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what does less than 1 in 10000 actually mean?

 
 
PM2016
 
Reply Tue 28 Feb, 2017 05:24 am
I recently had to listen to a doctor describe a procedure as having a certain complication rate of less than 1 in 10000 and then go on to say that it meant 9999 times the procedure was uneventful. It kinda nagged at me for a while but as I have no real statistics background I wonder if some one could weigh in on this...does less than 1 in 10000 (not 1 in 10000 but less than...) actually and strictly entail the statement that 9999 times something is OK?
Anyone?
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izzythepush
 
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Reply Tue 28 Feb, 2017 06:32 am
@PM2016,
No that would mean one in a thousand. Less than one in a thousand means just that, that the chances are less than one thousandth. Say one in one thousand and fifty or something like that.
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nacredambition
 
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Reply Tue 28 Feb, 2017 08:01 pm
@PM2016,
One chance in 10,000 refers to the mean result, as does less than one chance in 10,000.

Variance occurs around the average.

Quote:
... does less than 1 in 10000 (not 1 in 10000 but less than...) actually and strictly entail the statement that 9999 times something is OK?


Strictly, no.
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