114
   

Where is the US economy headed?

 
 
Thomas
 
  1  
Reply Fri 5 Feb, 2010 04:19 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
That's only fair. Study away!
0 Replies
 
hawkeye10
 
  1  
Reply Fri 5 Feb, 2010 04:49 pm
@Thomas,
Quote:

Suits me. The $80 billion job bill is cosmetics. Last year's $800 billion bill was surgery. And in 2010, the job market will still need surgery.


$80 billion spent wisely can make a huge difference, the reason we are where we are is that so much of the $800 billion was payola and/or wasted.
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Fri 5 Feb, 2010 04:52 pm
@hawkeye10,
hawkeye10 wrote:

Quote:

Suits me. The $80 billion job bill is cosmetics. Last year's $800 billion bill was surgery. And in 2010, the job market will still need surgery.


$80 billion spent wisely can make a huge difference, the reason we are where we are is that so much of the $800 billion was payola and/or wasted.


I'm interested to know which part you think was wasted.

Cycloptichorn
hawkeye10
 
  1  
Reply Fri 5 Feb, 2010 05:01 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Quote:
I'm interested to know which part you think was wasted.


almost $300 billion was tax breaks, most of that was wasted. I took the tax break for buying my wife a new jeep, but it had nothing to do with deciding to buy it. The government has forgoed income with no benefit for doing so.
0 Replies
 
ican711nm
 
  0  
Reply Fri 5 Feb, 2010 05:19 pm
Here's the most important measure of where the economy is headed:
Quote:

ftp://ftp.bls.gov/pub/suppl/empsit.cpseea1.txt
TOTAL CIVIL EMPLOYMENT
2009:
January.................... 142,221
February................... 141,687
March...................... 140,854
April...................... 140,902
May........................ 140,438
June....................... 140,038
July....................... 139,817
August..................... 139,433
September.................. 138,768
October.................... 138,242
November................... 138,381
December...................137,792

2010:
January ...................... 138,333
Quote:

ican711nm
 
  0  
Reply Fri 5 Feb, 2010 07:19 pm
@ican711nm,
CORRECTION
Quote:

ftp://ftp.bls.gov/pub/suppl/empsit.cpseea1.txt
TOTAL CIVIL EMPLOYMENT
2009:
January.................... 142,221,000
February................... 141,687,000
March...................... 140,854,000
April...................... 140,902,000
May........................ 140,438,000
June....................... 140,038,000
July....................... 139,817,000
August..................... 139,433,000
September.................. 138,768,000
October.................... 138,242,000
November................... 138,381,000
December...................137,792,000

2010:
January ...................... 138,333,000
0 Replies
 
okie
 
  -1  
Reply Fri 5 Feb, 2010 07:55 pm
@slkshock7,
slkshock, that is very disturbing, but not at all surprising to me. Increasingly, you hear more and more people, especially young people, say "whats wrong with socialism?" or even "whats wrong with Marxism?" I attribute alot of this to an absolutely atrocious educational system. And we know the liberals have been working to have control over the young minds in this country, through many different avenues, the educational system, pop culture, movies, even the cartoons teach anti-capitalism and evil greedy corporations raping and pillaging the planet.

We truly do have a culture war on our hands, a culture war that has spilled over into politics in an all encompassing way. All of this does very much explain why we now have a president that is a pop culture figure, a media manufactured figure, a man with little practical experience and a man that also harbors many of the same biases that pop culture now has, the distrust of business and the tendency to want to find every solution by using government. I also believe that religious belief has suffered at the hands of government, as we now see government as a virtual religion among a very large portion of the population. And of course the world of Islam attempts to have their way by incorporating it with government, which doesn't make it any better. After all, people must believe in something to fix their problems, and I think more people are turning to government. Our country is not based upon freedom from religion, but freedom of religion, and when practiced in freedom as individuals, and all respecting others, then a healthy situation can occur, which we have enjoyed for the past 200 plus years.

Of course, I think these trends are highly dangerous, and it all serves as fertile ground for some very bad things to happen in future years and generations. I believe history has amply proved that such fears are very well founded. I am going to link my thread on ruthless dictators, which discusses some of these factors.

http://able2know.org/topic/66117-1
0 Replies
 
hawkeye10
 
  0  
Reply Fri 5 Feb, 2010 11:31 pm
Quote:
We don’t hear a lot that is serious about the sorry state of the nation’s infrastructure or the trade policies that crippled so many American industries or our inability (or unwillingness) to compete effectively with China when it comes to the new world of energy for the 21st century or our abject failure to provide a quality public education for the next generation of American workers, scientists, artists and entrepreneurs.

Speaking at a conference here on Wednesday, Gov. Ed Rendell of Pennsylvania said that if we don’t act quickly in developing long-term solutions to these and other problems, the United States will be a second-rate economic power by the end of this decade. A failure to act boldly, he said, will result in the U.S. becoming “a cooked goose.”

