114
   

Where is the US economy headed?

 
 
parados
 
  0  
Reply Sun 27 Feb, 2011 01:07 pm
@reasoning logic,
Actually, he misses a lot of truths.

He claims that short selling stock that splits allows someone to only return 1/2 of the split stock. That is false.

His understanding of the market is pretty much nil. If the people that owned 90% of the stock suddenly colluded to sell it there would be no one to buy it. It can't work the way he says because it would be impossible in the real world.
parados
 
  0  
Reply Sun 27 Feb, 2011 01:15 pm
@okie,
okie wrote:

cicerone imposter wrote:
Your so-called example doesn't exist in the real world; only in your imagination. So, you bragged about having a million bucks by investing $5,000/year into a savings account. That's total ignorance from ignoring facts. $5,000 from a $13,000 income shows you were able to save 38% of your income. Where did this come from? It's plain stupid!
One other point, when I got out of college, my first professional job paid $9,000 per year, and it was considered very good pay by the way. My housing rent was only $65 per month where I started work, and I lived well on almost nothing. I bought a new car for less than $3,000 and it was paid off in less than 6 months.

So yes, I might have been able to save close to $5,000 in that year, although it was probably less than that. But the interest rates were higher as well. If you don't have a defeatist attitude as you do, much more is possible.

Another point, the first house my wife and I bought soon after we married, it only cost us $17,500.


Your math sucks okie

If you made $9000 and paid $5000 into SS how did you have $5000 left to save?



reasoning logic
 
  1  
Reply Sun 27 Feb, 2011 01:16 pm
@parados,
Your quote : He claims that short selling stock that splits allows someone to only return 1/2 of the split stock. That is false!

That is what caught my attention too but I did not interpret it the way you did!

I thought that he said it correctly but made no sense of it! basically he said you would have to buy back 2 times as many share at half the cost! I see no difference in that than buying them at the original quantity and the original price!
0 Replies
 
spendius
 
  -1  
Reply Sun 27 Feb, 2011 06:27 pm
A straw floating by--Northern Rock (ahem!), our Lehman's, and government owned, has announced the reintroduction of 90% mortgages.

It's being so cheerful as keeps me going.
0 Replies
 
mysteryman
 
  0  
Reply Mon 28 Feb, 2011 10:40 am
@plainoldme,
You do realize that Harry Reid has changed his position on the repubs spending plan.
2 days after you posted that David Corn piece, this came out...

Quote:
As promised, House Appropriations Committee Chairman Hal Rogers (R., Ky.) unveiled Friday a short-term spending resolution to cut federal spending by $4 billion and keep the government funded through March 18 while a longer-term compromise can be negotiated. Government funding must be extended before the current continuing resolution expires on March 4, otherwise the government will shut down. Also as promised, in an effort to attract Democratic support for the measure, nearly all of the proposed savings are achieved through recommendations included in President Obama’s 2012 budget proposal, for instance, by terminating funding for a number of federal grant and subsidy programs, mostly in transportation and education, and by eliminating earmarks left over from the 2010 spending package.

And it seems to have worked. The response from Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid’s office was surprisingly supportive, considering that just two days ago Reid had dismissed the GOP proposal as “extreme” and a “non-starter.” Now, not only are Democrats “encouraged” by the proposal, they’re trying to take credit for the bill. “The plan Republicans are floating today sounds like a modified version of what Democrats were talking about,” Reid spokesman Jon Summers said in a statement. “We’re glad they think it’s a good idea.” Still, as of today, Democrats have yet to put down on paper any specific spending cuts they would support, and continue to insist, falsely, that they have “already cut” $41 billion form the federal budget


The entire article is here...
http://www.nationalreview.com/corner/260777/gop-unveils-short-term-cr-seeks-bipartisan-support-spending-cuts/andrew-stiles

And in the article we see this...

Quote:
A closer look at what the short-term CR would cut:

— Terminates/cuts funding for eight federal programs, all of them singled out in President Obama’s 2012 budget as wasteful or unnecessary:

•Election Assistance Grants ($75 million).
•Broadband Direct Loan Subsidy ($29 million).
•Smithsonian Institution Legacy Fund ($30 million).
•Striving Readers program ($250 million).
•LEAP student grant program ($64 million).
•Even Start literacy program ($66 million.
•Smaller Learning Communities program ($88 billion).
•Highways – Additional General Fund spending ($650 million).


ALL of those cuts were mentioned by Obama, so does that mean he is anti-education?

I do find it interesting that Harry Reid is now attempting to take credit for these cuts, when he called them "extreme" only 2 days earlier.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  0  
Reply Mon 28 Feb, 2011 11:16 am
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2011/02/28/AR2011022802634.html

Quote:
A Republican plan to sharply cut federal spending this year would destroy 700,000 jobs through 2012, according to an independent economic analysis set for release Monday.


