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Global Warming...New Report...and it ain't happy news

 
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Wed 12 Dec, 2007 10:56 am
miniTAX wrote:

You don't believe me ? Very simple, just send them a resquest email asking for these publicly funded research datas and see for yourself their answer. Hey, that's climate "science".


I've been there personally.
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Wed 12 Dec, 2007 11:00 am
blatham wrote:
Foxfyre wrote:
Ignoring that Blatham posted a Salon.org piece after excoriating me for my choice of sources, I did find this little tidbit in Dr. Pachuri's bio:

Quote:
In January 1999, Dr R K Pachauri was appointed as Director, Board of Directors of the Indian Oil Corporation Limited (a Fortune 500 company) for a period of 3 years.


Now how is it that somebody so intimately associated with the petroleum industry is so extolled as a person of principle and virtue while anybody on the other side, even reputable climatologists/educators who are indirectly associated with the petroleum industry, are to be disqualified as any kind of authority?


That surely can't be a serious question?

Scenario one: a scientist who has worked within or received funding from large tobacco corporations speaks and writes FAVORABLY about tobacco

Scenario two: a scientist who has worked within or received funding from large tobacco corporations speaks and writes UNFAVORABLY about tobacco.


And with no more to go on than that, and without review of any of the method or data by which either scientist arrived at his conclusions, the one violating the politically correct view shall be the one damned.
0 Replies
 
miniTAX
 
  1  
Reply Wed 12 Dec, 2007 11:00 am
Walter Hinteler wrote:
miniTAX wrote:

You don't believe me ? Very simple, just send them a resquest email asking for these publicly funded research datas and see for yourself their answer. Hey, that's climate "science".


I've been there personally.
Oh I understand now your campus map.
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Wed 12 Dec, 2007 11:32 am
miniTAX wrote:
blatham wrote:


Scenario two: a scientist who has worked within or received funding from large tobacco corporations speaks and writes UNFAVORABLY about tobacco.

For scenario 2, it's called a traitor (courtesy Bob F. Kennedy for all climate "deniers") Cool


That is certainly the implied label for anybody abandoning the politically correct causes. Very Happy
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Wed 12 Dec, 2007 11:37 am
miniTAX wrote:
Oh I understand now your campus map.


I should have marked the CRU at the School of Environmental Sciences better, sorry.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Wed 12 Dec, 2007 11:48 am
Meanwhile, outside the realm of bitching about numbers,

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20071212/ap_on_sc/arctic_melt;_ylt=Am.u8hrZ9bwBDxoJ3Lov4GkEtbAF

Quote:
Just last year, two top scientists surprised their colleagues by projecting that the Arctic sea ice was melting so rapidly that it could disappear entirely by the summer of 2040.

This week, after reviewing his own new data, NASA climate scientist Jay Zwally said: "At this rate, the Arctic Ocean could be nearly ice-free at the end of summer by 2012, much faster than previous predictions."....

"The Arctic is often cited as the canary in the coal mine for climate warming," said Zwally, who as a teenager hauled coal. "Now as a sign of climate warming, the canary has died. It is time to start getting out of the coal mines."....

More than 18 scientists told the AP that they were surprised by the level of ice melt this year.

"I don't pay much attention to one year ... but this year the change is so big, particularly in the Arctic sea ice, that you've got to stop and say, 'What is going on here?' You can't look away from what's happening here," said Waleed Abdalati, NASA's chief of cyrospheric sciences. "This is going to be a watershed year."


Lying phuckers, only looking for more grant money, obviously!

Why, I bet they are sneaking up there with hair dryers, just to allow the socialist majority to move forward with our plans of world domination!

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Wed 12 Dec, 2007 12:20 pm
Actually at one time, business and science were exploring ways to melt the arctic sea ice on purpose to open up a lucrative northwest passage that is now opening up through natural means. However re the melting arctic ice:

Explanations for melting arctic ice:
BBC
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/5344208.stm

And Environmental News
http://www.heartland.org/Article.cfm?artId=22362

And Finfacts Business News Center
http://www.finfacts.com/irelandbusinessnews/publish/article_1011352.shtml

Plus advantages produced by the melting ice-Scientists once explored ways to melt it on purpose to create this advantage:
http://www.usatoday.com/news/world/2006-04-03-nwpassage-debate_x.htm

Are summarized here:

Quote:
By Noel Sheppard | October 5, 2007 - 09:36 ET
Assume for a moment that a new study by NASA proved beyond a shadow of a doubt that manmade global warming was indeed responsible for the recent ice melts in the Arctic. Think media would have reported it?

In reality, that's a bit of a trick question, for in the past several weeks, television newscasts, papers, and magazines have been filled with hysterical assertions about decreasing Arctic ice levels destined to cause imminent flooding to coastal regions around the world.

As such, it certainly was no surprise when NASA released a report Monday claiming "the rapid decline in winter perennial ice the past two years was caused by unusual winds," virtually no media outlets shared the information with the citizenry, and those that did still blamed the melting ice on - you guessed it - global warming.

