jamespetts wrote:I am not entirely sure if I follow the logic of your post. Of course, I accept the principle of uncertainty: that is a given in any such debate. What is being discussed is probability, not certainty.
COMMENT:
We'll get into probability when it is appropriate. I've taken that into consideration. Just as I do not think there is enough unambiguous evidence for us to make meaningful guesses about reality, I do not think there is enough unambiguous evidence to suppose we can make probability estimates about reality either.
Quote:But what you seem to be saying goes beyond this. Not only do you acknowledge that you cannot be certain of the nature of reality, you also assert that you cannot draw any meaningful conclusions about it at all.
Not so. For instance, I think I can draw the following meaningful conclusion about it:
I can meaningfully say that there seems to be no unambiguous evidence upon which to make meaningful guesses about reality.
That is not a play on words or a tautology. It describes a fairly substantive truth about reality.
Quote: Is that not a judgment that can only properly be made after examining and quantifying the probative value of all relevent evidence, and deciding that none of it has any? If you have done this, then I should be very interested to see precicely how you have done this in relation to every component of reality.
I am not saying we CANNOT learn things about reality. We may be able to -- but from the evidence that I have seen -- there is no way to make a meaningful guess about reality from the evidence currently available. I specifically worded my comments in a way as to preclude the possibility that I am saying that knowledge is impossible to come by. I definitely do not know that it is impossible.
Quote:Is your position, to clarify, that you personally are not in a position to be able to make a judgment on this matter, or that you have made a judgment that no-one will ever be able to make a judgment on this matter? If the latter, what is the probative value of the evidence that you have assembled to support that claim?
See above.
Quote: In either event, is this a conclusion to which you come in any endevour, or is it something special to this question?
It is specific to Ultimate Reality questions.
Quote:If the latter, what differentiates the question concerning the constitution of reality in a way relevent to your calculations from questions concerning the content of reality, which I can only presume that you answer regularly? Is the difference qualitative or quantitative?
I am extremely eager to read your reply :-)
I'm not sure what you are getting at in that last paragraph. But rather than allowing this to become an interrogation of me, why not specifically state some things (or a thing) that you think we can KNOW or REASONABLY INFER about reality -- and we can discuss that at length. Frankly, I don't think there are any that are substantial - but perhaps you can show me that I am wrong.