Heck of a jobs plan, Boehner.

When asked about this, he responded 'So what?'

I don't believe this guy's motivations and goals match that of the majority of the country at this point.

Cycloptichorn
cicerone imposter
 
  0  
Reply Mon 28 Feb, 2011 11:25 am
@Cycloptichorn,
The GOP and Tea Party are going to deepen this Great Recession, because they don't have the brains to understand that our economy is already struggling with 25 million Americans without jobs, and many of whom have lost their health insurance and homes. Most expert economists have been saying the the job recovery will take many years, but the GOP and Tea Party are hell bent to destroy more jobs. That will cut consumer spending and home buying - the two measures of our economy.

I believe that the 700,000 job loss is a very conservative number, because in the same way any growing economy grows jobs, the opposite is also true when we intentionally destroy jobs.

0 Replies
 
okie
 
  1  
Reply Mon 28 Feb, 2011 12:40 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Cycloptichorn wrote:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2011/02/28/AR2011022802634.html
Quote:
A Republican plan to sharply cut federal spending this year would destroy 700,000 jobs through 2012, according to an independent economic analysis set for release Monday.

Heck of a jobs plan, Boehner.
When asked about this, he responded 'So what?'
I don't believe this guy's motivations and goals match that of the majority of the country at this point.
Cycloptichorn
It all depends upon whether you believe government jobs are the road to prosperity, cyclops. I think Boehner knows that the private sector is the real and lasting driving force behind a healthy economy, not more and more government spending to support relatively unproductive bureaucracies and government jobs. Therefore, the government shedding jobs is a necessary minor shock to the economy that must be undertaken if there will ever be any hope for more productive jobs in the private sector that will produce a more healthy economy.

If everyone worked for the government, who would actually produce anything in this country, and who would support the government bureaucracies with their taxes?
Cycloptichorn
 
  0  
Reply Mon 28 Feb, 2011 12:46 pm
@okie,
okie wrote:

Cycloptichorn wrote:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2011/02/28/AR2011022802634.html
Quote:
A Republican plan to sharply cut federal spending this year would destroy 700,000 jobs through 2012, according to an independent economic analysis set for release Monday.

Heck of a jobs plan, Boehner.
When asked about this, he responded 'So what?'
I don't believe this guy's motivations and goals match that of the majority of the country at this point.
Cycloptichorn
It all depends upon whether you believe government jobs are the road to prosperity, cyclops.


No, it doesn't depend on that, Okie. Because we can all agree that cutting the better part of a million jobs during a recession is an absolutely terrible move. Those folks won't simply find jobs elsewhere; there are already dozens or hundreds of applicants for every job opening these days. You want to basically dump another 700k people on the Dole. How will that help our economy?

It won't.

Quote:
I think Boehner knows that the private sector is the real and lasting driving force behind a healthy economy, not more and more government spending to support relatively unproductive bureaucracies and government jobs. Therefore, the government shedding jobs is a necessary minor shock to the economy that must be undertaken if there will ever be any hope for more productive jobs in the private sector that will produce a more healthy economy.


I understand that you have Ideology, Okie; but little practicality. Pursuing ideological bullshit during the middle of a crisis is a ridiculous plan. In fact, it's not even a 'plan.' You have no actual clue how any of those folks would even GET jobs or how any of the functions that used to be handled by these folks would get done. At all. That's why I can't take stuff like this seriously.

Quote:
If everyone worked for the government, who would actually produce anything in this country, and who would support the government bureaucracies with their taxes?


Appealing to Extremes is a poor form of argument. What you describe would be a fundamentally different situation than our current one.

Boehner and the Republicans ran on, in part, 'restoring Jobs to America.' It was a plank of their platform in 2010. But they have no plan to do so at all, and no intentions of presenting a plan. Just ideology.

Cycloptichorn
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Mon 28 Feb, 2011 01:02 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
okie would have us believe that during the world wars, it would have been better for our government not to spend any money, because that would be supported by more income taxes and debt.

To reduce spending and cutting the debt, our government needed to cut government jobs; to reduce the size of government.
0 Replies
 
okie
 
  1  
Reply Mon 28 Feb, 2011 01:09 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Cycloptichorn wrote:
Quote:
It all depends upon whether you believe government jobs are the road to prosperity, cyclops.
No, it doesn't depend on that, Okie. Because we can all agree that cutting the better part of a million jobs during a recession is an absolutely terrible move. Those folks won't simply find jobs elsewhere; there are already dozens or hundreds of applicants for every job opening these days. You want to basically dump another 700k people on the Dole. How will that help our economy?
It won't.
It most certainly does depend upon whether one believes government jobs are the road to prosperity. We already know the government is broke and going broker. If maintaining unproductive jobs that are bankrupting the government is a wise policy for the sake of preserving the economy, then it would also make sense to create more of those unproductive jobs. We know that would be silly. Therefore, it is just as silly to maintain the jobs that should be cut in the interest of a longterm strategy of what makes a healthy economy. Government jobs do not promote a healthy economy, plain and simple.

