
 
  1  
Sat 2 Feb, 2008 05:51 pm
georgeob1 wrote:
Thomas wrote:
... A switch to universal healthcare raises people's taxes, which is a cost to them. It also lowers their health insurance premiums, which is a benefit. Because the switch increases the efficiency of the system at producing health, the benefits exceed the cost, so citizens effectively end up with more disposable income even if they pay higher taxes. The same is true for every other reform that gives taxpayers their money's worth. It's about the cost/benefit ratio, not just about the cost.


If I could only believe this would be true...

1) You may not believe it now, but if anything close to the Edwards plan gets implemented, I'm betting 5:1 that you will.

2) If it weren't true, then the reason would be that I was wrong about the optimal market structure in health care, and that the reform wasn't giving taxpayers their money's worth after all. But even so, you would have to look at the whole balance sheet, not just at its cost column, to determine it. This was the particular point I was arguing here.
0 Replies
 
FreeDuck
 
  1  
Sat 2 Feb, 2008 05:52 pm
Thomas wrote:
Cycloptichorn wrote:
It's correct to attack the plan for the mandates. I support him doing so. And I think the flyer was an effective message. That's why they used it. There's nothing dishonest about it; tell me, what part of the ad isn't true?

The factual claim in the flyer is: "Hillary's plan forces everyone to buy health insurance, even if you can't afford it." The false, dishonest, deliberately slanderous part of the claim is "even if you can't afford it." Hillary Clinton's health care plan, just like every other Democrat's, contains several measures ensuring that everyone can afford health insurance. In particular, it includes two provisions ensuring that working people and their dependents can afford healthcare: (1) it limits premium payments to a percentage of income, (2) it provides tax deductions for healthcare. Moreover, (3) the plan covers people who cannot work through Medicaid and SCHIP. It will expand both programs to close the holes through which vulnerable people are currently falling. (See Clinton's American Health Choices plan (PDF), executive summary, item 4, on page 2. For more details, see "Ensuring Affordable Health Coverage for all", item 5, on page 8.)


Yeah, but the ad is still factually accurate. The claim is not that she'll force you to buy health insurance and do nothing to make it affordable. It's that she'll force you to buy health care even if you can't afford it. I don't see anything in her plan that disputes that. It doesn't provide an exemption for hardship, for example, as Edwards' plan does.
0 Replies
 
dyslexia
 
  1  
Sat 2 Feb, 2008 05:56 pm
sozobe wrote:
Not really. A big part of his point is that the war in Iraq is using up resources that need to be used for national security reasons. As in, get bin Laden -- that specific guy. Don't invade a whole country.
Strickle from my pov the big part is that the invasion of Iraq was and continues to be an illegal and ill-justified. bin Laden is a person linked to his organization NOT a nation a criminal. Iraq was quite simply a despotic nation that was unpopular regardless of whether or not WoMD existed. There was zero justification for an invasion of Iraq just as there would be zero justification for an invasion of Pakistan.
0 Replies
 
Ramafuchs
 
  1  
Sat 2 Feb, 2008 05:58 pm
Aside from your intellectual discourse
let me predict the out come of the American carnival.
I mean Democracy
This is my prediction.
A white Male will be the person who uphold the UNFULLFILLED BUT ALWAYS ENCHANTING DREEM.
Others should wait with hope and none will change
0 Replies
 
edgarblythe
 
  1  
Sat 2 Feb, 2008 05:59 pm
dyslexia wrote:
sozobe wrote:
Not really. A big part of his point is that the war in Iraq is using up resources that need to be used for national security reasons. As in, get bin Laden -- that specific guy. Don't invade a whole country.
Strickle from my pov the big part is that the invasion of Iraq was and continues to be an illegal and ill-justified. bin Laden is a person linked to his organization NOT a nation a criminal. Iraq was quite simply a despotic nation that was unpopular regardless of whether or not WoMD existed. There was zero justification for an invasion of Iraq just as there would be zero justification for an invasion of Pakistan.


And that's the truth.
0 Replies
 
 

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