Neither the politicians nor much of the mainstream media are spelling out the severity of these enormous structural problems or the sense of urgency needed to address them. Living standards are sinking in the United States, and there is no coherent vision or plan for reversing that ominous trend over the long term.

http://www.nytimes.com/2010/02/06/opinion/06herbert.html

Amen
okie
 
  0  
Reply Sat 6 Feb, 2010 12:23 am
@hawkeye10,
Some politicians are spelling out the problems, but the press does not report it adequately, nor do they give the right press to the right politicians.

We need competition in schools to improve that mess. Competition in schools is spelled "VOUCHERS."

We need a new taxing system to help us compete with foreign manufacturing. New taxing system is spelled "FAIRTAX & ELIMINATE ALL INCOME TAX."

hawkeye10
 
  0  
Reply Sat 6 Feb, 2010 07:26 am
@okie,
The Breakdown of America is more deeply rooted than vouchers and tax changes can fix. More to the point, you partisan hacks on both the left and the right, you who can't work together and can't put the best interests of the Nation above proving your belief system correct....you are part of the problem, not the solution.
okie
 
  0  
Reply Sat 6 Feb, 2010 06:25 pm
@hawkeye10,
Hawkeye, belief systems matter, they matter alot. In fact, if we cannot have the same foundational beliefs, we will never have a meeting of the minds or solve any of these problems.

For example, I believe, and I used to think all Americans believed that freedom, such as free markets and capitalism were the rock solid foundation of what America was. Now, if we cannot agree upon that principle, we have some work to do first, before we can even get into a room together to discuss th problems.

Do you believe that socialism and more government is the answer to our ills, or do you believe the people of this country and their hard work and entrepeneurship are the answers to our ills, which incidentally has been proven many times over in our history? Do you believe in what works, or are you one of Obama's little foot soldiers, that wants to bring change to this country, so that you bow at the alter of the government from now on?

I'm sorry, but you cannot compromise with people that are bent upon taking this country down the wrong road, you must defeat those people politically, and that is what the political battle is about. You better wake up, hawkeye.

I am frankly tired of people that want conservatives to compromise all of their principles, while liberal Democrats compromise nothing, they continue to work toward their ultimate goal.

And the best interests of the nation is to return to conservative values, plain and simple, and any compromise of that achieves nothing.
0 Replies
 
okie
 
  0  
Reply Sat 6 Feb, 2010 06:54 pm
@hawkeye10,
hawkeye10 wrote:

The Breakdown of America is more deeply rooted than vouchers and tax changes can fix. More to the point, you partisan hacks on both the left and the right, you who can't work together and can't put the best interests of the Nation above proving your belief system correct....you are part of the problem, not the solution.

Maybe I will try to be less strident here than in my above post, but also more to the point. I believe a big reason why we are in the mess we are in, is because we have compromised too much of our conservative values, we have quote unquote "worked together" so much that we have basically compromised too much of our bedrock values that made America what it was. More compromise in the wrong direction will not fix the problem, the solution you speak of is for conservative values to win once again. Explained a different way, a parent does not fix a whining child by giving it more candy and compromising more values. Enough is never enough for irresponsible people and irresponsible politicians. Responsibility cannot be compromised with irresponsibility, it must win out over irresponsibility. In other words, Obama must be defeated, not compromised with.
0 Replies
 
ican711nm
 
  -1  
Reply Sun 7 Feb, 2010 03:06 pm
@okie,
okie wrote:
We need a new taxing system to help us compete with foreign manufacturing. New taxing system is spelled "FAIRTAX & ELIMINATE ALL INCOME TAX."

I think the FAIRTAX is unfair. It taxes everyone's purchases the same so that, except for those who get tax refunds, those who use a greater percentage of their income for purchases--usually the less wealthy--than for investments, end up paying an unfair greater percentage of their income for taxes.

Also, deciding the size of those tax refunds can be just another way for the Congress and the President to buy votes.

I prefer the FLATTAX, or "uniform throughout the United States" tax as specified in the Constitution, Article I, Section 8. The Constitution does not grant our federal government the power to have a non-uniform tax that is the same non-uniform tax throughout the United States. The FLATTAX taxes the GROSS PERSONAL INCOME of everyone at the same rate regardless of how their income is earned, spent or invested. For it to work fairly, all other income taxes--business income taxes, capital gains income taxes, inheritance income taxes, gift income taxes, et cetera--must be zero.

