73
   

Global Warming...New Report...and it ain't happy news

 
 
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Sun 30 Oct, 2005 08:19 pm
old europe wrote:
...
Didn't Al Gore sign the protocol?
NO!

I don't think there are a lot of similarities in the Clinton and the Bush administration approach towards the protocol.
You are correct. Their approaches are not similar; they are identical. The USA did not sign the Kyoto treaty in either the Clinton or Bush administrations.
...
Meanwhile, in many western countries cars are built which burn, on average, less than half the gasoline the average American car needs. Meanwhile, houses are built which rely 100% on solar energy for warm water supply as well as for heating, all year round, on latitudes north of the northern US border. Meanwhile, many western countries are switching from coal, gas and nuclear energy to renewable energies.

All this while the USA has still the highest energy consumption per capita as well as in absolute numbers worldwide.
Excellent if true! If true, I'm confident the USA will soon emulates its bettors when their techniques are shown to be better.

Now, the main reason given for not implementing Kyoto is that it would be too much a strain on the economy. Quite interesting, for a country that is technologically as advanced as the United States - supposedly. Because I still fail to see how it would be bad for the economy if a government would try to implement measures to protect rather than pollute the environment.
Petroleum based energy production continues to be more economical. The environment is not being polluted by use of Petroleum based energy production. Human life spans and general health are still increasing worldwide especially in those countries, like China and India, that are rapidly expanding their use of petroleum based energy production.

The big concern (or should I say propaganda) of many--I think it invalid --is that such energy production is causing global warming.


Let me give you an example: around the world, 41 countries have adopted laws which allow companies as well as private people to sell electricity at a rate significantly higher than what would be paid for 'conventionally generated' electricity to the national suppliers. As a result, hundreds of new businesses have sprung up, focusing on renewable energies such as wind energy, geothermal enery, solar energy, biomass energy etc. The procedures that are being developed and discovered may very well conceivably cover a large percentage of the national power supply of these countries.
If true, I hope these techniques are soon emulated by the USA. Self-interest will be sufficient motive for theUSA without signing a treaty like Kyoto that seeks to limit the USA, while excusing almost everyone else.

Well, and what are the States doing? Falling behind, in the name of protecting the economy. How strange, isn't it?
I don't think the USA will fall behind for long if these techniques you describe are shown to be as valid as you claim.
0 Replies
 
JustWonders
 
  1  
Reply Sun 30 Oct, 2005 09:53 pm
As Ican points out, AlGore listened to his boss and voted it down, along with every single other congresscritter - on both sides of the aisle.

Kyoto is dead, OE - much as Blair pointed out last month in his speech and it won't be renewed in 2012. It's not that we don't agree warming is a fact - it clearly is. The cause and effect of that warming is questionable, but even then, the US has a considerable budget aimed at developing alternate forms of energy and reducing greenhouse gas emissions.

Please don't confuse seeing Kyoto for what it is/was as a wanton disregard for conservation or pollution concerns. Kyoto was a poorly thought-out, poorly developed plan that many here recognized as a propagandistic charade aimed at striking an economic blow to the United States. See this article in the Australian.

There's been an alternate plan proposed that seems far more feasible in terms of success and also includes some areas that are most likely to increase rather than decrease their carbon budgets in the next decades and would also result in larger reductions in greenhouse gases than proposed by Kyoto.

I haven't checked lately, but I know that a 2003 report by the EEA indicated that emissions of greenhouse gases by EU member states had increased for the second consecutive year (I think the worst offender was Ireland).

Of course, you're not going to see that little tidbit on the front page of the NYTimes.
0 Replies
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Sun 30 Oct, 2005 11:10 pm
old europe wrote:
[Didn't Al Gore sign the protocol? I don't think there are a lot of similarities in the Clinton and the Bush administration approach towards the protocol.

