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Where is the US economy headed?

 
 
maporsche
 
  1  
Reply Wed 23 May, 2007 01:12 pm
cicerone imposter wrote:
It's obvious okie hasn't tried to ride on the Underground in London, the trains in Tokyo, or the Metro in DC during commute hours. Yeah, mass transit is the pits, because they're just not efficient!


Or Chicago pretty much Mon-Fri.
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Dookiestix
 
  1  
Reply Wed 23 May, 2007 01:18 pm
http://www.austell.org/pw/images/water/bluedyeinbowl.jpg
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Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Wed 23 May, 2007 01:30 pm
okie wrote:
To your question, yes, to a point. I think sometimes it is taken to the extreme. We are not arguing about doing something or nothing, but just how much and how, and in what way.

Not BS about the buses. The statistics are available if you wish to run the numbers.


I remember this discussion and there's no reason for us to go over it again; I don't think that your numbers presented there were especially wrong or anything, but I don' think that the limited case looked at is necessarily dispositive evidence that living in the country is more efficient then living in the city. It is without doubt that certain services are more efficient when you concentrate people into a close area.

Again with the pollution angle, if that's okay: Do you feel that the current restrictions are too extreme? Upon what evidence do you base this judgement? It si the current restrictions which supposedly keep new refineries from being built, not future ones, so I'd like to know which ones you consider to be too restrictive or too extreme.

I would ask that my fellow Libs and independents in the thread would refrain from insulting Okie, who has been consistently fair in dealing with me in this thread and doesn't deserve to be ridiculed. I disagree with many of his positions but not with him as a person.

Cycloptichorn
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okie
 
  1  
Reply Wed 23 May, 2007 02:26 pm
Cyclops, I am a bit flippant when I say cities are as bad as they are, but seriously I do not think they are very efficient places to live. I have lived in both, and find my energy use (auto use) much lower in small towns and rural areas, as long as you aren't too far from town. I do not have statistics to back it up. I would be curious about any. But I don't see how anyone can witness gridlock in most typical cities, or close to gridlock, and say that such a scenario is very efficient. Cars idling or stop and go all day long, and if you live in a city, it takes far more gas to go a typical mile than if you live somewhere else.

And I would like to see statistics on energy use per city, according to size, and according to degree of sprawl. Some of these things that are published as fact may not turn out to be so factual.
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cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Wed 23 May, 2007 02:30 pm
okie, Have you ever considered a) opportunity, b) jobs, c) climate, d) family and friends, and e) not everybody can live in small towns and rural areas.
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okie
 
  1  
Reply Wed 23 May, 2007 02:31 pm
maporsche wrote:
cicerone imposter wrote:
It's obvious okie hasn't tried to ride on the Underground in London, the trains in Tokyo, or the Metro in DC during commute hours. Yeah, mass transit is the pits, because they're just not efficient!


Or Chicago pretty much Mon-Fri.


I have ridden the underground in London, and to be quite honest, you can have the whole city, as it seems one big dingy place, with huge problems. The underground is one stinky place that I did not enjoy all that much, and if you consider the terrorist bombings there, how safe is it in the future? It may be efficient if you want to go to downtown London, but frankly after you see the tourist attractions, I don't see why any sane person would want to either live there or work there? Oklahoma wins hands down.
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Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Wed 23 May, 2007 02:31 pm
okie wrote:
Cyclops, I am a bit flippant when I say cities are as bad as they are, but seriously I do not think they are very efficient places to live. I have lived in both, and find my energy use (auto use) much lower in small towns and rural areas, as long as you aren't too far from town. I do not have statistics to back it up. I would be curious about any. But I don't see how anyone can witness gridlock in most typical cities, or close to gridlock, and say that such a scenario is very efficient. Cars idling or stop and go all day long, and if you live in a city, it takes far more gas to go a typical mile than if you live somewhere else.

And I would like to see statistics on energy use per city, according to size, and according to degree of sprawl. Some of these things that are published as fact may not turn out to be so factual.


For every car in gridlock, there's someone walking, taking the bus, or taking the train - in cities.

I totally agree that there are ups and downs to every situation and you probably won't find inherent advantages to either the city or the country when it comes to energy; both are efficient in some ways and wasteful in some ways.

What with the 'cars idling' phenomena you describe, I would think that increases in fuel efficiency would massively increase our supply and decrease the emissions produced by automobiles. This is one of the reasons I'm bullish on increasing efficiency before drilling for new oil.

Cycloptichorn
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okie
 
  1  
Reply Wed 23 May, 2007 02:33 pm
cicerone imposter wrote:
okie, Have you ever considered a) opportunity, b) jobs, c) climate, d) family and friends, and e) not everybody can live in small towns and rural areas.

