@marsz,
That's right; it's going to be a jobless recovery. Unemployment rates will remain high for many years, because new jobs will not sustain the growth of high school and college graduates. Those who have jobs will hang onto their jobs much longer. It was not that long ago when we were losing some 20,000 jobs every day. The slow-down in the loss of jobs is good news, because it tells us the bleeding of jobs is slowing, and those who have jobs are more stable.
According to the WSJ, even the wealthy have cut back on their spending. One bright side to the clunker trade-in deal is that with this added demand, the auto industry will increase production to meet demand and lower inventory levels. Although it's temporary, it will have a positive effect on our overall economy, because of the multiplying effect on the circulation of money.
We'll have to watch the longer term trends of our unemployment rates to really understand whether our economy is on the mends or not.