You are correct. Al Gore did initial the treaty and President Clinton subsequently signed it. He then sat on it for almost two years without ever attempting to submit it to the Senate for ratification, or even advocate its passage.. During this delay the Senate voted 97 - 0 on a resolution condemning the treaty terms as ineffectual and unfair - it exempted the rapidly growing nations (China, India) whose emissions of green house gases were growing faster thasn any other part of the world from any actions whatever, did the same for the nations of the former Soviet Bolc, and conveniently set the reference year, against which required emission reductions would be measured, jist before Western Europe abandoned their use of low grade, high sulfur brown coal in favor of the suddenly abundant natural gas then flooding in from North Africa and Russia (They had in effect already almost met their "goals") In my view Bush was entirely correct in rejecting this absurd and ineffectial treaty.

Quote:
Meanwhile, in many western countries cars are built which burn, on average, less than half the gasoline the average American car needs. Meanwhile, houses are built which rely 100% on solar energy for warm water supply as well as for heating, all year round, on latitudes north of the northern US border. Meanwhile, many western countries are switching from coal, gas and nuclear energy to renewable energies.

All this while the USA has still the highest energy consumption per capita as well as in absolute numbers worldwide.


Interestingly the United States has nearly the world's lowest energy consumption per unit of production or GDP. One could make an interesting case for transferring more of the world's productiuon here as an energy saving technique. WE consume more energy, but we produce much more useful stuff. The Tyotas, BMWs, Audis and Mercedes sold in such great numbers here have more or less the same gasoline requirements as those sold in Europe and Asia. Admittedly small high efficiency autos aren't particularly popular here, but I susprct that is simply a result of the high taxes imposed on fuel in Europe. Canadians like SUVs just as much as do we and on a per capita basis they consume much more energy than Americans - and produce less for it.. Perhaps you should direct your complaints against them

Solar and wind energy account at best for a trivial component of elecrtical power production around the world, There are technical and environmental reasons that limit the utility of solar power. Wind power is a bit more promising, but I know of no competent serious observers who wexpect it will account for more than 10--15% of electrical power production. We do need increased use of nuclear power for electrical power generation, I notice that despite their now ten year old promises to eliminate this source of power, neither Sweden nor Germany have reduced their output a bit. France, of course continues to produce more than 70% of its electrical power in nuclear reactors.


Lots of misinformation and half-truths out there masquerading as fact on this subject.
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Sun 30 Oct, 2005 11:47 pm
JustWonders wrote:
I haven't checked lately, but I know that a 2003 report by the EEA indicated that emissions of greenhouse gases by EU member states had increased for the second consecutive year (I think the worst offender was Ireland).


Quote:
http://newsimg.bbc.co.uk/media/images/40415000/gif/_40415961_co2_emissions2_gra416.gif

[...]

However, despite its tough stance on Kyoto, the EU is some way off its own target. It pledged to bring total greenhouse gas emissions to 8% below 1990s levels by 2008-2012, but by 2002 they had dropped only 2.9% - and CO2 emissions had risen slightly. Only four EU countries are on track to achieve their own targets.
BBC




Quote:
Emissions of climate-changing greenhouse gases from the European Union have increased in 2003, after having fallen in 2002. Emissions in the 15 old member states (EU-15) increased by 53 million tonnes (1.3%) between 2002 and 2003.Total EU-25 emissions increased by 1.5%, says the latest annual report on greenhouse gas emissions from the European Environment Agency.


Between 2002 and 2003 EU-15 emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2), which makes up over 80% of all EU-15 greenhouse gas emissions, increased by 59 million tonnes (1.8%). Since 1990 CO2 emissions in the EU-15 have increased by 3.4%.

Still, since 1990, the base year of the Kyoto Protocol, greenhouse gas emissions in the EU-15 have decreased by 1.7%. Five-year average emissions between 1999 and 2003 are currently 2.9% below the base year emissions.[/

From the source [/quote]the source, where JW got her above posted knowledge.