Every resident of the USA benefits from our federal government working to "establish justice, insure domestic tranquility, provide for the common defense, promote the general welfare, and secure the blessings of liberty to ourselves and our posterity." So every resident ought to pay their fair share of the costs of our government. I claim their fair share is proportionate to their gross income. Furthermore, when our federal government screws up and doesn't do its job adequately, we will all have a stake in electing people to our government who will hold our federal government accountable and not screw up.
ican711nm
 
  0  
Reply Sun 7 Feb, 2010 03:11 pm
@ican711nm,
MY BELIEF SYSTEM

Too many Americans have now discovered "they can vote themselves money from the public treasure." An increasing number of Americans do this by electing candidates who ignore our Constitution and promise to vote and do vote Americans "money from the public treasure." As a result we are headed from "complacency to apathy, from apathy to dependency, and from dependency back to bondage."

To stop and reverse this damnable trend, we must find and support candidates who shun the politics of envy for the politics of freedom: the politics of securing our God given rights to life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness. Who among the current candidates shuns the politics of envy for the politics of freedom? Indeed, who among all of us Americans shuns the politics of envy for the politics of freedom?

For us to be true Americans, we must root for everyone to become the best they can be, and we must stop seeking to suppress those who accomplish more than we do.

0 Replies
 
okie
 
  1  
Reply Sun 7 Feb, 2010 11:24 pm
@ican711nm,
ican711nm wrote:

okie wrote:
We need a new taxing system to help us compete with foreign manufacturing. New taxing system is spelled "FAIRTAX & ELIMINATE ALL INCOME TAX."

I think the FAIRTAX is unfair. It taxes everyone's purchases the same so that, except for those who get tax refunds, those who use a greater percentage of their income for purchases--usually the less wealthy--than for investments, end up paying an unfair greater percentage of their income for taxes.

Good argument, ican, but we can solve a large part of that problem by excluding necessities like food, and also shelter up to a reasonable threshold, such as a rent or mortgage payment up to a few hundred per month. Rich people will always spend more money, because they have more money, so they will pay more sales tax.

Quote:
Also, deciding the size of those tax refunds can be just another way for the Congress and the President to buy votes.

I prefer the FLATTAX, or "uniform throughout the United States" tax as specified in the Constitution, Article I, Section 8. The Constitution does not grant our federal government the power to have a non-uniform tax that is the same non-uniform tax throughout the United States. The FLATTAX taxes the GROSS PERSONAL INCOME of everyone at the same rate regardless of how their income is earned, spent or invested. For it to work fairly, all other income taxes--business income taxes, capital gains income taxes, inheritance income taxes, gift income taxes, et cetera--must be zero.

Consider one important point however, ican, do you believe it makes more sense to tax consumption or to tax productivity. I believe we should not punish productivity, we should instead tax spending or consumption. I believe it is a bad idea to tax productivity or production, as anything that is taxed, it will suffer.

Quote:
Every resident of the USA benefits from our federal government working to "establish justice, insure domestic tranquility, provide for the common defense, promote the general welfare, and secure the blessings of liberty to ourselves and our posterity." So every resident ought to pay their fair share of the costs of our government. I claim their fair share is proportionate to their gross income. Furthermore, when our federal government screws up and doesn't do its job adequately, we will all have a stake in electing people to our government who will hold our federal government accountable and not screw up.

I agree with all of that, I agree that everyone should pay some tax, and by doing so, everyone will have a vested interest in how the government spends their money. As it is, we now have more than a third that do not need to care, they pay no income tax whatsoever.
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Mon 8 Feb, 2010 01:54 pm
@okie,
Okie, Thanks for your well reasoned response.

Here's the fundamental point on which we disagree:
whether or not a gross income tax taxes productivity or production."

First, I do not agree that taxing all gross income at the same rate is equivalent to taxing productivity, while taxing consumption is not equivalent to taxing productivity. Those who produce more consume more, so I don't see consumption taxes not taxing production. Taxing consumption limits consumption and therefore limits the benefits of production.

Second, I think taxing gross income is the same as taxing people in proportion to the benefits they receive from the government securing their liberty. It does not limit production, and instead motivates its increase. On the other hand taxing spending limits consumption and that limits productivity.

Third, taxing gross income, eliminates the need to reduce unfairness by paying people tax refunds who have small incomes. It's important to not permit the government to redistribute "income" in any manner whatsoever. As long as the government can do that, it has an enhanced political power to buy votes.

Fourth, taxing all gross income at the same tax rate does not permit any tax avoidance procedures--non-uniform tax rates, deductions, exemptions, refunds, pay backs, discounts, and exclusions--and therefore minimizes the magnitude of the cost of political corruptions.
realjohnboy
 
  2  
Reply Fri 12 Feb, 2010 08:04 pm
Have I Got a Deal For You! A Credit Card With A Mere 9.9% Interest Rate!

South Dakota based credit card issuer Premier Bankcard is offering that deal in mass mailings. The card has a $300 credit limit. 9.9% APR.
But then there is this in order to get the card:
> A $29 "Set up" fee;
> A $95 "Program" fee;
> A $48 "Annual" fee;
> A $7/month "Maintenance" fee'
But the interest rate is only 9.9%.
What a deal!
okie
 
  1  
Reply Sun 14 Feb, 2010 07:30 pm
@realjohnboy,
No thanks. I do not pay fees for credit cards. I have only a couple of credit cards, one for business and the other personal, and both are paid in full every month, essentially used as a charge account for my convenience only, not for buying stuff I can't afford. My primary purpose for a personal credit card is to avoid carrying around larger sums of cash, and to make it easier to purchase gasoline without setting foot in a convenience store, besides that it is much faster.

