Global Warming...New Report...and it ain't happy news

....the usual denialists who seem to spend their time with their head buried in the sand rather than studying the blowing sand.

Jones also allowed for the possibility that the world as a whole was warmer in medieval times than it is today

and anyone who has the audacity to argue with minds like parados and ilk are clearly mad.

Does this mean it's ok to use more than one sheet of TP now???

The embattled ex-head of the research center at the heart of the Climate-gate scandal dropped a bombshell over the weekend, admitting in an interview with the BBC that there has been no global warming over the past 15 years.

In response to the question, "do you agree that from 1995 to the present there has been no statistically significant global warming?", Jones said yes, adding that the average increase of 0.12C per year over that time period "is quite close to the significance level. Achieving statistical significance in scientific terms is much more likely for longer periods, and much less likely for shorter periods."

Jones also allowed for the possibility that the world as a whole was warmer in medieval times than it is today

..... The author is either completely ignorant of statistics .....What Jones says is that it was almost but not quite significant at the 95% level, which is two standard deviations from the mean.....

.....the inverse Gaussian describes the distribution of the time a Brownian Motion with positive drift takes to reach a fixed positive level...Its cumulant generating function (logarithm of the characteristic function) is the inverse of the cumulant generating function of a Gaussian random variable.

http://www.ncpa.org/sub/dpd/index.php?Article_ID=18991&utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=DPD
WORLD MAY NOT BE WARMING, SAY SCIENTISTS
The United Nations climate panel faces a new challenge with scientists casting doubt on its claim that global temperatures are rising inexorably because of human pollution, says the Sunday Times.

In its last assessment the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) says the evidence that the world was warming was "unequivocal." It warned that greenhouse gases had already heated the world by 0.7C and that there could be 5C-6C more warming by 2100, with devastating impacts on humanity and wildlife. However, new research, including work by British scientists, casts doubt on such claims. Some even suggest the world may not be warming much at all:

The temperature records cannot be relied on as indicators of global change, says John Christy, professor of atmospheric science at the University of Alabama in Huntsville, a former lead author on the IPCC.
The doubts of Christy and a number of other researchers focus on the thousands of weather stations around the world, which have been used to collect temperature data over the past 150 years.

These stations, they believe, have been seriously compromised by factors such as urbanization, changes in land use and, in many cases, being moved from site to site.

Christy has published research papers looking at these effects in three different regions: east Africa, and the American states of California and Alabama.

"The story is the same for each one," he says. "The popular data sets show a lot of warming but the apparent temperature rise was actually caused by local factors affecting the weather stations, such as land development."

The IPCC faces similar criticisms from Ross McKitrick, professor of economics at the University of Guelph, Canada, who was invited by the panel to review its last report.

The experience turned him into a strong critic and he has since published a research paper questioning its methods.

"We concluded, with overwhelming statistical significance, that the IPCC's climate data are contaminated with surface effects from industrialization and data quality problems. These add up to a large warming bias," he says.

Source: Jonathan Leake, "World may not be warming, say scientists," Sunday Times, February 14, 2010.

http://www.ncpa.org/sub/dpd/index.php?Article_ID=18992&utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=DPD
THERE HAS BEEN NO GLOBAL WARMING SINCE 1995
The academic at the center of the "Climategate" affair, whose raw data is crucial to the theory of climate change, has admitted that he has trouble "keeping track" of the information.

Colleagues say that the reason Professor Phil Jones has refused Freedom of Information requests is that he may have actually lost the relevant papers:

Professor Jones told the BBC this weekend there was truth in the observations of colleagues that he lacked organizational skills, that his office was swamped with piles of paper and that his record keeping is "not as good as it should be."

The data is crucial to the famous "hockey stick graph" used by climate change advocates to support the theory.

Professor Jones also conceded the possibility that the world was warmer in medieval times than now -- suggesting global warming may not be a man-made phenomenon.

And he said that for the past 15 years there has been no "statistically significant" warming.

The admissions will be seized on by skeptics as fresh evidence that there are serious flaws at the heart of the science of climate change and the orthodoxy that recent rises in temperature are largely man-made.

Professor Jones has been in the spotlight since he stepped down as director of the University of East Anglia's Climatic Research Unit after the leaking of emails that skeptics claim show scientists were manipulating data.

The raw data, collected from hundreds of weather stations around the world and analyzed by his unit, has been used for years to bolster efforts by the United Nation's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change to press governments to cut carbon dioxide emissions.

Following the leak of the emails, Professor Jones has been accused of "scientific fraud" for allegedly deliberately suppressing information and refusing to share vital data with critics.

Source: Jonathan Petre, "Climategate U-turn as scientist at centre of row admits: There has been no global warming since 1995," Daily Mail, February 14, 2010.

Jone didn't claim there was "no warming" he said the warming that DID occur wasn't statistically significant. One of the reason being it is a short time period.

Quote:

Jone didn't claim there was "no warming" he said the warming that DID occur wasn't statistically significant. One of the reason being it is a short time period.

And you offer this in SUPPORT of Global Warming ???