I admit you have to live there if thats where work is, but if at all possible, I try to avoid places like that.
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okie
 
  1  
Reply Wed 23 May, 2007 02:36 pm
Cycloptichorn wrote:

What with the 'cars idling' phenomena you describe, I would think that increases in fuel efficiency would massively increase our supply and decrease the emissions produced by automobiles. This is one of the reasons I'm bullish on increasing efficiency before drilling for new oil.

Cycloptichorn


I will agree that I am all for more efficient cars. And high prices may be a blessing in disguise. It is irritating though when libs criticize high prices, because I think that is what they want, and obviously they have helped cause them by limiting drilling, etc. The best thing to increase efficiency is the free market, which price plays into big time. It will spur other alternative methods and more efficient cars. This is not complicated. The free market is the principle answer. Simply have faith in it.
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cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Wed 23 May, 2007 02:40 pm
Your choice to live in the urban areas or small towns is not even a consideration for most people who must work; that's a simple fact of life.
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Avatar ADV
 
  1  
Reply Wed 23 May, 2007 02:47 pm
The real problem with increasing fleet fuel efficiency is that it's very slow to affect fuel consumption in general, because you're only having an effect as old cars are retired/scrapped/exported and new ones purchased. (New car purchases done specifically to save fuel are generally a terrible idea - you spend a lot more on the car than you save in gas!)

Also, it's kind of hard to shift consumer preferences away from "big car" towards "small, fuel-efficient car", because for a lot of people, larger cars honestly have a significantly added utility. It doesn't matter how many MPG you get out of a Civic if you have three teenagers, after all.

The spread of hybrid technology may have a real effect here, though, especially if they can get it a -little- cheaper (and assuming gas prices don't crash, which is probably a safe bet at this point). Even if you're only squeaking an extra 2-3 mpg out of a car, that adds up eventually.

Specifically addressing the question of new refineries, it's not like the only people who can build a refinery are companies that already own refineries. If there really was increased demand for fuel products (and there is), and there really was no legal issue to worry about, then there is serious money to be made. So why isn't anybody making it? Because there -are- those legal issues to be worried about, and in an area of uncertainty, big, capital-intensive projects don't get constructed. It's kind of the same way for nuclear plants - we NEED 'em, people want to build 'em, we can afford 'em, but the legal/political climate is hostile enough that nobody wants to be the one to front the money.
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maporsche
 
  1  
Reply Wed 23 May, 2007 02:51 pm
Avatar ADV wrote:
The real problem with increasing fleet fuel efficiency is that it's very slow to affect fuel consumption in general, because you're only having an effect as old cars are retired/scrapped/exported and new ones purchased. (New car purchases done specifically to save fuel are generally a terrible idea - you spend a lot more on the car than you save in gas!)

Also, it's kind of hard to shift consumer preferences away from "big car" towards "small, fuel-efficient car", because for a lot of people, larger cars honestly have a significantly added utility. It doesn't matter how many MPG you get out of a Civic if you have three teenagers, after all.

The spread of hybrid technology may have a real effect here, though, especially if they can get it a -little- cheaper (and assuming gas prices don't crash, which is probably a safe bet at this point). Even if you're only squeaking an extra 2-3 mpg out of a car, that adds up eventually.

Specifically addressing the question of new refineries, it's not like the only people who can build a refinery are companies that already own refineries. If there really was increased demand for fuel products (and there is), and there really was no legal issue to worry about, then there is serious money to be made. So why isn't anybody making it? Because there -are- those legal issues to be worried about, and in an area of uncertainty, big, capital-intensive projects don't get constructed. It's kind of the same way for nuclear plants - we NEED 'em, people want to build 'em, we can afford 'em, but the legal/political climate is hostile enough that nobody wants to be the one to front the money.



Hybrid technology also have the same problems that you say increasing fleet mpg does (....is that it's very slow to affect fuel consumption in general, because you're only having an effect as old cars are retired/scrapped/exported and new ones purchased.)......yet you think that hybrid cars will be the wave of the future, but increasing fuel milage just won't work.

Inconsistent? Yes.
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cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Wed 23 May, 2007 02:51 pm
Avatar: The real problem with increasing fleet fuel efficiency is that it's very slow to affect fuel consumption in general, because you're only having an effect as old cars are retired/scrapped/exported and new ones purchased. (New car purchases done specifically to save fuel are generally a terrible idea - you spend a lot more on the car than you save in gas!)

That's the crux of the problem; the higher cost of fuel efficient cars like Prius nets out to be much more than paying for fuel for many years. Those able to afford the higher cost of the cars as a choice to save the ecology can "afford" to make that choice, but not the average buyer of a new car.
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Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Wed 23 May, 2007 02:55 pm
I think Av was addressing hybrid technology for larger cars, specifically.