The largely boycotted announcement out of NASA stated no such thing (emphasis added):
http://www.newsbusters.org/blogs/noel-sheppard/2007/10/05/unusual-winds-caused-arctic-ice-melts-not-global-warming
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Wed 12 Dec, 2007 12:32 pm
The problem is, you see 'unusual winds' and think that this is some sort of complete explanation. Where did the 'unusual winds' come from? What caused them? It seems logical that shifting climate patterns such as this would be one of the primary results of climate change, be it AGW or not.

We can argue about why, but there is no argument about what is happening; arctic sea ice is receding.

It's also important to keep in mind that NASA documents are frequently written by political appointees; they shouldn't be confused with, yaknow, unbiased and actual science.

Also, while businesses may make more money off of an opened northwest passage, I can't seem to find any article claiming that it would be actually good for the current environment there...

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Wed 12 Dec, 2007 01:18 pm
parados wrote:
ican711nm wrote:
parados wrote:

...
Evaporated surface water can NOT contain CO2. Gases do NOT contain other gases.

Gases form mixtures with each other. In gaseous mixtures of H2O molecules and CO2 molecules, the number of H2O molecules usually far exceeds the number of CO2 molecules. In that sense, in a mixture of molecules of H2O vapor and molecules of CO2 gas, the H2O molecular mixture contains the CO2 molecules .

I guess if you want to pretend that N2 and O2 and all the other gases don't exist, you could claim that.

What I said was true including or excluding all the other gases contained in mixture with H2O molecules in atmospheric water vapor.
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Wed 12 Dec, 2007 01:39 pm
As NASA seems to be the authority de jour, here's another point of view re the seemingly opposing data being gleaned from NASA reports:

Icelandic Weather Patterns Help Decipher Arctic Ice Puzzle

Interesting graphic:

http://www.spacedaily.com/images/arctic-ice-90s-charts.gif
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Wed 12 Dec, 2007 01:43 pm
Foxfyre wrote:
As NASA seems to be the authority de jour, ...


C'était du jour Oct 1, 2001 :wink:

More du jour is this:

Greenland ice could be next puzzle for U.N. panel
0 Replies
 
High Seas
 
  1  
Reply Wed 12 Dec, 2007 01:47 pm
Foxfyre - nice to see you're back; was away for a long time myself. NASA is too busy with the new theory of everything - preparing a test for that one and for the older string theory, involving 2 satellites on the other side of the sun - to worry too much about climatology right now.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/graphics/2007/11/14/scisurf114.jpg

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/main.jhtml?view=DETAILS&grid=A1YourView&xml=/earth/2007/11/14/scisurf114.xml
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Wed 12 Dec, 2007 01:51 pm
I was wondering when E8 was going to be combined with Physics. Remember reading about it last year and being excited at the possibility of such a strange object being accurately mapped.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Wed 12 Dec, 2007 01:52 pm
Foxfyre wrote:
Interesting graphic:

http://www.spacedaily.com/images/arctic-ice-90s-charts.gif


Some really nice graphics are to found on the National Ice and Snow Data website
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Wed 12 Dec, 2007 01:59 pm
High Seas wrote:
Foxfyre - nice to see you're back; was away for a long time myself. NASA is too busy with the new theory of everything - preparing a test for that one and for the older string theory, involving 2 satellites on the other side of the sun - to worry too much about climatology right now.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/graphics/2007/11/14/scisurf114.jpg

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/main.jhtml?view=DETAILS&grid=A1YourView&xml=/earth/2007/11/14/scisurf114.xml


Very Happy Thank you my friend. I'm most happy to see that you are still around too.
0 Replies
 
High Seas
 
  1  
Reply Wed 12 Dec, 2007 01:59 pm
Cycl - yes, and if the new theory pans out with NASA's and CERN's experiments it will be really, really exciting!

Quote:
"This is an impressive achievement," said Hermann Nicolai, Director of the Albert Einstein Institute in Potsdam, Germany. "While mathematicians have known for a long time about the beauty and the uniqueness of E8, we physicists have come to appreciate its exceptional role only more recently - yet, in our attempts to unify gravity with the other fundamental forces into a consistent theory of quantum gravity, we now encounter it at almost every corner," he said, referring to efforts to combine the theory of the very big (general relativity) with the very small (quantum mechanics).

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/connected/main.jhtml?xml=/connected/2007/03/19/ecpattern19.xml

Btw I did post the link to the original article some pages ago, but nobody paid any attention - sniff, sob, WAAAAHH Smile
0 Replies
 
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Wed 12 Dec, 2007 02:07 pm
http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/temperature/hadcrut3gl.txt
YEARLY AVERAGE GLOBAL TEMPERATURES IN DEGREE C RELATIVE TO THE AVERAGE FOR THE 1961-1990 BASE PERIOD

1909 -0.564
1961 -0.023
1990 +0.254
1998 +0.546
2007 +0.421

In 1909, global temperature was 0.564C below the average temperature for the 1961-1990 base period. In 1998,global temperature was 0.546C above the average temperature for the 1961-1990 base period. In 2007, average global temperature is 0.421C above the average temperature for the 1961-1990 base period.

