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Global Warming...New Report...and it ain't happy news

 
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Sat 21 Oct, 2006 11:57 am
old europe wrote:
I would think that somebody who firmly believes that CO2 and the burning of fossil fuels causes global warming would want this to stop because of the perceived dangers of global warming, not because we are running out of fossil fuel. Whether the supply of oil is unlimited or not is therefore quite immaterial to his argument.

What is your take on that one, Foxy?




I think that's what you think, but many of your fellow AGW proponents certainly often make their contempt for the oil companies a huge component of their rhetoric. It's almost as if the oil companies capped the wells and closed their doors today, the world would be wonderful.

The argument I get from Cheney's take, however, is that the supply of oil remains plentiful for the needs of the world and is quite affordable at least for the time being. There is no urgent need for a broadscale alternative.

My observation is that we would better serve humankind by working WITH the oil companies, allowing them to participate in the process, and all move together toward better alternatives if there are better alternatives out there. Oil companies certainly did not achieve their considerable success by standing still and not adjusting to a changing world including environmental concerns.

Years ago in this country the railroads almost did themselves in by thinking they were in the railroad business instead of being in the transportation business. And while they were focused on being railroads, they lost a huge market share as others focused on providing for the transportation needs of a changing world.

I don't believe for a minute the oil companies are focused on being oil companies. I think they are well aware they are in the business of providing energy for a changing world.
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Sat 21 Oct, 2006 12:18 pm
Foxfyre wrote:
The argument I get from Cheney's take, however, is that the supply of oil remains plentiful for the needs of the world and is quite affordable at least for the time being. There is no urgent need for a broadscale alternative.


I'm not sure if he really say so - it least not what has been published until now and by him on this subject.

Quote:
Cheney does not discount serious issues involved with the use of natural resources. For instance, continuing to burn fossil fuels will pump more carbon dioxide into Earth's atmosphere, adding to the already worsening greenhouse conditions. Those fuels still will be available to those who can afford the price. "We're still going to have to use fuels, but we have to manage that use better."

"The point is that we have to have members of the public who are not geologists and who know something about mineral resources. There are going to be some important policy decisions in the next decades, so we need to have some smart voters," he said. "We can start in colleges by dispelling myths in courses for students who are not going to become professional geoscientists."
(same source as previous)


We might know more when results of tomorrows discussion at the Geological Society of America's annual meeting are presented.
(The presentation there is not alone by Cheney but by Andrew Buddington of Spokane Community College as well, btw.)
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Sat 21 Oct, 2006 12:32 pm
Walter Hinteler wrote:
Foxfyre wrote:
The argument I get from Cheney's take, however, is that the supply of oil remains plentiful for the needs of the world and is quite affordable at least for the time being. There is no urgent need for a broadscale alternative.


I'm not sure if he really say so - it least not what has been published until now and by him on this subject.

Quote:
Cheney does not discount serious issues involved with the use of natural resources. For instance, continuing to burn fossil fuels will pump more carbon dioxide into Earth's atmosphere, adding to the already worsening greenhouse conditions. Those fuels still will be available to those who can afford the price. "We're still going to have to use fuels, but we have to manage that use better."

"The point is that we have to have members of the public who are not geologists and who know something about mineral resources. There are going to be some important policy decisions in the next decades, so we need to have some smart voters," he said. "We can start in colleges by dispelling myths in courses for students who are not going to become professional geoscientists."
(same source as previous)


We might know more when results of tomorrows discussion at the Geological Society of America's annual meeting are presented.
(The presentation there is not alone by Cheney but by Andrew Buddington of Spokane Community College as well, btw.)


But I don't see how my take on Cheney's point is materially different from this Walter. I didn't suggest that he is nixing research on the alternatives, but rather his point in the specific piece I posted is that we have plenty of oil for our needs in the near term. That does go against the opinion of those who say that we're fast running out of oil.
0 Replies
 
old europe
 
  1  
Reply Sat 21 Oct, 2006 12:39 pm
Foxfyre wrote:
The argument I get from Cheney's take, however, is that the supply of oil remains plentiful for the needs of the world and is quite affordable at least for the time being. There is no urgent need for a broadscale alternative.


