mysteryman
 
  1  
Fri 29 Jan, 2010 03:14 pm
@georgeob1,
goerge,
You might find this interesting.
Its a poll that breaks the healthcare bill down into its seperate components, and it seems most people are in favor of it, when asked about each component seperately

.http://andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com/the_daily_dish/2010/01/is-health-care-reform-popular.html



georgeob1
 
  0  
Fri 29 Jan, 2010 03:36 pm
@mysteryman,
Well, we are still confronted with the fact that, despite an enormous majority in both houses of Congress, the legislation has not been passed. Moreover, there appears to be very little motivation among Democrat legislators - except the most diehard progressives in the House - to take it up again. Are they all misreading the public?

Polls can be misleading. People can respond favorably to the idea of universal care, but, at the same time, be very suspicious of a particular plan designed to achieve that desirable outcome, with all its side effects and the likelihood that this new entitlement will lead to continuing out-of-control spending as have all previous such entitlements.

In any case, perhaps you can explain the failure of such legislation, given this supposed wide spread public support.
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Fri 29 Jan, 2010 03:42 pm
@georgeob1,
georgeob1 wrote:

Cycloptichorn wrote:

I will grant you the energy issue - but Health Care? C'mon! I have consistently said that polling shows the public supporting EVERY ASPECT of the original Dem plan. I can still provide you with this data.
Cycloptichorn


Laughing

Perhaps you would like to update us with your latest forecast for the passage of this legislation, which enjoys such vast public support ... in every aspect.


See Mr. Mysteryman's post directly above this one re: individual aspects of the plan being supported. You will also note that the final Senate plan differed considerably from the original proposed plan by Mr. Obama or the House.

Needless to say that various aspects of the plan were changed in the Senate (watered down) in order to try and capture Republican votes. This failed completely, b/c the Republicans had no intention of EVER voting for ANYTHING that allowed the Dems to pass this bill. I think that the presumption that they were negotiating in good faith was a mistake on Obama and Reid's part.

While right now the bill is in peril, you should realize that both the House and the Senate have passed versions; it is not dead yet.

Quote:
Of course it could be an evil Republican legislative conspiracy that is preventing the passage of this eagerly desired legislation.


Well, it's not a conspiracy; they are bad faith negotiators who have banked their political futures on opposing everything the Dems have done. Obama was right to call them out on this today, and it was embarrassing for the GOP to be shown up like that in front of the cameras.

But you are correct that the Dems, had they held together better, could have passed the bill anyway. If Reconciliation had been chosen to be used initially, they could have passed the bill anyway. Mis-steps along the way hurt the Democrats in this endeavor, but this does not represent a failure of the underlying ideas in the slightest, no matter how much you assert that it does.

Quote:
If so then we will likely see even stronger Democrat majorities in both houses of Congress after the November elections, and the passage of this wonderful program in the next Congress. (Don't hold your breath)


The GOP will gain seats in both houses but control of neither. This is typical of 2nd-year elections for a president and nothing to be surprised about.

I will note for the record that once again you have failed to answer my questions or provide any evidence to support your positions whatsoever. Do you honestly believe that Assertion is a substitute for Factual argument?

Cycloptichorn
Cycloptichorn
 
  2  
Fri 29 Jan, 2010 03:44 pm
@georgeob1,
Laughing

When faced with the facts, you quickly retreat into a lesser argument rather than admit you were wrong. 'Polls can be misleading,' Laughing

I guess actual polling data means little when compared to the Assertions of such an august personage as yourself.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
ican711nm
 
  0  
Fri 29 Jan, 2010 03:52 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Cycloptichorn wrote:
You have proven yourself to be incompetent when it comes to evaluating the results of Presidential decisions, Ican.

No I haven't! Actually it's been you who has proven yourself to be incompetent when it comes to evaluating the results of Presidential decisions, Cyclo.

The video of Obama at the Republican House retreat in Baltimore blaming the Republicans for obstructing his program, reveals Obama to be a fraud and/or a fool. The Democrats control both houses of Congress as well as the presidency. They have obstructed themselves by ostracizing the Republicans from participating in meetings developing and editing the health care bill and the cap & trade bill, among others.

