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Global Warming...New Report...and it ain't happy news

 
 
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Wed 12 Aug, 2009 06:58 pm
@parados,
ican's comments are in blue
parados wrote:
So... are does Leadville's distance above sea level ever change? Does the distance of Leadville from the center of the earth change?

It may! I don't know. It's in the Rocky Mountains so it probably did change when the Rocky Mountains grew. Maybe it has even changed within the last 100 years.

While Leadville's air pressure changes it doesn't mean that Leadville is getting farther from the center of the earth, does it ican?

Correct!

If Leadville DID get farther from the center of the earth what would happen to it's relative air pressure compared to sea level?

It's average atmospheric pressure relative to that of standard sea level would decrease!

Compare the air pressure over a year at Atlanta to that at Leadville. Can you tell that Leadville is higher than Atlanta because of the average air pressure?

The elvation above sea level of William B. Hartfield Atlanta Internationalis is about 1,000 feet above standard sea level. I bet the average relative atmospheric pressure of Atlanta is about 9 inches greater than the relative atmospheric pressure of Leadville, which is about 10,000 feet above standard sea level. So from those pressure differences, one can tell Leadville's airport is about 9,000 feet higher than Atlanta's.


Why did you ask?

I assume you know that the actual average sea level is usually somewhat different than standard sea level, primarily because of ocean temperature and storm variations.

I assume you know that average atmospheric pressures, humidities and air temperatures at both Leadville and Atlanta vary far more with climate at each airport than with the number of airplane flights in and out of their airports..

ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Wed 12 Aug, 2009 07:14 pm
@ican711nm,
By the way, I was discussing Leadville Colorado's Lake County Airport, and not Leadville's Limon Municipal Airport. Limon's elevation is about 5,400 feet above standard sea level.
0 Replies
 
parados
 
  1  
Reply Wed 12 Aug, 2009 08:13 pm
@ican711nm,
I asked ican, because I can use your logic and prove that Leadville is at times at a lower altitude than Atlanta.

If air pressure is lower in higher altitudes then Atlanta's air pressure must always be higher than Leadville. If it isn't then it would prove that barometric pressure doesn't signify altitude.

Right Now for
Leadville, CO
Updated Aug 12 07:45 p.m. MT
Quote:
UV Index: 0 Low
Wind: From NNW at 12 mph
Humidity: 18%
Pressure: 30.50 in.
Dew Point: 16°F
Visibility: 5.0 miles


Atlanta, GA.
Updated Aug 12 09:45 p.m. ET
Quote:
UV Index: 0 Low
Wind: CALM
Humidity: 70%
Pressure: 29.99 in.
Dew Point: 67°F
Visibility: 9.0 miles


Because Leadville's pressure is higher than Atlanta, it proves that Atlanta is a higher altitude then Leadville. If Leadville is NOT lower than Atlanta, then air pressure doesn't tell us altitude.


You will notice, I only had to ignore the other variables to make my conclusion ican. That is what YOU do when you misuse the temperature and CO2 data to claim CO2 can't be the cause of any temperature changes.
Adanac
 
  1  
Reply Thu 13 Aug, 2009 12:58 pm
A lot of people can't see the trees for the forest. Don't you realise you are being lied to. There is climate change and it is a normal happening and it is not man made. Your government and big business are just looking for more ways to extort money out of you. Wake up people and think for yourselves instead of listening to so called scientists with their funding tied to government. The big rush is to get laws in place before the population wakes up to what the real agenda is. Man made global warming is a huge CON .
parados
 
  1  
Reply Thu 13 Aug, 2009 01:58 pm
@Adanac,
Quote:
A lot of people can't see the trees for the forest. Don't you realise you are being lied to.

The phrase is "can't see the forest for the trees" but I understand why you want to ignore the forest and only concentrate on a few trees. The only way to argue what you are arguing is to ignore the forest and demand we look at one tree.

When you look at the information that includes EVERYTHING and not just a few trees, the argument that global warming is a CON falls apart.


I suppose you don't listen to your Dr when it comes to medical treatments after all, he is only the specialist compared to youwho can wake up and realize things without needing science or facts.
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Thu 13 Aug, 2009 04:07 pm
@parados,
I'm sorry, parados, you really do not understand what I posted. The true barometric pressure at an airport is not what is reported for Leadville or Atlanta. What is reported for all airports is the equivalent sea level pressure which is roughly +1 inch per each 1,000 feet the airport is above standard sea level.

By the way, for airports that are below sea level, what is reported is the equivalent sea level pressure which is roughly -1 inch per each 1,000 feet the airport is below standard sea level.


Leadville, CO (LXV) Elevation above sea level = 9,927 feet above standard sea level.
Updated Aug 12 07:45 p.m. MT
Quote:
Pressure: 30.50 in.
So at LXV the true barometric pressure is about 10 inches less than 30.50 or 20.50 inches.