Really, Foxy? I don't get that from the article. It rather seems you are doing some creative interpreting now. Let's have another look at the article:

Foxfyre wrote:
"The most common question I get is, 'When are we going to run out of oil?' The correct response is, 'Never,'" said Cheney. "It might be a heck of a lot more expensive than it is now, but there will always be some oil available at a price, perhaps $10 to $100 a gallon."


Let me try to interprete that in a different way: we will be running out of oil, and at one point it will become too expensive to simply burn it or use it to fuel our cars. However, we will never completely run out of oil, because by the time oil will be as expensive as gold or uranium, we will have stopped burning it.



Foxfyre wrote:
I think that's what you think, but many of your fellow AGW proponents certainly often make their contempt for the oil companies a huge component of their rhetoric. It's almost as if the oil companies capped the wells and closed their doors today, the world would be wonderful.


I would wish you would eventually refrain from addressing someone (even implicitly) as "all you people". If you want to know what I think, you can simply ask me about my opinion on a certain topic instead of making assumptions based on what "all you people" are saying. I'm not really into groupthink.

Concerning oil companies, I would really distinguish what specific company we are talking about. After all, there are some companies that invest millions of dollars into renewable resources (e.g. BP Solar). There are some companies that invest millions of dollars funding groups that attempt to undermine the scientific consensus on climate change (e.g. Exxon). And there are some companies that invest millions of dollars into political propaganda (e.g. Citgo).

I think it would be unfair to lump them all together.
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Sat 21 Oct, 2006 12:39 pm
I don't know what they really say. I just know what's in their press release .... and what UPI summarised from that.
(Interestingly, only this agency published that press release - and that in turn was published by just a good handful of .... (mainly) blogs.
0 Replies
 
old europe
 
  1  
Reply Sat 21 Oct, 2006 12:42 pm
Foxfyre wrote:
his point in the specific piece I posted is that we have plenty of oil for our needs in the near term. That does go against the opinion of those who say that we're fast running out of oil.


That's not what he is saying, though. He is saying that

Quote:
Those fuels still will be available to those who can afford the price.


He doesn't make any prediction whether the price of $100 per gallon will be reached next year or a hundred years from now. All he is saying is that we won't be running out of oil.
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Sat 21 Oct, 2006 12:46 pm
old europe wrote:
Let me try to interprete that in a different way: we will be running out of oil, and at one point it will become too expensive to simply burn it or use it to fuel our cars. However, we will never completely run out of oil, because by the time oil will be as expensive as gold or uranium, we will have stopped burning it.


That's exactly how I read it, too. And that there's no time mentioned, may be this happens in 2007 or in 2017 ...
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Sat 21 Oct, 2006 12:57 pm
OE wrote
Quote:
Foxfyre wrote:
I think that's what you think, but many of your fellow AGW proponents certainly often make their contempt for the oil companies a huge component of their rhetoric. It's almost as if the oil companies capped the wells and closed their doors today, the world would be wonderful.


I would wish you would eventually refrain from addressing someone (even implicitly) as "all you people". If you want to know what I think, you can simply ask me about my opinion on a certain topic instead of making assumptions based on what "all you people" are saying. I'm not really into groupthink.


I certainly did not either explicitly or implicitly address you or anybody else as 'all you people'. I affirmed you specifically in your own opinion expressed and expressed my own observation that many (i.e. not ALL) of the AGW propenents often (i.e. not ALWAYS) condemn the oil companies on this issue. I can support my opinion for that just by pointing to numerous post in this very thread.

I would wish that you would eventually refrain from mischaracterizing what I actually say into what you think I intended because you usually get that 100% wrong.
0 Replies
 
okie
 
  1  
Reply Sun 22 Oct, 2006 01:13 am
old europe wrote:
Foxfyre wrote:
his point in the specific piece I posted is that we have plenty of oil for our needs in the near term. That does go against the opinion of those who say that we're fast running out of oil.


That's not what he is saying, though. He is saying that

Quote:
Those fuels still will be available to those who can afford the price.