The Republicans have of course wisely opposed those bills in their various previous and current forms, and many angry voter groups appear to agree and also oppose those bills. The Tea Party is enraged over the Democrats ostracizing and slandering the Republicans by blaming them for the ruthless incompetence of the Democrats and their efforts to adopt legislation harmful to most Americans.

I opine that Obama is actively pursuing the transformation of our constitutional republic into a demagogic aristocracy, and the transformation of our capitalist system into a redistributionist system. Opposing these pursuits of Obama is essential for securing our freedoms. Those people who fail to understand that are either greedy fo government provided welfare, or are greedy for power over the rest of us.
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Fri 29 Jan, 2010 03:55 pm
@ican711nm,
ican711nm wrote:

Cycloptichorn wrote:
You have proven yourself to be incompetent when it comes to evaluating the results of Presidential decisions, Ican.

No I haven't! Actually it's been you who has proven yourself to be incompetent when it comes to evaluating the results of Presidential decisions, Cyclo.

The video of Obama at the Republican House retreat in Baltimore blaming the Republicans for obstructing his program, reveals Obama to be a fraud and/or a fool. The Democrats control both houses of Congress as well as the presidency. They have obstructed themselves by ostracizing the Republicans from participating in meetings developing and editing the health care bill and the cap & trade bill, among others.


This is a complete lie. The Republicans sat in the Senate Finance commitee and debated for months the aspects of the health care bill. I can specifically name the Republicans who did it. Do you acknowledge this as fact or not?

Quote:
The Republicans have of course wisely opposed those bills in their various previous and current forms, and many angry voter groups appear to agree and also oppose those bills. The Tea Party is enraged over the Democrats ostracizing and slandering the Republicans by blaming them for the ruthless incompetence of the Democrats and their efforts to adopt legislation harmful to most Americans.

I opine that Obama is actively pursuing the transformation of our constitutional republic into a demagogic aristocracy, and the transformation of our capitalist system into a redistributionist system. Opposing these pursuits of Obama is essential for securing our freedoms. Those people who fail to understand that are either greedy fo government provided welfare, or are greedy for power over the rest of us.


You're a damn fool for believing this tripe. If someone told you that Obama was an alien who wanted to eat your babies, you'd believe that too.

I reiterate that you know little to nothing about either history or tax policy. Your claim that Bush didn't sign a tax cut in 2001 on the last page was laughably stupid, a child wouldn't make such a mistake. Your counter-claim that it was Clinton who signed that tax cut isn't even worth mentioning. How do you explain your inability to remember modern historical events accurately?

Cycloptichorn
georgeob1
 
  1  
Fri 29 Jan, 2010 04:00 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Cyclo,

This isn't a debate and there are no judges keeping score. You have made reference to polls that establish public support for various (or all) aspects of the Democrat's Health care proposals. I have made reference to evidence of public disfavor with those proposals. Neither establishes conclusive proof of anything. You can go on believing what you like, as can I, and the world will remain unaffected.

I believe the essential evidence is the failure (so far) of key elements of the President's legislative program - Health care, Cap & Trade and Union organizing. You appear to assert that handled differently the Democrat's might have succeeded with health care. I don't dispute that, but note that it is yet another entry in the book of "what might have been", and of little instructive value now. The key is whether they can pass it or something like it later. So far the prospects aren't good. The Democrats are divided and the Blue Dog population among them has grown. The Republicans want to start over, this time with some real say in the drafting of the legislation, and have every incentive to wait until the next Congress when their relative position will likely be better.

Cap & Trade is dead for now. I suspect the next Democrat issue will be the "Fair labor organizing" Bill that will eliminate that Medieval requirement for a secret ballot by the workers being organized by union thugs.

In my view the most ominous issue ahead for Democrats is going to be public resentment for the growing cadre of better paid public employees (nearly all members of various gov't employee unions) and the increasing taxation from states and counties required to support them during economic hard times. This has the potential to become an issue that underlies all others, and reduces the public appetite for government programs of all kinds.
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Fri 29 Jan, 2010 04:07 pm
@georgeob1,
georgeob1 wrote:

Cyclo,

This isn't a debate and there are no judges keeping score. You have made reference to polls that establish public support for various (or all) aspects of the Democrat's Health care proposals. I have made reference to evidence of public disfavor with those proposals. Neither establishes conclusive proof of anything. You can go on believing what you like, as can I, and the world will remain unaffected.