In aviation, the global standard temperature is 15C (59F). Assuming the average temperature during the 1961-1990 base period is the same, then the actual temperatures centigrade:

1909 -0.564 + 15 = 14.436
1961 -0.023 + 15 = 14.977
1990 +0.254 + 15 = 15.254
1998 +0.546 + 15 = 15.546
2007 +0.421 + 15 = 15.421

From 1909 to 1998 the global temperature increased (15.546-14.436)= 1.11C (1.998F). Relative to standard temperature that constitutes a 100% x (1.11C / 15C) = 7.40% increase. Relative to the 1909 average temperature that constitutes a 100% x (1.11C / 14.436C) = 7.69% increase. Relative to the 1990 average temperature that constitutes a 100% x (1.11C / 15.254C) = 7.30% increase.

SOLAR ACTIVITY

Solar activity has increased 57% from 1900 to 2000. Solar sunspots have increased by a factor of 2.29 over the same time period.
Quote:

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/6/60/Solar_Activity_Proxies.png

Solar activity
Sunspots


Graph showing proxies of solar activity, including changes in sunspot number and cosmogenic isotope production.

Sunspots are relatively dark areas on the surface of the Sun where intense magnetic activity inhibits convection and so cools the surface. The number of sunspots correlates with the intensity of solar radiation. The variation is small (of the order of 1 W/m² or 0.1% of the total) and was only established once satellite measurements of solar variation became available in the 1980s. Based on work by Abbot, Foukal et al. (1977) realised that higher values of radiation are associated with more sunspots. Nimbus 7 (launched October 25, 1978) and the Solar Maximum Mission (launched February 14, 1980) detected that because the areas surrounding sunspots are brighter, the overall effect is that more sunspots means a brighter sun.

There had been some suggestion that variations in the solar diameter might cause variations in output. But recent work, mostly from the Michelson Doppler Imager instrument on SOHO, shows these changes to be small, about 0.001% (Dziembowski et al., 2001).

Various studies have been made using sunspot number (for which records extend over hundreds of years) as a proxy for solar output (for which good records only extend for a few decades). Also, ground instruments have been calibrated by comparison with high-altitude and orbital instruments. Researchers have combined present readings and factors to adjust historical data. Other proxy data - such as the abundance of cosmogenic isotopes - have been used to infer solar magnetic activity and thus likely brightness.

Sunspot activity has been measured using the Wolf number for about 300 years. This index (also known as the Zürich number) uses both the number of sunspots and the number of groups of sunspots to compensate for variations in measurement. A 2003 study by Ilya Usoskin of the University of Oulu, Finland found that sunspots had been more frequent since the 1940s than in the previous 1150 years.[10]

Reconstruction of solar activity over 11,400 years. Period of equally high activity over 8,000 years ago marked. Present period is on left. Values since 1900 not shown.

Sunspot numbers over the past 11,400 years have been reconstructed using dendrochronologically dated radiocarbon concentrations. The level of solar activity during the past 70 years is exceptional - the last period of similar magnitude occurred over 8,000 years ago. The Sun was at a similarly high level of magnetic activity for only ~10% of the past 11,400 years, and almost all of the earlier high-activity periods were shorter than the present episode.
0 Replies
 
Steve 41oo
 
  1  
Reply Wed 12 Dec, 2007 02:19 pm
just been watching the republican candidates at Iowa.

John McCain said he would instigate a "manhattan" project to liberate the US from its dependency on foreign oil..."in 5 years" Laughing

An idiot called Alan Keyes (sp?) started preaching.

They were asked to raise their hands if they believed in anthropogenic global warming. The class refused.

I was not impressed.
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Wed 12 Dec, 2007 02:22 pm
High Seas wrote:
Cycl - yes, and if the new theory pans out with NASA's and CERN's experiments it will be really, really exciting!

Quote:
"This is an impressive achievement," said Hermann Nicolai, Director of the Albert Einstein Institute in Potsdam, Germany. "While mathematicians have known for a long time about the beauty and the uniqueness of E8, we physicists have come to appreciate its exceptional role only more recently - yet, in our attempts to unify gravity with the other fundamental forces into a consistent theory of quantum gravity, we now encounter it at almost every corner," he said, referring to efforts to combine the theory of the very big (general relativity) with the very small (quantum mechanics).

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/connected/main.jhtml?xml=/connected/2007/03/19/ecpattern19.xml

Btw I did post the link to the original article some pages ago, but nobody paid any attention - sniff, sob, WAAAAHH Smile


I didn't ignore it. I didn't want to admit I didn't understand it. Very Happy (Remember, I never studied physics beyond basic science classes and I only passed Algebra 101 by flirting outrageously with the professor.)
0 Replies
 
High Seas
 
  1  
Reply Wed 12 Dec, 2007 02:26 pm
Feeling better already, Foxfyre, thanks Smile

For the more quantitatively inclined, here's the original article again:
http://arxiv.org/abs/0711.0770
0 Replies
 
 

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