Again to say it loud: the 2003 report by the EA, JW noted above says:

Greenhouse gas emissions in the EU-15 have decreased by 1.7%. Five-year average emissions between 1999 and 2003 are currently 2.9% below the base year emissions.
0 Replies
 
old europe
 
  1  
Reply Mon 31 Oct, 2005 04:08 am
old europe wrote:
Didn't Al Gore sign the protocol?


ican711nm wrote:
NO!


JustWonders wrote:
AlGore listened to his boss and voted it down


georgeob1 wrote:
Al Gore did initial the treaty and President Clinton subsequently signed it.


Uh... Okay, so obviously, somebody didn't pay attention, right? Now, who's right and who's wrong? And who will admit that he was wrong?

<waiting>

'k.... Now, I'm not even going to discuss this stuff:

ican711nm wrote:
The environment is not being polluted by use of Petroleum based energy production.


Somebody else tell ican that that's complete bollocks.


JW, Kyoto is dead because Bush and Blair say so? (btw, not was Blair really said, but whatever) You do realize that Kyoto isn't something given to the world by B&B, right? It's an agreement signed by 156 nations.

But where it gets really ridiculous is when you're claiming, in typical americocentric 'the world revolves around this nation' manner that the Kyoto protocol is "a propagandistic charade aimed at striking an economic blow to the United States"!! You can't seriously believe that 156 nations sign an agreement to cut down greenhouse gas emissions in their countries and interprete it as a worldwide conspiracy to harm the United States! That's the most lunatic thing I've heard ever! Get a grip!

Now, I agree that Kyoto has its flaws. And I know that alternate plans have been proposed. Question: if Kyoto is so bad and the Bush government knows how important environmental protection is and all these alternatives exist - why has nothing been implemented? Hm?
0 Replies
 
old europe
 
  1  
Reply Mon 31 Oct, 2005 04:24 am
georgeob1 wrote:
Interestingly the United States has nearly the world's lowest energy consumption per unit of production or GDP.


Hmmm... not that I know of. You may prove me wrong, george, but I don't think so. Any data on that one?

georgeob1 wrote:
WE consume more energy, but we produce much more useful stuff.


Now, it all depends on the definition of "useful stuff", doesn't it? But seriously, I don't think so (see above). Too lazy to research it right know, but if you have some sources, that input would be appreciated.

georgeob1 wrote:
The Tyotas, BMWs, Audis and Mercedes sold in such great numbers here have more or less the same gasoline requirements as those sold in Europe and Asia.


True, that.

....

Errr, do you notice something, though?

georgeob1 wrote:
Admittedly small high efficiency autos aren't particularly popular here, but I susprct that is simply a result of the high taxes imposed on fuel in Europe.


Okay. We absolutely agree on that. Now, many people here see taxes as an instrument, in this case as an incentive for the industry to built those more economic cars. Americans, on the other hand, usually see taxes as something taken away from you that rightfully belongs to you in the first place. My view differs, even though I have to admit that, if it was up to me, I'd like to see all the revenues created by taxing energy going into the research of renewables, or into public transportation. Which is not happening right now.

georgeob1 wrote:
Solar and wind energy account at best for a trivial component of elecrtical power production around the world, There are technical and environmental reasons that limit the utility of solar power.


Yes. Absolutely. But look at this:

http://www.br-online.de/wissen-bildung/artikel/0510/27-sonnenhaus/foto/wasserspeicher_Sonnenhaus-I.jpg

http://www.br-online.de/wissen-bildung/artikel/0510/27-sonnenhaus/foto/korrekturen_Sonnenhaus-Inst.jpg

It's huge water tank, built into a house that is currently being constructed near where I'm living. Thanks to solar collectors, new insulation materials and the core element, the gigantic water tank, the house is independent from gas or oil. Warm water supply as well as an intelligent central heating system are solar powered. All this on a latitude north of Toronto. In fact, the house could be heated even in the case of 50 consequent days without sun.