I believe the essential evidence is the failure (so far) of key elements of the President's legislative program - Health care, Cap & Trade and Union organizing. You appear to assert that handled differently the Democrat's might have succeeded with health care. I don't dispute that, but note that it is yet another entry in the book of "what might have been", and of little instructive value now. The key is whether they can pass it or something like it later. So far the prospects aren't good. The Democrats are divided and the Blue Dog population among them has grown. The Republicans want to start over, this time with some real say in the drafting of the legislation, and have every incentive to wait until the next Congress when their relative position will likely be better.

Cap & Trade is dead for now. I suspect the next Democrat issue will be the "Fair labor organizing" Bill that will eliminate that Medieval requirement for a secret ballot by the workers being organized by union thugs.

In my view the most ominous issue ahead for Democrats is going to be public resentment for the growing cadre of better paid public employees (nearly all members of various gov't employee unions) and the increasing taxation from states and counties required to support them during economic hard times. This has the potential to become an issue that underlies all others, and reduces the public appetite for government programs of all kinds.


The public doesn't give a **** about that, George. Or perhaps you can provide some polling data showing that it does? It certainly isn't listed as a top issue of concern in any of the polls I've seen.

The next Dem issue likely will be a Jobs bill and financial sector regulation. Neither can be politically opposed by the Republicans in any meaningful way without opening themselves up to being crucified in the next election.

You make assertions without providing proof, and when I demand for you to do so, you assert that it isn't a debate and you don't have to do so. This is weak. There is no judge but both you and I know that you are arguing in bad faith; that is to say, you don't have evidence to back up your positions.

I think that when you chide me for 'speaking for the public,' you are engaging in a bit of projection. You honestly seem to believe that your ideas reflect what the public believes, and that when polling data shows that to be incorrect, you attack the polls and say that it's unknowable. Very weak.

Cycloptichorn
ican711nm
 
  0  
Fri 29 Jan, 2010 04:14 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Cycloptichorn wrote:
This is a complete lie. The Republicans sat in the Senate Finance commitee and debated for months the aspects of the health care bill. I can specifically name the Republicans who did it. Do you acknowledge this as fact or not?

After the health care bill left the Senate Finance committee, the Republicans were ostracized from participating in any subsequent editing.

I reiterate that you know little to nothing about either history or tax policy. Your claim that Bush didn't sign a tax cut in 2001 on the last page was laughably stupid, a child wouldn't make such a mistake. Your counter-claim that it was Clinton who signed that tax cut isn't even worth mentioning. How do you explain your inability to remember modern historical events accurately?

You claim that Bush signed the bill that in 2001 reduced the maximum tax rate from 39.6% to 39.1%. What is your evidence of that?

okie
 
  -1  
Fri 29 Jan, 2010 04:31 pm
@georgeob1,
georgeob1 wrote:
In my view the most ominous issue ahead for Democrats is going to be public resentment for the growing cadre of better paid public employees (nearly all members of various gov't employee unions) and the increasing taxation from states and counties required to support them during economic hard times. This has the potential to become an issue that underlies all others, and reduces the public appetite for government programs of all kinds.

George, you have hit on a very fascinating point and phenomena that may become more evident. An excellent article about this appeared in the Wall Street Journal, by Daniel Henninger, in which he talks about JFK's executive order to allow union membership for government employees, and how this has essentially grown into a "blob" or a "machine" that pits government against the rest of the economy, whereby government jobs are overall the most secure, the best paid, and easiest of all jobs, whereby productivity takes a second place to everything else, and of course this has all come at the expense of the private sector that are the real producers in the economy. The private sector is being treated as an unending host for countless billions of leaches, but the host is beginning to suffer and to resent the government that continues to pile up unending and uncontrollable debt. I believe the first sentence that I quote from the article pretty much sums up the battle that we are going to see. My hope is tha the election of Scott Brown signals a revitalization of the people in this country that believe in the constitution, free markets, and that believe in the American people, their freedom and liberty, and their entrepeneurship as the strong point of this country, not government. Those of us are given a difficult task in this revitalization, given the existence of a Marxist sympathizing president, but it is also possible that as people wake up to this reality, it could set up a situation for a healthy and resounding defeat of his policies by creating a situation for a huge backlash against his policies and the Democratic / goverhment blob or machine. But it really depends upon the numbers, how many of us remain in the private sector that can see what is truly happening, are there enough of us left to outvote the blob or machine?

