Good article! (The Chicago Tribune one.) Cant argue with much any of that.. yes, I guess he probably will run, then. At least, this sure is a convincing prediction!
sozobe wrote:I dunno what I think about #8. I don't think anyone views Kerry or Edwards as having "laid the groundwork for future national races" in 2004. They lost, and they have that loser aura now, and that hurts 'em bad in terms of any future bids.
Yes, if he gets the nomination and loses, he's done.
But if he takes part in the primaries and sets a good if not winning score, that could be useful for a renewed future run.
Dunno if Clark is exactly the best example... but I'm thinking, for example (admittedly a wholly different context) of Chris Huhne of the British LibDems ...
The Libdems had primaries of their own (a simple ballot of members) to select their new party leader, to succeed Charles Kennedy, last month. Huhne, a former member of European Parliament who only just entered the House of Commons and was largely unknown to the members, candidated himself. He ended up beating grassroots favorite Simon Hughes into third place and forced the anointed successor, Menzies Campbell, into a run-off. He lost, but with a relatively narrow margin, and in the course of it burnished his credentials to where he couldnt be passed over for a major post and cant be ignored if any new leadership issue arises.