Atlanta, GA. (ATL) Elevation above sea level = 1,026 feet above standard sea level
Updated Aug 12 09:45 p.m. ET
Quote:
Pressure: 29.99 in.
So at ATL the true barometric pressure is about 1 inch less than 29.99 or 28.99 inches.

Note, 28.99 - 20.50 = 8.49.

Difference in true barometric pressures are due to weather differences in the atmosphere over each airport.

parados wrote:
You will notice, I only had to ignore the other variables to make my conclusion ican. That is what YOU do when you misuse the temperature and CO2 data to claim CO2 can't be the cause of any temperature changes.

No! That is what you do when you claim CO2 emitted by humans into the atmosphere is a significant cause of global warming. What you actually did in the problem here was misunderstand the difference between true barometric pressure at an airport and the atmospheric pressure at a standard sea level beneath the airport.

Try again!
parados
 
  1  
Reply Thu 13 Aug, 2009 07:26 pm
@ican711nm,
LOL.. so.. in order to show that Leadville is HIGHER than Atlanta, you have to CHANGE the numbers. Interesting ican. As I stated, using JUST the number as listed and NOTHING else, I proved that Leadville is lower in elevation than Atlanta. You admit that in order to make it have meaning you have to adjust the numbers for other factors. Yet, when it comes to CO2, you fail to adjust for other factors. That is PRECISELY the point I was making about your lack of logic ican. If you don't include other factors than your conclusion is wrong.
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Thu 13 Aug, 2009 08:09 pm
@parados,
parados wrote:
LOL.. so.. in order to show that Leadville is HIGHER than Atlanta, you have to CHANGE the numbers. Interesting ican. As I stated, using JUST the number as listed and NOTHING else, I proved that Leadville is lower in elevation than Atlanta. You admit that in order to make it have meaning you have to adjust the numbers for other factors. Yet, when it comes to CO2, you fail to adjust for other factors. That is PRECISELY the point I was making about your lack of logic ican. If you don't include other factors than your conclusion is wrong.


Parados, I don't have to change the numbers! The numbers are typically changed hourly by the FAA to what is the proper setting for an airplane's altimeter at each airport.

However, It is you who changed your numbers. Not me.

Yes, using the false numbers you stated, you proved nothing. You came to a false conclusion. You demonstrated your lack of logic. Duh!

When it comes to CO2 atmospheric density, I simply reported what is alleged by others to be the 100 year history of average annual CO2 density in the atmosphere. I also reported the alleged average annual global temperatures over the same period. I also reported the alleged average annual solar irradiance over the same period.

I inferred from that alleged data that average annual global temperatures are far less affected by CO2 in the atmosphere than solar irradiance.

Have you some data to show that my inference is in error? If so, please post it.

parados
 
  1  
Reply Thu 13 Aug, 2009 08:51 pm
@ican711nm,
I didn't change the numbers. I simply reported the numbers. I used the OFFICIAL numbers. You changed them FROM the official numbers by adding for elevation. (How they are calculated doesn't matter since it is just the numbers.)

Quote:
When it comes to CO2 atmospheric density, I simply reported what is alleged by others to be the 100 year history of average annual CO2 density in the atmosphere. I also reported the alleged average annual global temperatures over the same period. I also reported the alleged average annual solar irradiance over the same period.
Let's see what you didn't include.. you didn't include the fact that the solar irradiance is currently in a downward trend, when you claimed CO2 doesn't affect temperature. You didn't include the SOI in the same numbers. You didn't include the fact that temperature varies over both of the cycles that you didn't include. Then while ignoring the cycles downward trend you claimed that it shows something about CO2.
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Fri 14 Aug, 2009 03:34 pm
@parados,
parados wrote:
I didn't change the numbers. I simply reported the numbers. I used the OFFICIAL numbers. You changed them FROM the official numbers by adding for elevation. (How they are calculated doesn't matter since it is just the numbers.)

Quote:
When it comes to CO2 atmospheric density, I simply reported what is alleged by others to be the 100 year history of average annual CO2 density in the atmosphere. I also reported the alleged average annual global temperatures over the same period. I also reported the alleged average annual solar irradiance over the same period.Let's see what you didn't include.. you didn't include the fact that the solar irradiance is currently in a downward trend, when you claimed CO2 doesn't affect temperature. You didn't include the SOI in the same numbers. You didn't include the fact that temperature varies over both of the cycles that you didn't include. Then while ignoring the cycles downward trend you claimed that it shows something about CO2.

You changed the pressure numbers by changing their true meaning to something else.

Thank you! You are correct! I didn't in my previous post include the fact that the solar irradiance is currently in a downward trend. I also didn't include the fact that the current average annual global temperature is also in a downward trend. But I did mention that the density of CO2 in the atmosphere currently continues to increase.