It's important to remember that folks won't just be buying a new car b/c they want to spend less on fuel; they're buying a new car because they need a new car. It isn't as if they are trading 20k for 2k of fuel savings, they are trading it for a commodity that they can use in the meantime!

Not to mention that it isn't just fuel savings but emissions savings which are good things that people want. If the Prius saved fuel but was pollutive you wouldn't see people buying it.

It is interesting that oil companies and gasoline companies make MORE money if new refineries AREN'T built then the do if they build them. That's the primary reason that they don't. Political climate is just an excuse to maximize profits by controlling production.

Cycloptichorn
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cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Wed 23 May, 2007 02:58 pm
Cyclo, We have tough smog control laws here in California. All new cars sold in California must meet those standards, or they can't sell them here.
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Dookiestix
 
  1  
Reply Wed 23 May, 2007 03:10 pm
okie wrote:
Thats the point. It will not screw up the environment. The footprint of wells in ANWR is miniscule, a term you guys like to use, but in this case is actually applicable. I would need to look up the percentage, but it is only a very small fraction of the 10 or 15%, more like less than 1%.

Besides, if you wish to talk about impacts on the environment, it isn't oil wells that are a problem, it is the numbers of people. Big cities are some of the worst places, environmentally, than anywhere else, yet that is where the liberals hang out.

ANWR won't produce NEARLY enough to offset the rising prices of gas in this country. Not even close.

It depends which city you're talking about. I notice how you dropped "liberal" in that paragraph. I know plenty of conservatives who also live in big cities, so please, do your research before making yet another blanket statement.

I take an electric bus to and from work everyday, and live in the same town where I work. Can the same be said for the rural dweller who may have to drive many miles to get to work and back?

You also negated refineries that are AWAY from cities, and yet still do their part to pollute our air. You also fail to mention the enormous amount of methane that comes from the huge slaughterhouses and cow farms. People in the city actually are MUCH more aware of social/environmental issues, and try to do something about is, vs. the rural dweller who may not give a sh!t.

We shouldn't be looking for new places to drill; we should be looking for alternative forms of energy. But the Bush administration is in bed with big oil and the Sauds, so that isn't going to happen anytime soon me thinks.
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okie
 
  1  
Reply Wed 23 May, 2007 03:38 pm
cicerone imposter wrote:
Your choice to live in the urban areas or small towns is not even a consideration for most people who must work; that's a simple fact of life.


People don't work in urban areas or small towns, imposter?
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cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Wed 23 May, 2007 03:41 pm
If you don't know the answer to your own question, you're too stupid to understand concept and reality.
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okie
 
  1  
Reply Wed 23 May, 2007 03:45 pm
Dookiestix wrote:
[ANWR won't produce NEARLY enough to offset the rising prices of gas in this country. Not even close.

ANWR will help replace oil fields that are declining production. Actually, it may not help increase that much by the time it would come on line, but at least it could slow the decline when we are possibly in much worse shape than we are now.

Quote:
It depends which city you're talking about. I notice how you dropped "liberal" in that paragraph. I know plenty of conservatives who also live in big cities, so please, do your research before making yet another blanket statement.
I know that, but where are the blue areas most concentrated?

Quote:
I take an electric bus to and from work everyday, and live in the same town where I work. Can the same be said for the rural dweller who may have to drive many miles to get to work and back?

Some rural dwellers work right at their place, if they are farmers or ranchers, and many people in small towns may drive less than a mile to work with no traffic jams.

Quote:
You also negated refineries that are AWAY from cities, and yet still do their part to pollute our air. You also fail to mention the enormous amount of methane that comes from the huge slaughterhouses and cow farms. People in the city actually are MUCH more aware of social/environmental issues, and try to do something about is, vs. the rural dweller who may not give a sh!t.

I am against large feedlots and chicken farms. I think we can and should do better with that issue.

Quote:
We shouldn't be looking for new places to drill; we should be looking for alternative forms of energy. But the Bush administration is in bed with big oil and the Sauds, so that isn't going to happen anytime soon me thinks.

We need to do both of the above, drill and also alternative forms of energy. We need both to stay healthy as a country. I reject the constant argument of libs that all we need is one solution. This is a multi-faceted problem, and I don't see one magic bullet to solve it.
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Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Wed 23 May, 2007 03:45 pm
okie wrote:
cicerone imposter wrote:
Your choice to live in the urban areas or small towns is not even a consideration for most people who must work; that's a simple fact of life.


People don't work in urban areas or small towns, imposter?


1/25th of the people do in the small towns - there just aren't enough jobs or opportunities for most people.

It's obvious that CI meant suburban but didn't write it

Cycloptichorn
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