By the way, I was never a fan of JFK, but this really seals it, he was no great president in my opinion, no way.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704320104575015010515688120.html

"The central battle in our time is over political primacy. It is a competition between the public sector and the private sector over who defines the work and the institutions that make a nation thrive and grow.

In 1962, President John F. Kennedy planted the seeds that grew the modern Democratic Party. That year, JFK signed executive order 10988 allowing the unionization of the federal work force. This changed everything in the American political system. Kennedy's order swung open the door for the inexorable rise of a unionized public work force in many states and cities.

This in turn led to the fantastic growth in membership of the public employee unions"The American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees (AFSCME), the Service Employees International Union (SEIU) and the teachers' National Education Association.

They broke the public's bank. More than that, they entrenched a system of taking money from members' dues and spending it on political campaigns. Over time, this transformed the Democratic Party into a public-sector dependency."
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Fri 29 Jan, 2010 04:32 pm
@ican711nm,
Cycloptichorn wrote:
This is a complete lie. The Republicans sat in the Senate Finance commitee and debated for months the aspects of the health care bill. I can specifically name the Republicans who did it. Do you acknowledge this as fact or not?

Quote:
After the health care bill left the Senate Finance committee, the Republicans were ostracized from participating in any subsequent editing.


So what? They had MONTHS of input. The Dems are not required to include bad-faith actors - for that is exactly what the Republicans are - in their private negotiations over the bill. I doubt you could find a single time that the Republicans EVER let the Dems in on their negotiations in this manner.

You claimed they had NONE. Now that I have clearly showed that they had plenty of input, you are trying to move the goalposts.

Quote:
I reiterate that you know little to nothing about either history or tax policy. Your claim that Bush didn't sign a tax cut in 2001 on the last page was laughably stupid, a child wouldn't make such a mistake. Your counter-claim that it was Clinton who signed that tax cut isn't even worth mentioning. How do you explain your inability to remember modern historical events accurately?

You claim that Bush signed the bill that in 2001 reduced the maximum tax rate from 39.6% to 39.1%. What is your evidence of that?


Are you completely out to lunch, Ican? I never said anything about Bush cutting taxes to 39.1%. I said that he instituted huge tax cuts in 2001 which lead to three years of smaller federal revenues.

Here's the Cato institute proving you wrong.

Quote:
2001. President Bush came into office promising a range of income tax cuts. He succeeded in getting a 10-year $1.35 trillion tax cut plan through Congress in 2001. It was the largest tax cut since 1981. Some key elements were:

* A reduction of individual income tax rates from 15, 28, 31, 36, and 39.6 percent to 10, 15, 25, 28, 33, and 35 percent;
* An increase in the child tax credit from $500 to $1,000;
* A phased-in reduction in estate taxes, and a one-year repeal in 2010;
* A big expansion of tax-favored retirement savings plans.


That tax cut cost the government over a trillion dollars in the last decade. A trillion dollars. You can see from this chart that federal revenues NEVER made up the difference:

http://www.theneweditor.com/index.php?/archives/10530-Total-Federal-Tax-Revenue-and-Spending-in-Inflation-Adjusted-Dollars.html

Cycloptichorn
realjohnboy
 
  2  
Fri 29 Jan, 2010 04:40 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
I have it being signed on the Thursday after June 6th, 2001. A CNN story from that date referenced "next Thursday."
The reduction in the top rate went to 35% and would be paid for by the massive government surpluses that would result. In fact, a number of folks were unhappy, saying the surpluses would be so huge that the cuts should have been even deeper.
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Fri 29 Jan, 2010 04:47 pm
@realjohnboy,
realjohnboy wrote:

I have it being signed on the Thursday after June 6th, 2001. A CNN story from that date referenced "next Thursday."
The reduction in the top rate went to 35% and would be paid for by the massive government surpluses that would result. In fact, a number of folks were unhappy, saying the surpluses would be so huge that the cuts should have been even deeper.


Amazing how things never change, isn't it?