Here again are the pertinent graphs.

http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/temperature/nhshgl.gif
http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/temperature/nhshgl.gif
Average Annual Global Temperature 1850-2008

http://www.biocab.org/Solar_Irradiance_English.jpg
http://www.biocab.org/Solar_Irradiance_English.jpg
Solar Irradiance 1611 t0 2001

http://biocab.org/Amplitude_SI_Lean_s_Database.jpg
http://biocab.org/Amplitude_SI_Lean_s_Database.jpg
Anomalies of Solar Irradiance 1610 t0 2006, Leans Database

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/8/88/Mauna_Loa_Carbon_Dioxide.png
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/8/88/Mauna_Loa_Carbon_Dioxide.png
CO2 Density Trend 1958-2008


parados
 
  1  
Reply Fri 14 Aug, 2009 09:13 pm
@ican711nm,

Quote:
Thank you! You are correct! I didn't in my previous post include the fact that the solar irradiance is currently in a downward trend. I also didn't include the fact that the current average annual global temperature is also in a downward trend. But I did mention that the density of CO2 in the atmosphere currently continues to increase.

Yes, and the fact that the solar cycle and SOI are on a downward trend doesn't negate the effect of CO2. It only means that as they turn and trend up we will get new highs again. It's the way adding something to a cycle works. It doesn't prevent peaks and valleys. It only means the peaks and valleys get HIGHER. Comparing the peak the to valley doesn't prove anything other than you are ignoring data.
Adanac
 
  1  
Reply Sat 15 Aug, 2009 12:23 am
@parados,
Quote:

I suppose you don't listen to your Dr when it comes to medical treatments after all, he is only the specialist compared to youwho can wake up and realize things without needing science or facts.


parados, if your doctor tells you that you will die in 48 hours unless he removes your liver, do you accept it or do you seek a second or third opinion? Going by your analysis, you accept it without question.

There are heaps of scientist who don't believe for one second that man made CO2 is causing global temperature increases. They say it is a natural occurance and it has happened in the past.
As for the forest and the trees, it works both ways if you think about it.
parados
 
  1  
Reply Sat 15 Aug, 2009 06:47 am
@Adanac,
Quote:

There are heaps of scientist who don't believe for one second that man made CO2 is causing global temperature increases.

If my Dr tells me I need my liver removed I don't go and find 3 meteorologists that tell me I will be fine without surgery so that I can claim "heaps of scientists" think the Dr is wrong.

Quote:
As for the forest and the trees, it works both ways if you think about it.
No, it doesn't really work both ways. No one will tell you to ignore the big picture to concentrate on minutiae except for those trying to ignore the big picture.
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Sat 15 Aug, 2009 10:46 am
@parados,
parados wrote:
Yes, and the fact that the solar cycle and SOI are on a downward trend doesn't negate the effect of CO2. It only means that as they turn and trend up we will get new highs again.

Did you mean highs again or higher highs again?

In either case, the rate at which humans cause CO2 to be emitted into the atmosphere has not been shown to be a significant factor in either of the following:
(1) CO2 density in the atmosphere;
(2) Average Annual Global Temperature.

A major cause of increases in (1) is evaporation of ocean water into the atmosphere. Science has yet to show what are the major causes of increases and decreases in (2).

http://epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Minority.Blogs&ContentRecord_id=f80a6386-802a-23ad-40c8-3c63dc2d02cb

As of December 20, 2007, more than 400 prominent scientists from more than two dozen countries have voiced significant objections to major aspects of the alleged UN IPCC "consensus" on man-made global warming.

Quote:

http://epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Minority.SenateReport#report
305
Climatologist Dr. David R. Legates, the Delaware State Climatologist and the Director, Center for Climatic Research at the University of Delaware, has authored or coauthored 45 peer-reviewed scientific studies. Legates also expressed climate skepticism in 2007. "Scientific debate continues regarding the extent to which human activities contribute to global warming and what the potential impact on the environment might be. Importantly, much of the scientific evidence contradicts assertions that substantial global warming is likely to occur soon and that the predicted warming will harm the Earth's biosphere," Legates wrote in a May 15, 2007 study entitled "Climate Science: Climate Change and Its Impacts." "Sea levels have been rising - in fact, they have been rising since the end of the last ice age 20,000 years ago - but there is no evidence of an accelerating trend. The complexity of the climate and the limitations of data and computer models mean projections of future climate change are unreliable at best. In sum, the science does not support claims of drastic increases in global temperatures over the 21st century, nor does it support claims of human influence on weather events and other secondary effects of climate change," Legates concluded. Legates has also served as Coordinator of the National Geographic sponsored Delaware Geographic Alliance and served as the Associate Director for the NASA sponsored Delaware Space Grant Consortium. (LINK) Legates has also clashed with the Governor of Delaware in 2007 because of the Governor disagreed with his skeptical views on global warming. (LINK)

parados
 
  1  
Reply Sat 15 Aug, 2009 11:45 am
@ican711nm,
Quote:
In either case, the rate at which humans cause CO2 to be emitted into the atmosphere has not been shown to be a significant factor in either of the following:
(1) CO2 density in the atmosphere;
(2) Average Annual Global Temperature.