He doesn't make any prediction whether the price of $100 per gallon will be reached next year or a hundred years from now. All he is saying is that we won't be running out of oil.


That is the beauty of free enterprise isn't it? Insomuch as oil is competitive with other competing products, it will be available. Nothing has changed since the beginning of time in regard to virtually anything. If gasoline becomes $100.00 per gallon at some point in the future, in today's dollars, then obviously not many people will be wanting to buy it, but for those that do, the supply will likely be adequate. Just like the supply of hydrogen for those that wish to buy it now is apparently adequate, as I do not hear many people complaining that they are trying to buy it but can't find enough of it to buy.
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Mon 23 Oct, 2006 12:48 am
Britons are the worst energy wasters in Europe, according to a survey of 5,000 people across the continent. The study found UK citizens admitting to 32 energy-wasting actions a week on average, more than twice as many as the most efficient citizens polled, the Germans

The last one leaving the room always switches the lights off here :wink:

http://i14.tinypic.com/3y7eyrm.jpg

Guardian report: Energy-wasting Britons rank top for failing to see the light
0 Replies
 
Steve 41oo
 
  1  
Reply Mon 23 Oct, 2006 07:55 am
Walter Hinteler wrote:
Britons are the worst energy wasters in Europe, according to a survey of 5,000 people across the continent. The study found UK citizens admitting to 32 energy-wasting actions a week on average, more than twice as many as the most efficient citizens polled, the Germans

The last one leaving the room always switches the lights off here :wink:

http://i14.tinypic.com/3y7eyrm.jpg

Guardian report: Energy-wasting Britons rank top for failing to see the light
I was shocked at this. I have turned off the heat in the guest bedroom. :wink:
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Mon 23 Oct, 2006 08:07 am
Steve 41oo wrote:
I was shocked at this. I have turned off the heat in the guest bedroom. :wink:


That's okay, she's used to such.
0 Replies
 
Steve 41oo
 
  1  
Reply Mon 23 Oct, 2006 09:13 am
Walter Hinteler wrote:
Steve 41oo wrote:
I was shocked at this. I have turned off the heat in the guest bedroom. :wink:


That's okay, she's used to such.
this caused some laughter here
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miniTAX
 
  1  
Reply Tue 24 Oct, 2006 08:34 am
Foxfyre wrote:
Here is some bad news for the AGW theorists and good news for those who know that the world and its economy run on oil and we will likely need to find ways to effectively live with that reality.
I note something you didn't say that would add insult to injury to the AGW proponents. As oil is far from depleting and prices are collapsing, the world economy will spew even more CO2 using fossil fuels instead of renewables or nuclear (no way the Chinese, Indians, Americans or Australians will voluntarily reduce their GHG emission just to please the European eco-devouts). And as atmospheric CO2 content continue to rise and no alarming rise in temperature occurs (Russian scientists even predict the end of the current 30 year cooling-warming cycle about now and a cold period starting by 2012 and cuminating around 2030), the GHG warming theory will go down the toilet. Just like the ozone depletion theory is being refuted just by the test of time: CFCs have been cut down more than 20 years ago, the media trumpets ozone "recovery" and tada, this year, the ozone layer hit a double record breaker in size and depth depletion (oct 19th news on the NOAA site).

Besides, this year is a "bad" year for alarmists: no major Atlantic hurricane, mean temperature not increasing since 1998, loss of massive and unexpected amount of ocean heat (loss of 20% of 50 years of heat accumulation just from 2003 to 2005, see Lyman study), Artic ice sheet stabilizing in area compared to 2005 whereas its surface was decreasing in the preceding years, Southern hemisphere cooling for more than 5 years...

Some years ahead, I bet we'll have a massive recycling industry... of AGW proponents. :wink: No question they'll invent a new myth and new sins to put on humanity's head.
0 Replies
 
miniTAX
 
  1  
Reply Tue 24 Oct, 2006 08:55 am
Walter Hinteler wrote:
Britons are the worst energy wasters in Europe, according to a survey of 5,000 people across the continent. The study found UK citizens admitting to 32 energy-wasting actions a week on average, more than twice as many as the most efficient citizens polled, the Germans
They are the worst wasters but also the biggest eco-hysterics: see their absurd recycling policies (and fines), their stupidly restrictive land allocation policy which make real estate price skyrocket and send thousands of Britons to settle in France each year (welcome to them BTW), their car carbon tax, their Royal Accademy sermoning letter to Exxon...