The complete and total failure of that argument hasn't stopped the same people from re-proposing it. Facts and data truly don't matter at all to some people.

Cycloptichorn
realjohnboy
 
  2  
Fri 29 Jan, 2010 04:59 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
9/11 happened a few months later. I found one site (probably with a bias) that lists the financial cost of the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq as being around $1T so far.
An unexpected drain on the government.
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Fri 29 Jan, 2010 05:00 pm
@realjohnboy,
realjohnboy wrote:

9/11 happened a few months later. I found one site (probably with a bias) that lists the financial cost of the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq as being around $1T.


9/11 may have impacted it a little, but that doesn't account for the fact that federal revenues never rose, certainly not the way Ican says they did. The cost of the wars were expenditures and it was paid for entirely on loan.

Cycloptichorn
hawkeye10
 
  0  
Fri 29 Jan, 2010 05:05 pm
@realjohnboy,
be thinks that must be a war loving site, cause that number is fantastically lowball:
Quote:
The financial cost of the war has been more than £4.5 billion ($9 billion) to the UK,[262] and over $845 billion to the U.S., with the total cost to the U.S. economy estimated at $3 trillion.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iraq_War

Quote:
The cost of direct US military operations - not even including long-term costs such as taking care of wounded veterans - already exceeds the cost of the 12-year war in Vietnam and is more than double the cost of the Korean War.

And, even in the best case scenario, these costs are projected to be almost ten times the cost of the first Gulf War, almost a third more than the cost of the Vietnam War, and twice that of the First World War. The only war in our history which cost more was the Second World War, when 16.3 million U.S. troops fought in a campaign lasting four years, at a total cost (in 2007 dollars, after adjusting for inflation) of about $5 trillion (that's $5 million million, or £2.5 million million). With virtually the entire armed forces committed to fighting the Germans and Japanese, the cost per troop (in today's dollars) was less than $100,000 in 2007 dollars. By contrast, the Iraq war is costing upward of $400,000 per troop

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/comment/columnists/guest_contributors/article3419840.ece
realjohnboy
 
  2  
Fri 29 Jan, 2010 05:08 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Yeah. I have never been a big fan of the "trickle down" theory in economics. Yes, tax cuts were also cut in the lower brackets, but I don't think that resulted in increased consumer spending that would create demand for more goods to be produced which would, in turn, create jobs.
Where did the tax savings to individuals go?
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Fri 29 Jan, 2010 05:09 pm
@realjohnboy,
realjohnboy wrote:

Yeah. I have never been a big fan of the "trickle down" theory in economics. Yes, tax cuts were also cut in the lower brackets, but I don't think that resulted in increased consumer spending that would create demand for more goods to be produced which would, in turn, create jobs.
Where did the tax savings to individuals go?


To the top 5%. The bottom 95% was given a cookie and told to be happy, the higher earning groups got massive and persistent tax cuts which allowed them to suck up an even greater percentage of the total wealth.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
realjohnboy
 
  2  
Fri 29 Jan, 2010 05:30 pm
@hawkeye10,
Hawk...The $1T struck me as low. It was on a site with one of those clocks that is spinning furiously with $$$ adding on. I did not check where the site was or how old the data was. And, as you noted, it probably does not include indirect costs such as wounded veterans' care.
Thanks for what probably is a better number.
My point was that when President Bush signed the tax cuts in June, 2001, he could not have predicted how much these adventures would end up costing us.
The surpluses projected from 2001-2010 (when the tax cuts would either expire or have to be renewed) was projected by some to be $25T.
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Fri 29 Jan, 2010 05:36 pm
@realjohnboy,
realjohnboy wrote:

Hawk...The $1T struck me as low. It was on a site with one of those clocks that is spinning furiously with $$$ adding on. I did not check where the site was or how old the data was. And, as you noted, it probably does not include indirect costs such as wounded veterans' care.
Thanks for what probably is a better number.
My point was that when President Bush signed the tax cuts in June, 2001, he could not have predicted how much these adventures would end up costing us.
The surpluses projected from 2001-2010 (when the tax cuts would either expire or have to be renewed) was projected by some to be $25T.


The outlays of the war effort, while huge and unanticipated, didn't really affect our revenues collected, which was what we were talking about.

Cycloptichorn
 

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