I guess when you ignore all the science, it makes your ignorant statements easy to say.
Adanac
 
  1  
Reply Sat 15 Aug, 2009 02:18 pm
@parados,
Quote:

If my Dr tells me I need my liver removed I don't go and find 3 meteorologists that tell me I will be fine without surgery so that I can claim "heaps of scientists" think the Dr is wrong.


Ah!, so what you are saying is your scientists are better than my scientists . That's school playground mentality. I find it disturbing that hundreds of scientist have voiced significant objections to major aspects of the alleged UN IPCC "consensus" on man-made global warming.
Doesn't this ring alarm bells to you ? I guess not when you are wearing blinkers and ear plugs..
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Sat 15 Aug, 2009 02:23 pm
@parados,
Parados, I think you are ignoring much of the science and making false statements.

http://epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Minority.Blogs&ContentRecord_id=f80a6386-802a-23ad-40c8-3c63dc2d02cb

As of December 20, 2007, more than 400 prominent scientists from more than two dozen countries have voiced significant objections to major aspects of the alleged UN IPCC "consensus" on man-made global warming.

Quote:

http://epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Minority.SenateReport#report
306
Meteorologists Andre and Sally Bernier of WJW-TV, in Cleveland, Ohio, both reject climate fears. "As two degreed and seasoned meteorologists, we will not be selling our snowblower anytime soon or tempted to try planting a palm tree in our front lawn," the Berniers, who were formerly of The Weather Channel, wrote to EPW on May 21, 2007. "There is simply far too little evidence to support entertaining the notion of anthropogenic causes for any climate shift. The focus has been to unearth as much evidence as possible all the while ignoring any evidence that is contrary to the theory the likes of which is far too significant to cast off," the Berniers explained. "Additionally, to rely and act on computer models which do not even come close to accurately capture the infinitely complex climate system of Earth is nothing short of reckless and irresponsible," they explained. "Thirty years ago headlines frightened everyone with an in imminent ice age. We suspect that fifty years from now, real science will have cast off and forgotten these claims similar to the realization that Galileo was right after all," the Berniers concluded.

parados
 
  1  
Reply Sat 15 Aug, 2009 02:50 pm
@Adanac,
Quote:
Ah!, so what you are saying is your scientists are better than my scientists .
Yes, I AM saying that..

When I go to a Dr, I want someone that IS a Dr. Do you often ask meteorologists what you should do about the ringing in your ears or the pain in your back? Would you take their advice?

When it comes to climate, I think the best scientists are those that actually study it and write papers on the subject and those papers are then reviewed and critiqued by others in the same field. If you want to accept the word of a biologist when it comes to solar radiation, that is your prerogative but don't expect me to accept that your conclusions are well reasoned.

There are NOT hundreds of scientists conversant in the field that have voiced their opinions. There are hundreds of people of questionable science credentials that have voiced opinions with no science backing up their opinions.

See the list that ican keeps posting from.. over 50 meteorologists, some biologists, economists etc. The number of people that have studied climatology, let alone written a paper that has been peer reviewed is not in the hundreds. I can probably count them on one hand.

So, if Joe the Plumber has done a 4 year apprenticeship and worked for 12 years as a master plumber, I wouldn't care what is credentials are when I have a problem that requires a Medical Dr. I wouldn't accept Joe's advice as being knowledgeable and I doubt you would if you stopped to consider it.
0 Replies
 
parados
 
  1  
Reply Sat 15 Aug, 2009 02:52 pm
@ican711nm,
Quote:
Parados, I think you are ignoring much of the science and making false statements.

I would hate to ignore the science. Could you direct me to the climate work of Meteorologists Andre and Sally Bernier of WJW-TV, in Cleveland. I would be more than happy to read their scientific papers. Where were they published? When were they published?
Adanac
 
  1  
Reply Sat 15 Aug, 2009 03:59 pm
The argument that temperature has increased 0.8C since 1850 is misleading since the Little Ice Age ended in 1850 and it is absolutely no surprise that temperature increases after a long cold period. Since 1850 there have been temperature increase (1860-1880), (1910-1940),(1976-1998) and decrease (1880-1910),(1940-1976), (1998-present) and the rate of the three periods of temperature has been the same. A simple question does not get asked: What part of the warming and cooling period since 1850 is natural? The first two warmings could not be related to human additions of CO2 from industry, hence why wouldn't the 1976-1998 warming also be due to natural process?
 

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