Quote:
Quote:
I think Boehner knows that the private sector is the real and lasting driving force behind a healthy economy, not more and more government spending to support relatively unproductive bureaucracies and government jobs. Therefore, the government shedding jobs is a necessary minor shock to the economy that must be undertaken if there will ever be any hope for more productive jobs in the private sector that will produce a more healthy economy.
I understand that you have Ideology, Okie; but little practicality.
And you have the ideology that promotes more government jobs, cyclops, you might as well admit it. We see that strategey is failing now, and will continue to fail in proportion to the extent of the strategy being employed.
Quote:
Pursuing ideological bullshit during the middle of a crisis is a ridiculous plan. In fact, it's not even a 'plan.' You have no actual clue how any of those folks would even GET jobs or how any of the functions that used to be handled by these folks would get done. At all. That's why I can't take stuff like this seriously.
.......
Appealing to Extremes is a poor form of argument. What you describe would be a fundamentally different situation than our current one.

Boehner and the Republicans ran on, in part, 'restoring Jobs to America.' It was a plank of their platform in 2010. But they have no plan to do so at all, and no intentions of presenting a plan. Just ideology.

Cycloptichorn
We must have an ideology that we believe in, that we know works. That is the difference between liberalism and conservatism, and between free market capitalism and socialism. We know what works and what does not work, or at least we have enough information to form our opinions about what policies we should follow. That was what the last election is about, and it will be what the next presidential election is about. Obama has had enough time now to see what the results of his policies have been. Count me as one to believe he and his policies have failed. Many of us, including me, want a different policy, a conservative one that is based upon the faith in free markets and the private sector to pull us out of the mess we are in. The mess we are in is epitomized by too much government and unsupportable government spending and debt. We need a change, and part of that change is to cut government spending, and so some government employees will lose their jobs. The private sector has lost jobs, and so the government should be no different. We cannot continue to spend ourselves into prosperity.

As an alternate plan, I would propose great cuts in wages for government employees, rather than cutting the jobs. What do you think of that idea, cyclops?
Cycloptichorn
 
  0  
Reply Mon 28 Feb, 2011 01:13 pm
@okie,
Well, I agree that your 'plans' are 'faith-based.' You want to cut jobs and pray that things get better. There are zero details presented as to how this will happen. That isn't a plan. It's a hope.

You are assuming that all these jobs you want to cut are 'unproductive.' That's a ridiculous thing to say or assume. You don't know the first thing about how 'productive' those jobs are. You just don't care about any of the details about anything, as long as you have low taxes. Because that's what this always boils down to, isn't it? Your own personal avarice.

Quote:
As an alternate plan, I would propose great cuts in wages for government employees, rather than cutting the jobs. What do you think of that idea, cyclops?


Let's save money by cutting YOUR job and the services YOU rely on. Seriously. If you suggested cutting things that would negatively affect yourself, I'd take you more seriously. But you never do.

Cycloptichorn
okie
 
  1  
Reply Mon 28 Feb, 2011 01:37 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Cycloptichorn wrote:

Well, I agree that your 'plans' are 'faith-based.' You want to cut jobs and pray that things get better. There are zero details presented as to how this will happen. That isn't a plan. It's a hope.
It is hard to have enough patience to answer your points, cyclops. Honestly, some of this is so basic and common sense based, I continually am amazed at your lack of comprehension. First of all, any economic plan is based upon projections, or "hope." It is more than hope, it is a plan, just as much or more than Obama's hope is a plan. We see that his hopes are not panning out, admit it, cyclops.
Quote:
You are assuming that all these jobs you want to cut are 'unproductive.' That's a ridiculous thing to say or assume. You don't know the first thing about how 'productive' those jobs are. You just don't care about any of the details about anything, as long as you have low taxes. Because that's what this always boils down to, isn't it? Your own personal avarice.
It is a pretty safe bet that many government jobs are unproductive, cyclops. This is so basic, I can't believe you cannot grasp it. I know of government jobs that are unproductive, and if you were honest, you could surely know of some as well.
Quote:
Quote:
As an alternate plan, I would propose great cuts in wages for government employees, rather than cutting the jobs. What do you think of that idea, cyclops?
Let's save money by cutting YOUR job and the services YOU rely on. Seriously. If you suggested cutting things that would negatively affect yourself, I'd take you more seriously. But you never do.Cycloptichorn
I do not have a government job. In fact, the industry I have been involved in has suffered due to the economy, but it still has been productive and profitable. Essentially I have economized by selling some unnecessary equipment as well as wages slightly among other things, and I have taken a profit reduction. Meanwhile, I see government employees still maintain their cushy lifestyle without regard to the economy.
Cycloptichorn
 
