1819, 1882 etc

Reply Sun 18 Oct, 2020 07:06 am
I would appreciate it if someone would explain the following. American writers show a pronounced tendency to be born ( not approximately but precisely ) in 1809 or 1819 (ten years' difference) and to die in either 1882 or 1892 (ten years' difference):

born 1809:

born 1819:

died 1882:

died 1892:

Reply Sun 18 Oct, 2020 07:43 am
@Jedothek ,
I would explain that it's a painfully tiny sample size, as more than 10 American writers publish every single week day. Even in the 19th century, more than 10 were published every month if not week.

Your sample doesn't include-- if we want to strictly stay with white Easterners --Bronson and Louisa May Alcott, Thoreau, and (IIRC that he was from the Eastern US), Horatio Alger. This is just people I can name off the top of my head.

It also doesn't include obscure authors who didn't stand the test of time.

Oh, and I believe Harriet Beecher Stowe also fits my limited criteria.

Like virtually every kind of conspiracy theory (they tend to have similar thinking behind them), it's a tiny sample size which fits a few arcane criteria, and ignores any counter examples.
0 Replies
Reply Tue 11 Oct, 2022 10:14 am
@Jedothek ,
That's called confirmation bias. You are looking for names that match your desired observations and are overlooking names that do not.
Reply Tue 11 Oct, 2022 10:24 am
I've heard it called red mini syndrome, in that once you start looking for red minis you see them everywhere even theough they're only a tiny fraction of cars on the road.
Reply Tue 11 Oct, 2022 01:12 pm
That happens to pregnant women, too Smile All the time. And there are three cars of my make, model, and colour in my neighbourhood. And sometimes I'll go to a parking lot and there will be a whole row of one coloured vehicles.
0 Replies
Reply Tue 11 Oct, 2022 02:10 pm
For some reason that never worked for me. When the kids would play "punch buggy", I was always the one getting punched.
0 Replies

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