Quite interesting, isn't it? Especially given the energy prices at the moment....

Oh, here's the link, by the way...

Will dig through more later.
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Mon 31 Oct, 2005 06:27 am
old europe wrote:
JW, Kyoto is dead because Bush and Blair say so? (btw, not was Blair really said, but whatever) You do realize that Kyoto isn't something given to the world by B&B, right? It's an agreement signed by 156 nations.


Quote:
The Kyoto protocol on climate change cannot work in its current form, Prime Minister Tony Blair has said.
Most of the developed world - except the US - has signed up to the agreement.

But Mr Blair, writing in the Observer, said cuts in greenhouse gas emissions can only be achieved by establishing an initiative that includes the US.

Any new agreement after the Kyoto protocol expires in 2012 would not be able to work either if, as with Kyoto, the US is not part of it, Mr Blair said.

He blamed the problems surrounding the climate change debate as the "trouble with so much international politics: a reluctance to face up to reality and the practical action needed to tackle problems".

from the BBC


Well, sounds really a bit different than "Kyoto is dead, OE - much as Blair pointed out last month in his speech".
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Mon 31 Oct, 2005 06:42 am
georgeob1 wrote:
I notice that despite their now ten year old promises to eliminate this source of power, neither Sweden nor Germany have reduced their output a bit. France, of course continues to produce more than 70% of its electrical power in nuclear reactors.

Lots of misinformation and half-truths out there masquerading as fact on this subject.


Obviously you have better information than we citizens have here (and in Sweden) and know more than the half-truth we only can get by reading the various laws and agreements.

The Act on the Phase-out of Nuclear Power was promulgated in the Federal Law Gazette on 26 April, when I can believe my memory, my member of parliament and the pressrelease of the goverment's press office.
Could you please give a link for your claim that this happened seven years before under the conservative Kohl government?

And you think, the (partly/totally demolished or officially closed nuclear reactors still produce electricity?
I'm more than sure that at least two I know by visiting don't do it: they aren't at place (nearly) anymore.
0 Replies
 
JustWonders
 
  1  
Reply Mon 31 Oct, 2005 08:07 am
OE - I stand corrected on AlGore/Clinton signing off on Kyoto, but as Georgeob points out, Clinton pushed it only half-heartedly (knowing it was certain to go nowhere). It was President Bush who finally stepped up and called Kyoto what it is: baloney.

Please don't take that to mean that any on the right are pro-dirty air (Kyoto was voted down unanimously here).

Walter - thanks for finding the EEU link I referenced and for all your subsequent contributions and corrections. I found this particular graph amusing (note the smiley/frownie faces used) Smile

http://org.eea.eu.int/documents/newsreleases/ghg_figure2.jpg
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Mon 31 Oct, 2005 09:39 am
That's a link from the EEA - the European Environment Agency - which is an EU body :wink:

(EEU is - if I remember correctly - the abbreviation for European Economic Union. And that are the member countries of the EU [European Union] who have agreed to participate in the European Economic Union.)
0 Replies
 
talk72000
 
  1  
Reply Mon 31 Oct, 2005 11:18 am
If you look around the Arctic and Greenland there has been a change. There isn't the amount of snow there as before and the polars bears are threatened. All of those opposed to global warming warnings are probably employed by oil companies or related industries dependent on oil company businesses.
0 Replies
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Mon 31 Oct, 2005 02:46 pm
Old Europe,

Your photo of the solar heater installation was apt. I agree that this is a useful and beneficial way to reduce residential energy requirements. Such things are used here as well, but not as widely as is possible - here or in Europe. I expect that rising energy prices will take care of that. ( I dread the government-directed solutions favored by so many environmental zealots - we have seen more than enough of the people who are sure they know how we shouuld live and who are willing to force us to comply with their conceits.) However it remains a fact that solar power is not ever likely to be either a significant substitute for petroleum or a major source of electrical power.