Really funny indeed. In fact, not very different from the Victorian era when the self-righteous discourse was needed to hide the worst manners.
New religion, old bad habits.
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Tue 24 Oct, 2006 09:17 am
miniTAX wrote:
They are the worst wasters but also the biggest eco-hysterics: see their absurd recycling policies (and fines), their stupidly restrictive land allocation policy which make real estate price skyrocket and send thousands of Britons to settle in France each year (welcome to them BTW), their car carbon tax, their Royal Accademy sermoning letter to Exxon...


I disagree: they just had to learn the "new rules" within a too short period.

(We seldom laughed so much in France as a dozen years ago or so, when suddenly the smallest hamlet had an own huge déchetterie ... but the waste was still collected in black plastic bags without any difference to what was inside :wink: )
0 Replies
 
miniTAX
 
  1  
Reply Tue 24 Oct, 2006 11:27 am
Walter Hinteler wrote:
I disagree: they just had to learn the "new rules" within a too short period.

Do you think so? So you should read this:
Quote:

Meet Britain's first recycling martyr... the man with a criminal record for using the wrong bin


Walter Hinteler wrote:

(We seldom laughed so much in France as a dozen years ago or so, when suddenly the smallest hamlet had an own huge déchetterie ... but the waste was still collected in black plastic bags without any difference to what was inside :wink: )
Sure Walter, many funny things can be told about recycling. My cousin works in this field in Strasbourg (5 km from Kehl am Rhein, Germany). They had built a huge incenerator. At the same time, the municipality incite to recycle and hired hundreds of workers to manually sort wastes, subsided jobs in fact very "à la mode" in France. As a result, he sees almost everyday trucks of sorted papers or plastic sent to the incinerator to be burned alongside with unsorted trash (!).

Explanation: the incinerator is way too big and needs a minimum amount of combustible to fucntion properly otherwise it would smolder and emit excess pollution.
So the municipality keeps the workers to sort recycled trash, asks these same workers to mix back those sorted papers & plastic in a bin and send it to be burned (I paraphrase in case you can't believe your eyes).
Had they assessed correctly the situation instead of acting precipitiously under the pressure of the recycling mood (and of industrial lobbies) or privatized this activity, such waste... of public funds would not have occured.
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Tue 24 Oct, 2006 11:30 am
Well, I could tell you stories about incinerators ...

(I know where Straßburg is situated, btw :wink: )
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hamburger
 
  1  
Reply Tue 24 Oct, 2006 01:14 pm
miniTAX wrote :
"...this year is a "bad" year for alarmists: no major Atlantic hurricane..."

watched a report from the canadian hurrican-forecasting centre yesterday .
their assessment was as follows :
- there are fewer hurricans than last year but total number is not below average ,
- the main difference is that hurricans that are developing in the atlantic have been turned away from the coast of north-america by a major and very persistent high-pressure system over north-america .
apparently , instead of making landfall , the hurricans are spending their energy "blowing themselves out" over the atlantic .

of course , that's happy news for all people living in hurrican zones .
CNBC business report stated that insurance companies providing hurrican insurance , are so far this year chalking up some major profits .
they better sock away some profits , i doubt that the honeymoon will last .
hbg
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Tue 24 Oct, 2006 11:54 pm
Ministers bow to pressure for climate bill

Quote:
The government will today agree plans for a climate change bill setting new long-term targets to cut carbon emissions in Britain in response to intense pressure from environmental campaigners.

An independent body to advise on whether government policies will meet the green targets will be created under proposals to be tabled by the environment secretary, David Miliband, when he makes a presentation to the environment and energy cabinet committee today. The bill will be in the next Queen's Speech on November 15.
0 Replies
 
 

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