@realjohnboy,
realjohnboy wrote:
President Obama's approval/disapproval ratings have been unusually volatile in the last week or so. They are likely to bounce around a lot in the next few days following his comments last night regarding the proposed Islamic center in NYC.
Here are numbers from Rasmussen (which are pretty closely mirrored by the compilation of polls reported by RCP). Remember that Rasmussen uses a 3-day rolling poll. The numbers for today, August 14th, for example reflect polling on the 11th through the 13th. The report for tomorrow will include just one day of his post-Islamic center speech. The full 3-day cycle will get reported on Tuesday morning, August 17th.
Aug 14: Strongly Approve (26%) - Strongly Disapprove (42%) = -16.
............ Approve (46%) - Disapprove (53%) = -7.
Aug 11: Strongly Approve (24%) - Strongly Disapprove (46%) = -22.
........... Approve (43%) - Disapprove (56%) = -13.
Aug 8: Strongly Approve (31%) - Strongly Disapprove (41%) = -10.
.......... Approve (48%) - Disapprove (51%) = -3.
Here are the numbers, per Rasmussen, for the 3 days following Obama's speech on Friday night (Aug 13th):
Aug 15th: Strongly Approve (26%) - Strongly Disapprove (43%) = -17.
............... Approve (45%) - Disapprove (53%) = -8.
Aug 16th: Strongly Approve (26%) - Strongly Disapprove (45%) = -19.
............... Approve (43%) - Disapprove (56%) = -13.
Aug 17th: Strongly Approve (26%) - Strongly Disapprove (45%) = -19.
............... Approve (44%) - Disapprove (55%) = -11.
It seems to me clear that Obama did take a hit for his speech on Friday to a bunch of Islams at the White House in which he defended the right of freedom of religion. He confused the issue a bit the next day by saying that he believes in the 1st amendment but thinks the "mosque" is a bad idea for that site in NYC.
Tomorrow's poll and perhaps ones for another day or so will reflect how people respond after the Sunday talk shows.
Pundits claim that this is a big deal in the political campaign. I can't see that being the case.
As the late Lee Atwater famously said, "It's the economy, stupid."