P. S. I realize your hot credit card offer tip was "tongue in cheek."
okie
 
  1  
Reply Sun 14 Feb, 2010 08:04 pm
@ican711nm,
ican711nm wrote:

Okie, Thanks for your well reasoned response.

Here's the fundamental point on which we disagree:
whether or not a gross income tax taxes productivity or production."

....

ican, I understand your arguments. I think what this boils down to is, where in the economic stream is the best point at which to extract tax revenue? I think there are arguments for both points of taxation, at the consumption point and at the income point, but regardless of which point we extract the tax, taxes always dampen or burden the economic stream or cycle of economic activity. I think you are correct that taxing consumption will in effect dampen or punish productivity, but as I pointed out, I think taxing productivity will obviously affect or dampen productivity, which also affects consumption. So, I believe taxes will affect all economic activity, including productivity and consumption, regardless of where the tax is extracted.

I think my primary reasons for favoring a retail sales tax or consumption tax is because of the infrastructure and enforcement aspects of the process. I think the tax can be collected at the retail level in a far more efficient manner, with less cost and bureaucracy, and the system potentially could nearly eliminate non-compliance, which is now a huge problem, which I think is in the hundreds of billions, which is extremely significant on the scale of what our deficits had been running. Of course now Obama has run the deficit way over the trillion mark, close to a couple of trillion.

In regard to efficiency of collection and compliance, consider these facts, ican. Instead of dealing with tens of or hundreds of millions of individual tax returns, we would only deal with perhaps millions of businesses collecting sales tax, and a small number of those perhaps would collect a vast majority of the tax. For example, add up all the Walmarts and a few dozen of the biggest retailers, and you would have a huge chunk of money involved. Assign teams of tax experts to oversee all of this instead of thousands of people that currently work for the IRS trying to understand and apply the current convoluted tax code. Consider also that most states and local entities already have the infrastructure in place to collect sales tax, and they do a decent job of it I think. They could oversee the collection of a federal sales tax quite easily.

Consider the fact that we live in a bar code world, almost everything is bar coded, and everything that sells becomes a permanent record of the dollar amount, with tax and all the rest of it, it works very very well. In Colorado for example, food is exempted, so that food products automatically avoid state sales tax when it is scanned at the register, while a can of motor oil for example purchased in the same store rings up the tax when it is scanned. We could do the same thing with exempting food for the national sales tax.

Another beautiful thing about sales tax, drug dealers, illegals, or anyone that is currently flying under the radar in regard to tax compliance would pay tax when they buy something. This is a huge number of people, in the tens of millions or more. Also, the computer in the store computes the sales tax correctly almost without fail, but can we now say people file their tax returns accurately? I doubt that very very seriously. Also look at all the time wasted filing returns.

One of the arguments against a national sales tax is the possible creation of a black market in the form of bartering or selling without a tax license. I think these things could be detected and controlled far easier and with more success than the current rampant noncompliance. Local or sporadic under the table commerce would not amount to a hill of beans in the grand scheme of things, and any significant retailer would not wish to risk their company by deliberately trying to create fraud.

To wrap up my arguments here, I only favor a national sales tax only if the income tax is totally eliminated. That is the only way I would support it. Two tax systems would be disaster for further tax policy abuse of the citizenry. A national sales tax to replace the income tax would have to be in the order of 20% or so, but consider the fact that companies could produce and sell products much cheaper before tax is added, plus consumers would have alot more money in their pockets to purchase.

And I almost forgot one of the biggest arguments for the sales tax to replace income tax, it would place foreign made products sold here on exactly the same footing with domestic products sold here. It would no longer be the case that corporations go offshore to avoid high income taxes and high payroll taxes and all of that crap. Think of the potential revival of domestic business interests and all of the potential favorable spinoff, more jobs, it could be tremendous.
realjohnboy
 
  2  
Reply Sun 14 Feb, 2010 08:13 pm
@okie,
okie wrote:

P. S. I realize your hot credit card offer tip was "tongue in cheek."

No, it was not tongue in cheek, Okie. I don't make this stuff up. If you Google in Premier Credit Card you will see offers that mention "no credit check" or "Bad credit? No problem." Those teasers are on the front page. I certainly did not go any further.
But, I guess, some people do.
 

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