Throughout the western world electrical power is generated primarily through coal or nuclear power. Owing to the ready availabiliuty of Russian and North African natural gas that fuel is increasingly sugnificant in Europe. (However a unit of heat released in an electrical power generating plant by burning gas releases exactly as much CO2 as does one burning coal.)

Petroleum is the principal fuel for transportations systems world wide. I probably exaggerated a bit in the point about the efficiency (in economic terms) of energy use in America. However the argument goes like this - GDP per capita in the United States is about 25% higher than that in Europe. While we do consume more energy per capita than Europeans (but much less thasn Canadians), our energy consumption per unit of GDP is hardly greater than that in Europe - and far far less than that in China, India, Russia, Brazil, Mexico, and many other countries. . An American who works 50 hours/week and takes two weeks of vacation/year and drives to work in an SUV is being no more wasteful than a Frenchman who takes six weeks of vacation each year and works 35 hours/week and drives around in a crappy little Renault.

I generally prefer market forces to government regulation in improving the design of automobiles and power generating systems. In the United States the principal factors inhibiting the reduction of greenhouse gases in electrical power prioduction are well-intended but basically stupid environmental laws. Euroipean countries established very high taxes on petroleum immediately after WWII to reduce imports and fascilitate the reconstruction of their weconomies. They have kept them through the ensuing prosperity and adjusted to them. Americans are much more tax adverse, and I for one am glad of that. We provided the petroleum for the western allies in WWII and significantly depleted our reserves in the process. One might wish that Europeans would be a bit more conscious of what we have done for them and a bit less self righteous in their rather easy and superficial criticisms of us.
0 Replies
 
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Mon 31 Oct, 2005 02:58 pm
talk72000 wrote:
If you look around the Arctic and Greenland there has been a change. There isn't the amount of snow there as before and the polars bears are threatened. All of those opposed to global warming warnings are probably employed by oil companies or related industries dependent on oil company businesses.


CONFESSION
I fly airplanes and drive cars; and I electrically heat or cool my house, and electrically light my house, and electrically run my computer, and use water electrically pumped to my house; and I eat food shipped to my neighborhood stores by trucks, trains and boats; and, oh yes, I shave with an electric razor. So I am clearly dependent on oil company businesses.

THE EFFECT
There is an IPCC consensus that the globe is warming.

THE CAUSE
There is no IPCC consensus about why the globe is warming.

HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE
The general trend over the last 10,000 years since the end of the last ice-age is that the globe has been warming.

POLLUTION
Since CO2 is non-toxic and non-noxious, it does not pollute the air, but it does help plants grow.

--------------------

By the way, I was wrong to post that neither Gore or Clinton signed the Kyoto treaty. They did, respectively, initial and sign it, but the US Senate did not ratify it.
0 Replies
 
Steve 41oo
 
  1  
Reply Mon 31 Oct, 2005 04:03 pm
Ok Ican if you want to argue semantics

here's the first link that came up when I typed global warming anthropogenic and consensus into Google.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_warming

looking forward to your refutation of that one. Why on earth cant you just accept the science? I'm not playing politics.
0 Replies
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Mon 31 Oct, 2005 04:15 pm
georgeob1 wrote:
Old Europe,

Your photo of the solar heater installation was both interesting and apt (I have installed a solar preheater on the roof of my home in California which has reduced my electrical bill slightly. However it will take about six years to recover the cost of installation). I agree that this is a useful and beneficial way to reduce residential energy requirements. Such things are used here as well, but not as widely as is possible - here or in Europe. I expect that rising energy prices will take care of that. ( I dread the government-directed solutions favored by so many environmental zealots - we have seen more than enough of the people who are sure they know how we shouuld live and who are willing to force us to comply with their conceits.) However it remains a fact that solar power is not ever likely to be either a significant substitute for petroleum or a major source of electrical power.