  0  
Reply Mon 28 Feb, 2011 01:49 pm
@okie,
okie wrote:

I do not have a government job. In fact, the industry I have been involved in has suffered due to the economy, but it still has been productive and profitable. Essentially I have economized by selling some unnecessary equipment as well as wages slightly among other things, and I have taken a profit reduction. Meanwhile, I see government employees still maintain their cushy lifestyle without regard to the economy.


Okay, so let's cut all the money for keeping up the roads to your house and business. Let's cut your police and fire budgets drastically. Let's cut SS, so it takes a lot longer for your relatives who are on it to get their checks or make changes. Same with medicare and medicaid that people you know rely on. Cut local services to the bone, so that when you need something - you don't get it quick.

Don't think any of that stuff would make a difference in your life or that of those people around you? You're kidding yourself.

Cycloptichorn
okie
 
  1  
Reply Mon 28 Feb, 2011 02:39 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Cycloptichorn wrote:
okie wrote:

I do not have a government job. In fact, the industry I have been involved in has suffered due to the economy, but it still has been productive and profitable. Essentially I have economized by selling some unnecessary equipment as well as wages slightly among other things, and I have taken a profit reduction. Meanwhile, I see government employees still maintain their cushy lifestyle without regard to the economy.
Okay, so let's cut all the money for keeping up the roads to your house and business. Let's cut your police and fire budgets drastically.
In fact, that has been done in the area I live, because they have to balance their budgets. The Sheriff's department, Road & Bridge Dept., and other departments have been economized. We have fairly responsible county commissioners, cyclops.
Quote:
Let's cut SS, so it takes a lot longer for your relatives who are on it to get their checks or make changes. Same with medicare and medicaid that people you know rely on. Cut local services to the bone, so that when you need something - you don't get it quick.
As a matter of interest, I just visited the Social Security office recently. The building is nice, almost new in fact. It seems nicer than most other buildings around. Also the Security Guard, I've noticed that as standard in more than one SS office now. Is that necessary? Perhaps it is, but how about training that person to do more work than sit there all day twiddling their thumbs?
Also, I've noticed people's SS benefits have not gone up the past two years, but government employees pay has been increased. So has the pay of Congress. In fact, their average wage is $174,000 according to a web search. Why?
Quote:
Don't think any of that stuff would make a difference in your life or that of those people around you? You're kidding yourself.
Cycloptichorn
It will make a bigger difference if the government goes bankrupt.
Cycloptichorn
 
  0  
Reply Mon 28 Feb, 2011 02:42 pm
@okie,
Quote:
It will make a bigger difference if the government goes bankrupt.


The government can't go 'bankrupt.' That's a fundamental feature of a sovereign currency.

Not doing yourself any real favors here with the level of arguments.

Cycloptichorn
okie
 
  1  
Reply Mon 28 Feb, 2011 02:47 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Cycloptichorn wrote:
Quote:
It will make a bigger difference if the government goes bankrupt.
The government can't go 'bankrupt.' That's a fundamental feature of a sovereign currency.
Not doing yourself any real favors here with the level of arguments.
Cycloptichorn
Okay, so is your solution the printing of more money to service the national debt? That has never worked very well when its been tried, has it cyclops?

I think my arguments are fundamentally sound and based upon good principles. If I get a bit sarcastic, you can handle it. After all, so are your arguments sarcastic.
cicerone imposter
 
  0  
Reply Mon 28 Feb, 2011 02:57 pm
@okie,
The way you presented the proposal as "print more money to reduce the debt" is about as stupid as your understanding of money supply and economics.
spendius
 
  0  
Reply Mon 28 Feb, 2011 04:10 pm
@cicerone imposter,
But our governments are printing money. And if they are not the experts we are really in the ****.
cicerone imposter
 
  0  
Reply Mon 28 Feb, 2011 05:30 pm
@spendius,
Governments (all) overspend; and they never save for a rainy day. They are fiscal incompetents trying to run the biggest budgets in the world. No new news there! They are all out of control.

Only the feds can print money; state and local governments must increase taxes or sell bonds. They haven't learned to cut cost - even while most are already bankrupt!
0 Replies
 
 

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