Throughout the western world electrical power is generated primarily through coal or nuclear power. Owing to the ready availabiliuty of Russian and North African natural gas that fuel is increasingly sugnificant in Europe. (However a unit of heat released in an electrical power generating plant by burning gas releases exactly as much CO2 as does one burning coal.)

Petroleum is the principal fuel for transportations systems world wide. I probably exaggerated a bit in the point about the efficiency (in economic terms) of energy use in America. However the argument goes like this - GDP per capita in the United States is about 25% higher than that in Europe. While we do consume more energy per capita than Europeans (but much less thasn Canadians), our energy consumption per unit of GDP is hardly greater than that in Europe - and far far less than that in China, India, Russia, Brazil, Mexico, and many other countries. . An American who works 50 hours/week and takes two weeks of vacation/year and drives to work in an SUV is being no more wasteful than a Frenchman who takes six weeks of vacation each year and works 35 hours/week and drives around in a crappy little Renault.

I generally prefer market forces to government regulation in improving the design of automobiles and power generating systems. In the United States the principal factors inhibiting the reduction of greenhouse gases in electrical power prioduction are well-intended but basically stupid environmental laws. Euroipean countries established very high taxes on petroleum immediately after WWII to reduce imports and facilitate the reconstruction of their economies. They have kept them through the ensuing prosperity and apparently have adjusted to them == though I doubt very seriously that if these taxes did noit now exist, Europeans would accept their imposition now. Americans are much more tax adverse than Europeans, and I for one am glad of that. We provided the petroleum for the western allies in WWII and significantly depleted our long-term reserves in the process. One might wish that Europeans would be a bit more conscious of what we have done for them and a bit less self righteous in their rather easy and superficial criticisms of us.
0 Replies
 
Steve 41oo
 
  1  
Reply Mon 31 Oct, 2005 04:24 pm
"An American who works 50 hours/week and takes two weeks of vacation/year and drives to work in an SUV is being no more wasteful than a Frenchman who takes six weeks of vacation each year and works 35 hours/week and drives around in a crappy little Renault."

Smile How do you know its a crappy little Renault? Could be a bicycle with onions on the handlebars.
0 Replies
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Mon 31 Oct, 2005 04:29 pm
Steve (as 41oo) wrote:
"An American who works 50 hours/week and takes two weeks of vacation/year and drives to work in an SUV is being no more wasteful than a Frenchman who takes six weeks of vacation each year and works 35 hours/week and drives around in a crappy little Renault."

Smile How do you know its a crappy little Renault? Could be a bicycle with onions on the handlebars.


Well you are right about that. However as an American who commuted to work on a bicycle for about ten years, I will take no merde from a Froggy with onions on his handlebars !! (Hell I don't even take much from otherwise agreeable Brits ! Smile
0 Replies
 
Steve 41oo
 
  1  
Reply Mon 31 Oct, 2005 04:37 pm
georgeob1 wrote:
I will take no merde from a Froggy with onions on his handlebars !! (Hell I don't even take much from otherwise agreeable Brits ! Smile


no you dont George. In fact I would certainly classify you as a merde free zone. Biased, sometimes wrong, but merde free.
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Mon 31 Oct, 2005 04:40 pm
I'm not that sure about the onions, but obviosly ALL Frenchmen have a child with a beret and baguettes on their carrier

http://www.radio-canada.ca/refuge/img_contenu/19990809/amedee/baguette.jpg
0 Replies
 
Steve 41oo
 
  1  
Reply Mon 31 Oct, 2005 04:43 pm
ppor child having to pedal for father. Should be a law against it.

And thats a funny looking tricolour...you sure its france?
0 Replies
 
 

Related Topics

 
Copyright © 2025 MadLab, LLC :: Terms of Service :: Privacy Policy :: Page generated in 0.03 seconds on 07/18/2025 at 08:30:27